Bring-Back-Powell 15,548 Posted January 14 Posted January 14 (edited) 38 minutes ago, seventyfour said: Our Round 7 game is against Richmond, so we'd be 5-2 if results went the way of the above. Would be a brilliant start to the year. I'd take 4-3. Then West Coast in round 8 which I'm sure the boys will be itching to atone from last year's disaster over there. 4-3 is good on paper, but we have a really tough 3 weeks from rounds 9-11 with Hawthorn, Brisbane (away) then Sydney. May have to win a statement game against Fremantle or Geelong in Geelong (ideally get to 6-2) to bank some early wins before that challenging 3 weeks. There's also a horror four weeks where we have Port, bye, GC and Adelaide all away. Edited January 14 by Bring-Back-Powell 1 Quote
seventyfour 1,248 Posted January 14 Posted January 14 24 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said: There's also a horror four weeks where we have Port, bye, GC and Adelaide all away. Still way better than last year though. The early season run in 2024 - something like 5 games in 25 days - was ridiculous. We were never a chance to beat Brisbane at the MCG that night. 1 Quote
Whispering_Jack 31,368 Posted January 15 Posted January 15 8 hours ago, binman said: We open with a bye. Quite. But at the end of Round 6, every club will have played six games and it’s a good time to reflect on how the season’s going. I’m picking us to win our opening game at home vs GWS Giants. Geelong at the Cattery will be tough and if we beat the Dockers we should be well set towards a top four finish. I am however, still going to take things one week at a time. 4 Quote
roy11 4,076 Posted March 3 Posted March 3 Bit of a difference in predictions here (https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/winless-tigers-hawks-on-the-rise-our-experts-predict-season-2025-20250206-p5la7d.html) Jake Niall - 6th Michael Gleeson - 8th Peter Ryan - 11th Jon Pierik - 13th Andrew Wu - 6th Marc McGowan - 9th Sam McClure - 11th Caroline Wilson - 4th Emma Kearney - 12th Libby Birch - 13th Bob Murphy - 11th Mathew Stokes - 13th Scott Spits - 7th 2 Quote
biggestred 5,311 Posted March 3 Posted March 3 adam simpson yesterday when freo were kicking with the wind and dominating "yeah i see them sliding" full time "they reminded me how good they can be" 1 5 Quote
Mono 460 Posted March 3 Posted March 3 10 hours ago, roy11 said: Bit of a difference in predictions here (https://www.theage.com.au/sport/afl/winless-tigers-hawks-on-the-rise-our-experts-predict-season-2025-20250206-p5la7d.html) Jake Niall - 6th Michael Gleeson - 8th Peter Ryan - 11th Jon Pierik - 13th Andrew Wu - 6th Marc McGowan - 9th Sam McClure - 11th Caroline Wilson - 4th Emma Kearney - 12th Libby Birch - 13th Bob Murphy - 11th Mathew Stokes - 13th Scott Spits - 7th Caro - 4th. Interesting. 3 Quote
Whispering_Jack 31,368 Posted March 3 Posted March 3 The Herald Sun “experts” are less than impressed. They have us remaining static in 14th place. It’s worth bookmarking this … 4 Quote
Timothy Reddan-A'Blew 5,690 Posted March 3 Posted March 3 OK, so that's The Age and The Herald Sun. Looking forward now to The Saturday Paper, The New York Times, Pravda and The Asahi Shimbun predictors. Striving for more certainty. 1 1 Quote
jnrmac 20,375 Posted March 3 Posted March 3 On 15/01/2025 at 16:36, Whispering_Jack said: Quite. But at the end of Round 6, every club will have played six games and it’s a good time to reflect on how the season’s going. I’m picking us to win our opening game at home vs GWS Giants. Geelong at the Cattery will be tough and if we beat the Dockers we should be well set towards a top four finish. I am however, still going to take things one week at a time. Interesting to note that GWS will already have played one game. You'd have to think thats an advantage 2 Quote
jnrmac 20,375 Posted March 4 Posted March 4 The Herald Sun 'experts': CHRIS CAVANAGH: Missing finals LAUREN WOOD: Missing finals JON RALPH: Missing finals ELIZA REILLY: Missing finals LACHLAN MCKIRDY: Bottom four ED BOURKE: Missing finals CALLUM DICK: Missing finals SIMEON THOMAS-WILSON: Missing finals Consensus prediction: 14th 1 1 Quote
ManDee 7,395 Posted March 4 Posted March 4 2 hours ago, jnrmac said: The Herald Sun 'experts': CHRIS CAVANAGH: Missing finals LAUREN WOOD: Missing finals JON RALPH: Missing finals ELIZA REILLY: Missing finals LACHLAN MCKIRDY: Bottom four ED BOURKE: Missing finals CALLUM DICK: Missing finals SIMEON THOMAS-WILSON: Missing finals Consensus prediction: 14th The Herald Sun 'experts' : missing talent and integrity 3 1 Quote
Clintosaurus 7,953 Posted March 6 Posted March 6 The Hawthorn hype from the media is ridiculous. Pre-season doco and all. What a [censored]. Hope they finish 9th but all them high tackle frees in forward 50 will get them in. 4 Quote
spirit of norm smith 16,679 Posted March 6 Posted March 6 Tim Watson. SEN. 1st Cats 2 Swans 3 Crows !!! 4 Lions 5 Blues 6 Pies 7 Freo 8 Demons missing the 8 … Hawks, Giants, Power, Bombers, Suns & Bulldogs. hard to tip a top 8 when 14 teams could easily be nominated to make it and 7-8 teams would seriously have claims for a top 4 finish wow … Crows at 3. That’s Crazy!!! Quote
deespicable me 1,584 Posted March 6 Posted March 6 On 27/12/2024 at 19:22, Rab D Nesbitt said: If we have a good run with injuries I'm confident we'll finish top 4 and have another tilt at a flag. I couldn't care less where anyone else finishes although Pies and Blues missing finals would be nice I guess. Nice! Nice! That would be like heaven on Earth. Oh please, please, let me live in that Universe. Quote
Go Ds 335 Posted March 6 Posted March 6 On 04/03/2025 at 06:44, Whispering_Jack said: The Herald Sun “experts” are less than impressed. They have us remaining static in 14th place. It’s worth bookmarking this … These things are so boring: Same GF 3 of 4 PF sides the same Hawthorn, Carlton, Freo jump up slightly the second last premier back into the 8 ( another team improving slightly) A good GWS dropping a little after a horror end of year period. WB with injuries dropping down And slight readjustments among the bottom 7 *Yawn* I don't expect them to a North vs Sun GF and Sydney coming 11th. But this is boring and plenty will be wrong. Quote
Go Ds 335 Posted March 6 Posted March 6 32 minutes ago, spirit of norm smith said: Tim Watson. SEN. 1st Cats 2 Swans 3 Crows !!! 4 Lions 5 Blues 6 Pies 7 Freo 8 Demons missing the 8 … Hawks, Giants, Power, Bombers, Suns & Bulldogs. hard to tip a top 8 when 14 teams could easily be nominated to make it and 7-8 teams would seriously have claims for a top 4 finish wow … Crows at 3. That’s Crazy!!! There will be surprises. It sounds like in recent years a team well out if the eight make the prelims the year after. So it might be Crows. But it might be plenty of the others too. Quote
layzie 34,528 Posted March 6 Posted March 6 1 hour ago, Clintosaurus said: The Hawthorn hype from the media is ridiculous. Pre-season doco and all. What a [censored]. Hope they finish 9th but all them high tackle frees in forward 50 will get them in. I don't see the justification for it either. I think people are picking them purely on gamestyle as it stood in the latter part of last year. There's nothing stopping them from doing a Collingwood in 2023 and going strength to strength but I can just as easily see them being worked out and lacking when the pressure is on. 3 Quote
jnrmac 20,375 Posted March 6 Posted March 6 (edited) https://www.3aw.com.au/rory-sloane-thinks-demons-will-respond-massively-in-2025/ 3aw Season Preview with lloyd and Rory Sloane. Demons from around 18:46 3AW Football’s Rory Sloane has praised Melbourne’s “incredibly driven” superstars, as they look to feature in September action in 2025. The former Adelaide Crows captain is confident Simon Goodwin’s side will get back to their best footy and make a big climb up the ladder. “It’s scary playing against those guys,” Sloane said on the 3AW Football pre-season podcast. “It excited me working with that midfield group, a lot of them are incredibly driven.” Edited March 6 by jnrmac 2 1 Quote
DubDee 26,674 Posted March 6 Posted March 6 Thought this was a thread from March 2021 for a second Most likely to be sacked? Goodwin Won a flag Staggering how the media don't learn from history. But I love it. Stick it right up them Demons! Quote
Dee Viney Intervention 2,028 Posted Thursday at 20:55 Posted Thursday at 20:55 Hawthorn premiers and Melbourne 14th. FFS. Behave!!!!!!! 1 1 Quote
DubDee 26,674 Posted Thursday at 21:54 Posted Thursday at 21:54 A team with a tall fwd line of Chol won’t be winning the flag 1 Quote
Lucifers Hero 40,716 Posted Thursday at 21:58 Posted Thursday at 21:58 (edited) @WheeloRatings The ABC have rightly given you credit in this article: unpredictable-afl-season-2025-set-to-be-most-open-in-years It was remarkably accurate in 2024 wins eg Hawks, Swans, Pies and Dees rises and falls. Their respective 2023 wins were 7, 12, 18 and 16. The actual for 2024 is in the table below. The 'draw strength' must have been statistically very significant. Does the 'Pythagorean' thing have much statistical credibility? Accounting for underlying team strength (Pythagorean expectation) and draw strength The 11 predicted wins for us surprises me given we have a statistically easy draw. If 'Pythagorean' does have cred then 2025 doesn't look too good for us. Think I'll ignore their 'logic' and continue to dream ... ... still confident that 2025 will atone 2023 ... Edited Thursday at 22:57 by Lucifers Hero 3 1 Quote
biggestred 5,311 Posted Friday at 00:31 Posted Friday at 00:31 the thing with the footy maths is that at the start of the year its not taking into account returns from injury, trades, big preseasons etc. so getting trac and oliver at their best back into that team probably adds a win or two by itself... 4 Quote
Lucifers Hero 40,716 Posted Friday at 02:37 Posted Friday at 02:37 (edited) 2 hours ago, biggestred said: the thing with the footy maths is that at the start of the year its not taking into account returns from injury, trades, big preseasons etc. so getting trac and oliver at their best back into that team probably adds a win or two by itself... Take another look at the table in my post and look at their predictions for 2024 and how they panned out. As I mentioned it was surprising how accurate the number of wins were for Hawks, Swans, Pies and Dees, even before a ball was bounced. No doubt having fewer injuries will help but maybe injuries pan out across the league to the point where they aren't statistically significant ... I just hope the dees prediction for this year is horribly wrong. Edited Friday at 02:41 by Lucifers Hero 3 Quote
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