Rain next Sunday

[sue 8,430]

2 hours ago, Little Goffy said:

Wow, so much disdain for the Bureau.

Besides, they are saying 50% chance of any rain, so they are also saying 50% chance of no rain at all.

Still a fair stretch better than the information about Viney, or Dangerfield, or Ablett!

The BOM does brilliantly compared to what they could do not so many years ago.  I don't know the exact figures but it is something like their current 10 day forecasts are as reliable as their old 2 day forecasts were.  As for rain  at 50% that is complicated because of the often patchyness of rain.  The percentage they quote is a complicated average over time and space, so it's not surprising if what you see at a particular spot is not what you expect.

[jumbo returns 6,488]

Is this the same BOM that predicted a storm of biblical propositions last year?

Run for your lives!!

[Demonstone 19,108]

Everybody complains about the weather but nobody does anything about it.

[brendan 3,382]

Lol surely we are not worrying about rain now, I don’t care if it’s a blizzard I will take a dog sled to the bloody game if I have to 

[Jaded No More 57,820]

I reckon we will easily get 65,000 to this game, rain hail or shine.

 

[DubDee 20,576]

Definately looking like rain now.  I look forward to 6 more days of checking the weather!

 

Summary

Min 16

Max 21

A few showers.

Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm

Chance of any rain: 70% 

[Brayshaw Self 847]

5 hours ago, demonstone said:

Everybody complains about the weather but nobody does anything about it.

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/china-sets-aside-millions-to-control-the-rain-2016-7 

[Biffen 12,323]

I've been banned for 2-3 weeks and now ,after reading this, i know why..

Very few you are worthy of my genius.

You are all worthless and weak.

 

[pewpewpew 686]

I'm not scared of a little bit of rain. Let Dangerfield run on soggy turf. 

[Diamond_Jim 11,747]

On 3/19/2018 at 4:55 PM, DubDee said:

Definately looking like rain now.  I look forward to 6 more days of checking the weather!

 

Summary

Min 16

Max 21

A few showers.

Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm

Chance of any rain: 70% 

in today's forecast it's down to 5 mm and a slightly reduced chance of 60%

 

 

[Hellaintabadplacetobe 4,089]

On 3/19/2018 at 4:42 PM, Jaded said:

I reckon we will easily get 65,000 to this game, rain hail or shine.

 

I`d be stoked with 55k. Remember Grand Prix is on down the road too.

[praha 10,277]

On 19/03/2018 at 4:42 PM, Jaded said:

I reckon we will easily get 65,000 to this game, rain hail or shine.

 

Just booked reserved seats in AFL members.

All "allocation exhausted" except for Level 1 outside.

[daisycutter 28,509]

BOM detail Sun by the hour - doesn't look too bad

Sunday 25 March

Rainfall

From	2:00 AM	5:00 AM	8:00 AM	11:00 AM	2:00 PM	5:00 PM	8:00 PM	11:00 PM
50% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
25% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
10% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Chance of any rain	5%	10%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%

Temperatures

At	2:00 AM	5:00 AM	8:00 AM	11:00 AM	2:00 PM	5:00 PM	8:00 PM	11:00 PM
Air temperature (°C)	24	22	18	18	22	22	16	14
Feels like (°C)	19	19	15	14	16	14	9	8
Dew point temperature (°C)	13	12	11	11	9	6	8	6

[DV8 2,271]

4 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

BOM detail Sun by the hour - doesn't look too bad

Sunday 25 March

Rainfall

From	2:00 AM	5:00 AM	8:00 AM	11:00 AM	2:00 PM	5:00 PM	8:00 PM	11:00 PM
50% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
25% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
10% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Chance of any rain	5%	10%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%

Temperatures

At	2:00 AM	5:00 AM	8:00 AM	11:00 AM	2:00 PM	5:00 PM	8:00 PM	11:00 PM
Air temperature (°C)	24	22	18	18	22	22	16	14
Feels like (°C)	19	19	15	14	16	14	9	8
Dew point temperature (°C)	13	12	11	11	9	6	8	6

22* and some precipitation.  good.  humidity & sweating players will make it slippery.

Let the wet be our friend.

Lets go small & speedy, with plenty aggro.

[Demon_spurs 1,658]

45 minutes ago, praha said:

Just booked reserved seats in AFL members.

All "allocation exhausted" except for Level 1 outside.

Outside!!!!! They will see nothing from there, and get wet!

[Diamond_Jim 11,747]

26 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

BOM detail Sun by the hour - doesn't look too bad

Sunday 25 March

Rainfall

From	2:00 AM	5:00 AM	8:00 AM	11:00 AM	2:00 PM	5:00 PM	8:00 PM	11:00 PM
50% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
25% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
10% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Chance of any rain	5%	10%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%

Temperatures

At	2:00 AM	5:00 AM	8:00 AM	11:00 AM	2:00 PM	5:00 PM	8:00 PM	11:00 PM
Air temperature (°C)	24	22	18	18	22	22	16	14
Feels like (°C)	19	19	15	14	16	14	9	8
Dew point temperature (°C)	13	12	11	11	9	6	8	6

so what they are saying is that in any one hour their is a one in 5 chance of rain but taken cumulatively there is a 50% chance of it raining sometime.

Wow ... you have to love that form of modelling... Frankly given Melbourne's unpredictable weather I don't blame them

[Moonshadow 16,168]

3 hours ago, daisycutter said:

 

Sunday 25 March

Rainfall

From	2:00 AM	5:00 AM	8:00 AM	11:00 AM	2:00 PM	5:00 PM	8:00 PM	11:00 PM
50% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
25% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
10% chance of more than (mm)	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Chance of any rain	5%	10%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%

Temperatures

At	2:00 AM	5:00 AM	8:00 AM	11:00 AM	2:00 PM	5:00 PM	8:00 PM	11:00 PM
Air temperature (°C)	24	22	18	18	22	22	16	14
Feels like (°C)	19	19	15	14	16	14	9	8
Dew point temperature (°C)	13	12	11	11	9	6	8	6

That's easy for you to say Daisy!

[Jaded No More 57,820]

18 hours ago, Hell Bent said:

I`d be stoked with 55k. Remember Grand Prix is on down the road too.

AFL's official prediction is 61k

Who the hell goes to the Grand Prix these days? 

[La Dee-vina Comedia 16,397]

On 3/19/2018 at 12:28 PM, DV8 said:

To me the bright side out of this is we don't need TMc as much. 

He is more likely top worsen the toe issue in the wet contested slog, and the opposition will look for every opportunity to get at it.

 

We can play a smaller forwardline with bulk, including Pedo in.

Give TMc the extra week to get right.

These conditions would have been just right for Viney but he's not ready.

IMO  we need bulky forwards, and our speedsters. Those that are opportunists of the spilt mark.

I wonder how JKH would go in these conditions?

 

I think the Wet, brings their guns back to us, a bit.  I can see Buggster in on one of their mids.

Not looking good for Jack Watts.

[Moonshadow 16,168]

BBO and I will be attending, expect a crowd of 75,000