How many wins will we end up with in 2016

[old dee 23,792]

3 minutes ago, monoccular said:

I said after the Essendon loss that this team, this club, has lost my trust......two more losses to the mediocre Saints only reinforces my heartbreak.

Complain all you like about lack of loyalty, but I have followed this club for 60+ years and am absolutely gutted by these repeated losses against teams we should beat, easily.

 

 

Not sure this is any conciliation mono but you are not alone.

After Sundays loss it became very obvious to me that I had gifted a number of players with more ability than they have.

I am trying to remind myself that we are still coming from a lone way back and still have a number of players who will not take us above the bottom six.

I am clinging desperately to this theory but I am rapidly running out of finger nails.

 

 

[Jaded No More 68,921]

We should win 10. If we don't beat CG and Carlton at home, then really it just shows that we haven't mentally improved enough.

Statistically we are miles ahead of last year, and we have shown a lot of promise at times this season, but we have to start beating teams that are at our level or below us on a very regular basis, since we can't beat anyone better than us at the moment.

Anything less than 10 wins to me is a failure.

[old dee 23,792]

1 minute ago, Jaded said:

We should win 10. If we don't beat CG and Carlton at home, then really it just shows that we haven't mentally improved enough.

Statistically we are miles ahead of last year, and we have shown a lot of promise at times this season, but we have to start beating teams that are at our level or below us on a very regular basis, since we can't beat anyone better than us at the moment.

Anything less than 10 wins to me is a failure.

Agree with most of that Jaded. I am still confident we can beat those two.

However that is it for me I cannot see a win in any of the other games so 9 wins and only one win against a top eight team in round two.

 

[MadAsHell 4,212]

9 wins was my pass mark at the start of the year and after the Essendon loss i had doubts we may even achieve that.

9 wins remains my pass.

[The Song Formerly Known As 6,479]

10 was my pass mark. 

10 is my pass mark. Would love to take a scalp of some sort. 

[old dee 23,792]

31 minutes ago, The Song Formerly Known As said:

10 was my pass mark. 

10 is my pass mark. Would love to take a scalp of some sort. 

wouldn't we all Song.

But I have zero confidence they will do it in 2016.

[Radar Detector 1,347]

1 minute ago, old dee said:

wouldn't we all Song.

But I have zero confidence they will do it in 2016.

OD, you've gone back to sounding like Eeyore!! Where's the brazen positivity from a month or 2 ago?

[beelzebub 23,377]

8 hours ago, america de cali said:

Having our best win for the entire season coming in round 1 is a strong statement for failure over the entire season. Just shows we have gone backwards.

Not sure if backwards, definitely not forward

[beelzebub 23,377]

20 minutes ago, Radar Detector said:

OD, you've gone back to sounding like Eeyore!! Where's the brazen positivity from a month or 2 ago?

The mighty Dees have yet again kicked it out of him

[Ricky P 757]

3 hours ago, old dee said:

You are joking Ricky I assume.

The loss streak to the WCE in Perth must be as long as the saints record and they are a better side than the Saints.

Mentally this team has lost this game before they get on the plane.

There would not be one  player at the MFC that in their hearts believes they can win this game any more than the thought they could last weekend.

The result will be similar but with a wider margin.

 

 

Well, I definitely won't be tipping us, but we're a sneaky chance. West Coast aren't much good and we've bounced back from poor performances in the past e.g. Rnd 3 this year.

We beat Geelong in Geelong last year, Adelaide in Adelaide the year before. Also beat two finals teams last year in the Doggies and Tigers. And we've beaten GWS this year. I'm finding it quite funny watching the 'we never take any scalps' brigade pretending that things didn't happen :).

[old dee 23,792]

34 minutes ago, Radar Detector said:

OD, you've gone back to sounding like Eeyore!! Where's the brazen positivity from a month or 2 ago?

I finally woke up we have far more ordinary players than I thought.

[old dee 23,792]

1 minute ago, Ricky P said:

Well, I definitely won't be tipping us, but we're a sneaky chance. West Coast aren't much good and we've bounced back from poor performances in the past e.g. Rnd 3 this year.

We beat Geelong in Geelong last year, Adelaide in Adelaide the year before. Also beat two finals teams last year in the Doggies and Tigers. And we've beaten GWS this year. I'm finding it quite funny watching the 'we never take any scalps' brigade pretending that things didn't happen :).

Four wins in three years is hardly convincing Ricky.

We have developed from a VFL team in 2013 into a bottom six team in 2016 

But we still have a long way to go.

[Ricky P 757]

1 minute ago, old dee said:

Four wins in three years is hardly convincing Ricky.

We have developed from a VFL team in 2013 into a bottom six team in 2016 

But we still have a long way to go.

Hardly convincing of what?

[beelzebub 23,377]

4 minutes ago, old dee said:

I finally woke up we have far more ordinary players than I thought.

Not just players

[Ricky P 757]

Ok, so I've decided to cheat my employer and destroy this 'we don't beat anyone good' garbage once and for all.

- Under Roos, 27.78% of the victories we've had have been against teams that played in the finals (2/4 in 2014, 2/7 in 2015, 1/7 in 2016). I challenge you to find a team that has been as poor as us at any time in football history that has had OVER A QUARTER of its wins against finals teams. That doesn't include our best win in a decade against Geelong at Geelong! And that's slipped this year - it was 36.36% at the start of the season!

- Under Roos, 55.56% of our wins have been against teams above us on the ladder (4/4 in 2014, 5/7 in 2015, 1/7 in 2016). How can anyone say we only beat the poor teams when OVER HALF of our victories are against teams that are above us! Once again, that has slipped this year. It was a whopping 81.82% at the start of the year. Last year we only won 2 of the 6 games against teams below us.

So really, when people say we don't beat anyone good, they really mean "we haven't beaten anyone good this season except for the time that we did".

If you wish to continue to believe that 2 + 2 = 5 then that is your prerogative and I apologise sincerely for my pesky "facts" and "things that happened in real life".

Edited July 19, 2016 by Ricky P

[beelzebub 23,377]

So with true Dave Allen logic then....we struggle to beat teams BELOW us 

[John Crow Batty 8,863]

8 minutes ago, beelzebub said:

So with true Dave Allen logic then....we struggle to beat teams BELOW us 

No we don't, the're pencilled in wins. 

[The Song Formerly Known As 6,479]

1 hour ago, old dee said:

wouldn't we all Song.

But I have zero confidence they will do it in 2016.

We need to beat Cartlon and GC, and then obviously take a scalp somewhere along the way. Geelong at Skilled last game? Just like last year.

[old dee 23,792]

35 minutes ago, Ricky P said:

Ok, so I've decided to cheat my employer and destroy this 'we don't beat anyone good' garbage once and for all.

- Under Roos, 27.78% of the victories we've had have been against teams that played in the finals (2/4 in 2014, 2/7 in 2015, 1/7 in 2016). I challenge you to find a team that has been as poor as us at any time in football history that has had OVER A QUARTER of its wins against finals teams. That doesn't include our best win in a decade against Geelong at Geelong! And that's slipped this year - it was 36.36% at the start of the season!

- Under Roos, 55.56% of our wins have been against teams above us on the ladder (4/4 in 2014, 5/7 in 2015, 1/7 in 2016). How can anyone say we only beat the poor teams when OVER HALF of our victories are against teams that are above us! Once again, that has slipped this year. It was a whopping 81.82% at the start of the year. Last year we only won 2 of the 6 games against teams below us.

So really, when people say we don't beat anyone good, they really mean "we haven't beaten anyone good this season except for the time that we did".

If you wish to continue to believe that 2 + 2 = 5 then that is your prerogative and I apologise sincerely for my pesky "facts" and "things that happened in real life".

When you are finishing in the bottom couple Ricky any wins you have tend to be above you.

This year we have beaten one team above us.

we have won 7 from 16 one team in the eight. the other 6 are teams from 11th down.

Now there is a couple of facts.

[Ricky P 757]

1 hour ago, old dee said:

When you are finishing in the bottom couple Ricky any wins you have tend to be above you.

This year we have beaten one team above us.

we have won 7 from 16 one team in the eight. the other 6 are teams from 11th down.

Now there is a couple of facts.

And when you improve and move up the ladder, you tend to get more wins against teams that are below you 

[old dee 23,792]

15 minutes ago, Ricky P said:

And when you improve and move up the ladder, you tend to get more wins against teams that are below you 

Just my point Ricky you can use statts to say anything you want if you try hard enough.

IMO we are still a long way off being a top eight side. With changes at the end of the year to our list and some luck with our kids we may be able to achieve that in 2018 or 19. Right now we are a 11th or 12th side.

IMO our results show that

[Macca 16,972]

We're on the improve but we're not a good side yet ... we'll need to have at least 12 players who can all play consistently well on a regular basis for that to happen (injuries aside) 

Those who are very good players include ...  Gawn,  Vince,  N Jones,  Viney,  Hogan,  Watts (just),  T-Mac (just)

Close but still a little inconsistent ... Jetta,  Garlett,  Tyson

Should or could get there ... Petracca,  Brayshaw,  Salem,  Oliver.  Hunt.

After that it gets hard to find a player who will be or could be a consistently very good footballer (B grade or better)  There are a number of other players with it all in front of them.  Weideman & Hulett are a ways off and Harmes is a chance.

The best sides often have 13-15 very good footballers who all play well most weeks.  The super teams often have up to 18 very good players.  We just haven't got enough very good players right now.

In 2012/13 it was hard to find 3 very good players in each of those years.  Again, we've come a long way and should end up on at least 9 wins.  There is certainly room for improvement but the list does have a fair bit of upside. 

The off-season might bring the club another couple of very good players - we'll need them as not all of the above names can be relied upon to make it to the status of 'very good player'

Edited July 21, 2016 by Macca

[old dee 23,792]

8 minutes ago, Macca said:

We're on the improve but we're not a good side yet ... we'll need to have at least 12 players who can all play consistently well on a regular basis for that to happen (injuries aside) 

Those who are good players include ...  Gawn,  Vince,  N Jones,  Viney,  Hogan,  Watts (just),  T-Mac (just)

Close but still a little inconsistent ... Jetta,  Garlett,  Tyson

Should or could get there ... Petracca,  Brayshaw,  Salem,  Oliver.  Hunt.

After that it gets hard to find a player who will be or could be a consistently good footballer (B grade or better)  There are a number of other players with it all in front of them.  Weideman & Hulett are a ways off and Harmes is a chance.

The best sides often have 13-15 good footballers who all play well most weeks.  The super teams often have up to 18 good players.  We just haven't got enough good players right now.

In 2012/13 it was hard to find 3 good players in each of those years.  Again,  we've come a long way and should end up on at least 9 wins.  There is certainly room for improvement but the list does have a fair bit of upside. 

The off-season might bring the club another couple of good players - we'll need them as not all of the above names will make to 'good' status.

Well put Macca

[junk 342]

9 wins max looks to be at best. A vast improvement on our 4 wins last year.yeah……………………………… sorry that was f.cking 2 yrs ago.

[Ricky P 757]

7 minutes ago, ENYAW said:

9 wins max looks to be at best. A vast improvement on our 4 wins last year.yeah……………………………… sorry that was f.cking 2 yrs ago.

After today I reckon we're a good chance against Port. Still on track for 10 I reckon.