The Run Home - Race for the spoon

[red and blue forever 1,030]

Not so sure we will get the spoon this year...

the bottom 6 are all in a tight race for the spoon this year, dont think it will be us we have a few winnable matches compared to our rivals.

Melbourne Run Home

-Melb v Freo (tio)
-Melb v Geel (H)
-Melb v Port (A)
-Melb v Bris (H)
-Melb v Hawks (H)
-Melb v GWS (H)
-Melb v WC (A)
-Melb v North (A)

2 wins

GWS Run Home

-GWS v Adel (H)
-GWS v Freo (A)
-GWS v Geel (H)
-GWS v Rich (A)
-GWS v North (H)
-GWS v Melb (A)
-GWS v Coll (H)
-GWS v Dogs (A)

no more wins

Brisbane Run Home

-Bris v Rich (A)
-Bris v WC (H)
-Bris v GCS (H)
-Bris v Melb (A)

-Bris v Adel (H)
-Bris v Coll (A)
-Bris v Freo (H)
-Bris v Geel (A)

1 win

StKilda Run Home

-Stk v Carl (A)
-Stk v North (H)
-Stk v Freo (H)
-Stk v GCS (A)
-Stk v Dogs (H)
-Stk v Syd (A)
-Stk v Rich (A)
-Stk v Adel (A)

no more wins

Carlton Run Home

-Carl v Coll (H)
-Carl v Stk (H)
-Carl v Syd (A)
-Carl v North (H)
-Carl v Freo (A)
-Carl v Suns (H)
-Carl v Cats (H)
-Carl v Port (A)
-Carl v Ess (H)

1 win

Richmond Run Home

-Rich v Bris (H)
-Rich v Port (H)
-Rich v WC (A)
-Rich v GWS (H)
-Rich v Ess (H)
-Rich v Adel (A)
-Rich v Stk (H)
-Rich v Syd (A)

3 wins

Bulldogs Run Home

-Dogs v Cats (A)
-Dogs v GCS (?)
-Dogs v Ess (H)
-Dogs v Hawks (A)
-Dogs v Stk (H)
-Dogs v North (A)
-Dogs v Syd (H)
-Dogs v GWS (H)

2 wins

Final Ladder...

12- Dogs 7w 16l

13- Rich 7w 16l

14- Melb 6w 17l

15- Carl 52 18l

16- Bris 5w 18l

17- GWS 4w 19l

18- Stk 3w 20l

Edited June 29, 2014 by red and blue forever

[Ted Lasso 19,518]

I reckon we will finish 14th and have picks 4&5

[wattsjurrahdunne 88]

14th would mean Pick 5 would be our first

[Soidee 1,496]

Optimistic you lot. I think we won't win any more games.

Just hope our list management have cancelled all leave for the next 8 months. Clean out required

[Gorgoroth 12,950]

We will prob win one game and fail in all the others.

[What 18,810]

we will be 50/50 chance at best in the Brisbane and GWS games

Edited June 29, 2014 by hogans_heroes

[dazzledavey36 54,938]

GWS and Brisane games are such danger game. As HH said both will be 50/50. Personally I can't see us winning any more games this year.

[P-man 13,366]

Saints will get the spoon.

At this stage we'll do well to avoid 17th. We are not playing well. At all.

[demonique 314]

Will have to have a huge lift in our game to avoid the spoon!!

Lots of wishful thinking going on , can't see us winning more than one game in the run in !!

[Dee Fan 3,247]

Couple of weeks ago I would have said we would win maybe 4 on the way home but we have dropped off the pace and I reckon we've gone backwards.

Make no mistake the Bulldogs had a very depleted side today and they still beat us so we are no fancies to beat GWS or Brisbane.

[PJ_12345 1,098]

Fremantle

Geelong

Port Adelaide

Brisbane

Hawthorn

GWS

West Coast

North Melbourne

I can't see us wining any of these and if that happens then Roos will end the season with the same amount of wins as Neeld had in his first year.

[red and blue forever 1,030]

Will have to have a huge lift in our game to avoid the spoon!!

Lots of wishful thinking going on , can't see us winning more than one game in the run in !!

saints wont win any more, nor will GWS, so that puts us 16th at least.. depending on percentages...

[Deemotivated 550]

Fremantle

Geelong

Port Adelaide

Brisbane

Hawthorn

GWS

West Coast

North Melbourne

I can't see us wining any of these and if that happens then Roos will end the season with the same amount of wins as Neeld had in his first year.

Neeld was coaching against teenagers. We've actually beaten reasonable teams in a much more even comp.

Its not all gloom...

[Wiseblood 24,637]

Neeld was coaching against teenagers. We've actually beaten reasonable teams in a much more even comp.

Its not all gloom...

It is to others when we lost a game by a kick. I don't see the doom and gloom, as nobody predicted us to win in Adelaide, or give a Port a run for their money etc. and I still think we are a chance to cause a surprise or two. Plus the Saints and GWS won't win another game, so we should be right from here.

[Deemotivated 550]

It is to others when we lost a game by a kick. I don't see the doom and gloom, as nobody predicted us to win in Adelaide, or give a Port a run for their money etc. and I still think we are a chance to cause a surprise or two. Plus the Saints and GWS won't win another game, so we should be right from here.

I'm fine with us finishing low on the ladder given we have still improved a fair bit but I'll be gutted if we roll over against lowly sides and get blown away by the contenders in the run home.

[Moonshadow 17,676]

GWS are far more likely to snaffle 2 or 3 wins than we are. IMO we will get one more win....maybe none.

The young Melbourne players are getting tired at this point in the season.

Edited June 29, 2014 by Moonshadow

[rpfc 28,430]

Maybe I am a sap but I am still looking at the Geelong game...

Bump this when we get flogged but we played terribly today and got beaten because God smiled on a teenager with a long last name.

[jumbo returns 6,741]

Picks 3 and 4.

Ffs, trade them off!

[PJ_12345 1,098]

Neeld was coaching against teenagers. We've actually beaten reasonable teams in a much more even comp.

Its not all gloom...

I'd say you're wrong on that. It will be interesting to see when the H&A season is finished.

Take out Essendon as both coaches won by only a goal.

That means the only team to be beaten which was not in the bottom 4 was Adelaide this year.

[Supermercado 2,797]

Brisbane Run Home

-Bris v Rich (A)

-Bris v WC (H)

-Bris v GCS (H)

-Bris v Melb (A)

-Bris v Adel (H)

-Bris v Coll (A)

-Bris v Freo (H)

-Bris v Geel (A)

1 win

Brisbane are suddenly beating Gold Coast based on last night?

[Wilson7 2,670]

How many games did Neeld lose by a goal or 2, not many id say. % differance would be massive

Fremantle

Geelong

Port Adelaide

Brisbane

Hawthorn

GWS

West Coast

North Melbourne

I can't see us wining any of these and if that happens then Roos will end the season with the same amount of wins as Neeld had in his first year.

[titan_uranus 25,019]

It's hard to say with much certainty or confidence this year as the bottom has been relatively even (e.g. Richmond winning and jumping 5 or so spots on the ladder).

However, St Kilda looks unlikely to win another game, something which a one-eyed St Kilda supporter friend of mine told me would happen 6 weeks ago. They have Carlton, Bulldogs and Richmond, but they're really struggling right now, and they'd be mad not to 'tank' with key forwards on offer at the top of the draft.

Brisbane's draw here on out is hard, with really just the game against us presenting itself as a winnable game. Don't forget their worst is as bad as St Kilda's (last week vs Freo is a fine example).

Richmond and Carlton have shown enough and have more than enough winnable games to avoid this discussion, which is actually a good thing because they'll end up finishing higher than their list warrants and not getting the picks they need to actually improve.

I see us as finishing either 16th or 17th with our draw. If we lose both to GWS and to Brisbane and St Kilda steals one of their easier games, we may end up last. I think we'll be good enough to beat one of GWS or Brisbane, which should be enough. But not enough to get out of the bottom 4, which is disappointing IMO as I do not think we are a bottom 4 side this year.

[monoccular 17,428]

Fremantle

Geelong

Port Adelaide

Brisbane

Hawthorn

GWS

West Coast

North Melbourne

I can't see us wining any of these and if that happens then Roos will end the season with the same amount of wins as Neeld had in his first year.

......and thankfully that is where any comparison ends

[red and blue forever 1,030]

Brisbane are suddenly beating Gold Coast based on last night?

oops, thats GCS not GWS, cancle that one win...

[whatwhat say what 22,756]

say we don't win another game for the year - and then the question becomes... do we petition the afl for extra draft pick at the pointy end, which got knocked back this year?