The Run Home

[Gorgoroth 12,331]

Pies last round and last of Buckleys tenure could be a massive danger game.

[Engorged Onion 9,354]

9 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

Pies last round and last of Buckleys tenure could be a massive danger game.

it's farcical to think they'd put in more energy and effort in his final game when they've had a further 22 previous games to show the care/give a damn about Bucks etc etc...

[McQueen 17,864]

43 minutes ago, Danelska said:

it's farcical to think they'd put in more energy and effort in his final game when they've had a further 22 previous games to show the care/give a damn about Bucks etc etc...

Farcical was certainly the case for us in Roosy's last game.

I'd love to see the Pies replicate that.

[DemonWA 3,442]

2 hours ago, armstrong35 said:

All the games left are 50/50 but realistic I see it as:

Crows - Loss

Port - 50/50

North - 50/50

Gws - Loss

Saints - 50/50

Lions - Win

Pies - 50/50

The players can't go into a game thinking we beat them last time or we lost to them last time. Every game needs to be a fresh mind set and that we 100% can beat the team out there that day 

 

Unfortunately thats how i see these matches too. MFCSS in full effect

[Barney Rubble 1,576]

The Bummers have the best run home of all teams.

If we are hanging around 7th or 8th position by then they could leap frog us.

[DubDee 20,772]

5 minutes ago, Barney Rubble said:

The Bummers have the best run home of all teams.

If we are hanging around 7th or 8th position by then they could leap frog us.

Ill be sick if the drug cheats make the finals.

I reckon the saints will account for them on friday so they have to win 5 out of 6 to get 12 wins after that.   very soft run but hopefully they slip up.  they lost to brisbane FFS

[DEMON DAVID 12]

4 hours ago, yoSMOKIE said:

I think all are winnable, although winning them all unlikely.

I'm concerned about playing Adelaide without Jones and Viney, and if we don't get back Watts and Tyson I think we'll really struggle

GWS game will again depend on personnel. With Viney and or Jones back I rate us a sneaky chance (pending no further injuries)

Every other game I actually expect us to win regardless of circumstance.

 

 

Is Tyson a chance this week ?  Make sure they drop Kent and never play him again.. He has lost interest.. wonder what his Contract terms are and when it is due ????  any thoughts ?

 

[Smokey 4,137]

Just now, DEMON DAVID said:

Is Tyson a chance this week ?  Make sure they drop Kent and never play him again.. He has lost interest.. wonder what his Contract terms are and when it is due ????  any thoughts ?

 

He's contracted till the end of 2018. He has plenty of potential, so I dunno about never playing him again. But I'm with you, he needs to find something fast or get left behind permanently.

Re: Tyson I remember Goody mentioning he'll be back this week in the presser on Sunday. Did I mishear that?

 

[DubDee 20,772]

Good that we have 3 games at the G in the lead up to finals. favourable fixturing for once

[Demon17 4,601]

6 hours ago, Wiseblood said:

I'm not counting us out of this weekend's game against the Crows.  Their midfield isn't elite, and if we curb the influence of Sloane then it brings them on par with us.  The Crows have a soft underbelly and if we can limit the amount of easy ball guys like Jenkins and Betts like to get then it goes a long way to us winning.

I went to Adelaide this year and have seen 3 wins (and nearly a 4th ) at Etihad. Plus last year against Port. All seemed impossible untilrecently.

Anything is possible with this group and coach

[Wiseblood 24,636]

Just now, Demon17 said:

I went to Adelaide this year and have seen 3 wins (and nearly a 4th ) at Etihad. Plus last year against Port. All seemed impossible untilrecently.

Anything is possible with this group and coach

Totally agree D17, which is why I'm always bemused to see supporters write us off in any game this year.  Of course we will lose a game here and there, but this isn't the Melbourne of 2013 that you could confidently write off before a game and simply hope for anything below a 6 goal loss.  Outside of the Swans game, and we know why we were so flat in that one, we've been in every contest this year.  Even though it won't happen, you could easily say we could win all of our final games because we can match it with anyone.

[DaveyJones'sLocker 585]

I'm starting to believe we can push deep in to September, but these injuries are really making my doubt myself.

[Stretch Johnson 2,585]

I see Oliver and especially Petracca as the key to our next few weeks.

If we can sneak a couple more wins before Viney and Jones come back than with luck with can hit September healthy and with momentum.

I think that we have the grunt to hurt teams in September.

[Ted Lasso 16,855]

We can beat Adelaide, port is 50/50 but I am backing us, the giants aren't the world beaters they get talked up as and we have a great record against them, north are rubbish the lions aren't much better neither are the pies and saints is 50/50 

 

i think we will beat north, pies and lions for sure and if we sneak in one more we should be a lock for finals. 

[praha 10,287]

End of the day, if we'd beaten Hawthorn and Freo like we were supposed to, we'd be a lock for finals. We need to make those two games up with wins against two of Port, Adelaide, GWS and Saints. Win at least two of those and we'll play finals.

Edited July 11, 2017 by praha

[Wiseblood 24,636]

3 minutes ago, praha said:

End of the day, if we'd beaten Hawthorn and Freo like we were supposed this, we'd be a lock for finals. We need to make those two games up with wins against two of Port, Adelaide, GWS and Saints. Win at least two of those and we'll play finals.

You could argue on the flip side that if we hadn't beaten the Crows and West Coast on their home decks, like nobody thought we would, then we might almost be out of contention with the injuries we have.  I think it's just reflective of how even the season has been to this point.  Every club has coughed up games they should have won.

But I agree totally with your final point, Mr. Plainview, that if we can win two of those 4 games then we play finals. 

[BAMF 3,787]

8 hours ago, DubDee said:

we play the 3 worst sides in the league and we need 3 wins to make the 8 so unless something catastrophic happens, we will at least limp in to the 8. I predict 4 wins.  if we were playing the saints at the moment, they would roll us as they are in form so I'm glad its not for a few weeks.

Round 17 looms as a preview of our Prelim

Round 18 preview of our elimination final

and round 20 - preview of the GF. where Viney rams scullys head into the turf at the first bounce and we win by 10 goals!

 

**** started off ok in this post and now I've got carried away!!

There is a possibility of us missing the 8 on percentage on 12 wins. Need to make sure that any losses are small.

[Copuchas 756]

The permutations and combinations are endless for the balance of the season.  One thing that's received little coverage is that we have no away games.  Yes, we have three games at neutral venues but we have played good football at all of them recently (the Freo win in Darwin, the 1st half against GWS at Manuka and the last 3 quarters against North last year at Bellerive).  Absolutely nothing to fear on that front.  I'm more concerned around the consistency of the Darwin hangover phenomena in terms of the Port match

[Skuit 9,209]

8 hours ago, DubDee said:

Round 17 looms as a preview of our Prelim

Round 18 preview of our elimination final

and round 20 - preview of the GF. where Viney rams scullys head into the turf at the first bounce and we win by 10 goals!

 

Love this, but I desperately want to come against Richmond and Geelong again in our march on the flag. (Note: will regret writing this no doubt - no need to bump - I'll take superstitious revenge on myself).

Anywho, great to look ahead, but a few weeks back I would have said we'd be good for at least six wins. Future injuries and return-from-injury-form will play a part. We're banking on the return of some of our key players, but lose some others along the way due to the extra workload or misfortune and we could be focaccias. I won't raise specific examples.

[Diamond_Jim 11,832]

if we win 12 games the odds are there will be five teams on 12 games with us and percentage may or may not put us in.

We really need 13 wins to ensure a position in the eight

[Devil is in the Detail 883]

1 hour ago, Diamond_Jim said:

if we win 12 games the odds are there will be five teams on 12 games with us and percentage may or may not put us in.

We really need 13 wins to ensure a position in the eight

Could just get 16 wins and remove all doubt.

[monoccular 16,141]

16 hours ago, praha said:

End of the day, if we'd beaten Hawthorn and Freo like we were supposed to, we'd be a lock for finals. We need to make those two games up with wins against two of Port, Adelaide, GWS and Saints. Win at least two of those and we'll play finals.

 

16 hours ago, Wiseblood said:

You could argue on the flip side that if we hadn't beaten the Crows and West Coast on their home decks, like nobody thought we would, then we might almost be out of contention with the injuries we have.  I think it's just reflective of how even the season has been to this point.  Every club has coughed up games they should have won.

But I agree totally with your final point, Mr. Plainview, that if we can win two of those 4 games then we play finals. 

Lots of "ifs" there both ways.

We have, collectively, looked backwards too much for too long - time to look ahead.

Can't change the past: can definitely determine the future.

[praha 10,287]

38 minutes ago, monoccular said:

 

Lots of "ifs" there both ways.

We have, collectively, looked backwards too much for too long - time to look ahead.

Can't change the past: can definitely determine the future.

You're right. It's a super tough competition and we've gotten this far with no much going our way in terms of scheduling, off-field media shenanigans and injuries. Imagine if we got Essendon's fixture and no injuries!

[monoccular 16,141]

Just now, praha said:

You're right. It's a super tough competition and we've gotten this far with no much going our way in terms of scheduling, off-field media shenanigans and injuries. Imagine if we got Essendon's fixture and no injuries!

Sure...but we didn't cheat and bring the whole game into disrepute, so why should we be rewarded?

[Willmoy1947 3,790]

23 hours ago, DEMON DAVID said:

Is Tyson a chance this week ?  Make sure they drop Kent and never play him again.. He has lost interest.. wonder what his Contract terms are and when it is due ????  any thoughts ?

 

My thought is, wrong and premature