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Looking ahead ... the Path to September


Diamond_Jim

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18 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

I can understand the one week at a time line but if we can get beyond Carlton the weeks look brighter.

 

If we roll Carlton, we will play finals. 

Would need to then win just 3 of the last 7 games to make it...  with Watts and Salem not far off coming in after (hopefully) Hogan and Garlett this week.

Just beat Carlton, which won't be an easy task,  and we are in a very good position.

 

Edited by Petraccattack
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Let's just recongregate after Sunday :unsure:

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Well .. here we are with a win .... perhaps not as easily as some of us might have wished but it was a win.

Well now it's Adelaide at my favourite ground... followed by Port at the MCG and North at the iceberg also known as Blundstone Arena.

An unholy trinity of games if ever there was one but not impossible as we move closer to the business end of the season. Win two ... or dare we dream... three and top four seriously beckons

St Kilda play the Toiges again which gives us a bump in that regard.

As well as us Port play the Saints and Adelaide together with a tricky game against the Doggies at Docklands.

The bottom half of the eight is well within our grasp but no reason we can't strive for top 4 as our injured players return.

Go Dees and PS.... would prefer the games to be a little easier than today's against Carlton !

 

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I pretty much expected whichever way it would go it was going to be very scrappy and very tight. 

This win can't be underestimated, many of our key players missing, and against a team that has been difficult to finish off this year. This win won't go down as big for the media people (they'll probably focus on Oliver's incident with the fan), but it's big for our year. 

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Just did some playing with the ladder predictor. (Great fun)

Applied relatively unemotional logic and I found it hard to see us finish above 5th.

GWS could easily slip below Geelong was an interesting outcome.

The big games for us are those against the Saints and Port. I assumed losses against the Giants and Adelaide.

Lose to the Saints and we are seventh. Lose to Port as well and we are in a log jam with 4 other teams on 12 wins for the last two spots in the eight.

Joy o Joy but I have Richmond at ninth on percentage

Boy this season is close

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2 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

Just did some playing with the ladder predictor. (Great fun)

Applied relatively unemotional logic and I found it hard to see us finish above 5th.

GWS could easily slip below Geelong was an interesting outcome.

The big games for us are those against the Saints and Port. I assumed losses against the Giants and Adelaide.

Lose to the Saints and we are seventh. Lose to Port as well and we are in a log jam with 4 other teams on 12 wins for the last two spots in the eight.

Joy o Joy but I have Richmond at ninth on percentage

Boy this season is close

The good thing about this year is that because of the closeness of the competition you almost feel like every week is a big week. Upsets and close matches are happening so often that you have to bring it every week. 

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1 hour ago, Moonshadow said:

Been so long. How does one buy finals tickets?!!

1998 was the last final I went too, 2000-2006 I was too busy partying and chasing the opposite sex, came to my senses and got back into footy only for our worst period ever I probably should have stayed on the pizz 

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4 hours ago, Diamond_Jim said:

Just did some playing with the ladder predictor. (Great fun)

Applied relatively unemotional logic and I found it hard to see us finish above 5th.

GWS could easily slip below Geelong was an interesting outcome.

The big games for us are those against the Saints and Port. I assumed losses against the Giants and Adelaide.

Lose to the Saints and we are seventh. Lose to Port as well and we are in a log jam with 4 other teams on 12 wins for the last two spots in the eight.

Joy o Joy but I have Richmond at ninth on percentage

Boy this season is close

Indeed, but that of course assumes we beat North, as well as Brisbane and Collingwood.

I can see an argument which says we beat one of Adelaide or GWS but still manage to lose to North.

I'd like to see us win one of the Adelaide/Port games to take the pressure off the North game - if we lose both, we'll be on a 2 game losing streak and will have lost 3 from 4 going into that game, we'll be slipping down the ladder (if not already out of the 8) and the pressure will be right on us to win. Maybe that will spur us on to beat the Roos though.

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Everyone seems to be writing off the GWS game, not sure why though.

They have an injury list as bad as, or even worse than ours, and they are just going at the moment. Unlikely they will reach their scary potential this season.

We should comfortably have Salem and Watts back by then, and Viney will be a big chance.  We can beat anyone, anywhere.

 

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2 hours ago, Petraccattack said:

Everyone seems to be writing off the GWS game, not sure why though.

We should comfortably have Salem and Watts back by then, and Viney will be a big chance.  We can beat anyone, anywhere.

 

Yup. We have a 1-1 record against teams above us and a clean travel sheet. We've been dealing with key injuries all year, and the loss to Sydney was a clear product of fixturing. I understand the supporter apprehension with our inconsistent performances, but we have to get used to the idea that we're now competing with the top echelon of teams. It wasn't so long ago that we were bemoaning a couple of the unlucky losses - which, had the results been reversed, would see us on top of the ladder right now. Would we still be writing off the GWS game if that were the case? 

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2 hours ago, Petraccattack said:

Everyone seems to be writing off the GWS game, not sure why though.

We should comfortably have Salem and Watts back by then, and Viney will be a big chance.  We can beat anyone, anywhere.

 

Yup. We have a 1-1 record against teams above us and a clean travel sheet. We've been dealing with key injuries all year, and the loss to Sydney was a clear product of fixturing. I understand the supporter apprehension with our inconsistent performances, but we have to get used to the idea that we're now competing with the top echelon of teams. It wasn't so long ago that we were bemoaning a couple of the unlucky losses - which, had the results been reversed, would see us on top of the ladder right now. Would we still be writing off the GWS game if that were the case? 

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This week a slippery ball after a 33 degree day .  clarry and sloane going head the head . Tex  Jenkins not having influence maxy and ginger meggs cancelling eachother out . We are a big chance against the crows .

anyone seen our backline lately ? 

We can scrap out a win this week .

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3 hours ago, CityDee said:

This week a slippery ball after a 33 degree day .  clarry and sloane going head the head . Tex  Jenkins not having influence maxy and ginger meggs cancelling eachother out . We are a big chance against the crows .

anyone seen our backline lately ? 

We can scrap out a win this week .

I am more confident against the Crows than the Power

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29 minutes ago, Devil is in the Detail said:

I am more confident against the Crows than the Power

Why is that?  My feeling is that we will smash the Power.

Edited by Petraccattack
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6 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

Why is that?  My feeling is that we will smash the Power.

Power have always been to quick for us. Always getting that extra number when they switch the ball. I am finding that they are hitting some good form.

Crows have stagnated a bit and have been found out.

Just a gut feel.

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8 minutes ago, Devil is in the Detail said:

Power have always been to quick for us. Always getting that extra number when they switch the ball. I am finding that they are hitting some good form.

Crows have stagnated a bit and have been found out.

Just a gut feel.

giphy.gif

Edited by Danelska
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17 hours ago, Pates said:

The good thing about this year is that because of the closeness of the competition you almost feel like every week is a big week. Upsets and close matches are happening so often that you have to bring it every week. 

that be a premiership side...

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If we beat port I will say we will make it, if we lose I don't think we will as there will be no margin for error, biggest game in 15 years next week 

port 70/30 there way, they are in good form and we have too many injuries 

north 50/50 we just can't beat them for whatever reason 50/50 at best 

GWS loss they will be way too slick 

st kilda 50/50 depends which saints side shows up, they play the MCG Pretty good 

Brisbane WIN If we can't win this then don't deserve finals anyway 

Collingwood WIN Should have all our players back so if we can't win this then don't deserve finals 

so we need minimum 3 wins out of those games and hope our percentage is enough to scrape us in 4 wins would guarantee a spot, going to be touch and go imo 

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