Looking ahead ... the Path to September

[FarNorthernD 5,861]

Yes it is difficult to see how we can get top 4 but there is a good chance we will play Richmond in the first week which is almost the same as getting the double chance

[What 18,810]

1 minute ago, fndee said:

Yes it is difficult to see how we can get top 4 but there is a good chance we will play Richmond in the first week which is almost the same as getting the double chance

True that.

Now wanting GWS to destroy them today. The idea of Richmond falling out of the 8 altogether is hilarious after they spent the first 7 or so rounds in the top 4 and their fans were once again thinking they were coming for the flag.

The meltdown would be of epic proportions and surely Hardwick would have to go.

[GCDee 3,200]

Out of all the teams if we are playing an elimination final round 1 I would love to play the Tigers.  However if we sneak into 4th and we have Adelaide in Adelaide round one I would be really happy!!

[Diamond_Jim 12,692]

7 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

True that.

Now wanting GWS to destroy them today. The idea of Richmond falling out of the 8 altogether is hilarious after they spent the first 7 or so rounds in the top 4 and their fans were once again thinking they were coming for the flag.

The meltdown would be of epic proportions and surely Hardwick would have to go.

Toiges do have the toughest draw of all the teams fighting for the 8.

If they make it they will have done well .... but I have them 9th

GWS are the wild card in the sense that they have all that talent but they are just scraping in , drawing or losing. I am beginning to think that they drafted very well for the run and carry game but not so well for the Bulldogs helter skelter game plan that is now in vogue. Much harder to own the corridor these days.

[mrtwister 652]

 Unlikely anyone in the 8 will be moving next week as they are all playing teams outside the 8. (Except Essendon if they lose to Bulldogs)

[Diamond_Jim 12,692]

Now that Round 17 is over I just did a ladder predictor after round 18.

It isn't pretty. If next week's games go to order we end up 7th still with a log jam behind us.

The toss up game is Bulldogs v Bombers (the winner is 8th.. the loser 9th) For the rest I have picked the logical winner.

Looks like you definitely need 13 wins to make the 8.

 

[Ted Lasso 19,549]

I did the ladder predictor and gave us wins against north, lions and pies. That has us finishing 7th. 

I think we're a good shot in the other two games so our destiny is in our hands. We'd have to stuff up to miss finals though 

[rpfc 28,913]

1 hour ago, Diamond_Jim said:

Now that Round 17 is over I just did a ladder predictor after round 18.

It isn't pretty. If next week's games go to order we end up 7th still with a log jam behind us.

The toss up game is Bulldogs v Bombers (the winner is 8th.. the loser 9th) For the rest I have picked the logical winner.

Looks like you definitely need 13 wins to make the 8.

 

How is that not pretty?

If we fail to get to 13 wins I don't know which players were abducted by aliens but that would tell you we are pretenders.

We should beat NM, Bris, and Coll and I would be surprised if a healthy Demons side loses to the Saints at the G.

Forget other teams, we have it all in our grasp here.

Edited July 23, 2017 by rpfc

[brendan 3,445]

Need to finish 6th at the very least I want a home final, finish 7th and we most likely cop port or Sydney at home 

[What 18,810]

10 minutes ago, rpfc said:

 

Forget other teams, we have it all in our grasp here.

True rpfc...  Im done worrying about what other teams do.  We keep winning, we play finals, simples.

[Schneider 220]

Will GWS Still be rubbish when we play them or will they have key ins back? (They still have lots of injuries right?)

[Copuchas 763]

1 hour ago, Diamond_Jim said:

Now that Round 17 is over I just did a ladder predictor after round 18.

It isn't pretty. If next week's games go to order we end up 7th still with a log jam behind us.

The toss up game is Bulldogs v Bombers (the winner is 8th.. the loser 9th) For the rest I have picked the logical winner.

Looks like you definitely need 13 wins to make the 8.

 

round 18 is just a step in the road.....and the teams with who we're competing for a spot in the top 4 have games next week that they should win (possible exception is Sydney).   But they all face challenges after that (Tiges have Geelong at Simonds, Hawks on the G and Saints last round;  Port have Adelaide and the Dogs in Ballarat; Swans have Hawks on the G, Geelong at Simonds and Adelaide away; GWS have us in Canberra, Western Bulldogs at Etihad and Geelong in Simonds).

So the beauty of this rounds results are that there are now 2 spots going in the top 4 (at least, because the Cats may yet falter).  We need to win at least 4 of our remaining games and we'd be a very good chance for top 4.

[DemonWA 3,940]

'Relax, we've got this'

Roos and lions are the bottom sides on thr ladder because they are garbage. If we deserve finals we should also beat Pies and Saints. 

Dare to dream

[PaulRB 6,432]

If we were to accept that we should now beat North, Lions and Pies given they're out of race and crap. So that leaves GWS in two weeks and Saints in three weeks.

Saints the easier of the two at this stage as will be at G and because it's more than likely that the Saints will lose to Port then Weagles prior to playing us, putting finals out of reach, and shifting their focus to sending off Saint Nick and blooding youth. 

Which leaves GWS... Green likely suspended, but Coniglio likely in. 

Edited July 23, 2017 by PaulRB

[Dr. Gonzo 24,448]

On 18/07/2017 at 4:23 PM, Petraccattack said:

I am drooling at the prospect.

We'd all be ecstatic to make finals and play whoever, but god wouldn't it be nice to get those pretenders.

They haven't won a final since 2001 (lol) and we will make sure that pathetic streak continues.

They've won two finals games since 1982, same as Fitzroy. 

Edit - also I'm fairly certain Melbourne and Richmond haven't played in the same finals series since 1940 when we defeated them for the premiership. This year should see that drought broken.

Edited July 23, 2017 by Dr. Gonzo

[Dr. Gonzo 24,448]

On 18/07/2017 at 4:52 PM, DemonWA said:

That has Richmond only dropping one game!? Carro must have had a say in this!

They have an easy run, Geelong in Geelong the only real tough one.

Port have an easy run too, only one more game away from Adelaide though they do have a showdown.

Edited July 23, 2017 by Dr. Gonzo

[DaveyJones'sLocker 647]

No teams  are easy beats! The season so far has proved that. One week at a time. 

[titan_uranus 25,176]

Everyone talks about GWS like they are certainties for top 4, top 2, the GF, the flag etc.

They've beaten one team in their last six games and that was Brisbane.

Their previous five wins were by a combined margin of 32 points.

They haven't beaten a good side since they beat Sydney in Round 5 (and at that point of the season Sydney was rubbish).

I reckon they're just going.

We're more than just an outside chance when we play them in a fortnight.

In some respects I'm more confident of winning that game than I am of beating North this week.

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

Is it worth starting a new thread?

Hypothetically, if you make the finals, who do you want as your week 1 opponent? Away and Home.

Watching West Coast Choke... If we got them week 1 at the G, that would be ideal. I don't mind playing Dons at the G either. Sydney will be last on most lists. 

[Dr. Gonzo 24,448]

10 minutes ago, Dappa Dan said:

Is it worth starting a new thread?

Hypothetically, if you make the finals, who do you want as your week 1 opponent? Away and Home.

Watching West Coast Choke... If we got them week 1 at the G, that would be ideal. I don't mind playing Dons at the G either. Sydney will be last on most lists. 

Definitely not Essendon. Our games with them for the last 5 years have been so unpredictable do not want that in the finals.

Give me Richmond please. Or Geelong if we sneak in top 4.

Edited July 23, 2017 by Dr. Gonzo

[Sir Why You Little 37,310]

8 minutes ago, titan_uranus said:

Everyone talks about GWS like they are certainties for top 4, top 2, the GF, the flag etc.

They've beaten one team in their last six games and that was Brisbane.

Their previous five wins were by a combined margin of 32 points.

They haven't beaten a good side since they beat Sydney in Round 5 (and at that point of the season Sydney was rubbish).

I reckon they're just going.

We're more than just an outside chance when we play them in a fortnight.

In some respects I'm more confident of winning that game than I am of beating North this week.

Totally agree. IF we have a fit list of Players (Gawn is Crucial) that are Mentally tuned in, we can beat any of the sides in front of us over the next 10 weeks. 

This year is wide open...

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

Just now, Dr. Gonzo said:

Definitely not Essendon. Our games with them for the last 5 years have been so unpredictable do the want that in the finals.

Give me Richmond please.

Certainly not Dons at Etihad. I'm ok with them at the G though. I mean... whoever we take on they're gonna be handy. Best to keep it in Vic.

Yeah. Richmond, sure. But losing to them? If we did... and I'm not saying they're better... but if we did. Way more galling.

[PaulRB 6,432]

Qualifying final vs Cats at the G for week 1. Would love to rip their tiny heart out on the big stage.

[Dr. Gonzo 24,448]

21 minutes ago, Dappa Dan said:

Certainly not Dons at Etihad. I'm ok with them at the G though. I mean... whoever we take on they're gonna be handy. Best to keep it in Vic.

Yeah. Richmond, sure. But losing to them? If we did... and I'm not saying they're better... but if we did. Way more galling.

No way we lose to Richmond if we play them in September. Would put the house on it.

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

Just now, Dr. Gonzo said:

No way we lose to Richmond if we play them in September. Would put the house on it.

Exactly what I said before round 5. Tigers are terrible (and they are, I agree with you there).

And I DID put the house on it. lol