GAMEDAY - Round 14

[Diamond_Jim 12,359]

Was trying to do some research on the size of the betting pool to understand what it took to move odds but couldn't find anyhting on point.

I did however come across some 2015 research by Roy Morgan that contained some fascinating info including the following:

"Not surprisingly, people who support an AFL team are more than twice as likely as the average Australian to bet on the sport, with 5.0% having at least one flutter on a match in the 12 months to March 2015. But that’s nothing compared to paid-up members of AFL clubs, 13.4% of whom bet on AFL — suggesting that the stronger a supporter’s involvement, the higher the likelihood of betting on matches

Of the League’s 18 teams, Melbourne Demons supporters are the most likely to take a punt on AFL (10.1% doing so in an average 12 months), ahead of North Melbourne Kangaroos (8.4%) and Fremantle Dockers supporters (7.9%)."

http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6348-betting-on-afl-supporters-game-201507212321

 

Edited June 24, 2017 by Diamond_Jim

[Monocology 1,109]

Should have won this one last year with a far less developed & settled list. I remember the umps went coast-to-coast on us in the last quarter - physically trying to blow the ball over their goal line with a whistle - remarkable.

Smash them tonight you good things.

[Pennant St Dee 12,669]

Maybe it's because I haven't seen us beat Meth Coast at Subi in 19 years (I was holidaying in Europe in 2002 win) that has me going tonight not confident of seeing us win. Watts and Jones out hurts us but good teams find a way. If we turn it into a scrap we win because we're harder than them. We must bring that pressure game from the get go to have a chance

[jnrmac 19,895]

dees by 40+

You heard it here first.

[Ethan Tremblay 30,025]

I'm heading to the game. If Darling flops around and plays for frees and is payed them, I will contemplate running onto the ground and throwing up on him. 

[JV7 2,348]

9 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

Was trying to do some research on the size of the betting pool to understand what it took to move odds but couldn't find anyhting on point.

I did however come across some 2015 research by Roy Morgan that contained some fascinating info including the following:

"Not surprisingly, people who support an AFL team are more than twice as likely as the average Australian to bet on the sport, with 5.0% having at least one flutter on a match in the 12 months to March 2015. But that’s nothing compared to paid-up members of AFL clubs, 13.4% of whom bet on AFL — suggesting that the stronger a supporter’s involvement, the higher the likelihood of betting on matches

Of the League’s 18 teams, Melbourne Demons supporters are the most likely to take a punt on AFL (10.1% doing so in an average 12 months), ahead of North Melbourne Kangaroos (8.4%) and Fremantle Dockers supporters (7.9%)."

http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6348-betting-on-afl-supporters-game-201507212321

 

We had to have some sort of interest during the down years... Back us at the usual 60+ line & barrack for that, knowing we wouldn't get near a win

Edited June 24, 2017 by JV7

[In Harmes Way 7,700]

27 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

Of the League’s 18 teams, Melbourne Demons supporters are the most likely to take a punt on AFL

Back in the dark ages we could see exactly how bad we were. Sure bet we were going to lose.

not today, however. Dees by 4 goals.

[Sir Why You Little 36,638]

20 minutes ago, Ethan Tremblay said:

I'm heading to the game. If Darling flops around and plays for frees and is payed them, I will contemplate running onto the ground and throwing up on him. 

Great. You're on!

[CityDee 738]

We wil miss Wattsy's accuarate kicking / sense of occasion and Jonesys prescence leadership and sense of occasion . 

We need to take up the slack and get goals from Cam and Gawn as well as the usual goalkickers . 

Take the umpires out of the equation with a nice 16 point buffer 

[Chook 14,998]

1 hour ago, Moonshadow said:

And to think that they wasted a Nobel prize on that stuff that Bob Dylan wrote when it should have been yours Ethan.

Come gather 'round Demons
Wherever you roam
And admit that the Eagles
Around you are stoned
And accept it that soon
You'll be flying back home.
If your season to you
Is worth savin'
Then you better keep winnin'
Or you'll sink like a stone
For the times they are a-changin'.

Edited June 24, 2017 by Chook

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

Jones out is a massive loss, bigger than Hogan and possibly Gawn.

The Eagles aren't great but play above themselves at home.

I'm not holding my breath that Gawn will have a huge impact first up, I'm tipping he spends a lot of time up forward. 

We just must capitalise on our current ladder position, no getting complacent now.

If we win it will be one for the ages.

[Constant Mongrel 586]

dees easily.. i hate to say that. but believe that we should go in confident against most teams. they ain't playing great. i reckon this we're gonna continue our run & be entrenched in the 4 by the end of the weekend. 

[Deemented Are Go! 3,676]

1 hour ago, Ethan Tremblay said:

I'm heading to the game. If Darling flops around and plays for frees and is payed them, I will contemplate running onto the ground and throwing up on him. 

   like this, Ethan?

[Ted Lasso 18,783]

Dees by 61 points 

Bernie vince best on ground playing mostly in the middle to cover chunk 

gawn dominating the hit outs and pedo to kick 4 goals. I think it'll be a midfield battle and gawn gives us an edge. 

Beating the eagles in Perth without jones, watts and hogan clearly stamps our status as premiership threat 

Edited June 24, 2017 by Abe

[Clintosaurus 7,554]

+4.5 line now into 1.80 on UBet. Still $2.05 head to head but must be a big out for the Eagles. Have heard Priddis might not front.

[Deeoldfart 7,993]

5 minutes ago, Abe said:

Dees by 61 points 

Bernie vince best on ground playing mostly in the middle to cover chunk 

gawn dominating the hit outs and pedo to kick 4 goals. I think it'll be a midfield battle and gawn gives us an edge. 

Beating the eagles in Perth without jones, watts and hogan clearly stamps our status as premiership threat 

Is that all?

[Ted Lasso 18,783]

1 minute ago, Deeoldfart said:

Is that all?

I genuinely think we could win this game by a truck load if we bring the pressure we did last week. 

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

We really should tag Mitchell.

[Ted Lasso 18,783]

1 minute ago, Clint Bizkit said:

We really should tag Mitchell.

Yep, wouldn't mind seeing Bernie do that job and melksham follow yeo around 

[brendan 3,430]

$1.89 eagles dees $1.95 something is going on that's a big turn around 

i got on at $2.51 and my cash out option is already more than I put on

Edited June 24, 2017 by brendan

[GawnWithTheWind 604]

WCE at home is no easy feat, infront of their nutbag crowd and on their unique sized oval.

I personally think we might cop a 30-40 point smacking, and wake some of our group up that finals isn't a lock yet.

Hopefully I am wrong, because a win over there without 2 of of our top 5 players is a HUGE statement.

[Nasher 33,607]

1 minute ago, GawnWithTheWind said:

I personally think we might cop a 30-40 point smacking, and wake some of our group up that finals isn't a lock yet.

Nothing like a bit of optimism!

[brendan 3,430]

The way the money is coming in for us we will start favorite which is just crazy 

[Dee Zephyr 19,158]

8 minutes ago, brendan said:

$1.89 eagles dees $1.95 something is going on that's a big turn around 

i got on at $2.51 and my cash out option is already more than I put on

Equal favourites now on Luxbet. $1.92 each of two.

[Engorged Onion 10,135]

So, who is this mythical big out?