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surprised at odds

gregdemon
gregdemon
in Melbourne Demons

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Posted

$1.40 dees   $3.00  swans.   Surprised  given they carved us up last year and played well last week. I hope like hell we win but I would not be taking $1.40

 

Go dees

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    crazy odds, dont they read the papers? I thought we couldn't win against a team in the 8?

    we are paying on $3.40 to win by 40pts+

    I am surprisingly confident though.  we are in good form - 3 wins out of 4 and the only loss is the geelong one

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    Yesterday had us at 3.50 to play Tigers in GF. Same same Giants and Eagles. Ahead of the rest. 

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    • Shocked 1
     

    $7 for us to miss the Top 8.  Load up on that, and if we win, then monitor other results from the weekend (if North and Geelong both win), and load up again the following weekend when we will be double figures.

    If we lose this week, we'll be in to odds-on to miss the 8.

    I see it as a form of payment for my MFCSS prescription.

     

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    • Like 2

    The odds are about right.  Swans have been poor for a while now and their midfield is slow as molasses.

    Yeah so they beat Collingwood by less than a kick on their home turf last week, when the Pies had half their best 22 missing....    was hardly a convincing  win.

    We should beat them comfortably.

     

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    • Like 1

      On 10/08/2018 at 02:34, gregdemon said:

    $1.40 dees   $3.00  swans.   Surprised  given they carved us up last year and played well last week. I hope like hell we win but I would not be taking $1.40

     

    Go dees

    Who is framing those crazy numbers?

    i love it, but i am not used to it yet!!

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    We were as low as $1.30 on Wednesday and upon the news on Max we drifted out. A lot of money came at +21.5 for the Swans yesterday. 

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      On 10/08/2018 at 03:30, hells bells said:

    The punting majority don’t suffer from MFCSS.  We are a better team than Sydney and are in better form.

    And neither do the bookies' computers. I expect setting the odds these days has very little, if any, human involvement. I assume that the computer's algorithm calculates the odds based on the flow and holding of money on each contingency and varies the odds automatically as required.

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    • Like 2

      On 10/08/2018 at 02:34, gregdemon said:

    $1.40 dees   $3.00  swans.   Surprised  given they carved us up last year and played well last week. I hope like hell we win but I would not be taking $1.40

     

    Go dees

    I thought it was just fine to see the Swannies down The Filth, last week.

    They worked really hard and every player had to give more than they normally might - walking off the ground absolutely stuffed.

    My mind went to this coming Sunday - as their notables do not train particularly hard - and yes, Buddy is just one example - they'd be cactus after quarter time against a fast-start Dees team and that is going to enable us to kick more than 100 points for the match, yet again.

    Expect umpiring delays for all bounces, throw-ins, frees to the Dees (particularly in the forward line) and heaps of awarded 50m penalties to the Swans scoring repertoire. Hope Frosty and Pedo sort a few out whilst they have the chance - the longer the game goes on.

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    • Like 2
      On 10/08/2018 at 02:42, radar said:

    Yesterday had us at 3.50 to play Tigers in GF. Same same Giants and Eagles. Ahead of the rest. 

    Crazy. 

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      On 10/08/2018 at 05:21, hells bells said:

    Personally, I reckon the Dees by 40+ are the better odds...  

     

    I agree. I think we will eith lose by a relatively small margin or win big. Semi confident (allowing for my MFCSS) of the latter

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    $1.40 to $3.00 is ridiculous.

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    Have Sydney +18.5 in my multi. Also have Hawthorn at $2.35.

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      On 10/08/2018 at 02:57, The Chazz said:

    $7 for us to miss the Top 8.  Load up on that, and if we win, then monitor other results from the weekend (if North and Geelong both win), and load up again the following weekend when we will be double figures.

    If we lose this week, we'll be in to odds-on to miss the 8.

    I see it as a form of payment for my MFCSS prescription.

     

    I've already put money on missing the 8. $7 !! crazy odds considering our history, and hard run home.

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    • Like 1

    hun tipsters were 29 : 2 for us and the 2 were the kiss-of-death and dangermouse

    sure surprised me

    Edited by daisycutter

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    I feel like the club has finally got to a point where the betting odds are no longer a "thing". It used to be the mo,net we were favourites it'd be spoken about in the media and discussed with the players and no matter how much they wanted to say "oh we don't take any notice of that" it definitely seemed to play at least a small part in their mindset. 

    The players would be dead set idiots to think we're in the box seat for this game. It's going to be tough, the Swans know what finals footy is and I'm expecting them to bring that sort of challenge. 

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    Ever the pessimist but this feels like a 50 - 50 match

     

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    • Like 3
      On 10/08/2018 at 02:57, The Chazz said:

    $7 for us to miss the Top 8.  Load up on that, and if we win, then monitor other results from the weekend (if North and Geelong both win), and load up again the following weekend when we will be double figures.

    If we lose this week, we'll be in to odds-on to miss the 8.

    I see it as a form of payment for my MFCSS prescription.

     

    Was $9 midweek, the punters must be keen.

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    •  
      On 10/08/2018 at 09:12, Supermercado said:

    Was $9 midweek, the punters must be keen.

    It's mostly Melbourne supporters. 

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    • Haha 1

    I enjoy a punt on the nags, not so much the footy. How anyone can back against their side, regardless of the odds is beyond me.

    Edited by Tough Kent

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