Round 22 - Around the Grounds

[deanox 8,721]

2 minutes ago, A F said:

Sydney game down. Beauty. Now we need GWS to spank Freo and aim for the top 4 (they'll be playing North next week for top 4).

IF we beat Geelong, then GWS are playing for a top 4 spot next week. 

 

Unfortunately, Kangas will also be playing for a spot in the finals and Geelong will have been playing for a top 4 spot too.

If we beat Carlton tomorrow it promises to be a thrilling round 23.

[leave it to deever 16,011]

8 minutes ago, olisik said:

Embarrasing free kick count to North. And they still going to lose LOL

Thomas was filthy when pinged.

The planets coukd be aligning

[What 18,810]

THE DREAM LIVES

[daisycutter 28,637]

>50 points now required over 3 games (avg 17 per game)

let's knock it all off tomorrow

[faultydet 7,593]

I think Carlton might be in a spot of trouble now.

[deeflog 679]

We need to be fierce tomorrow and go for a large win

[What 18,810]

6 minutes ago, FireInTheBelly said:

Flicked over to the Toiges / Saints game. Is the scoreboard broken?

Dion Prestia run for your life...  Richmond are putrid

[Mazer Rackham 14,970]

1 minute ago, daisycutter said:

>50 points now required over 3 games (avg 17 per game)

let's knock it all off tomorrow

Yes. If we beat Geelong in a close one our percentage could go DOWN.

Need to take our chance tomorrow and give CFC an absolute belting.

[Forest Demon 4,681]

That was weird so actively supporting a game not involving the Dees. And yep, the umpiring was every bit as frustrating in that last quarter in particular. 

[PaulRB 5,985]

3/4x1/3x1/2 = 12.4 % chance of finals... 

[Chook 14,602]

The fact that Geelong nearly lost to that utterly awful Richmond side (albeit not at their home ground), we should really rate ourselves against them.

[SaberFang 7,141]

34 points in an entire game for Richmond? Jesus, Prestia, back away before it's too late. Think about your sanity!

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

That non-mark decision when the Sydney player controlled the ball and it was knocked out resulting in North goal was the turning point.

Sydney were 28 points up with all the momentum at that point.

[bing181 8,188]

15 minutes ago, Jaded said:

So now we are screwed by percentage 

Well, they have lost 1%. If they lose by a goal or two next round, that'll take off another 1% or so. 

We probably need to make up most of that percentage difference against Carlton. From what I can see, if we limit them to 60 points or so, we'll need to win by 9+ goals.

Of course, GWS could thrash North, or we could thrash Geelong even if North lose a close one, but there's not much margin for error here. To have any chance, we're going to have to play at our very best for the next two games.

Edited August 20, 2016 by bing181
split infinitive

[deanox 8,721]

Actually geelong will be playing for top 2 next week. 

 

I can't believe how crazy this ladder is.  With 1 round to go the top 4 will be equal on points and the next the are equal one game behind. The top 7 can all finish in any position going into the last round (subject to percentage). Then there is daylight. Then an out of form north are place holding 8th position. 

 

Does anyone see any of the bottom 10 rising up the ladder next year except for us? St Kilda, Port and Collingwood are the only maybes but I don't think any are on the way up.  Who knows with essendon? There is a definite finals spot available for next year even if we don't make it this year. 

[What 18,810]

1 minute ago, SaberFang said:

34 points in an entire game for Richmond? Jesus, Prestia, back away before it's too late. Think about your sanity!

 

And whats really sad is that they are playing all their best players and are trying to win.  

[PaulRB 5,985]

Great result as it keep us in it and interested for the next two games... irrespective of the GWS result. 

Big character test for our boys to push through the next two games and put ourselves in the right spot if North stumble.

[Copuchas 756]

2 minutes ago, bing181 said:

Well, they have lost 1%. If they lose by a goal or two next round, that'll take off another 1% or so. 

We probably need to make most of that percentage difference up against Carlton. From what I can see, if we limit them to 60 points or so, we'll need to win by 9+ goals.

Of course, GWS could thrash North, or we could thrash Geelong even if North lose a close one, but there's not much margin for error here. To have any chance, we're going to have to play at our very best for the next two games.

it's not about absolute percentage!  It's about the net points for / points against difference between Melbourne and North.  We started today with a 59 point deficit.  It's now 50 points.  We'll see what tomorrow brings...

[Return to Glory 7,779]

1 minute ago, johndemons said:

IF GWS destroy Freo and Bris beat Geel. Geelong wont be playing for anything

If Brisbane beat Geelong I'm a chance to run the 100 metres in Tokyo.

[dino rover 625]

18 hours ago, Ethan Tremblay said:

Frawley you spud 

Chip you spud surely

[JV7 2,339]

We just need to keep Carltons score low for the best % increase... Winning 80 to 50 will be better then winning 120 to 80. There is only 2.8% separating us & north I'd say between the 3 games it'll take care of itself!

[Monocology 1,108]

12 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

Dion Prestia run for your life...  Richmond are putrid

Gold.

[Bravo Oliver, Bravo 182]

At least North have a sense of theatre

[GCDee 3,064]

13 minutes ago, Ted Fidge said:

Yes. If we beat Geelong in a close one our percentage could go DOWN.

Need to take our chance tomorrow and give CFC an absolute belting.

But assuming North lose their % would drop more than what ours would... 

Approx 51 points to make up which is only 17 points per game... 

Hopefully tomorrow we can get carlton by 30+ and then if results go our way in rd 23 the % should take care of its self

[Mazer Rackham 14,970]

4 minutes ago, Copuchas said:

it's not about absolute percentage!  It's about the net points for / points against difference between Melbourne and North.  We started today with a 59 point deficit.  It's now 50 points.  We'll see what tomorrow brings...

No, it's about percentage.

North currently on 107.6.

 

To match that we would need right now 50 more points in our "for" column.

To get to 107.6 tomorrow we need this kind of outcome:

If Carlton score 60 points we need to score 115.

If Carlton score 80 points we need to score 136.

If Carlton score 100 points we need to score 158.

If Carlton score 120 we need to get ready for Mad Monday.