WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - ANGUS BRAYSHAW

[Spin-it-to-Goodwin-it 579]

Do yourselves a favour and check out the MFC branded highlights for Brayshaw on the club website.

Those highlights definitely showcase his speed more than the other highlights. I'm starting to believe the 2.81sec now.

Whilst I had question marks on him, I more than sold now - the kid has got something special about him.

[whatwhat say what 20,468]

His body shape and the way he runs reminds he so much of Rob Harvey.

[Moonshadow 16,648]

That smother was epic! Imagine him doing something like that in front of the members. Tackles with intent too. Going to be a fan favourite pretty quickly I reckon.

The bloke he smothered the kick of was nearly comatose on the ground afterward. Looked like his leg snapped in two.

[Bitter but optimistic 21,597]

The bloke he smothered the kick of was nearly comatose on the ground afterward. Looked like his leg snapped in two.

That's how I feel after reading your posts Moon!

[waynewussell 4,238]

A little trivia... Neale-Bullen and Brayshaw share a Birthday, just 5 days after Petracca. Could be a big week come January!

[Pennant St Dee 11,920]

A little trivia... Neale-Bullen and Brayshaw share a Birthday, just 5 days after Petracca. Could be a big week come January!

and the same day as my wife and godfather, 1 day after Elvis, 3 days after my sister, 6 days after my auntie and 4 days before my brother in law.

more trivia and it will be a big week the reason why Irish families often drink so much it's always someones birthday

[Moonshadow 16,648]

and the same day as my wife and godfather, 1 day after Elvis, 3 days after my sister, 6 days after my auntie and 4 days before my brother in law.

more trivia and it will be a big week the reason why Irish families often drink so much it's always someones birthday

And would you believe it's 3 days since he was drafted and he was drafted at no. 3!!!

[bing181 8,359]

And would you believe it's 3 days since he was drafted and he was drafted at no. 3!!!

Spooky.

[waynewussell 4,238]

I'm Irish and I kinda like the shite that's been piled on me over this post... but seriously guys, surely it's about a 1 in 366 chance that your Birthday will fall on the same day as somebody else's... but what are the odds that your Birthday will fall on the same day as another person who gets drafted on the same day to the same AFL club? Come on probability buffs... what are the odds?

[waynewussell 4,238]

It may well be that same 1 in 366!

[Elusive Tunbridge 795]

Say eighty people get drafted. The chance you have the same birthday as a particular one - 1 in 366. Eighty people, 80 in 366 - about 9 to 2 against

[Akum 2,660]

I'm Irish and I kinda like the shite that's been piled on me over this post... but seriously guys, surely it's about a 1 in 366 chance that your Birthday will fall on the same day as somebody else's... but what are the odds that your Birthday will fall on the same day as another person who gets drafted on the same day to the same AFL club? Come on probability buffs... what are the odds?

1 in 365

[Elusive Tunbridge 795]

To the same club, say four draftees, 3 in 366.

[waynewussell 4,238]

There's approx. a one in 366 chance that a draftee's birthday will fall on the same day as another draftee... but our club only had four chances in that 80 to draft someone. So... ?????

[waynewussell 4,238]

I've got a feeling its way greater than 9/2 against

[Moonshadow 16,648]

Nah, it's a dead set certainty wayne.

[mog 58]

Ignoring overage players, If each team on average takes 4 players then 72 players are drafted then it's 71/365.25 that 2 people with the same birthday will get drafted. then it's a further 3/71 that that player will be drafted to the same team.

so that makes it 216/25932.75 which is 0.83% chance that 2 players with the same birthday will drafted to the same team each year

Edited November 30, 2014 by mog

[DeeZee 6,913]

A player is going to be good one day.

[Elusive Tunbridge 795]

Ignoring overage players, If each team on average takes 4 players then 72 players are drafted then it's 71/365.25 that 2 people with the same birthday will get drafted. then it's a further 3/71 that that player will be drafted to the same team.

so that makes it 216/25932.75 which is 0.83% chance that 2 players with the same birthday will drafted to the same team each year

Sorry, mog. All wrong. The chance that a set of 72 people all have unique birthdays is very low indeed.

[Moneider96 1,045]

Say eighty people get drafted. The chance you have the same birthday as a particular one - 1 in 366. Eighty people, 80 in 366 - about 9 to 2 against

lol?

[Deecisive 1,674]

I'm Irish and I kinda like the shite that's been piled on me over this post... but seriously guys, surely it's about a 1 in 366 chance that your Birthday will fall on the same day as somebody else's... but what are the odds that your Birthday will fall on the same day as another person who gets drafted on the same day to the same AFL club? Come on probability buffs... what are the odds?

Actually the odds are not that great check out the birthday paradox, it goes something like a class of 25-30 kids at school will usually result in at least two kids having the same birthday. Given most of the draft participants fall into roughly the same age group there should have been quite a few who shared the same birth date.

[Elusive Tunbridge 795]

lol?

Yeah, rethinking. Ignoring leap years, the chance that another person has a different birthday from you is 364/365. The chance that two are different is 364/365 squared, the chance that one of them is the same as you is 1- (364/365 squared). Still pretty low, but when you raise it to the 71st power the chance of at least one person sharing a birthday with you is quite high.

[What 18,810]

There's approx. a one in 366 chance that a draftee's birthday will fall on the same day as another draftee...

Nope

[mog 58]

Sorry, mog. All wrong. The chance that a set of 72 people all have unique birthdays is very low indeed.

Ok, yeah when i was looking at it afterwards it seemed wrong, looking at the birthday paradox it's over 99.9% chance that a player will share a birthday.

I was only calculating the likely hood of each individual draftee having a teammate drafted with the same birthday, not the whole group .

If each team drafted 4 players, each player would have 3 teammates drafted with 1/365 of having the same birthday as them, so each player has 3/365(0.8%) Chance of having a team mate with the same birthday.With 72 players or 71 pairs of player combinations, with a 3/365 chance of having a team mate drafted with same birthday, making 213/365 or 58% chance of a team drafting team mates having the same birthday each year.

But i'm probably completely wrong

[Lucifers Hero 37,524]

Statistically if you randomly get 20 people together 2 of them will have the same birthday (but not the same birth year) a very large proportion of the time. Have forgotten the percentage that it holds true but is very high.

Edited November 30, 2014 by Lucifer's Hero