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GAMEDAY - Round 15

Whispering_Jack
in Melbourne Demons

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35 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

Nearest to the pin - name your BOG and their stats today

BOG -  Jake Melksham

21 disposals, 5 goals, 6 tackles, 6 inside 50's

Hogan 23 disposals and 8 goals.

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    36 minutes ago, Kumamoto_Ken said:

    Doing Dry July in support of the wife.

    Demons will most likely test my resolve. Is it against the spirit to pay for a cheat day on the very first day? 

    Same here... a loss today will likely give way to the shortest dry July run ever. ?

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    35 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

    Nearest to the pin - name your BOG and their stats today

    BOG -  Jake Melksham

    21 disposals, 5 goals, 6 tackles, 6 inside 50's

    BOG - Jack Steven

    45 disposals, 3 goals, 13 tackles, 12 inside 50's

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    43 minutes ago, Kumamoto_Ken said:

    Doing Dry July in support of the wife.

    Demons will most likely test my resolve. Is it against the spirit to pay for a cheat day on the very first day? 

    I’m doing Rye July, gonna be tough but I’m willing to give bourbon a good crack!

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    1 minute ago, DubDee said:

    I’m doing Rye July, gonna be tough but I’m willing to give bourbon a good crack!

    Rye July... :) :)   thats Gold....  ( or a very dark amber ;) ) 

    • Haha 1

    11 minutes ago, SFebey said:

    BOG - Jack Steven

    45 disposals, 3 goals, 13 tackles, 12 inside 50's

    Beau Maister to kick 6.

    • Haha 1

    Incredible to think, but if we lost today by 20+ points and North beat Essendon we would fall out of the 8.

    cant get to ground today as SWMBO  insisted upon my attendance at a family shindig  :(  I cut a deal...the telly in the movie room with a bar is fair game ;)    Im not really into cuddling noobs and gooing  over baby talk.   Im sure I'll be joined  by other XY's :)

     
    4 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

    Incredible to think, but if we lost today by 20+ points and North beat Essendon we would fall out of the 8.

    dont go there..........step back from ......... pour yourself a frothy...Drink......repeat.....

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    Nearest to the pin -

    Bog Tmac 7 goals 2 points . 14 kicks 1 handball 8 marks 


    not my thing...but what the Hell

    Dees by 19 points  81 v 62

    T mac  3 goals, Jesse 3 goals

    BOG  Oliver......closely followed by the Gus

    I reckon the Aints will try to tie us up. The G had fat wings..if they can corral us to one side ( easily done apparently ) they can stifle our inside50's.

    If they crowd our forward 50 will will suffocate. Interesting game ahead...interesting....but not pretty

    If we are being reasonable, we have only put in 3 bad performances this year, against Richmond, Hawthorn and the Pies. Outside of that we have been pretty consistent with our efforts and the style of footy we play. 

    I see no reason at all for it not to continue. The Saints aren't much chop and, while I can see the having a dip, our pressure and effort around the ball will prove too much in the end. 

    Dees by 6 goals. 

    Edited by Wiseblood

    54 minutes ago, dl4e said:

    and the train to Belgrave is torture after a loss.

    Ouch. That would be a good hour journey wouldn't it? 


    Summary of the 2 teams - Last Round Statistical Comparison

    image.png.1f0a1829d1bf8eba3182869529aa252d.png

    image.png.be90022897a8c1d086ccae631efb3301.png

    image.png.168d3fb9b5ee12f61d401e5da6c3ec4b.png

    Note:  The omission of Vince and injection of Petty impacts experience / age average substantially and obviously adds an extra sub 50 gamer and one less in the 150 plus. . No time to alter.  This obviously works in favour of the Saints on these stats although i have not altered for the Saints Ins/Outs.  Approx guide only.

    Top 10 Players Last Round Comparison - Score / Rank*

    image.png.b18684752f410b091e4898bb0e3089c5.png

    * Scores do not account for ruckman's Hit Outs to Advantage.

    Overall Team Score Comparison (from each team's last encounter)

    Demons:  55.08^    Saints:  59.97^

    Weighted Score Differential:   Demons -4.88

    ^ includes the Saints/Demon "Ins/Outs" with notional scores for Geary, Joyce & Petty of 2.0 a piece and using Weids' average for the season of 1.513 (excludes hit outs to advantage in resting ruck roles).

    The Demons played a genuine top 8 side in it's last round vs the Saints only win against as bottom 4 club.  The Saints coming off a buy so it's a long time between games to be judging any form now, especially using stats alone.  The two glaring aspects of the Saints win against the Suns from public stats....Lack of pressure with only 9 one percenters vs the Demons 43.  And clearances.... Demons 54 (against a top 8 rated mid field) vs the Saints 44 (against a bottom 4 team).  We bring similar intensity vs Port with pressure on the ball carrier, inside winning the clearances AND provided we are reasonably efficient on the scoreboard and this SHOULD turn into a solid but not spectacular win.  Fingers crossed we bring it.

    Pure Stats Predictor:  The Saints by 14 points

    Edited by Rusty Nails

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    Does this mean it becomes a draw ?     I think after their bye and our loss   we will react more aggressive for the inside 50s 

    and we should win by 6 goals or a touch more   but I know nuthin  

     

    Go Dees

    thanks @Rusty Nails   quite sobering !!

    A lot of folk need to be prepared for a closer game than many suspect

    Think this will be like the Essendon game. A comfortable 6 goal win, after a dismal game against Collingwood (Hawthorn) followed by an improved but still losing effort vs Port (Richmond). Hopefully the start to another 6 game winning streak ?

    NO LATE CHANGES

    FINAL INTERCHANGES

    Melbourne: James Harmes, Christian Petracca, Dom Tyson, Josh Smith

    St Kilda: Luke Dunstan, Hunter Clark, Paddy McCartin, Darragh Joyce

    • Thanks 1

    Heading in now on train.

    Looks to be a beautiful winters afternoon.

    I hope the boys are switched on from the first bounce. Flat track bullies or not, home games have been very average this year.

    A big win would be nice.

    Edited by DSP

    Holy shut the door! Just realised it’s an early game... was thinking later.

    Need to drop the oil and spin a filter on the Mustang pronto.

    • Haha 1

    Obviously a must win game today. This is one of the four games we can’t afford to lose (Saints, Freo, Dogs, Suns). It would be good to get another percentage boost, but at this stage I’ll just take the four points. 

    Reckon Brayshaw will have a good game today, seems to play well against the Saints from memory.

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    Gorgeous day here at the G. Go Dees.

    Dees win by 28 points.

     

    1 hour ago, beelzebub said:

    not my thing...but what the Hell

    Dees by 19 points  81 v 62

    T mac  3 goals, Jesse 3 goals

    BOG  Oliver......closely followed by the Gus

    I reckon the Aints will try to tie us up. The G had fat wings..if they can corral us to one side ( easily done apparently ) they can stifle our inside50's.

    If they crowd our forward 50 will will suffocate. Interesting game ahead...interesting....but not pretty

    Let us hope that we do not forget the whole Southern Stand side of the game as we did against the Filth.

    It is a patch of blue in which to run freely (aka Travis Johnston) for fwd attacks and our historical usage thereof has led to great success over the years. When our players cramp the Members flank opposite, it is time to go home as we will surely lose the game. Carna Dees!

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