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Can we still make the 8?

jumbo returns
in Melbourne Demons

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7 hours ago, jumbo returns said:

Did that fantasy ladder thingo and had us just in the 8 by R21

Dont ask me what I chose, I got bored very quickly

So, posters, thoughts?

I reckon we're a chance

As Winny once said “success consists of going from defeat to defeat without a loss of enthusiasm “...

So you’re doing well Jumbo. ?

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    No we can’t and no we do not deserve to be.. poor skills will continue to plague the list until we change personnel 

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    Hmm.. let's see... how much longer before it becomes a mathematical impossibility, even allowing for crazed gains in percentage?

    Current situation is we need, over the course of ten games:

    +4 wins (and %) over the single worst performer of Brisbane, Fremantle and Richmond,

    AND

    +3 wins (and %) over ALL of Port, Essendon and St Kilda.

    +2 wins (and %) over ALL of Hawthorn, Kangaroos and Bulldogs.

     

    If you accept the realistic view of our percentage then you need to turn those figures into +5, +4 and +3.

     

    Does anyone need a more solid 'nope' than that?

    I do! :D I'm just going to keep saying 'one more win' to myself until the end of the season. Like the players and coaches should be, except I'll also be maintaining my mad delusion.

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    9 minutes ago, bingers said:

    Definitely bottom 4.

    Very sadly bingers  I have to agree. 

    I can only see the possibility of four wins in the second half of the year. Two are 50/50 and the others slightly better. 

    Edited by old dee

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    I only want to know where the goals are going to come from. Goals win matches don't they? Or is that too simplistic in this day and age?

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    10 minutes ago, Dame Gaga said:

    I only want to know where the goals are going to come from. Goals win matches don't they? Or is that too simplistic in this day and age?

    An excellent question to which the answer is  " I have no idea".

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    11 minutes ago, Dame Gaga said:

    I only want to know where the goals are going to come from. Goals win matches don't they? Or is that too simplistic in this day and age?

    OMac is going to kick 50 in the next 10 games

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    While our wins and losses column is very bad at 3-9, the tragic figure is percentage 76%. Last year it was 131%, so we are effectively 9 goals per game worse than last year. That is a huge gap.

    Forget the 8, let’s win more matches than we lose in the last 10 and over that period get back to a 100+ percentage!

    Get players operated on who need them and finish the season strongly and be ready for the pre season campaign.

    We will likely finish 13-18, so will get one top five and top 25 pick, and should end up with a good draw in 2020!

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    I gave up a long time ago, but im glad the club hasnt. Weather we make the 8 or not, we must win every possible match in order to play finals next year.

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    47 minutes ago, D4Life said:

    While our wins and losses column is very bad at 3-9, the tragic figure is percentage 76%. Last year it was 131%, so we are effectively 9 goals per game worse than last year. That is a huge gap.

    Forget the 8, let’s win more matches than we lose in the last 10 and over that period get back to a 100+ percentage!

    Get players operated on who need them and finish the season strongly and be ready for the pre season campaign.

    We will likely finish 13-18, so will get one top five and top 25 pick, and should end up with a good draw in 2020!

    Yes, and Hogan and kent kicked 5 between them yesterday. We have not replaced that lost ability. Contingencies should have been in place from the time Hogan looked unsettled and likely to leave.

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    As usual MFC is one step behind the pacesetters who would be going hell for leather trying to win the flag this year but also an eye on next year. It is very possible to do our best for the rest of the year trying to win every game but adjust gameplans and make calls on the likes of T Mac whether that be a stint in the VFL to get back his touch or surgery if his injury is as bad as some suspect here.

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    This is my worry....

    We need 'another this' and 'another that' - tell me, whilst all this is going on, the other clubs remain stagnant? 

     

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    6 hours ago, FireInTheBelly said:

    Don't forget that in addition to the draft order 'bonus' you also receive a favorable draw for the following year.

    Cue in rack.

    Favourable yes but we’ll most likely lose some of the Thursday/Friday night games we worked so hard to earn. Only ourselves to blame, the cycle continues....

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    11 hours ago, jumbo returns said:

    This is my worry....

    We need 'another this' and 'another that' - tell me, whilst all this is going on, the other clubs remain stagnant? 

     

    Let's not be too depressed.  Though some will doubtless improve, in the nature of things some will also go backwards.   Other clubs just have to look at us and say Richmond to see this is the case.

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    Once we lose our 10th game we can put up the shutters.!!!   

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    Not a chance in Hell....and we run the place !!

    havent looked likely to from the get go.

    May as well check the Lift reports...get ya Rossignols and Salomons out and enjoy winter the way we Demons are meant to

     

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    4 hours ago, Bombay Airconditioning said:

    Favourable yes but we’ll most likely lose some of the Thursday/Friday night games we worked so hard to earn. Only ourselves to blame, the cycle continues....

     we have almost  been the Carlton/Essendon of recent years when it comes to stinking it up in prime time spots

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    Of course we will make the 8.

    On what planet would a young, talented team on the rise coming off 2 finals wins and a Prelim miss finals the next season?  Impossible!

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    2 hours ago, Petraccattack said:

    Of course we will make the 8.

    On what planet would a young, talented team on the rise coming off 2 finals wins and a Prelim miss finals the next season?  Impossible!

    We are the “Special Needs” Club. 

    Look at The Filth last year, Backline decimated by injuries, but they make the GF and were very stiff to lose, and in 2019 where are they? after starting a week later than us, they are again well entrenched in the 8. 

    We just make up F$&@ing excuses....

    Edited by Sir Why You Little

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    Draw to round 23:  Freo, Lions, Blues, Bulldogs, Eagles, Saints, Tigers, Pies, Swans, Roos.  (Bold=In top 8).

    Ironically, this was supposed to be the 'easy' part of our draw with Freo, Lions, Blues, Bulldogs, Saints the bottom 5 on the ladder last year...

    We may improve tremendously with injured players back but so will other clubs. And each team has ladder position/coaching reasons to win/thrash opponents.  Even the Blues will be desperate to win - they want to get as close as possible to the Crows to max the value of their 1st draft pick swaps.

    How many definite wins can folks count? 

    Can't see us beating any of the top 8 teams.  Swans are back to their best.  Saints will have some of their best players back from injury as will we.  Roos are playing ferocious football and the game is at Bludstone.. 

    Obviously, we will win some games but I can't find a single definite win.  Best chances are Blues, Bulldogs, Saints.  Very outside chance of beating Lions and Roos.  We might beat one of the better teams in an upset.

    So no chance of making the 8. 

    I don't think we need to worry about putting the cue in the rack - it will be done for us.  We will be lucky to end up better than 7W, 15L and most likely in the bottom 3.?

    Edited by Lucifer's Hero

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    2 hours ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

    Draw to round 23:  Freo, Lions, Blues, Bulldogs, Eagles, Saints, Tigers, Pies, Swans, Roos.  (Bold=In top 8).

    Ironically, this was supposed to be the 'easy' part of our draw with Freo, Lions, Blues, Bulldogs, Saints the bottom 5 on the ladder last year...

    We may improve tremendously with injured players back but so will other clubs. And each team has ladder position/coaching reasons to win/thrash opponents.  Even the Blues will be desperate to win - they want to get as close as possible to the Crows to max the value of their 1st draft pick swaps.

    How many definite wins can folks count? 

    Can't see us beating any of the top 8 teams.  Swans are back to their best.  Saints will have some of their best players back from injury as will we.  Roos are playing ferocious football and the game is at Bludstone.. 

    Obviously, we will win some games but I can't find a single definite win.  Best chances are Blues, Bulldogs, Saints.  Very outside chance of beating Lions and Roos.  We might beat one of the better teams in an upset.

    So no chance of making the 8. 

    I don't think we need to worry about putting the cue in the rack - it will be done for us.  We will be lucky to end up better than 7W, 15L and most likely in the bottom 3.?

    Ok...

    I'm a no!

    Damn your cold reasoning, LF!  :)

    Edited by jumbo returns
    dunno

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    On 6/16/2019 at 11:34 AM, jumbo returns said:

    Did that fantasy ladder thingo and had us just in the 8 by R21

    Dont ask me what I chose, I got bored very quickly

    So, posters, thoughts?

    I reckon we're a chance

    About as much cHance of me winning that 75 Mill Tonight!!

    NONE 

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