Match Preview and Team Selection - Round 12

[jane02 3,462]

18 hours ago, bingers said:

I hate the filth ...

A 'friend' (filth supporter) put a taunting post on her FB page after Round 23 ... Hopefully the smile is wiped off her face on Monday night. 

I will be in a corporate box on Monday and just found out I will be the only Demon supporter again. I was with the same group last year and took a great deal of pleasure with the end result. I hope its the same case on Monday.?

[Deemania since 56 6,233]

1 hour ago, Demonland said:

Great. We're in a no win situation again. Win and they'll say we're no good because we've beaten another injury ravaged team. Lose and they'll say we're no good because we lost to an injury ravaged team.

I'll still happily bank 4 points.

There are signs that we are not the only ones who anticipate a win for the Dees.

All that I have talked to in the past 48 hours - from those that are not Filth supporters - believe, and convincingly, too - that the MFC will win comfortably provided that on the day, the umpires stay outside of the game in terms of it being a 'big event' and wishing that the Filth  'stay in the game' from the first bounce at their (the umpires') discretion. The common thought is:

In the minds of those far too influential in the AFL, blockbusters like these should be hard won and tight. The consequences of a Filth loss will herald the demise of their season and hence, a potentially massive losses of crowds later on in the season leading to the finals. Of course, this is rubbish but it does beg the question: would they dare? 

Carna Dees! Give 'em a bath!

 

[Ethan Tremblay 28,535]

38 minutes ago, chook fowler said:

Interesting that Vince played Jenkins against Adelaide,who is obviously a tall, and beat him well. If he could take a similar in the Pies forward line it would allow us to play a medium sized defender to replace Lever e.g. Wagner 

Collingwood play a small-medium forward line apart from Cox who is too tall for Bernie. 

Edited June 7, 2018 by Ethan Tremblay

[chook fowler 18,392]

10 minutes ago, Ethan Tremblay said:

Collingwood play a small-medium forward line apart from Cox who is too tall for Bernie. 

I think Oscar will take Cox. Wouldn’t be surprised to see Weed come in and Smith and Fritsch spend some time down back.

[Demons11 6,404]

40 minutes ago, chook fowler said:

I think Oscar will take Cox. Wouldn’t be surprised to see Weed come in and Smith and Fritsch spend some time down back.

Just read somewhere about Weed coming in and playing back. 

 

[What 18,810]

8 minutes ago, Demons11 said:

Just read somewhere about Weed coming in and playing back. 

 

Was that an idea from another poster or something confirmed from Goodwin?

Weid has never played back, he should surely be tried there at Casey first if at all.

[sisso 2,401]

1 hour ago, Deemania since 56 said:

There are signs that we are not the only ones who anticipate a win for the Dees.

All that I have talked to in the past 48 hours - from those that are not Filth supporters - believe, and convincingly, too - that the MFC will win comfortably provided that on the day, the umpires stay outside of the game in terms of it being a 'big event' and wishing that the Filth  'stay in the game' from the first bounce at their (the umpires') discretion. The common thought is:

In the minds of those far too influential in the AFL, blockbusters like these should be hard won and tight. The consequences of a Filth loss will herald the demise of their season and hence, a potentially massive losses of crowds later on in the season leading to the finals. Of course, this is rubbish but it does beg the question: would they dare? 

Carna Dees! Give 'em a bath!

 

Have to say as well as we're playing we have had a great run playing against sides with keys out....even North were missing Tarrant for that match arguably the most important member of their defence....

[Demons11 6,404]

5 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

Was that an idea from another poster or something confirmed from Goodwin?

Weid has never played back, he should surely be tried there at Casey first if at all.

Rumour

[DeleteUser 638]

7 minutes ago, sisso said:

Have to say as well as we're playing we have had a great run playing against sides with keys out....even North were missing Tarrant for that match arguably the most important member of their defence....

Tin foil hat but believable

Umpires reverse tanking decisions to keep a team in the game?

You know what we need? An umpire rating system. I know it would be highly contentious and emotive but with enough numbers you could maybe account for selection bias of those team's members who had been "dudded" by a decision. You could use frees for/against by each umpire. For someone half capable with stats and maybe R, something based just on frees paid by each umpire and to which team, based on the result, would not be hard. The rating system would be diabolical but would add a layer anyway.

You could weight the system for perceived bias like the size of a team, its potential drawing power and thus gate receipts (follow the money)

Hocking is all well and good to say he'll look at the Eagles crowd influence, but, well, he would say that wouldn't he.

 

 

[Demon Disciple 11,132]

3 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

I can’t remember if we announced an extended squad on the Thursday prior to the QB game last year. Would we announce a squad before our main training session tomorrow?

Nope

[Deemania since 56 6,233]

1 minute ago, timbo said:

Tin foil hat but believable

Umpires reverse tanking decisions to keep a team in the game?

You know what we need? An umpire rating system. I know it would be highly contentious and emotive but with enough numbers you could maybe account for selection bias of those team's members who had been "dudded" by a decision. You could use frees for/against by each umpire. For someone half capable with stats and maybe R, something based just on frees paid by each umpire and to which team, based on the result, would not be hard. The rating system would be diabolical but would add a layer anyway.

You could weight the system for perceived bias like the size of a team, its potential drawing power and thus gate receipts (follow the money)

Hocking is all well and good to say he'll look at the Eagles crowd influence, but, well, he would say that wouldn't he.

 

 

Not that I would be able to devote the time and other resources to such a proposal as 'an umpire rating system' it is an extremely good idea to clarify much that fascinates us all. It may even have secondary data implications more widely reviewed than by DL followers alone. On face value, a great suggestion, timbo.

[chook fowler 18,392]

If Weed comes in it will give max some ruck respite as well. His inclusion makes sense. The Smokey is Pedo.

[Gator 16,921]

If one reads the cue from the Jones interview it will probably be Joel Smith or Wagner coming into defence.

If Weideman plays it will be at the expense of Tim Smith and I'd be shocked if he didn't play forward.

[emblem for me 10]

Hope pedo gets a chance.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Guess Jones is the only player left who played under Daniher. Although Lynden Dunn debut was in 2006 against Geelong, so i guess he did too.

[picket fence 15,542]

WEEDS SMITH GARLETT all in (Speculation)

FOR  T SMITH, LEVER, HANNAN ( ALL INJ)

Anyone else a fan??

 

[Deemania since 56 6,233]

2 minutes ago, picket fence said:

WEEDS SMITH GARLETT all in (Speculation)

FOR  T SMITH, LEVER, HANNAN ( ALL INJ)

Anyone else a fan??

 

Not quite, we cannot play Weeds until he shines. Garlett might be good against a slow Filth backline. I'd just like to see Pedo in from the bench to rattle a few precious bones and kick a few goals. He could make a rucking dent in Spargo if the opportunity arose. Not sure about Hannan's injury - it has been a well-kept secret.

[Gorgoroth 12,352]

Team is in.

Smith looks to have been omitted, nothing next to his name on the outs.

Edited June 7, 2018 by Gorgoroth

[hemingway 7,601]

2 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

Team is in.

Smith looks to have been omitted, nothing next to his name on the outs.

Not a bad interchange bench to choose from.  Who to leave out?

[Stretch Johnson 2,600]

That side will keep you guessing.  None the wiser

[Cards13 9,117]

4 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

Team is in.

Smith looks to have been omitted, nothing next to his name on the outs.

He’s injured, ankle and neck. 

[Lil_red_fire_engine 10,330]

Based on the ins and no Weid you would think its Ped for T Smith and we will I would back J Smith for Lever. 

[Gorgoroth 12,352]

Just now, hemingway said:

Not a bad interchange bench to choose from.  Who to leave out?

Smith out equals Pedders in for me.

Smith or Hunt for Lever I am guessing. Depends on wether they want Hibs to play Levers role.

[david_neitz_is_my_dad 3,946]

In

• Billy Stretch,
• Cameron Pedersen,
• Jayden Hunt,
• Harrison Petty,
• Jeff Garlett,
• Joel Smith

Out

• Jake Lever (Injured),
• Timothy Smith (Omitted)

[Gorgoroth 12,352]

1 minute ago, Cards13 said:

He’s injured, ankle and neck. 

Usually the club lists that and did for Lever but not Smith.