Dr. Gonzo 24,468 Posted February 14, 2022 Posted February 14, 2022 3 hours ago, picket fence said: We have the following who in my book are elite CLARRY MAX TRACC MAY LEVER SALEM LANGDON FRITSCH Thats just for starters add the almosts Viney, Bowey,BBB, Kossy, Gus theres 13 straight up who would walk into ANY side then add Rivers, Sparrow to the mix and whadaya know, there's a premiership team right there! Champion data, ?? Full of flaws! Agree PF - Kozzie with 40 goals for a small forward isn't elite? never mind his tackling pressure Quote
dees189227 12,509 Posted February 14, 2022 Posted February 14, 2022 Give me Max over Nic Nat or Grundy any day, also what a joke stringer is there 1 1 Quote
DeeSpencer 26,670 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Dr. Gonzo said: Salem's exclusion doesn't make sense in this context though Salem’s one of my all time favourite players but his ball use is far more focussed on efficiency (especially under heavy pressure) than it is damage. Overall his kicking is overrated and all the other aspects of his game underrated. His defensive efforts, contested ball, tackling etc are exceptional and separate him from other half back flankers far more than his kicking does. 1 Quote
La Dee-vina Comedia 17,136 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 (edited) This analysis by Champion Data is essential...if you're picking a team for Supercoach. It's probably mildly useful if you're interested in a flutter on the Brownlow (although how Jack Steele isn't said to be elite is beyond my understanding). But it is comprehensively useless if you're trying to identify a Premiership team. That's because Champion Data emphasises individualism rather than the team. Best example is Max Gawn. He's probably not "elite" because he shares duties with Luke Jackson so his statistical influence is diminished. I suspect, however, if there was a Champion Data category for "ruck combination", they'd be off the charts with daylight between them and the next combination. Edited February 15, 2022 by La Dee-vina Comedia 1 Quote
Sir Why You Little 37,454 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 (edited) Steven May is not an Elite Defender. Brodie Grundy is an Elite Ruckmen, Max isn’t Salem in September? I mean that’s when it really counts Jackson, L. (6) Did you notice his work? K.K. Pickett?? footscray [censored] the bed under pressure apart from Treloar and Bontempelli Caleb Daniel had a Performance in the GF he would rather forget Champion Data are not well…Sick… Edited February 15, 2022 by Sir Why You Little 2 Quote
Pates 9,697 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 Further proof that statistics can lie, I mean how can a team that has seven “elite” players get absolutely destroyed by a team with only three. One answer is the the statistics themselves are simply flawed, as they only give a data representation of the players impact. But you look at Max’s game vs Geelong and tell me he’s not elite. The other answer is that the system we have is elite, even if the players are only average. 1 Quote
Watson11 2,252 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 Champion data need to look at stats that make a difference and give them a much, much higher weighting. Disposals and disposal efficiency are stupid measures for the modern game, as chip chip teams like West Coast etc and chip-chip players skew the results. I think Score Involvements should be the highest weighting no matter where you play. All the other stats mean nothing if after you touch the ball your team never scores from the chain. The other important stat for ruck and mid defenders is intercepts, as when your team doesn't have the ball stopping your opponent scoring is kind of important (not according to champion data though). Score involvements and intercepts for max versus the "elite" rucks are below. Max clearly is elite at both offense (ranked 2nd) and defence (ranked 1st by a long way). Nic Nat is clearly a liability at defence (in fact of all AFL rucks he is ranked 35th for intercept marks). Sean Darcy is becoming a gun but still miles behind Max. Sean Darcy - 6.00 and 2.67 per game Max Gawn - 5.48 and 3.56 per game Nic Nat - 5.32 and 1.55 per game Hickey - 4.62 and 2.90 per game Grundy - 4.65 and 2.7 per game For mid size defenders, here are the stats for Salem versus the elite defenders. Salem ranks 1st for intercepts and 4th for score involvements but all the others rank elite and he ranks average. Makes no sense. Salem 3.92 and 6.08 Saad 3.73 and 5.95 Rich 3.88 and 5.92 Hind 4.45 and 5.64 Dale 4.08 and 5.23 Williams 3.64 and 5.21 Daniel 4.08 and 4.48 2 Quote
Demon17 5,261 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 17 hours ago, Elwood 3184 said: Hickey and Naitanui are elite and Max isn’t - well, well. I must have been dreaming during 2021. My thoughts execactly. Yes Dorothy - it was all a dream. Gawd help the Competion when Max becomes elite this year. Salem not mentioned - sheeesh! Quote
dieter 3,325 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 13 hours ago, faultydet said: I reckon many (like me) would have got a bit shirty and indignant when they first read that, but it's nothing more than a glowing endorsement of the team first ethic instilled in the group by our "under siege/gambler/alco" 🙄 coach and his team. Max played the best 2 games of his life to help us finish number 1, and to humiliate the Cats on the second biggest stage of all. Angus would be a midfield star at 17 other clubs - yeah Bulldogs, I'm even looking at you- but we see him getting 15 possies a game while running his guts out to remain OUTSIDE the play, because that is where the team can get the biggest benefit from his work. Champion data. yeah ok. Proof of your pudding is that Hawthorn have 4, Port Adelaide 6, and many teams like Essendon have the same number as the Demons. And look at the Grand Final Scoreboard and tell me how many of the elite Doggies got a sniff that day. 1 Quote
Demon17 5,261 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 4 hours ago, Jaded No More said: Hawthorn having more elite players than the premiers says it all. The key disconnect simply put Jaded. Champion Data's algoritms are flawed, depending what you are looking for. This list is interesting but the exceptions highlight it's uselessness. I guess someone is paying them to produce this but I have no idea why and would wonder who is the client that uses this info and for what purpose. I assume they will produce a list based on team performanace eventually pre-season which will be of interest. 1 Quote
TRACATTACK 232 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 5 hours ago, picket fence said: We have the following who in my book are elite CLARRY MAX TRACC MAY LEVER SALEM LANGDON FRITSCH Thats just for starters add the almosts Viney, Bowey,BBB, Kossy, Gus theres 13 straight up who would walk into ANY side then add Rivers, Sparrow to the mix and whadaya know, there's a premiership team right there! Champion data, ?? Full of flaws! I agree with all those names. I would also say that Viney's final series in the engine room was totally Elite and A grade. I also think like you Mr. Fence that there are a number of them knocking on the door who could easily become Elite this season. Kossy , Sparrow and Bowey are the front runners imo. I wouldn't count out LJ making the transition either. Whatever way you slice it we now have a very talented and deep list who now know how to win on the big stage. I believe the club has now been set up for a sustained period of success because of the incredibly astute drafting by Jason Taylor and his team. They have turned "trading up in the draft into an art form. 3 Quote
FlashInThePan 1,893 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 There is a lot of interesting data in here. The most obvious problem has been pointed out by a number of people. Champion Data have some work to do on their modelling. These ratings look very much like they aggregate some arbitrary stats (someone’s best guess at what constitutes elite) along with some weighting. I’m sure it is more sophisticated than that but it clearly doesn’t stack up against reality. Most data scientists would call this a starting point and establish some base truths about the status of players over a number of years to assess their key stats and train their model against. I’m not worried by these ratings, they are obviously extremely suspect and really only useful for click bait and generating heated discussion (as evidenced by this thread it is very successful 😊 ). What does worry me is the immaturity of the data science underlying this. I am hoping this is just the low grade rubbish that they give to the non-paying general public and not what clubs are using. 1 Quote
Wrecker46 3,130 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, FlashInThePan said: There is a lot of interesting data in here. The most obvious problem has been pointed out by a number of people. Champion Data have some work to do on their modelling. These ratings look very much like they aggregate some arbitrary stats (someone’s best guess at what constitutes elite) along with some weighting. I’m sure it is more sophisticated than that but it clearly doesn’t stack up against reality. Most data scientists would call this a starting point and establish some base truths about the status of players over a number of years to assess their key stats and train their model against. 😊I am hoping this is just the low grade rubbish that they give to the non-paying general public and not what clubs are using. Base data is important but you would hope the Dees have their own sophisticated data they use for analysis. I have a mate who is a professional punter and he uses all the publicly available information but has some of his own inputs that are not publicly available which gives him an edge. Quote
YesitwasaWin4theAges 6,819 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 18 hours ago, Clintosaurus said: Zac Williams - the defender who does not defend? OK. Of course Western have half their list. Flag > being elite Zac Williams- General Defender of nothing 😂 Quote
YesitwasaWin4theAges 6,819 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 (edited) How can Gawn, Fritta, Salem, Langers and Maysie not be Elite??? 🤷♂️ It purely can't be a Numbers thing surely? What ever formula they have derived to deliver these outcomes they are completely flawed. They are Elite players in their positions in the comp blind Freddy can see this. Champion Data not what it use to be. Edited February 15, 2022 by YesitwasaWin4theAges Quote
YesitwasaWin4theAges 6,819 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Watson11 said: Champion data need to look at stats that make a difference and give them a much, much higher weighting. Disposals and disposal efficiency are stupid measures for the modern game, as chip chip teams like West Coast etc and chip-chip players skew the results. I think Score Involvements should be the highest weighting no matter where you play. All the other stats mean nothing if after you touch the ball your team never scores from the chain. The other important stat for ruck and mid defenders is intercepts, as when your team doesn't have the ball stopping your opponent scoring is kind of important (not according to champion data though). Score involvements and intercepts for max versus the "elite" rucks are below. Max clearly is elite at both offense (ranked 2nd) and defence (ranked 1st by a long way). Nic Nat is clearly a liability at defence (in fact of all AFL rucks he is ranked 35th for intercept marks). Sean Darcy is becoming a gun but still miles behind Max. Sean Darcy - 6.00 and 2.67 per game Max Gawn - 5.48 and 3.56 per game Nic Nat - 5.32 and 1.55 per game Hickey - 4.62 and 2.90 per game Grundy - 4.65 and 2.7 per game For mid size defenders, here are the stats for Salem versus the elite defenders. Salem ranks 1st for intercepts and 4th for score involvements but all the others rank elite and he ranks average. Makes no sense. Salem 3.92 and 6.08 Saad 3.73 and 5.95 Rich 3.88 and 5.92 Hind 4.45 and 5.64 Dale 4.08 and 5.23 Williams 3.64 and 5.21 Daniel 4.08 and 4.48 When i heard Nic Nat and no Gawny i knew it was flawed, the lump doesn't even move out of the center square, doesn't take marks etc. Completely Ridiculous. 2 Quote
The Chief 697 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 Great to see Sam Switkowski recognised, though I acknowledge it’s a bit premature. Just needs a season with out any major injuries and he’ll surprise plenty with his exceptional talent. Quote
Mr Steve 3,820 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 Ive read some crap over the years but this article wins the WTF of the year award. Elite players don't go missing every time the heat is turned up. Of course Elite players also don't need to be told their Elite. Quote
mauriesy 7,444 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 2 hours ago, Sir Why You Little said: Brodie Grundy is an Elite Ruckmen, Max isn’t Best Hitout Differential (Win Rate) Max Gawn +38.3% Sam Reid +36.3% Paddy Ryder +35.0% Brodie Grundy +34.4% Nic Naitanui +30.2% Total Hit-outs 2021 1 Max Gawn Demons 25 30 v Western Bulldogs, Grand Final 803 2 Nicholas Naitanui Eagles 22 53 v Brisbane, Round 23 684 3 Oscar McInerney Lions 23 40 v Western Bulldogs, Semi Final 671 4 Todd Goldstein Kangaroos 22 41 v Adelaide, Round 23 652 5 Brodie Grundy Magpies 20 23 v Essendon, Round 23 648 6 Sean Darcy Dockers 21 16 v St Kilda, Round 23 599 7 Reilly O'Brien Crows 20 28 v Port Adelaide, Round 21 588 8 Scott Lycett Power 20 26 v Western Bulldogs, Preliminary Final 519 9 Tom Hickey Swans 21 33 v GWS, Elimination Final 504 10 Rhys Stanley Cats 19 26 v Melbourne, Preliminary Final 391 Quote
Vipercrunch 2,863 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 Back to the drawing board for these guys if they want to become relevant. Quote
Sir Why You Little 37,454 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 11 minutes ago, mauriesy said: Best Hitout Differential (Win Rate) Max Gawn +38.3% Sam Reid +36.3% Paddy Ryder +35.0% Brodie Grundy +34.4% Nic Naitanui +30.2% Total Hit-outs 2021 1 Max Gawn Demons 25 30 v Western Bulldogs, Grand Final 803 2 Nicholas Naitanui Eagles 22 53 v Brisbane, Round 23 684 3 Oscar McInerney Lions 23 40 v Western Bulldogs, Semi Final 671 4 Todd Goldstein Kangaroos 22 41 v Adelaide, Round 23 652 5 Brodie Grundy Magpies 20 23 v Essendon, Round 23 648 6 Sean Darcy Dockers 21 16 v St Kilda, Round 23 599 7 Reilly O'Brien Crows 20 28 v Port Adelaide, Round 21 588 8 Scott Lycett Power 20 26 v Western Bulldogs, Preliminary Final 519 9 Tom Hickey Swans 21 33 v GWS, Elimination Final 504 10 Rhys Stanley Cats 19 26 v Melbourne, Preliminary Final 391 Champion Data are a joke Pack it up boys Quote
Fritta and Turner 4,696 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 On the risible assumption that champion data is an accurate assessment of football talent lets us examine the following ancient conundrum. Which is more important : The talent of your top 6 players (elite skill) vs the talent of your bottom 6 players (depth). If one examines the MFC vs Bulldogs it is clearly depth. Note : the analysis may be skewed by the Bulldogs having a surfeit of baileys. Quote
BDA 23,048 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 Carlton fans will be very surprised to hear they have 3 elite defenders on their team And as for Nic Nat. i don't understand the fawning. His fitness levels are appalling for a so called professional. Imagine what kind of player he could be if he was bothered to build a tank like Maxy has 1 Quote
chook fowler 19,772 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 Champion data produce excrement. Salem, Gawn and Fritter are elite, as evidenced by their performance in the final series and Max in that last game against Geelong that got us the minor premiership. Part of being elite is the ability to perform in a final series and big games and those 3 were magnificent in that environment. They probably don't include finals in their calculations and if not, that is a major deficiency. Quote
Mazer Rackham 14,972 Posted February 15, 2022 Posted February 15, 2022 10 minutes ago, BDA said: Carlton fans will be very surprised to hear they have 3 elite defenders on their team CFC 2021: 1972 points against. 500 more than the top 3 teams. Only one team gave away more - the wooden spooners. 3 hours ago, Sir Why You Little said: Brodie Grundy is an Elite Ruckmen "Make Grundy elite." "But boss, the numbers don't--" "I said, make him elite." "Well, I'll try, but no matter how I put different weightings on things ..." "I had Darren Millane's poster on my wall as a kid. And Nathan Buckley's as an adult. Grundy's elite. Make him elite or you'll be doing the stats for synchronised swimming." "Yes boss." 2 Quote
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