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Rain next Sunday

The Panglossian
in Melbourne Demons

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2 hours ago, Little Goffy said:

Wow, so much disdain for the Bureau.

Besides, they are saying 50% chance of any rain, so they are also saying 50% chance of no rain at all.

Still a fair stretch better than the information about Viney, or Dangerfield, or Ablett!

The BOM does brilliantly compared to what they could do not so many years ago.  I don't know the exact figures but it is something like their current 10 day forecasts are as reliable as their old 2 day forecasts were.  As for rain  at 50% that is complicated because of the often patchyness of rain.  The percentage they quote is a complicated average over time and space, so it's not surprising if what you see at a particular spot is not what you expect.

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    Lol surely we are not worrying about rain now, I don’t care if it’s a blizzard I will take a dog sled to the bloody game if I have to 

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    Definately looking like rain now.  I look forward to 6 more days of checking the weather!
     
    Summary
    showers.png
    Min 16
    Max 21
    A few showers.
    Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm
    Chance of any rain: 70% rain_70.gif
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    I've been banned for 2-3 weeks and now ,after reading this, i know why..

    Very few you are worthy of my genius.

    You are all worthless and weak.

     

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    On 3/19/2018 at 4:55 PM, DubDee said:
    Definately looking like rain now.  I look forward to 6 more days of checking the weather!
     
    Summary
    showers.png
    Min 16
    Max 21
    A few showers.
    Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm
    Chance of any rain: 70% rain_70.gif

    in today's forecast it's down to 5 mm and a slightly reduced chance of 60%

     

     

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    On 3/19/2018 at 4:42 PM, Jaded said:

    I reckon we will easily get 65,000 to this game, rain hail or shine.

     

    I`d be stoked with 55k. Remember Grand Prix is on down the road too.

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    On 19/03/2018 at 4:42 PM, Jaded said:

    I reckon we will easily get 65,000 to this game, rain hail or shine.

     

    Just booked reserved seats in AFL members.

    All "allocation exhausted" except for Level 1 outside.

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    BOM detail Sun by the hour - doesn't look too bad

    Sunday 25 MarchCollapse

    Rainfall

    From 2:00 AM 5:00 AM 8:00 AM 11:00 AM 2:00 PM 5:00 PM 8:00 PM 11:00 PM
    50% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    25% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    10% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    Chance of any rain 5% 10% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

    Temperatures

    At 2:00 AM 5:00 AM 8:00 AM 11:00 AM 2:00 PM 5:00 PM 8:00 PM 11:00 PM
    Air temperature (°C) 24 22 18 18 22 22 16 14
    Feels like (°C) 19 19 15 14 16 14 9 8
    Dew point temperature (°C) 13 12 11 11 9 6 8 6
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    4 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

    BOM detail Sun by the hour - doesn't look too bad

    Sunday 25 MarchCollapse

    Rainfall

    From 2:00 AM 5:00 AM 8:00 AM 11:00 AM 2:00 PM 5:00 PM 8:00 PM 11:00 PM
    50% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    25% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    10% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    Chance of any rain 5% 10% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

    Temperatures

    At 2:00 AM 5:00 AM 8:00 AM 11:00 AM 2:00 PM 5:00 PM 8:00 PM 11:00 PM
    Air temperature (°C) 24 22 18 18 22 22 16 14
    Feels like (°C) 19 19 15 14 16 14 9 8
    Dew point temperature (°C) 13 12 11 11 9 6 8 6

    22* and some precipitation.  good.  humidity & sweating players will make it slippery.

    Let the wet be our friend.

    Lets go small & speedy, with plenty aggro.

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    45 minutes ago, praha said:

    Just booked reserved seats in AFL members.

    All "allocation exhausted" except for Level 1 outside.

    Outside!!!!! They will see nothing from there, and get wet!

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    26 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

    BOM detail Sun by the hour - doesn't look too bad

    Sunday 25 MarchCollapse

    Rainfall

    From 2:00 AM 5:00 AM 8:00 AM 11:00 AM 2:00 PM 5:00 PM 8:00 PM 11:00 PM
    50% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    25% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    10% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    Chance of any rain 5% 10% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

    Temperatures

    At 2:00 AM 5:00 AM 8:00 AM 11:00 AM 2:00 PM 5:00 PM 8:00 PM 11:00 PM
    Air temperature (°C) 24 22 18 18 22 22 16 14
    Feels like (°C) 19 19 15 14 16 14 9 8
    Dew point temperature (°C) 13 12 11 11 9 6 8 6

    so what they are saying is that in any one hour their is a one in 5 chance of rain but taken cumulatively there is a 50% chance of it raining sometime.

    Wow ... you have to love that form of modelling... Frankly given Melbourne's unpredictable weather I don't blame them

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    3 hours ago, daisycutter said:

     

    Sunday 25 March

    Rainfall

    From 2:00 AM 5:00 AM 8:00 AM 11:00 AM 2:00 PM 5:00 PM 8:00 PM 11:00 PM
    50% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    25% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    10% chance of more than (mm) – – – – – – – –
    Chance of any rain 5% 10% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

    Temperatures

    At 2:00 AM 5:00 AM 8:00 AM 11:00 AM 2:00 PM 5:00 PM 8:00 PM 11:00 PM
    Air temperature (°C) 24 22 18 18 22 22 16 14
    Feels like (°C) 19 19 15 14 16 14 9 8
    Dew point temperature (°C) 13 12 11 11 9 6 8 6

    That's easy for you to say Daisy!

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    18 hours ago, Hell Bent said:

    I`d be stoked with 55k. Remember Grand Prix is on down the road too.

    AFL's official prediction is 61k

    Who the hell goes to the Grand Prix these days? 

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    On 3/19/2018 at 12:28 PM, DV8 said:

    To me the bright side out of this is we don't need TMc as much. 

    He is more likely top worsen the toe issue in the wet contested slog, and the opposition will look for every opportunity to get at it.

     

    We can play a smaller forwardline with bulk, including Pedo in.

    Give TMc the extra week to get right.

    These conditions would have been just right for Viney but he's not ready.

    IMO  we need bulky forwards, and our speedsters. Those that are opportunists of the spilt mark.

    I wonder how JKH would go in these conditions?

     

    I think the Wet, brings their guns back to us, a bit.  I can see Buggster in on one of their mids.

    Not looking good for Jack Watts.

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