Jump to content

THE RUN HOME 2020


Whispering_Jack

Recommended Posts

Umm don't we have to beat the druggos. If we do then we will be relying on the filth to lose both their games. Saints will beat GWS and the dogs won't lose to Hawthorn or Freo.

Maybe this is my anti filth bias comming out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So as it stands, to make it we need to beat Essendon and then:

  1. the Dogs lose to Fremantle; or
  2. Collingwood loses to both Gold Coast and Port; or
  3. St Kilda loses to GWS and we bridge the current percentage gap - which is, on my maths, around a 50-point swing (i.e. we win by 25, they lose by 25).

Two of these options could be off the table by the time we play - Collingwood plays tomorrow night and St Kilda v GWS is Friday night.

But, even if those results go against us, we will be playing on Saturday with a spot in the 8 up for grabs, as a win will at least temporarily put us back above the Dogs. They failed to catch our percentage today so provided we beat Essendon, they'll have to then beat Fremantle to get back above us.

If Collingwood loses tomorrow night, then we'll also be waiting until next Monday night to see if Collingwood also loses to Port.

The least stressful way home for us at this point is for St Kilda to lose on Friday and we win by enough to bridge the percentage gap on Saturday. We'll be locked in if that happens no matter what.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Together with my colleagues of the cloth, I have arranged an interdenominational day of prayer in Brisbane commencing with a dawn service in the city, followed by a march to Woolloongabba where we will circle the cricket ground and offer prayers for the health and welfare of the Gold Coast Suns as they undertake their mission to beat Collingwood. If successful, there will be further services next week targeting St Kilda, Essendon, Footscray with a repeat of tomorrow’s event on Monday week. Amen.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Dogs are playing at Cazaly Stadium on 6:10pm next Sunday..

Freo have already played at that ground so you think that's an advantage.

Hopefully its blowing a gale and heavy rain, that would at least slow the dogs down.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, The Rebbe said:

Together with my colleagues of the cloth, I have arranged an interdenominational day of prayer in Brisbane commencing with a dawn service in the city, followed by a march to Woolloongabba where we will circle the cricket ground and offer prayers for the health and welfare of the Gold Coast Suns as they undertake their mission to beat Collingwood. If successful, there will be further services next week targeting St Kilda, Essendon, Footscray with a repeat of tomorrow’s event on Monday week. Amen.

Don;'t forget Melbourne. We need prayers more than anyone.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, The Rebbe said:

Yes, as advised, we will be targeting Essendon. Their entire team will turn into a pillar of salt at 2:10 pm this Saturday.

We need a miracle.

Like the Red Sea parting .

If you could ask the question we'd all be grateful.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites


What's the bet that either:

1) We [censored] the Bombers, but finish 0.1% behind St Kilda; or

2) All the other results go our way, but Joe Daniher slots one from the boundary to beat us after the siren.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, bandicoot said:

The best chance dees have is for the saints to lose and dees to win big. 

there are some systemic issues with the club that will need to be addressed at seasons end regardless of the result. 

Maybe. Freo's been playing some decent footy lately so they're probably just as likely to win as we are to make up an ~8 goals worth of percentage on St Kilda after they lose to GWS.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Accepting Mediocrity said:

What's the bet that either:

1) We [censored] the Bombers, but finish 0.1% behind St Kilda; or

2) All the other results go our way, but Joe Daniher slots one from the boundary to beat us after the siren.

If we lose under any circumstances I really hope the other results don’t go our way. That would be the salt in the wound. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sorry if this plan was mentioned before . I haven’t read all contributions.....Another scenario is GWS beats Saints by 3 goals , we beat Essendon by 6 goals , that’s fixed the percentage ,Pies and Dogs win out and we go through at Saints expense 

Edited by demonique
Link to comment
Share on other sites

If the Giants can beat St K by even a point then for the best part of 2 hours on Saturday afternoon our destiny is in our own hands as we'll know exactly how much we need to win by to overtake them and pilfer their finals berth. If that's 10 goals then so be it. We've done it 3 times this year already. If the Dogs win too then they can join us. 

If we fall short of what we need, be it by 1 point or 59, but still win our game then we're at least still in the mix until the Sunday evening. 

After losses to Sydney and Freo could we really have hoped for anything better going into round 18 ? 

No, I'm not expecting GC to do a number on Collingwood tomorrow night. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Rab D Nesbitt said:

If the Giants can beat St K by even a point then for the best part of 2 hours on Saturday afternoon our destiny is in our own hands as we'll know exactly how much we need to win by to overtake them and pilfer their finals berth.

Oh dear, didnt know they played the night before us.   If the Giants get up....  

Link to comment
Share on other sites


Not likely to happen now I think. A win against the Swans would have changed the maths but no we missed that boat yet again. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Pickett2Jackson said:

Oh dear, didnt know they played the night before us.   If the Giants get up....  

It’s doubly good that it is played before us. Not only because if the Giants win we know how much we need to win by % wise but also it still gives the Giants incentive to win. If we played before them and won there is zero incentive for them to win as they have no chance to make it. 

 Not saying they wouldn’t try to win but perhaps mentally they may have check out. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Earl Hood said:

Not likely to happen now I think. A win against the Swans would have changed the maths but no we missed that boat yet again. 

We actually missed two boats in 4 days. 

Not to mention that a win against the Bulldogs a few weeks earlier would have made all this maths moot. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, Hell Bent said:

If Giants beat Saints by 3 goals for example,  red have to beat Essendon by roughly 6 goals. 

Yes it's a tough ask but it is possible. Will be barracking hard for Giants next week! 

 

Sorry Hell, just read your piece after I wrote  the same scenario 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Pickett2Jackson said:

Oh dear, didnt know they played the night before us.   If the Giants get up....  

Just let this week play out in bitesize chunks P2J. 

Forget about torturing yourself by watching tomorrow night and save that for Friday. Just check the scores the following morning like you would your lottery numbers. The odds of being pleasantly surprised will be similar. 

On Friday just will GWS to get over the line by hook or by crook. Cheer Toby Green if you find it necessary. 

Assuming the Giants come out on top then we have a window of time on Saturday where we are totally in control of our own destiny. Nothing that has happened in the preceding 17 weeks or in the following 48 hours will matter. We have one final opportunity to get the job done or go home. 

We get the chocolates but the numbers don't stack up ? We have one more go at the lottery. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Accepting Mediocrity said:

What's the bet that either:

1) We [censored] the Bombers, but finish 0.1% behind St Kilda; or

2) All the other results go our way, but Joe Daniher slots one from the boundary to beat us after the siren.

I'm not sure what will be worse.

I think the former - missing out for the second time in four years by a tiny percentage. Will make us go back to the close losses (Brisbane, Geelong) and the moments within games (letting Carlton back in from 42 points up, conceding a goal in the last second of the Fremantle loss, Tomlinson's miss vs Geelong, Bennell's miss vs Brisbane, Hannan failing to see Viney on his own in the final minutes of the Brisbane loss...etc...).

Maybe not though. Maybe losing to Essendon and then watching Fremantle belt the Dogs would be worse.

Not sure.

But I'm mentally prepared for both.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • Demonland Forums  

  • Match Previews, Reports & Articles  

    2024 Player Reviews: #31 Bayley Fritsch

    Once again the club’s top goal scorer but he had a few uncharacteristic flat spots during the season and the club will be looking for much better from him in 2025. Date of Birth: 6 December 1996 Height: 188cm Games MFC 2024: 23 Career Total: 149 Goals MFC 2024: 41 Career Total: 252 Brownlow Medal Votes: 4

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 8

    2024 Player Reviews: #18 Jake Melksham

    After sustaining a torn ACL in the final match of the 2023 season Jake added a bit to the attack late in the 2024 season upon his return. He has re-signed on to the Demons for 1 more season in 2025. Date of Birth: 12 August 1991 Height: 186cm Games MFC 2024: 8 Career Total: 229 Goals MFC 2024: 8 Career Total: 188

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 5

    2024 Player Reviews: #3 Christian Salem

    The luckless Salem suffered a hamstring injury against the Lions early in the season and, after missing a number of games, he was never at his best. He was also inconvenienced by minor niggles later in the season. This was a blow for the club that sorely needed him to fill gaps in the midfield at times as well as to do his best work in defence. Date of Birth: 15 July 1995 Height: 184cm Games MFC 2024: 17 Career Total: 176 Goals MFC 2024: 1 Career Total: 26 Brownlow Meda

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 7

    2024 Player Reviews: #39 Koltyn Tholstrop

    The first round draft pick at #13 from twelve months ago the strongly built medium forward has had an impressive introduction to AFL football and is expected to spend more midfield moments as his career progresses. Date of Birth: 25 July 2005 Height: 186cm Games MFC 2024: 10 Career Total: 10 Goals MFC 2024: 5 Career Total: 5 Games CDFC 2024: 7 Goals CDFC 2024: 4

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 6

    2024 Player Reviews: #42 Daniel Turner

    The move of “Disco” to a key forward post looks like bearing fruit. Turner has good hands, moves well and appears to be learning the forward craft well. Will be an interesting watch in 2025. Date of Birth: January 28, 2002 Height: 195cm Games MFC 2024: 15 Career Total: 18 Goals MFC 2024: 17 Career Total: 17 Games CDFC 2024: 1 Goals CDFC 2024:  1

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 15

    2024 Player Reviews: #8 Jake Lever

    The Demon’s key defender and backline leader had his share of injuries and niggles throughout the season which prevented him from performing at his peak.  Date of Birth: 5 March 1996 Height: 195cm Games MFC 2024: 18 Career Total: 178 Goals MFC 2024: 1 Career Total: 5

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 1

    2024 Player Reviews: #13 Clayton Oliver

    Lack of preparation after a problematic preseason prevented Oliver from reaching the high standards set before last year’s hamstring woes. He carried injury right through the back half of the season and was controversially involved in a potential move during the trade period that was ultimately shut down by the club. Date of Birth:  22 July 1997 Height:  189cm Games MFC 2024:  21 Career Total: 183 Goals MFC 2024: 3 Career Total: 54 Brownlow Medal Votes: 5

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 17

    BLOODY BLUES by Meggs

    The conclusion to Narrm’s home and away season was the inevitable let down by the bloody Blues  who meekly capitulated to the Bombers.   The 2024 season fixture handicapped the Demons chances from the get-go with Port Adelaide, Brisbane and Essendon advantaged with enough gimme games to ensure a tough road to the finals, especially after a slew of early season injuries to star players cost wins and percentage.     As we strode confidently through the gates of Prin

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 3

    2024 Player Reviews: #5 Christian Petracca

    Melbourne’s most important player who dominated the first half of the season until his untimely injury in the Kings Birthday clash put an end to his season. At the time, he was on his way to many personal honours and the club in strong finals contention. When the season did end for Melbourne and Petracca was slowly recovering, he was engulfed in controversy about a possible move of clubs amid claims about his treatment by the club in the immediate aftermath of his injury. Date of Birth: 4 J

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 21
  • Tell a friend

    Love Demonland? Tell a friend!

×
×
  • Create New...