Jump to content

Featured Replies

Posted

$1.40 dees   $3.00  swans.   Surprised  given they carved us up last year and played well last week. I hope like hell we win but I would not be taking $1.40

 

Go dees

 

crazy odds, dont they read the papers? I thought we couldn't win against a team in the 8?

we are paying on $3.40 to win by 40pts+

I am surprisingly confident though.  we are in good form - 3 wins out of 4 and the only loss is the geelong one

Yesterday had us at 3.50 to play Tigers in GF. Same same Giants and Eagles. Ahead of the rest. 

 

$7 for us to miss the Top 8.  Load up on that, and if we win, then monitor other results from the weekend (if North and Geelong both win), and load up again the following weekend when we will be double figures.

If we lose this week, we'll be in to odds-on to miss the 8.

I see it as a form of payment for my MFCSS prescription.

 

The odds are about right.  Swans have been poor for a while now and their midfield is slow as molasses.

Yeah so they beat Collingwood by less than a kick on their home turf last week, when the Pies had half their best 22 missing....    was hardly a convincing  win.

We should beat them comfortably.

 


34 minutes ago, gregdemon said:

$1.40 dees   $3.00  swans.   Surprised  given they carved us up last year and played well last week. I hope like hell we win but I would not be taking $1.40

 

Go dees

Who is framing those crazy numbers?

i love it, but i am not used to it yet!!

We were as low as $1.30 on Wednesday and upon the news on Max we drifted out. A lot of money came at +21.5 for the Swans yesterday. 

 

The punting majority don’t suffer from MFCSS.  We are a better team than Sydney and are in better form.

1 minute ago, hells bells said:

The punting majority don’t suffer from MFCSS.  We are a better team than Sydney and are in better form.

And neither do the bookies' computers. I expect setting the odds these days has very little, if any, human involvement. I assume that the computer's algorithm calculates the odds based on the flow and holding of money on each contingency and varies the odds automatically as required.


1 hour ago, gregdemon said:

$1.40 dees   $3.00  swans.   Surprised  given they carved us up last year and played well last week. I hope like hell we win but I would not be taking $1.40

 

Go dees

I thought it was just fine to see the Swannies down The Filth, last week.

They worked really hard and every player had to give more than they normally might - walking off the ground absolutely stuffed.

My mind went to this coming Sunday - as their notables do not train particularly hard - and yes, Buddy is just one example - they'd be cactus after quarter time against a fast-start Dees team and that is going to enable us to kick more than 100 points for the match, yet again.

Expect umpiring delays for all bounces, throw-ins, frees to the Dees (particularly in the forward line) and heaps of awarded 50m penalties to the Swans scoring repertoire. Hope Frosty and Pedo sort a few out whilst they have the chance - the longer the game goes on.

2 hours ago, radar said:

Yesterday had us at 3.50 to play Tigers in GF. Same same Giants and Eagles. Ahead of the rest. 

Crazy. 

18 minutes ago, hells bells said:

Personally, I reckon the Dees by 40+ are the better odds...  

 

I agree. I think we will eith lose by a relatively small margin or win big. Semi confident (allowing for my MFCSS) of the latter


$1.40 to $3.00 is ridiculous.

Have Sydney +18.5 in my multi. Also have Hawthorn at $2.35.

3 hours ago, The Chazz said:

$7 for us to miss the Top 8.  Load up on that, and if we win, then monitor other results from the weekend (if North and Geelong both win), and load up again the following weekend when we will be double figures.

If we lose this week, we'll be in to odds-on to miss the 8.

I see it as a form of payment for my MFCSS prescription.

 

I've already put money on missing the 8. $7 !! crazy odds considering our history, and hard run home.

hun tipsters were 29 : 2 for us and the 2 were the kiss-of-death and dangermouse

sure surprised me

Edited by daisycutter


I feel like the club has finally got to a point where the betting odds are no longer a "thing". It used to be the mo,net we were favourites it'd be spoken about in the media and discussed with the players and no matter how much they wanted to say "oh we don't take any notice of that" it definitely seemed to play at least a small part in their mindset. 

The players would be dead set idiots to think we're in the box seat for this game. It's going to be tough, the Swans know what finals footy is and I'm expecting them to bring that sort of challenge. 

Ever the pessimist but this feels like a 50 - 50 match

 

6 hours ago, The Chazz said:

$7 for us to miss the Top 8.  Load up on that, and if we win, then monitor other results from the weekend (if North and Geelong both win), and load up again the following weekend when we will be double figures.

If we lose this week, we'll be in to odds-on to miss the 8.

I see it as a form of payment for my MFCSS prescription.

 

Was $9 midweek, the punters must be keen.

 
13 hours ago, Supermercado said:

Was $9 midweek, the punters must be keen.

It's mostly Melbourne supporters. 

I enjoy a punt on the nags, not so much the footy. How anyone can back against their side, regardless of the odds is beyond me.

Edited by Tough Kent


Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

Featured Content

  • PREVIEW: Essendon

    As the focus of the AFL moves exclusively to South Australia for Gather Round, the question is raised as to what are we going to get from the  Melbourne Football Club this weekend? Will it be a repeat of the slop fest of the last three weeks that have seen the team score a measly 174 points and concede 310 or will a return to the City of Churches and the scene where they performed at their best in 2024 act as a wakeup call and bring them out of their early season reverie?  Or will the sleepy Dees treat their fans to a reenactment of their lazy effort from the first Gather Round of two years ago when they allowed the Bombers to trample all over them on a soggy and wet Adelaide Oval? The two examples from above tell us how fickle form can be in football. Last year, a committed group of players turned up in Adelaide with a businesslike mindset. They had a plan, went in confidently and hard for the football and kicked winning scores against both home teams in a difficult environment for visitors. And they repeated that sort of effort later in the season when they played Essendon at the MCG.

      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • PREGAME: Essendon

    Facing the very real and daunting prospect of starting the season with five straight losses, the Demons head to South Australia for the annual Gather Round, where they’ll take on the Bombers in search of their first win of the year. Who comes in, and who comes out?

      • Thanks
    • 436 replies
    Demonland
  • NON-MFC: Round 05

    Gather Round is here, kicking off with a Thursday night blockbuster as Adelaide faces Geelong. The Crows will be out for redemption after a controversial loss last week. Saturday starts with the Magpies taking on the Swans. Collingwood will be eager to cement their spot in the top eight, while Sydney is hot on their heels. In the Barossa Valley, two rising sides go head-to-head in a fascinating battle to prove they're the real deal. Later, Carlton and West Coast face off at Adelaide Oval, both desperate to notch their first win of the season. The action then shifts to Norwood, where the undefeated Lions will aim to keep their streak alive against the Bulldogs. Sunday’s games begin in the Barossa with Richmond up against Fremantle. In Norwood, the Saints will be looking to take a scalp when they come up against the Giants. The round concludes with a fiery rematch of last year's semi-final, as the Hawks seek revenge for their narrow loss to Port Adelaide. Who are you tipping this week and what are the best results for the Demons besides us winning?

      • Thanks
    • 115 replies
    Demonland
  • CASEY: Geelong

    There was a time in the second quarter of the game at the Cattery on Friday afternoon when the Casey Demons threatened to take the game apart against the Cats. The Demons had been well on top early but were struggling to convert their ascendancy over the ground until Tom Fullarton’s burst of three goals in the space of eight minutes on the way to a five goal haul and his best game for the club since arriving from Brisbane at the end of 2023. He was leading, marking and otherwise giving his opponents a merry dance as Casey grabbed a three goal lead in the blink of an eye. Fullarton has now kicked ten goals in Casey’s three matches and, with Melbourne’s forward conversion woes, he is definitely in with a chance to get his first game with the club in next week’s Gather Round in Adelaide. Despite the tall forward’s efforts - he finished with 19 disposals and eight marks and had four hit outs as back up to Will Verrall in the second half - it wasn’t enough as Geelong reigned in the lead through persistent attacks and eventually clawed their way to the lead early in the last and held it till they achieved the end aim of victory.

      • Like
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • REPORT: Geelong

    I was disappointed to hear Goody say at his post match presser after the team’s 39 point defeat against Geelong that "we're getting high quality entry, just poor execution" because Melbourne’s problems extend far beyond that after its 0 - 4 start to the 2025 football season. There are clearly problems with poor execution, some of which were evident well before the current season and were in play when the Demons met the Cats in early May last year and beat them in a near top-of-the-table clash that saw both sides sitting comfortably in the top four after round eight. Since that game, the Demons’ performances have been positively Third World with only five wins in 19 games with a no longer majestic midfield and a dysfunctional forward line that has become too easy for opposing coaches to counter. This is an area of their game that is currently being played out as if they were all completely panic-stricken.

      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • NON-MFC: Round 04

    Round 4 kicks off with a blockbuster on Thursday night as traditional rivals Collingwood and Carlton clash at the MCG, with the Magpies looking to assert themselves as early-season contenders and the Blues seeking their first win of the season. Saturday opens with Gold Coast hosting Adelaide, a key test for the Suns as they aim to back up their big win last week, while the Crows will be looking to keep their perfect record intact. Reigning wooden spooners Richmond have the daunting task of facing reigning premiers Brisbane at the ‘G and the Lions will be eager to reaffirm their premiership credentials after a patchy start. Saturday night sees North Melbourne take on Sydney at Marvel Stadium, with the Swans looking to build on their first win of the season last week against a rebuilding Roos outfit. Sunday’s action begins with GWS hosting West Coast at ENGIE Stadium, a game that could get ugly very early for the visitors. Port Adelaide vs St Kilda at Adelaide Oval looms as a interesting clash, with both clubs form being very hard to read. The round wraps up with Fremantle taking on the Western Bulldogs at Optus Stadium in what could be a fierce contest between two sides with top-eight ambitions. Who are you tipping this week and what are the best results for the Demons besides us winning?

      • Thanks
    • 273 replies
    Demonland