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JT has: - made a bold move for Oliver - offered what would’ve been the Jacko pick for Zak Butters - drafted Jacko - made a really bold move for Pickett - made solid moves for Bowey and JVR at the back of the first rounds The case against is Weid and to a lesser extent Laurie. Although they were both the second players picked and didn’t seem specific targets like Pickett was. Strength of the drafts doesn’t matter because there’s no guarantee a team does a deal for a top prospect next year. It might be picks 8 and 12 but no one will give us 5 next year. If you’ve found someone you think is a special prospect and is gettable you don’t care that next year has equally special prospects.

I think the difference is that when you are trading up the order you aren't trading for a draft pick, you're trading up for a specific player or a couple of players. A first round pick next year gives you a wide range of potential outcomes, including that the players available at your pick aren't the types of player that you're particularly interested in, whilst using it on a player now reduces that uncertainty and (theoretically) improves the likelihood of that player succeeding in your system. If we have a player that we are confident will be around at 19, and we are super keen on getting them because they fit with our team/system/whatever, then I'd have no hesitation in trading a future first round pick +37 for pick 19. Because at that stage we aren't trading a future first and pick 37 for pick 19, we're trading it for player XYZ who we want. It will depend on the quality of that specific player (and needs, team timelines, etc) as to whether the trade makes sense or not. If you're just looking at it mathematically (future pick 18 + 37 > pick 19) then it won't make sense .... except that the players themselves aren't draft picks, they're unique individuals. I'd happily trade one of our future first round picks for a player we really want. We will at least be guaranteed of selecting a player we really want, rather than just the possibility of doing so next year.

I never understand the theory that one draft year is worth holding out for. Is the difference really going to mean that a pick 5 this year would only be a pick 20 next year? I seriously doubt it. The most rewarding thing for a young player with talent is being in a highly professional system for a year. Get ‘em in. Show ‘em how it’s done. See what they can do. A bird in the hand and all that.

At least we’re not going to die wondering

Not a fan of this move this year. Next year is supposedly a super draft, and we’d be trading a pick that will be anywhere from pick 10-18 in that draft for pick 19 in a weaker draft. Usually a fan of trading forward as we’ve done previously as it enables you to get a year of development into a youngster. Not this draft period though.

this discussion underscores how badly we were dudded in the LJ trade. There's a gulf between pick three and thirteen

twomey just said on road to the draft live that we've packaged up both next years 1st rounders along with another selection or two and gone at NM/Ess/GCS's 3,4,or 5 this year which is interesting

The other scenario is if you think the player/s you rate at 19 is vastly better than the one you think will be available at 37. If we have players that we rate as being worthy of pick 13 and think that one/some of them will be available at 19, then we will effectively be trading for another pick 13. And, of course, some players are far more valuable for some teams that they will be for others. What do you think the likelihood of Freo selecting a ruckman or Carlton selecting a key forward with a first round pick? Conversely, imagine that scenario with Freo picking the tall forward and Carlton picking the ruckman? There will be some players that complement our playing group better than others, so we will rate them higher than others. There's certainly an element of guesswork about what players will be available. Part of trading up is to remove a lot of that guesswork and you will pay a premium to remove that risk. We're lucky that we have a lot of good players and we can really focus our recruiting on getting a few quality players rather than needing to take as many picks as we can to get talent into the club. That means that the premium to target specific players is worth more to us than it will most other teams.

I cannot believe the negativity on this site regarding M.J The "nice hands , nice kick" is a bloody briliant start if you ask me. In fact he has a great leap and clunks marks in contested situations, something Sam Weideman hardly ever did. He is Brave and will back into a pack. He is a very accurate kick for goal. He can conjure something from nothing, and he can find space where there should not be any. Other than that he wants to learn and will listen to his coaches. He will put on some weight and strength in the next few seasons. Is that enough?? I think it is. To turn this convo around, if we dont take him and he turns out to be a GUN, I will for one be on the warpath, so will a few other posters around here and the Footy Dept will RUE a lost chance. And before anyone asks if I have seen him play live, The answer is yes.

How can you say such a thing when we haven't even selected a player with any pick received from the LJ trade? Nobody has any idea how it'll turn out. Even if we end up staying at pick 13, you've got no idea who that player will be. Or what we'll have in store for next year's draft. Talk about gun jumping. LJ could do his knee next year for all we know. There's no point worrying about this so early on. It's draft picks at this stage lol!?

Food for thought??? And I haven't even eaten at Uncle's, All night diner, which contains some interesting items!

I was looking forward to death riding Freo's pick

Get in front of Geelong, steal the player they want.

love this targeting a high end mid would seem to be the clear priority, which i 100% agree with get it done, tim lamb

Yarrawonga kid from where I grew up. Know Caleb and his family real well. High work rate running machine who is a rangey wingman similar to Isaac Smith. Left footer who can kick the footy fairly well when on the run, but generally uses the footy well. His running power really is what sets him apart from others and its very impressive for a kid his age that was getting huge GPS numbers. He played senior footy for Yarrawonga this year in the strong Ovens and Murray league and even played off in the grand final against a Ben Reid coached Wangaratta Magpies who are one of the powerhouse sides of the competition. I watched him on the day and he didn't get overawed by the big occasion once. He kicked a crucial goal during the match that nearly dragged Yarra over the line and even took a pretty courageous hit as well. So just shows that he's ready for senior footy in my opinion. I try to not say too much on players/kids that I know from a personal level just because of not wanting to sound too bias so I try to stay out of these kind of discussions. James Jordon being another. Obviously I'd be wrapt to have him at the dees, but with Hunter coming in and Howes and Woewodin already developing away as potential wingman then im sure he's a bigger need for us more so then a key forward perhaps. Either way, I'll be stoked for when he gets drafted either way.

Blasphemous. There is no Oliver mk2. AFAIC, the universe [censored] up by even allowing Oliver 1.0 to exist.

Dont think of it that way. Think of it as an upgrade from Jackson to Grundy which it is. Maybe longer term we lose out IF Jacko goes on to become a gun. But on form this year we have done very well.

North will keep 2 and 3. So that likely is not happening. It’s someone else.

No point lamenting what has past (we were always going to come out of that trade the loser) - we need to optimize what hand we have now

Whilst it included pick 3, the report also said 4 and 5. Logic (as well as what I’ve heard) says that we wouldn’t attempt to trade up for guys that North have already picked.

Sheezel would be a dream

Agree. and it can mean many things. Often a strong draft is referred to by recruiters as solid talent extending into the 30's rather than tapering off at the teens. Every draft there are guns. Going all-in for targeted players that we want is fine by me. has worked so far. Most other teams are late to the party when it comes to aggressive pick trading

That would be a totally dumb idea for a club that has tied itself up in knots in recent years trying to game the system. As good as Jake Bowey was in 2021, let's not forget that Bailey Laurie was the other outcome from our pissfarting around in 2020. Laurie is a long way from a pick 22 at this point, and effectively cost us a first round pick in this year's draft. We have a strong hand in a strong 2023 draft. I'll be very disappointed if we don't keep all of those 2023 picks.

Yeah, the lions were training there last night for the first time I believe. I really hope we [censored] them.

It would be poor planning to trade for the pick just to see what we can trade it to someone else for. Gws surely won’t trade it hastily on the first night when they have time overnight to field offers. Would suggest a future 1st and 37 for 19 and a return future 2nd is fairly equitable, whether that tickles gws the right way is the unknown. Sliding back from pick 16-19ish (pretty sure Gold Coast academy players are good enough to get bids early) to mid to late 20’s isn’t that severe a drop personally, I think lachie Cowan is a potentially great half back driver and will be available at 19. (every time I try think what we need I remember we have a Gus Brayshaw that plays so well everywhere. Great list build already)

It looks like we may not even see the oval before the game: Melbourne midfielder Maddison Gay said the Demons weren’t worried about only accessing the ground on game day...It would be nice even to just see the ground but if not, that’s OK as well...We’ve played home and away games and not been on the field before the game day anyway so it won’t be too different.” aflw-grand-final Gay towing the company line nicely but not too convincingly🙄 I thought I read somewhere that Lions will be training there this week. Can anyone clarify? Surely, both teams should be given equal access. I have been accepting of Springfield because the Lions won the right. However, if they train on it and we don't I will be really cranky about it. It is within the AFLW's power to ensure equal access to both teams. Hopefully, our leaders are pushing for this.

Our team will share the votes, so not much chance of us having the winner. Like this though:

Whilst I agree with the sentiment, I can't agree. It will be utterly devastating when he leaves. The most raw talented player we've had at the club since Jurrah - and he has the work ethic, defense first, team ethos, star power, looks and aggression to boot. Not to mention an extremely rare combination of endurance and speed. Higher output than any small forward in the game and still underrated outside Melbourne fans. Despite all that, you'd be looking at Rankine's trade as the absolute ceiling of what we could get - but we won't. Personally I wouldn't trade him for 2 firsts. Anyway back on topic - believe the player will be Ginbey. Oliver mk2.

The women are on Gosch's now. Tayla has goal kicking practice. I'm just in time for the simulations. They have the cones parallel with the 50 square, forcing them to take the central corridor. Those going to the W awards have split off. The rest separate into their lines. Forwards goal kicking, mids practicing stoppages and defenders are one on one marking. One of the volunteers tell me they are flying up Saturday.

reminds me of what i say to my brother and his wife I think you could both do better 😂

If Goody was spotted heading up the coast recently, like he was, something is going on.

The extra pick he speaks of is 37. We’ll take 13.

Correct.

Wardlaw and Sheezel is my pick in who we'd be trying to nab.

I've got absolutely no idea this year! haha I've gradually faded out from watching the draft as we've gotten better as a team. The only goss I heard is that we were keen to get more under 22 year olds on board I believe to improve the quality of that next gen but also balance out some of the contracts we've done and are yet to do.

Yep we got to trust the back room people in that they know allot more than us mere supporters. Must have something in mind and if it doesn't work out then we still go into next years draft with a pretty good hand.

Why would a team trade pick 4 for two future picks likely to be around 14 and 16? I guess we must be throwing in a 2nd rounder I back the recruiters. They would know how good a pick 6 would be in their view.

Suspect it would be for Ginbey.

If we used everything we got for Jackson, to get a GUN, I would be happy to do it

I think it could be the Essendon pick. They have been the ones most open to a trade the whole time.

The guessing games begin as to who we are chasing in the top 5/6!! The following players are consistently mentioned in the top 6 in the main Phantom drafts. Ashcroft Wardlaw Cadman Sheezel Tsatas We sure aren't chasing a tall KPD in a move up to 3, 4, or 5. Unless of course there is a late Oliver type bolter!! With the exception of Cadman the top 10 in Twomey's phantom draft are midfielders between 180cm and 190cm and nearly all are Victorians. If nothing else it certainly rattles the cage of all those thinking the top 10 club selecions were pretty well set.

New video up on AFL site with Elijah Hewett. Seems a level headed, confident and ambitious young bloke. Looks like he has all the tools to be a gun mid/forward type. If he isn't a flight risk, then he looks the best option at 13 if he's there IMO. Class of 2022: From baseball to the AFL, explosive mid a hot draft prospect.

When you’re looking to trade in or up the draft you always pay overs so future first and 37 seems about right. We are only using one pick this year anyways. The fact that we are willing to trade out a future pick for 19 says to me that we do rate this draft as we clearly think there will be a quality player or players still available at that pick. JT often sees things a bit different to other recruiters and pundits and if he thinks there will be a good player for us at 19 then I’ll be stoked if we make the move and get someone in a year early as we have in previous years.

Our two F1 are most likely to be in the 14 - 18 range. Doubt GWS will accept just a F1 for pick #19. They will want something else which could be a F2 depending on which of our two F1 is offered and what other clubs are offering. Unless they get an 'offer they can't refuse' GWS will hold on to #19 until the first round of the draft is over when they will have all night and next day to negotiate the best deal. So doubt there will be any news before the first round of the draft is over. As an aside, draft pick swaps are closed until the start of the draft itself. Lots of wheeling and dealing in the meantime...

Corey Ellison has definitely nominated ~ Every nominated player for the 2022 AFL Draft revealed

Yep. Tried and missed out. Gil as the CEO is at fault here but like all good people in power/politicians you don't here from them when the poo hits the fan. Bit like the Premier up here in Qld. Gets out in front of cameras when a good news story is to be said but goes into hiding when it gets tough. Let's hope our girls get going not like the powers to be when it get's tough. By the way where is the Women's CEO. Livingston or somebody like that I presume. Got no idea about footy. That's it for me on the ranting. Enough said and nothing will change those idiots at AFL HQ. Just do it Ladies and give the Lions a horrible hiding in the heat up here on Sunday.

Its difficult to project with U18s let alone key forward prospects. Last year Lemmey and Scully were the talk of the town and they look to be late draft/rookie prospects currently, while Cadman wasn't initially part of the AIS squad and was playing most of his footy on the wing. As it stands Archer Reid (201cm) and Nate Caddy (190cm but allegedly grown past that) are the two front runners that will be in the open pool. Jed Walters (194cm) played some solid footy this year and was the only one of two bottom agers to make the AA team, the other being Harley Reid. However he is part of Gold Coasts academy.

If we have identified a player we want and we can trade up for him, do it.

If Sydney are interested with George. There is a strong possibility we will take George at 13. Initially, I would love to get Hewett. But now, I believe we have our hearts set on George, as we are hoping to get pick 19 as well. This is becoming a real game of chess now.