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Posted

TAB has released its 2019 projected wins for all 18 teams.

image.png

MELBOURNE

TAB Over/Under: 13.5

GAMES WON IN 2018 — 14

Gilbert Gardiner says: OVER

Left a few wins in the bag last year so should be a lot better for the experience with another pre-season under their belts.

Chris Cavanagh says: OVER

Scored 14 wins in the 2018 home-and-away season and then went on to easily beat Geelong and Hawthorn in the first two weeks of September. Jesse Hogan is a loss in attack, but Steven May and Jake Lever are huge additions at the defensive end. Team on the rise.

Liam Twomey says: OVER

The finals curse has been lifted for the Demons. This club won 14 games last year even though they dropped four games by 10 points or less. Lock them in for an over.

 

24 ish

 

Well, I'm one of those rare bods who expects the team to win EVERY game.  So, guess that's 25 for me...!

 
9 minutes ago, Vagg said:

Well, I'm one of those rare bods who expects the team to win EVERY game.  So, guess that's 25 for me...!

Well before you get hailed down Barrie (for being far too blue-skied).

The best team in the comp (say Rich & Eagles) would count every week as a win and until we can do that we haven't arrived. Got to get rid of my MFCSS

I'm with you Barrie.

I'd reckon 16 wins for 2019/


Interesting, I'd like to see a breakdown. As we play Tiges, Woods and Eagles twice have we been picked to lose twice to each or breakeven. Cannot see anyone saying we will beat all 3 twice but wouldn't say beating one of those teams twice is impossible.

So the premise is; have some wins against those three and they are likely to slip down and us move up.

Anywhere between 13-20 for H&A.

AFL want us in the box for this year again, so that's the draw we deserve, because we cocked up the Finals by losing by a truck load in the Prelim. So we ain't ready until 2020. When we can be trusted to produce good, hard fought games all year and into Finals.........and we want it enough...... 

 

Real knife edge this one. Could be done early or late. I reckon 14 would be good......

14-16 wins for H&A season depending on injuries. Come finals time I think we'll bow out in Prelims to the eventual premier again.

2020 is the year we will peak and win 17-18 in H&A and land that elusive flag.


It would not be Melbourne if it wasn't a nerve wracking and stressful last 2 or 3 weeks. When was the last time had sewn up a finals birth 3 weeks out from the finals?  Maybe 1960? Only 58 years ago. 

13 hours ago, praha said:

Anywhere between 13-20 for H&A.

yep.. that's the reality.

A little worried as to where our improvement will come from in 2019. Brayshaw and Salem moved to higher levels. Harder to say who will move upwards in 2019. Most would say Petracca and I hope he is joined in the improvement stakes by Spargo.. (the young man seems to have a sense of where the ball is.)

Should be interesting and I see no reason why we cannot win the Cup. No use waiting until 2020 as we could so easily be cruelled by form and injuries.

15 or 16 for H&A is my guess.


9 hours ago, phuket demon said:

When was the last time had sewn up a finals birth 3 weeks out from the finals?

2004 I think we had a spot wrapped up after Round 18. Did not win another game.

1 hour ago, Sir Why You Little said:

17 at least if the Backline is strong and stable. (A strong season from Lever)

Lever is going to be critical in the strong backline for 2019; we need a rapid feeder approach from several backs across the ground, instead of a one-prong, one-sided attempt; possession by the outside mids is going to be critical to this type of success when our goal-to-goal line is shaping so strongly as well - such a line is going to occupy an immense effort from all opposition teams to counteract or rebound. This is going to be a colossal season for the MFC. Lever, Stretch, possibly Gus and a few others need 'get well' cards sent from us, the manic supporters, immediately and followed up, fortnightly until the season starts.  

2 hours ago, Clintosaurus said:

2004 I think we had a spot wrapped up after Round 18. Did not win another game.

Was that the year we were on top of the ladder and then lost the last three to finish 5th or 6th?

Looking at the draw , and allowing for wind velocity, diet etc..16 wins should be achievable 

Improvement this year will come from Weid, Fritsch, Hannan, Spargo, and vanders I reckon.  Bonus will be a fit Viney and Lever, and the additions of KK and May. Lewis and Jones to decline, hopefully Nev and Hibbo can have another good season at their peak.


6 hours ago, Bobby McKenzie said:

Was that the year we were on top of the ladder and then lost the last three to finish 5th or 6th?

It was the highest we had been that deep into the season since 1964.

We back it up with a 12 goal loss to Port, and of course the infamous Elim Final loss against Essendon.

In reality, 2004 probably should have been Daniher's last.

Edited by praha

21 wins with the losses calculated ones due to resting of players. 

 

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