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Posted
Keyser Keyser Keyser

Get yourself a copy of the TAC GF & simply watch it.

He was moving just fine in this game.

He would be a HUGE get for the MFC

I did say it was maybe an exaggeration.

My point is that he may be fast, but he's not agile or quick enough to be a top 30 pick.

Posted
If that is not a sound basis for an early pick- I have not watched under age football for 40 years. He is one of the best young forwards going around and if anyone disputes me contact Andrew Johnston

AFL Victoria

Development Manager

Calder Cannons

0438 527 742

caldercannons.aflvic.com.au

Ok. I'm not disputing you. I'm sure you're VERY much behind the kid. And that's great. However, the recruiters have a clearer idea than you and I, and do this for a living. It's it's believed that he doesn't have the pace to get off a Lake/Glass type, or doesn't have the defensive minset to be able to apply pressure when the ball's on the ground or up fro grabs, then he's going to fall behind others. You do see why being 95 kilos almost HURTS his prospects on draft day? Any club looking for a player to make an immediate impact would be excited about him, sure. But his upside would probably be considered not as great as we would wish for.

Look at Jurrah. Immediate impact, very little size, but great ability. I think they're looking for more something resembling this. Better example, Watts. Size, frame, skills, great mark, got the lot including enough pace to beat a player on the lead. And a fairly considerable footy brain with defensive efforts.

I'm sure he'll get picked up. No doubt in my mind, but I would think pick 18 would be a fairly big show of faith.

Hs efforts have impressed you a lot. And that's fair enough, but he's not yet done it against men (has he?). So they have to look at past players recruited. Zomer was a pacey big guy that can take a grab, and he's done nothing.

Like you say, the fact that he HAS kicked goals, will play in his favour. I'm just not so sure it will as much as you want it to. I could be wrong, but hey, as long as we get one or two of Carlisle (apparently we're keen as on him), Butcher, Talia or Temel I think I'll be happy enough.

Posted
I'D TRY TO PICK HIM UP @11

You're seriously deluded if you think he's in consideration for pick 11. Whilst he performed well during the last 5 weeks of the TAC, he has far less upside and potential than other KPF's worth considering at picks 11 and 18 such as Carlisle, Panos, Black, Griffin or Butcher. Whilst he has the size and strength advantage at TAC level, his skills and workrate dictate that there is a lot of development work to be done for him to reach an AFL standard. At best he may be a consideration as a smokey for pick 18, although suggest he'll be picked up in the 3rd or 4th round.

For what its worth, I was speaking with Shifter last week at the camp and he reckons Temel would have been rookie listed up until 3 or 4 weeks ago and believes that his TAC final form will see him move up the pecking order and that he'll be picked up as a 3rd round pick.

Posted
Dont get me wrong .. I don't want it to seem that I'm being harsh on Serhat.

But there are aspects of his game that need rapid improvement:

For example, Robertson ran off Temel three times - before Serhat decided to follow him.

It's the little things like this that youtube recruiters tend to miss.

He missed the Vic Metro side for 2 resons:

*The Coaches were not impressed with his attitude.

*He wrote himself off in the rooms before one of the intra club practice games trying to do a handstand (true story lol).

However, he's improved thus far, so perhaps he can improve more.

... or he could be the next Fev.

I would pick the guy up based on this alone! It's the nuts ones who seem to make the best players (Buddy, Dermie, Locket, Jakovich etc). Granted they could fizzle out just as quick, but if a player could dominate for us, I wouldn't mind if he was a complete headcase.

Posted
You're seriously deluded if you think he's in consideration for pick 11. Whilst he performed well during the last 5 weeks of the TAC, he has far less upside and potential than other KPF's worth considering at picks 11 and 18 such as Carlisle, Panos, Black, Griffin or Butcher. Whilst he has the size and strength advantage at TAC level, his skills and workrate dictate that there is a lot of development work to be done for him to reach an AFL standard. At best he may be a consideration as a smokey for pick 18, although suggest he'll be picked up in the 3rd or 4th round.

For what its worth, I was speaking with Shifter last week at the camp and he reckons Temel would have been rookie listed up until 3 or 4 weeks ago and believes that his TAC final form will see him move up the pecking order and that he'll be picked up as a 3rd round pick.

Butcher will not likely get to 11, but Carlisle may - from the little I have seen of his highlights, he seems to have more attributes that Temel, who lacks a yard and is said to lack defensive skills or even interest!

Posted
Name me all the slow full forwards at AFL level today?

For the ones that play full forward -I would say none are all that slow. I don't get your point-if you think Serhat is slow- get real Name another player at this level whom has kicked 22 or over during a final series.Voss kicked 14 one final .Goodes kicked 5 in a grand final you name some others please.


Posted

The club wouldn't be stupid enough to use anything lower than pick 34 on this guy. He is a big lump with a good kick, but that's it. No way we use anything earlier than 34. Cant believe I see people with mock drafts wanting him at 11?! Are you mental? Talia, Tapscott, Butcher, Panos, Carlisle and a host more are all far more talented and better prospects.

Posted
For the ones that play full forward -I would say none are all that slow. I don't get your point-if you think Serhat is slow- get real Name another player at this level whom has kicked 22 or over during a final series.Voss kicked 14 one final .Goodes kicked 5 in a grand final you name some others please.

Do you remember a kid by the name of Luke Herrington? He kicked 50 odd goals in 15 games in 2003. He played in the national under 18s championships and kicked 17 goals in 3 games, including 9 goals in a game against WA. He had 2 chances to be drafted as an under 18.

Just because you kick goals at under 18 level, it doesn't mean that you can do it at AFL level. Recruiters get paid to judge whether or not a player will be a good AFL player, not whether they are a good under 18 player. I can reel off a bunch of good under 18s players that couldn't cut it at AFL level, and also a bunch of good AFL players that weren't exceptional under 18s players.

Everyone is trying to help you understand because you've got great energy, but eventually they'll give up.

Posted
Do you remember a kid by the name of Luke Herrington? He kicked 50 odd goals in 15 games in 2003. He played in the national under 18s championships and kicked 17 goals in 3 games, including 9 goals in a game against WA. He had 2 chances to be drafted as an under 18.

Just because you kick goals at under 18 level, it doesn't mean that you can do it at AFL level. Recruiters get paid to judge whether or not a player will be a good AFL player, not whether they are a good under 18 player. I can reel off a bunch of good under 18s players that couldn't cut it at AFL level, and also a bunch of good AFL players that weren't exceptional under 18s players.

Everyone is trying to help you understand because you've got great energy, but eventually they'll give up.

Exactly.

It'd be interesting to compare Tom Rockcliff's TAC stats to that of Jack Watts.

  • 2 months later...
Posted

Possible pick 18? Wow, that thread title needs some work.

Hutchy and Shifter have a LOT to answer for.

They also had Jesse Crichton going first round.

Posted (edited)
you are away with the birds- if you do not think this bloke can play 22 goals in 5 finals. Any wager he does not go under 30.

You are joking mate.

... any wager, you say?

Edit: I don't even pretend that I'm too classy to say "I told you so."

Edited by Keyser Söze

Posted

Unfortunately my claim that "Temel's pick > 3x Butcher's pick" is not true. Unfortunately 'undrafted' does not have a numeric value attached to it, so one side of my equation is undefined and hence I cannot claim victory.

Posted

Gee - just shows how wrong was I as well as others. Just shows why BP & others went for best picks rather than needs. All recruitors must not havethought much of the Full forward types- Temel not picked up at all-went poorly in State screening & Panos- picked up Rookie 3rd round by Bulldogs. Don't mind having a Temel pie in my face. I'll be following his future.

However, very surprised Selection #10 – Jake Melksham-Essendon ,whom was voted best on ground , just ahead of Temel - whom kicked 5 in Grand Final are miles apart. Interesting, how our brains work.

Posted

There's 3 sets of rankings:

1. The "Big Footy" pre-draft rankings

2. The paid recruiters actual draft picks

3. The realised talent of the selected players in the AFL

The real "Sliders" - players who play above their ranking and the real "Bolters" - players who don't live up to their draft ranking, wont be known for 4-5 years.


Posted
Unfortunately my claim that "Temel's pick > 3x Butcher's pick" is not true. Unfortunately 'undrafted' does not have a numeric value attached to it, so one side of my equation is undefined and hence I cannot claim victory.

well you can... 180 selections all up, without Temel being selected... So theoretically, Temel's pick is somewhere greater than 180...

therefore:

Pick Temel in the set of [181 - infinity] > Pick 24 (3x Butcher's pick)

Posted
well you can... 180 selections all up, without Temel being selected... So theoretically, Temel's pick is somewhere greater than 180...

therefore:

Pick Temel in the set of [181 - infinity] > Pick 24 (3x Butcher's pick)

nice B)

Posted

I am amazed this guy didn't get on a rookie list. He will have to work at it, I am sure next year could be nicer to the big lad with an expanded draft. Could still be a demon yet!

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