25 minutes ago, Fifty-5 said:

Hawthorn v Geelong - both horrible.

True, but if I compare the 2 coaches the decision is easy.

18 minutes ago, sue said:

True, but if I compare the 2 coaches the decision is easy.

Nope - still impossible for me - both horrible.

I will give Roughead >>> Selwood though

Edited August 10, 20186 yr by Fifty-5

21 hours ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

It's not as far fetched as you think, Geelong overtaking us on %. See below scenario:

MELBOURNE (13 wins - 9 losses)

Vs Sydney - 100 - 80 win

V's WCE - 80 -100 loss

V's GWS - 80-100 loss

Final percentage - 126.59

 

GEELONG (13-9)

V's Haw - 80-100 loss

V's Freo - 150 - 70 win

V's GC - 150 - 40 win

FInal percentage - 126.84

 

Do you seriousluy want to rely on Freo and GC to put in competetitve efforts at GHMBA stadium when both clubs have already put the cue in the rack? It's better that Geelong win this week and put Hawthorn in jeopardy.

 

 

Id rather it come down to Gee % than Syd beating Haw in the last round for us to make it.

21 hours ago, Fifty-5 said:

IMO the most likely safe path to the 8 with 13 wins:

R21: MFC d Syd
R21: Geel d Haw
R22: Ade d Nth

Then North and the loser of Sydney and Hawthorn in the last round cannot make it no matter what else  happens in R22 and 23.

Haw can still loose to syd in that scenario and still make it. Its the Adel v Nth game that will decide our fate if we loose the last 2.

16 minutes ago, Grimes Times said:

Haw can still loose to syd in that scenario and still make it. Its the Adel v Nth game that will decide our fate if we loose the last 2.

Yes they can if Sydney also lose to GWS, but they can't make it ahead of us which is the key point.  I should have said the loser of Sydney v Hawthorn cannot finish ahead of us.

Adelaide d North is key I agree

Edited August 10, 20186 yr by Fifty-5

Well I'm glad we've cleared all this up ?

I am now in the "we need to win 2 games to make finals" camp. so I will not be celebrating too hard on Sunday night even if us and the Hawks win. although I will get pretty drunk id say, but a more reasoned, respectable drunk

6 hours ago, Whispering_Jack said:

That there are so many interesting games in this round demonstrates exactly why the AFL should not predetermine the Friday night participants so far ahead.

The difficulties of fixturing are appreciated but at least the last four rounds could be left until a bit later so that we don’t have to put up with Friday night games like Essendon v St Kilda as we must do tonight. 

if Channel 7 had the sort of influence over fixturing that some (well SWYL to be precise) say then they would have used that influence to have floating fixtures to maximise the likelihood Friday nights were corkers.

i suspect the AFL will move to floating Fridays night soon enough as ratings are an important barometer for the AFL - though you wouldn't think it given their stoopid choices this year.

Much in as much as i dislike Hawks, last weeks result was indicative of everything possible was done by AFL to get a different result. They don't want Hawks, North or Swans anymore. They want Cats, TWSNBN and lowly GWS(taking the place of Syd) in the Eight.

They probably realized that Footscray and Richmond's success in the last two years self generated big membership increases anyway, so that brings us MFC in as well. Hope so.......

23 hours ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

;;;;

GEELONG (13-9)

V's Haw - 80-100 loss

V's Freo - 150 - 70 win

V's GC - 150 - 40 win

FInal percentage - 126.84

'''''

Given Geelong's average differential is less than 16 points, I can't see them winning their last two games by 80 and 110 points respectively,

The Cats have won 6 or their 7 matches at K Park by an average .of 30 points.

41 minutes ago, M_9 said:

Given Geelong's average differential is less than 16 points, I can't see them winning their last two games by 80 and 110 points respectively,

The Cats have won 6 or their 7 matches at K Park by an average .of 30 points.

Fair enough.

I guess Freo might provide half a contest (particularly if Fyfe's back) and keep the margin to 8-10 goals.

It's the GC game I'm really worried about. They are so un-competitive at the moment. 

Lions to beat the filth. 

2 hours ago, dl4e said:

Lions to beat the filth. 

Oh please God, make this happen 

Anyone think the Saints might be a sneaky chance to completely shut the door on the Bombers' finals aspirations??

Anyone??

6 minutes ago, Wiseblood said:

Anyone think the Saints might be a sneaky chance to completely shut the door on the Bombers' finals aspirations??

Anyone??

Not if they continue to serve up the rubbish they currently are. 

who's the worst kicking side - aints or peptides?

this screams out as being a super-ugly watch

Wow, that was a huge hit by Brown. Gone??? 

2 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Wow, that was a huge hit by Brown. Gone??? 

Absolutely.  He smashed Saad long after he got rid of it and knocked him out in the process.  He'll get 3-4 weeks at the very least.

Wasn't it only a couple of weeks ago that Christian said it was ok to bump a guy after he disposes of the ball as long as the ball's still within 5 metres?

1 minute ago, FireInTheBelly said:

Wasn't it only a couple of weeks ago that Christian said it was ok to bump a guy after he disposes of the ball as long as the ball's still within 5 metres?

That wasn't within 5 metres. Clearly the ball was gone from the contest. Perfect bump, just a second or more too late. 1 week, maybe 2.

1 minute ago, Chook said:

That wasn't within 5 metres. Clearly the ball was gone from the contest. Perfect bump, just a second or more too late. 1 week, maybe 2.

Fair enough

Just now, Chook said:

That wasn't within 5 metres. Clearly the ball was gone from the contest. Perfect bump, just a second or more too late. 1 week, maybe 2.

Not so sure about that.  If he gets him in the head, which I believe he did, then it's hardly a perfect bump.

Mixed messages

That was a careless and dangerous bump. Talk is about did his head hit the shoulder or did the head hit the ground. Irrelevant. The bump caused the hit. That was as dangerous as a punch but I doubt will get the same press, revulsion, or weeks.

And not even a free kick. StK gets the free kick and a goal. That was poor all around.

Protect the head?.... an empty commitment.

3 minutes ago, Wiseblood said:

Not so sure about that.  If he gets him in the head, which I believe he did, then it's hardly a perfect bump.

If he got him in the head, then it's 4-5 weeks. I don't think he did get him in the head.

2 minutes ago, Bigred said:

Mixed messages

That was a careless and dangerous bump. Talk is about did his head hit the shoulder or did the head hit the ground. Irrelevant. The bump caused the hit. That was as dangerous as a punch but I doubt will get the same press, revulsion, or weeks.

And not even a free kick. StK gets the free kick and a goal. That was poor all around.

Protect the head?.... an empty commitment.

It was a free kick downfield and advantage to Essendon, who scored a behind.

I thought it was shoulder to shoulder initially but it seems the top of the shoulder made contact with Saad’s head.