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beelzebub Legend

beelzebub   23,200

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

And I also think the TAB are high with installing us $1.65 favorites to beat the hottest side in the league next week.

I noted that... obviously numbers are back to front ?

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Mazer Rackham Trident

Mazer Rackham   14,971

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

And I also think the TAB are high with installing us $1.65 favorites to beat the hottest side in the league next week.

The odds don't reflect the probabilities. It's just the TAB protecting themselves from plunges made by Demons fans pushed to the edge of sanity

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Superunknown Redleg

Superunknown   4,069

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

It's actually 4 games which makes it seriously unlikely we'll be limping into finals with 12 wins.

1. Richmond beating Essendon

2. Collingwood beating Port

3. Adelaide beating North

4. Essendon beating Port.

 

I can see all 4 of those falling out way. First 3 pretty likely, last one iffy.

Then again, in typical Melbourne style, the Bombers will beat the Tigers kicking off Leg 1 of the Circus Melbourne show, no doubt.

Melbournepalooza

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ManDee Trident

ManDee   7,124

Posted
Posted
58 minutes ago, Mazer Rackham said:

It's becoming glaringly obvious that it will come down to us having to beat GWS by 35 points to make it. We will then win by 30 points with a behind after the siren, having led by 66 points during the 3rd quarter

I hate it when someone says what I am secretly thinking.

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Bring-Back-Powell Legend

Bring-Back-Powell   14,387

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Mazer Rackham said:

It's becoming glaringly obvious that it will come down to us having to beat GWS by 35 points to make it. We will then win by 30 points with a behind after the siren, having led by 66 points during the 3rd quarter

And it will be JFK of all players that will be responsible for that behind. Can see it now.

I'm assuming you're accounting for Geelong beating Gold Coast by 160 points and Port winning both games. I am.

Edited by Bring-Back-Powell
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Mazer Rackham Trident

Mazer Rackham   14,971

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

And it will be JFK of all players that will be responsible for that behind. Can see it now.

From the goal square

18 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

I'm assuming you're accounting for Geelong beating Gold Coast by 160 points and Port winning both games. I am.

Why not? Why save all the fun of round 23 miss-the-finals calamities to ourselves.

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Bring-Back-Powell Legend

Bring-Back-Powell   14,387

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

It's actually 4 games which makes it seriously unlikely we'll be limping into finals with 12 wins.

1. Richmond beating Essendon

2. Collingwood beating Port

3. Adelaide beating North

4. Essendon beating Port.

 

Richmond missing Cotchin, Prestia, Astbury, Butler and Lambert.

Looks like the first leg won't even stand up.

Though Richmond supporters will claim they finally have injuries...(in a dead rubber game for them)

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Little Goffy Trident

Little Goffy   14,031

Posted
Posted

The real comedy for me is that there is the possibility of missing finals by the smallest margin of percentage ever in 2017, and then improving our percentage dramtically with the same number of wins, but still missing finals. Oooh, a draw (of no value at all given our percentage) would just make it true poetry.

No. I can't accept it. We will win a game. We just will.

 

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bandicoot Redleg

bandicoot   1,395

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Mazer Rackham said:

It's becoming glaringly obvious that it will come down to us having to beat GWS by 35 points to make it. We will then win by 30 points with a behind after the siren, having led by 66 points during the 3rd quarter

How will our % come in to the equation. At this stage 13 wins and a % of over 115% is a certainty 

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SFebes Redleg

SFebes   4,860

Posted
Posted
Just now, La Dee-vina Comedia said:

Of course, if we do beat the Eagles, there will be claims that the Eagles tanked deliberately to keep us in the finals race on the basis of the common belief that we couldn't actually beat another team in the 8 if that team was actually trying.

Nah it will be they had their 3 best players out, Gaff, KittyKat and Kennedy.

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Demonland Legend

Demonland   70,314

Posted
Posted
46 minutes ago, bandicoot said:

How will our % come in to the equation. At this stage 13 wins and a % of over 115% is a certainty 

If port and Geelong win both games we are competing with Geelong's %.

A 20 point win in either of our game and a 20 point loss in either of our games and then Geelong winning by 80 and 100 has us missing by .2%

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Bring-Back-Powell Legend

Bring-Back-Powell   14,387

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Demonland said:

If port and Geelong win both games we are competing with Geelong's %.

A 20 point win in either of our game and a 20 point loss in either of our games and then Geelong winning by 80 and 100 has us missing by .2%

Geelong will get us on %.

I can't see them losing to GC by less than 130 and Freo by 50.

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Leoncelli_36 Redleg

Leoncelli_36   2,264

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

Geelong will get us on %.

I can't see them losing to GC by less than 130 and Freo by 50.

Geelong will get Port on % not us. Means we'd finish 8th and they'd finish 7th if you are thinking they roll GC by 130. I am not sure I follow the argument. If we win one match and Essendon win both, their percentage is not about to jump 20 percent ... one of port or essendon lose the last match. so if it is Port, assuming they lose this week, it is their spot that is up for grabs. 

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SFebes Redleg

SFebes   4,860

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Demonland said:

If port and Geelong win both games we are competing with Geelong's %.

A 20 point win in either of our game and a 20 point loss in either of our games and then Geelong winning by 80 and 100 has us missing by .2%

Port won't beat Collingwood and we will beat WCE, relaaaaaxxx :lol:

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Fork 'em Redleg

Fork 'em   6,940

Posted
Posted

Most of the journos don't bother watching our games but they'll look at our stats before pumping us up in their clueless articles.

But we've made humiliating capitulations an artform over the years so I'm expecting more of the same.
 
 

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Pates Trident

Pates   9,625

Posted
Posted

I’ve been trying hard not to take much notice of the competition and just focus on us but I finally succumbed and checked out the ladder with the other teams we’re fighting for spots with. 

Geelong won’t lose to both Freo and GC at home and I feel it’s very unlikely Port will lose to Essendon at home particularly if they need to win to keep playing finals therefor it’s simple. We have to win one of these games. 

I don’t care what our final position is, I just want us to get one of these scalps to get into the finals. 

Just do it Dees, finally stand up and play do it for your long suffering fans. 

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praha Legend

praha   11,125

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Pates said:

I’ve been trying hard not to take much notice of the competition and just focus on us but I finally succumbed and checked out the ladder with the other teams we’re fighting for spots with. 

Geelong won’t lose to both Freo and GC at home and I feel it’s very unlikely Port will lose to Essendon at home particularly if they need to win to keep playing finals therefor it’s simple. We have to win one of these games. 

I don’t care what our final position is, I just want us to get one of these scalps to get into the finals. 

Just do it Dees, finally stand up and play do it for your long suffering fans. 

Just imagine if, in round 23, our 160th celebration and "Members Appreciation round", during which we will be wearing a guernsey with members names on it, we lose against GWS, after losing to WC, and miss finals.

Not sure who is in charge in their PR department, nor who is there to assess brand risk, but it was a terrible oversight to schedule that initiative in for round 23.

Our onfield capitulations are one thing. Sometimes I am rather astonished at how dense the club's marketing and media department can be. (for the record though I think they do a wonderful job most of the time, but this was a bad idea).

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ProperDee Mighty Demon

ProperDee   1,698

Posted
Posted

Who gives a flying fork what might happen?  Just support your team and stop speculating. Regardless of what you say, do or think, it’s out of your control. What happens, happens. Enjoy the ride. 

Fair dinkum, some of you blokes must still sleep with the light on. 

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