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NON MFC: Round 14

Lucifers Hero
in Melbourne Demons

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Blues v Pies is a big match.

Conservatism says the better result for MFC is a Pies win with Blues then falling away.

My desire is for a Pies loss so we stand a chance of jumping to 7th by season end. Eighth is quite likely to face West Coast in Perth in the first round of the finals.

It also opens up the possibility of Pies dropping out of the 8 thus putting two spots up for grabs.

Including ourselves that will mean there are still 5 teams* fighting for those two places. I have excluded Footscray but you could make a case for their inclusion as well.

* Collingwood, MFC, GWS, Essendon and Carlton

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    23 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

    Blues v Pies is a big match.

    Conservatism says the better result for MFC is a Pies win with Blues then falling away.

    My desire is for a Pies loss so we stand a chance of jumping to 7th by season end. Eighth is quite likely to face West Coast in Perth in the first round of the finals.

    It also opens up the possibility of Pies dropping out of the 8 thus putting two spots up for grabs.

    Including ourselves that will mean there are still 5 teams* fighting for those two places. I have excluded Footscray but you could make a case for their inclusion as well.

    * Collingwood, MFC, GWS, Essendon and Carlton

    Collingwood still have to play Brisbane and Port. If they lose both, their ceiling is 9.5 wins (beating Carlton and GC).

    Carlton still have to play Sydney, Adelaide, GWS and Brisbane. If they beat Collingwood and then the former two, they'll have 9 wins. And then two other games to shoot at to get to 10. In other words, very much like us.

    IMO, a Collingwood win for us is the best overall result. Makes it very difficult for Carlton to make finals whilst we can still pass Collingwood if we get to 10.

    West Coast have a game in hand on the top 4 and don't play any of them again this year (Richmond plays Geelong). If Geelong beats Richmond, 4th is very much still in the Eagles' grasp. Could also happen if Brisbane or Geelong trip up with their easier games. So it's not a fait accompli that 8th nets you a trip to Perth.

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    Q. What has 100 legs and 9 teeth?

    A. Front row of the Collingwood Cheer Squad

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    The protected area rule has to go. It's just too inconsistently applied.

    Cripps just strolls right through the area, nothing.

    If you're unable to adjudicate it consistently, the rule has to go.

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    • Angry 1

    3 hours ago, titan_uranus said:

    West Coast have a game in hand on the top 4 and don't play any of them again this year (Richmond plays Geelong). If Geelong beats Richmond, 4th is very much still in the Eagles' grasp. Could also happen if Brisbane or Geelong trip up with their easier games. So it's not a fait accompli that 8th nets you a trip to Perth.

    If it's not West Coast in Perth it is Richmond or Geelong or less likely Port or Brisbane at their home grounds.

    Finishing 8th would be a nightmare whichever way you look at it.

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    I think there are still 3 spots up for grabs in the eight. I said a few weeks ago that St K may not win another game in the run home. They've since beaten Essendon but lost to Geelong, Brisbane and us with Hawthorn, West Coast and GWS to come. Hawks being the only likely win would leave them on 9 wins. We should be gunning for 6th spot and a 'home' final. 

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    17 minutes ago, layzie said:

    Just do a draw

    Worst possible result - would give woods a game break on us. 

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    1 minute ago, pitmaster said:

    Worst possible result - would give woods a game break on us. 

    Beats a game and a half break on us.

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    Blues win best. If we keep winning they can’t get past us

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    6 minutes ago, Deesprate said:

    Blues win best. If we keep winning they can’t get past us

    That’s kind of how I’m looking at it, it’s all down to mentality. Wanting the Pies to win is about protecting our place from the chasers, wanting the blues to win is about us backing ourselves to win more games and overtake the pies. 

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    Interesting test of my mentality towards Melbourne.

    Trust us to win the games we should win and Carlton is the best result. Don’t trust us and Collingwood is the best result.

    If I’m being honest, I’m a bit torn.

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    Only watching the second half but what a diabolical spectacle so far. What has our national game come to? It's horrible. Also the umpiring. Is it opposite day? About 1,000,000 frees missed and the only ones I've seen paid weren't there.

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    Another quarter of football in 2020 where a team can manage to score only one goal. Oh hang on ... the other team didn't even manage that. Ugly ugly ugly. What has happened to our game?

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    I will take a Carlton win any day. If we can not protect our place in the eight from here we just not deserve to be in it. Also helps to jump to 6th or 7th. 

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