Jump to content

MATCH PREVIEW AND TEAM SELECTION - Round 21

Featured Replies

On 10 August 2016 at 7:59 AM, hells bells said:

IF

We beat Port - 50:50

Hawks beat North - likely

Swans beat Saints - likely

We are the only team with a chance of taking North's position in the 8.

i believe North's percentage will take a hammering against Adelaide and GWS.

i believe it will come down to the our last game v Geelong.  

We are currently paying $101 to make the 8.  I may have had a little go at it.

Go Dees.

 

Would be interesting if our bid for a final 8 place comes down to a game at Geelong again. 

A bit like '87 but this time we play it out...

 
3 minutes ago, nutbean said:

This intrigued me. I understand that Port will be fired up after last week and we may have some let down after our massive win - but really ????

I don't gamble so it doesn't impact me but really ?

Maybe Melbourne supporters are still watching the replay and haven't moved on. Conversely, Port fans have been quick to move on and have already placed their bets for this coming week.

 
7 minutes ago, Demons11 said:

The Weed looks like he won't come up this weekend with a corked quad 

Probably not the worst result if he misses. Although I desperately want to see Hogan and Weideman together in the same forward line, I think Pederson deserves another chance after his solid game last week. 

I like the idea of giving him a taste, then getting him ready for next week v the Blues if he is a bit sore.. Gee we manage players well these days.. Most players that come into the senior side now take their chance..

Roosy has seen what Weed can do, so Hogan will play with Pederson this week. Pederson is so far ahead of Dawes for that final depth spot on the list.


30 minutes ago, nutbean said:

This intrigued me. I understand that Port will be fired up after last week and we may have some let down after our massive win - but really ????

I don't gamble so it doesn't impact me but really ?

We are going for 3 in a row which is our next "bridge too far". We are just as likely to capitulate to a soft loss as to blow them off the park. Especially against Port who seem to be one of our "soft loss" BFFs.

On paper we should beat them but the game is being played in Adelaide and not at the Spicers factory.

I think we might lose this one.  Port are rightly favourites being at home and having beaten us regularly.

both teams and up and down and I think Port will be up and we'll be down.  hope I'm wrong as Im flying over tomorrow

prove me wrong Dees!

14 minutes ago, SPC said:

I like the idea of giving him a taste, then getting him ready for next week v the Blues if he is a bit sore.. Gee we manage players well these days.. Most players that come into the senior side now take their chance..

Roosy has seen what Weed can do, so Hogan will play with Pederson this week. Pederson is so far ahead of Dawes for that final depth spot on the list.

That's a myth

 

B: Jetta, O.Mac, Frost

HB: Vince, T.Mac, Hunt

C: Stretch, Tyson, Bugg

HF: Petracca, Hogan, Kent

FF: Garlett, Pederson, Watts

FOLL: Gawn, Jones, Viney

INT: Oliver, Harmes, Vandenberg, Brayshaw

 

IN - Hogan

OUT - Weideman (corky)

4 minutes ago, Devil is in the Detail said:

That's a myth

No, Dawes still being a valued member of our forward line is a myth.. The role of the pure 'decoy' forward is done.. 


1 hour ago, Demons11 said:

The Weed looks like he won't come up this weekend with a corked quad 

Yep, sounds like he will miss this week.  With Hogan returning you could see that being the only change, and I actually like having Pedersen in our forward line.  Gave us a real contest last week, and when he couldn't win it he was at least bringing the ball to ground for the mosquito fleet to pounce on it.

Out:- Weed (inj)  Pedo 

In :- Hoges and HULETT

Random stats for the week - wasn't sure where to post this:

  • We are 4th overall for average contested possessions (150) this year in the AFL - behind Sydney, Crows and GWS
  • 3rd overall for clearances behind Sydney and GWS
  • 5th overall for average tackles
  • No 1 for average hit outs (Obvs)

Great efforts by the coaches and players.  What a turnaround its been since 2013

20 hours ago, Nasher said:

Next game? I'm not done with the last one yet.

Yep gonna take something special this week to put a bigger smile on my face. PM resignation, PA demolition or PO Essendon 12 month suspension 2017. Or all three.

4 hours ago, Demon Jack said:

Probably not the worst result if he misses. Although I desperately want to see Hogan and Weideman together in the same forward line, I think Pederson deserves another chance after his solid game last week. 

Not the worst result from a "don't want to be mean to poor Pedersen" perspective, but pretty sucky from any other perspective I can see. The Weid looked the goods, and I'd have liked to see him get the chance to really consolidate. 

Big bummer for me.


30 minutes ago, DubDee said:

Random stats for the week - wasn't sure where to post this:

  • We are 4th overall for average contested possessions (150) this year in the AFL - behind Sydney, Crows and GWS
  • 3rd overall for clearances behind Sydney and GWS
  • 5th overall for average tackles
  • No 1 for average hit outs (Obvs)

Great efforts by the coaches and players.  What a turnaround its been since 2013

Are we coming last or towards the bottom in any crucial stats? I wouldn't know where to look this up otherwise I would.

2 minutes ago, Ethan Tremblay said:

Are we coming last or towards the bottom in any crucial stats? I wouldn't know where to look this up otherwise I would.

5th for Clangers and 11th for dispoal effeciency.  probably not too much of a surprise there

on the positive side we are 3rd for goal kicking accuracy

im just on the AFL website, not bad but not great either

 

Surely the Weeds corky isn't that bad and this is a managed way of dropping him for Hogan, whilst saving him from being "dropped", since he can't run out a full game at AFL level.  Whilst we are an outside chance, we must play the best fittest side available until the 8 is no longer possible.

Will be going to this one and look forward to seeing big Maxy dominate this game!!!

 

4 hours ago, SPC said:

No, Dawes still being a valued member of our forward line is a myth.. The role of the pure 'decoy' forward is done.. 

He is an exceptional decoy forward in fact he is so good u would swear he was a defender.

10 minutes ago, Rossmillan said:

Surely the Weeds corky isn't that bad and this is a managed way of dropping him for Hogan, whilst saving him from being "dropped", since he can't run out a full game at AFL level.  Whilst we are an outside chance, we must play the best fittest side available until the 8 is no longer possible.

Will be going to this one and look forward to seeing big Maxy dominate this game!!!

 

Yep, that's my read too


1 hour ago, DubDee said:

5th for Clangers and 11th for dispoal effeciency. probably not too much of a surprise there

on the positive side we are 3rd for goal kicking accuracy

im just on the AFL website, not bad but not great either

 

For mine, this shows how much improvement is left in this group once they've played a bit more footy.

57 minutes ago, binman said:

Yep, that's my read too

Mine too. Particularly as that corky happened in the third and he was still limping around after the game, but it didn't stop him getting involved in the latter half of the second half.

Our mini elimination final, this is as close to a knockout final as we've played in for a while, if we win this i suspect we'd probably beat the Blues and go into a Cats game that we won last year on the back of 4 in a row and real momentum. 

i can't see North winning again this year, and i think the Swans will beat the Saints which means the Saints have to make up a big % gap on North to play finals, where our gap with them is far more manageable over 3 games.

 
12 minutes ago, Abe said:

Our mini elimination final, this is as close to a knockout final as we've played in for a while, if we win this i suspect we'd probably beat the Blues and go into a Cats game that we won last year on the back of 4 in a row and real momentum. 

i can't see North winning again this year, and i think the Swans will beat the Saints which means the Saints have to make up a big % gap on North to play finals, where our gap with them is far more manageable over 3 games.

i used the afl ladder predictor

there are a limited number of points margins you can chose but the following combo gave us the edge by 0.2%

norf lose by 30,30,12     mfc win by 30,30,12     (-72 for them, +72 for us giving a net of 144 points)   so it's a fair stretch at an average +/- 24 points per game

22 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

i used the afl ladder predictor

there are a limited number of points margins you can chose but the following combo gave us the edge by 0.2%

norf lose by 30,30,12     mfc win by 30,30,12     (-72 for them, +72 for us giving a net of 144 points)   so it's a fair stretch at an average +/- 24 points per game

I think you'll find the net points for / points against difference between us and Norf currently is 138 points ie 3 x 23 average winning margin for the Dees and 3 x 23 average losing margin for Norf would see a dead heat (how is that resolved I wonder?).  Challenging for sure but not beyond the realm by any stretch, particularly a Norf without Ben Brown.


Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Featured Content

  • NON-MFC: Round 15

    As the Demons head into their Bye Round, it's time to turn our attention to the other matches being played. Which teams are you tipping this week? And which results would be most favourable for the Demons if we can manage to turn our season around? Follow all the non-Melbourne games here and join the conversation as the ladder continues to take shape.

      • Like
    • 276 replies
  • REPORT: Port Adelaide

    Of course, it’s not the backline, you might argue and you would probably be right. It’s the boot studder (do they still have them?), the midfield, the recruiting staff, the forward line, the kicking coach, the Board, the interchange bench, the supporters, the folk at Casey, the head coach and the club psychologist  It’s all of them and all of us for having expectations that were sufficiently high to have believed three weeks ago that a restoration of the Melbourne team to a position where we might still be in contention for a finals berth when the time for the midseason bye arrived. Now let’s look at what happened over the period of time since Melbourne overwhelmed the Sydney Swans at the MCG in late May when it kicked 8.2 to 5.3 in the final quarter (and that was after scoring 3.8 to two straight goals in the second term). 

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 3 replies
  • CASEY: Essendon

    Casey’s unbeaten run was extended for at least another fortnight after the Demons overran a persistent Essendon line up by 29 points at ETU Stadium in Port Melbourne last night. After conceding the first goal of the evening, Casey went on a scoring spree from about ten minutes in, with five unanswered majors with its fleet of midsized runners headed by the much improved Paddy Cross who kicked two in quick succession and livewire Ricky Mentha who also kicked an early goal. Leading the charge was recruit of the year, Riley Bonner while Bailey Laurie continued his impressive vein of form. With Tom Campbell missing from the lineup, Will Verrall stepped up to the plate demonstrating his improvement under the veteran ruckman’s tutelage. The Demons were looking comfortable for much of the second quarter and held a 25-point lead until the Bombers struck back with two goals in the shadows of half time. On the other side of the main break their revival continued with first three goals of the half. Harry Sharp, who had been quiet scrambled in the Demons’ first score of the third term to bring the margin back to a single point at the 17 minute mark and the game became an arm-wrestle for the remainder of the quarter and into the final moments of the last.

      • Clap
    • 0 replies
  • PREGAME: Gold Coast

    The Demons have the Bye next week but then are on the road once again when they come up against the Gold Coast Suns on the Gold Coast in what could be a last ditch effort to salvage their season. Who comes in and who comes out?

      • Thanks
    • 120 replies
  • PODCAST: Port Adelaide

    The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 16th June @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we dissect the Dees disappointing loss to the Power.
    Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show.
    Listen LIVE: https://demonland.com/

      • Thanks
    • 33 replies
  • POSTGAME: Port Adelaide

    The Demons simply did not take their opportunities when they presented themselves and ultimately when down by 25 points effectively ending their finals chances. Goal kicking practice during the Bye?

      • Haha
      • Thanks
    • 252 replies