Season Prediction

[Samsara 65]

I have gone for 12th but I think 10th - 12th is realistic.

It is hard to gauge though, had a very mixed pre-season and Sylvia and Jurrah not playing first month+ hurts.

First 5 games are important, would hope to be around 3-2 or 4-1 (best case scenario).

[Pennant St Dee 12,643]

I've gone 10th but don't see a lot of difference in finishing 7th to 13th, all depends on how many games we win against those also vying for those spots, Tigers, North, Swans, Crows, Saints, Freo, Doggies

[Juicebox 628]

The old leaders just can't do it....Mark Jamar was superb....45 hit outs, But Sylvia got one kick??? Now i want Colin to make a full recovery but i question whether he Really wants to play at AFL level??

Don't know where you pulled that stat from - http://live.fanfooty.com.au/game/matchstats.html?id=3938

Agree though WYL, the young leaders certainly have to 'step up' if we're to see any real positive changes.

[Guest Jackie]

Though it is only preseason I have a few doubts about the pressing style of game. Is looking a bit tired as clubs using slick ball movement are starting to master it. Slick ball movement has been an alien concept for us for many years so we are stuck with the press I guess for now. Whether Neeld can bring the press up to a new level of effectiveness remains to be seen. Will be a hard task with the current callow playing group.

During early preseason everything looked like going to plan until the Jurrah incident. I imagine the club will be loathe to admit it but it certainly must have been a distraction to preperation. No none can deny that over the past couple of weeks we looked like our worst of last season.

The biggest challege for Neeld IMO is to build up enough confidence and focus in the playing group. There are some players that seem reluctant to embrace his will. Every stutter and splutter still seems to drag us back and old habits appear.

Still I think if we play at our best and with better luck we are capable of 6-8th spot.

Edited March 18, 2012 by Jackie

[dee-luded 2,959]

I have to say I'm rather surprised (or maybe not) that only 13 voters believe we will finish in the 8 while 49 believe we will finish outside it. I have opted for 7th simply based on the fact that we are a much better side than last year when we were very close to making the 8 despite the finishing position and the loss that must not be mentioned.

We are better than last year individually, But that won't Equate into more wins. Because we are learning a foreign language, > inconstancy. Better defence bit struggle to score.

I think we'll take all of the first 11 games working out who to select & the players will be slow to work out when & how to attack or defend at the right time. I think we'll be in front at times, but then turnover the pill & hand the lead back.

[hardtack 10,395]

We are better than last year individually, But that won't Equate into more wins. Because we are learning a foreign language, > inconstancy. Better defence bit struggle to score.

I think we'll take all of the first 11 games working out who to select & the players will be slow to work out when & how to attack or defend at the right time. I think we'll be in front at times, but then turnover the pill & hand the lead back.

Possibly right, but I would contend that of all pre-season games, the game against the Pies was the most indicative of where we are at, due to the balance we had in the backs and the forwards. We struggled without the run of Grimes off the backline and without the pairing of Clark and Watts up forward. There's a good chance I am entirely wrong, but I have the feeling that we will be a lot better than people are giving credit for off the back of a couple of bad NAB Cup performances.

[dee-luded 2,959]

Though it is only preseason I have a few doubts about the pressing style of game. Is looking a bit tired as clubs using slick ball movement are starting to master it. Slick ball movement has been an alien concept for us for many years so we are stuck with the press I guess for now. Whether Neeld can bring the press up to a new level of effectiveness remains to be seen. Will be a hard task with the current callow playing group.

During early preseason everything looked like going to plan until the Jurrah incident. I imagine the club will be loathe to admit it but it certainly must have been a distraction to preperation. No none can deny that over the past couple of weeks we looked like our worst of last season.

The biggest challege for Neeld IMO is to build up enough confidence and focus in the playing group. There are some players that seem reluctant to embrace his will. Every stutter and splutter still seems to drag us back and old habits appear.

Still I think if we play at our best and with better luck we are capable of 6-8th spot.

But either way Jackie, As we learn, It's a far better thing to learn to be a Contested footy side winning plenty of Hard Ball,,, as against a free range side who can only run free. Looks exciting for 5 minutes a game but gets pantsed 95 % of the time...

From being a learned press style team, it would be easier to adapt a more attacking gamestyle, as an add on App, after we learn to Defend & to Win the hard Footy.

[dee-luded 2,959]

Possibly right, but I would contend that of all pre-season games, the game against the Pies was the most indicative of where we are at, due to the balance we had in the backs and the forwards. We struggled without the run of Grimes off the backline and without the pairing of Clark and Watts up forward. There's a good chance I am entirely wrong, but I have the feeling that we will be a lot better than people are giving credit for off the back of a couple of bad NAB Cup performances.

No, I think your on the right track, but from my perspective, as we try learn to adapt the new style, we will be less fluent & slower, cautious/apprehensive in our thinking, as we try to 'Think our Way thru' the new game style... Remember collectively as a team we are still very fragile confidence wise, & this will be harder to adjust to.

A bit like Bambi, all gangly as we struggle to grow into what we are or aspire to be... Unfortunately this is the Law of Nature. And we are humans, part of nature & that Law.

I agree we have a better individuals & personnel, but I think were going to struggle delivering the ball well thru the middle. This in turn could make it more difficult & frustrating for our Forwards. But it will be Enjoyable watching.

Edited March 19, 2012 by dee-luded

[Outside fifty 967]

12th. The first half of the season will be all learning curve. The second half of the season will see the coin will slowly drop. I expect a few surprise results in the latter part of the season, and when I say surprises I mean of a good kind.

[Sir Why You Little 36,584]

Don't know where you pulled that stat from - http://live.fanfooty.com.au/game/matchstats.html?id=3938

Agree though WYL, the young leaders certainly have to 'step up' if we're to see any real positive changes.

Colin got 7 kicks...well i apologize. I was listening to 5AA so anything is possible. According to them he had 1 kick & 1 handball. I was working so i may have missed bits. Sorry Col. Get well. Don't move today. Dead still.

[dee-luded 2,959]

I've done a 2012 Ladder & Finals Predictor for the first 5 Rnds...

This is how I see the ladder shaping, something like this after 5 games.

1. Hawthorn

2. St. Kilda

3. Sydney

4. Collingwood

5. West Coast

6. Fremantle

7. Carlton

8. Gold Coast

9. North

10. Western Bulldogs

11. Melbourne

12. Brisbane

13. Adelaide

14. Geelong

15. Essendon

16. Richmond

17. Port Adelaide

18. GWS

Remember this is only my thoughts @ 5 Rnds in...

http://www.afl.com.au/bailey%20ladder%20predictor/tabid/13046/default.aspx

Edited March 19, 2012 by dee-luded

[beelzebub 23,175]

I've gone 10th but don't see a lot of difference in finishing 7th to 13th, all depends on how many games we win against those also vying for those spots, Tigers, North, Swans, Crows, Saints, Freo, Doggies

You may well be correct. A lot will depend on the outcome of some games, the opponnents im not sure. Results of , Im thinking , at least half a dozen will swing on a kick . This will deliver varying ladder positions accordingly. The reality is its rather moot. Until we take that step up as a TEAM, not just a handful of indivduals then better sides will always best us..

We're on a steep learning curve.....and we're only just moving off the start position.!!!

The Honeymoon is over

[The Lobster Effect 875]

I've done a 2012 Ladder & Finals Predictor for the first 5 Rnds... This is how I see the ladder shaping, something like this after 5 games.

1. Hawthorn

2. St. Kilda

3. Sydney

4. Collingwood

5. West Coast

6. Fremantle

7. Carlton

8. Gold Coast

9. North

10. Western Bulldogs

11. Melbourne

12. Brisbane

13. Adelaide

14. Geelong

15. Essendon

16. Richmond

17. Port Adelaide

18. GWS

Remember this is only my thoughts @ 5 Rnds in...

http://www.afl.com.a...46/default.aspx

melb ahead of geelong, see things aren't all that bad! haha

[Juicebox 628]

Colin got 7 kicks...well i apologize. I was listening to 5AA so anything is possible. According to them he had 1 kick & 1 handball. I was working so i may have missed bits. Sorry Col. Get well. Don't move today. Dead still.

Don't apologize! Either way he clearly wasn't having any impact on the game and he is exactly the experienced type of player that need to fire if we're to see any improvement on last year

[old dee 23,464]

Don't apologize! Either way he clearly wasn't having any impact on the game and he is exactly the experienced type of player that need to fire if we're to see any improvement on last year

Unfortunately Jb we can forget him for probably 2 months, so end of May.

That makes his contribution for 2012 look poor.

Last year at the Dees????

[Bluelegs 36]

Unfortunately Jb we can forget him for probably 2 months, so end of May.

That makes his contribution for 2012 look poor.

Last year at the Dees????

Since when has six weeks equated to two months?

Or did they mean rounds when they said weeks?

Edited March 19, 2012 by Bluelegs

[Hells Gates 505]

Since when has six weeks equated to two months?

Or did they mean rounds when they said weeks?

Since when has MFC been accurate with their injury predictions?? Expect 2 months plus.

[old dee 23,464]

Since when has six weeks equated to two months?

Or did they mean rounds when they said weeks?

Never Bl

but I am going on the fact that FD's always give optimistic figures when the give the time a player is out.

If the MFC say 6 weeks I asume it is more likely 8.

Seems to me that this injury is a bit worse than they are admitting.

The last thing they need to be saying at the MFC at present is that Sylvia is out for two months.

The injury list is getting longer, Pre season performance poor, no FOJ sponsor yet, Membership sales etc have stalled.

IMO minimise the bad news if possible.

So he is out for 4 - 6 weeks

[beelzebub 23,175]

Since when has six weeks equated to two months?

Or did they mean rounds when they said weeks?

or since when do you ever rush a back/spinal injury back to playing ?? You dont...its softly softly , carefully carefuuly or risk much worse

Am inclined to side with those suggesting 2 months and have a sneaking suspicion a whiles longer before at full tilt.

Colin= new 4-6....as they say !! and we all know what that invariably means

[old dee 23,464]

Interesting results from the pole so far.

39% think we will finish 12th or lower

51% think we will finish 11th or lower

and 68% ( over two thirds ) think we will finish 10th or lower

Not a lot of enthusiasm there or are we all being realistic?

[beelzebub 23,175]

Interesting results from the pole so far.

39% think we will finish 12th or lower

51% think we will finish 11th or lower

and 68% ( over two thirds ) think we will finish 10th or lower

Not a lot of enthusiasm there or are we all being realistic?

[Hells Gates 505]

Interesting results from the pole so far.

39% think we will finish 12th or lower

51% think we will finish 11th or lower

and 68% ( over two thirds ) think we will finish 10th or lower

Not a lot of enthusiasm there or are we all being realistic?

Nailed it.

[Pennant St Dee 12,643]

Interesting results from the pole so far.

39% think we will finish 12th or lower

51% think we will finish 11th or lower

and 68% ( over two thirds ) think we will finish 10th or lower

Not a lot of enthusiasm there or are we all being realistic?

As I stated previously by myself & BB59, games involving ourselves, Tiges, North, Crows, Saints, Dogs, Freo & Swans will play play a big part in showing where all of these teams finish from 6th to 14th, I dare say a mojority of these games will rely on performance on the day weather injuries and so many variables. Case of wit and see really for many of us

[praha 11,100]

14th.

Interesting results from the pole so far.

39% think we will finish 12th or lower

51% think we will finish 11th or lower

and 68% ( over two thirds ) think we will finish 10th or lower

Not a lot of enthusiasm there or are we all being realistic?

Bang!

Edited March 19, 2012 by Cudi_420

[ucanchoose 1,816]

I did up until round 10 and I got us at 3-7........... Gulp......... Long season