Jump to content

Featured Replies

Sydney have won a lot of games this year by 8 - 10 goals:

  • +61 v Eagles (Optus)
  • +58 v Ess (SCG)
  • +51 v Saints (SCG)
  • +53 v WBD (SCG)
  • +73 v GWS (SCG)

So they will back themselves in to get the score needed for 2nd spot and a Home final.

However, this game is at Marvel Stadium where their results this year were:

  • -11 v WBD
  • -15 v Carlton

St Kilda's Marvel Stadium record this year is:

  • +33 v Richmond
  • +26 v GCS
  • +10 Cats
  • +53 v North
  • -35 v Ess
  • +15 v Carlton
  • -41 v Freo
  • -28 v WBD
  • +12 v Hawks

While their second half form isn't as good as the first there have bee no blow out losses; the biggest being nearly 7 goals.

 

Conclusion:  Sydney will not blow Saints out of the park by 8-10 goals.

Edited by Lucifers Hero

 
21 minutes ago, DubDee said:

Does anyone know how the finals fixturing usually goes? Need to plan my weekend! Complicated by Father’s Day a little. 

cats v Freo/pies Friday night?

dees v swans Sat night?

EF Sat arvo and sun arvo?

just realised cats might get to play at Mordor if they play Freo 🤢

They often start the finals on the Thursday.  If so there probably won't be a Sunday afternoon game so your Father's Day should be ok.  But that could depend on who plays and where the Home games are.

The fixture will probably be out within 24 hours of the last game tomorrow.

21 minutes ago, Lucifers Hero said:

They often start the finals on the Thursday.  If so there probably won't be a Sunday afternoon game so your Father's Day should be ok.  But that could depend on who plays and where the Home games are.

The fixture will probably be out within 24 hours of the last game tomorrow.

Please let us not be on the Thursday night slot. They can give that to Geelong v Freo

 
24 minutes ago, Lucifers Hero said:

They often start the finals on the Thursday.  If so there probably won't be a Sunday afternoon game so your Father's Day should be ok.  But that could depend on who plays and where the Home games are.

The fixture will probably be out within 24 hours of the last game tomorrow.

Oh really? Cats will get the prime spot being 1st which will be Friday. So we’ll probably be Thursday with a chance of Sat. 
 

Thursday night finals should not be a thing!

1 hour ago, DubDee said:

Does anyone know how the finals fixturing usually goes? Need to plan my weekend! Complicated by Father’s Day a little. 

cats v Freo/pies Friday night?

dees v swans Sat night?

EF Sat arvo and sun arvo?

just realised cats might get to play at Mordor if they play Freo 🤢

Last year it is was 2v3 Friday and 1v4 on Saturday. With the other 2 games on Saturday and Sunday day 

Edited by Garbo


42 minutes ago, ElDiablo14 said:

Please let us not be on the Thursday night slot. They can give that to Geelong v Freo

Yes please, say no to Thurs night finals. Give it to Geelong, they had no problem scheduling our game down there on Thurs night.

1 hour ago, ElDiablo14 said:

Please let us not be on the Thursday night slot. They can give that to Geelong v Freo

Odds on they give us that slot  Thursday night with Melbourne v Sydney = ratings in two biggest cities and ad revenue. 

 
1 hour ago, Lucifers Hero said:

Sydney have won a lot of games this year by 8 - 10 goals:

  • +61 v Eagles (Optus)
  • +58 v Ess (SCG)
  • +51 v Saints (SCG)
  • +53 v WBD (SCG)
  • +73 v GWS (SCG)

So they will back themselves in to get the score needed for 2nd spot and a Home final.

However, this game is at Marvel Stadium where their results this year were:

  • -11 v WBD
  • -15 v Carlton

St Kilda's Marvel Stadium record this year is:

  • +33 v Richmond
  • +26 v GCS
  • +10 Cats
  • +53 v North
  • -35 v Ess
  • +15 v Carlton
  • -41 v Freo
  • -28 v WBD
  • +12 v Hawks

While their second half form isn't as good as the first there have bee no blow out losses; the biggest being nearly 7 goals.

 

Conclusion:  Sydney will not blow Saints out of the park by 8-10 goals.

I think you’re also missing the North v Swans game at Marvel recently which was 88-126. That won’t get the job done for them.

26 minutes ago, Bates Mate said:

Odds on they give us that slot  Thursday night with Melbourne v Sydney = ratings in two biggest cities and ad revenue. 

Surely you don't waste a QF on a Thursday, Thursday night should be the lowly elimination final (Brisbane v Carlton/Richmond)


5 hours ago, OhMyDees said:

After last year, we deserve having a massive final on our home deck. Been a long time since battering the Hawks in 2018…

Last time Weid actually played at AFL level as well

5 minutes ago, david_neitz_is_my_dad said:

It’s also the rest timeframe. A team who finished lower shouldn’t get an extra days rest for the upcoming game

 

They all get a week off with the pre-finals bye.  The extra day won't make any difference.

Assuming Collingwood wins I’ll have a stab:

Thu night -  Fremantle V Bulldogs

Friday night - Geelong V Collingwood 

Saturday twilight - Brisbane V Richmond

Saturday night - Dees V Swans 

With regards to Thursday nights, they’re not afraid to put a blockbuster qualifying final on that night. In 2018 they had Richmond V Hawthorn so it’s not out of the realms of possibility we cop Thu night.


potentially

1 minute ago, Demonstone said:

Ah, I see your point now.  Fair enough, too.

Yeah. You could potentially have 8th (EF1 W) spot play 1st (QF1 L) with an extra 2+ days rest

Edited by david_neitz_is_my_dad

Apologies if it's already been said but what would our % have been if we didn't concede the last two goals last night?


5 hours ago, Redbeard said:

This is the cheatsheet I needed, blooming legend!!

Saints worse loss for year 

Against the swans in Sydney - 51 pts

2 minutes ago, david_neitz_is_my_dad said:

131.61

It is currently 130.54

So that would've ment Sydney need to a score a couple more goals today, I think they need like 10 goals differential today to be comfortable. 12 had we not conceded those late goals 

 

If you want to fill in the gaps in Grapeviney's nice table regarding % and the Saints' score, just copy and paste the following into Google search to see the score Sydney has to get to beat our percentage:

For example, if the Saints have scored 80 points, then paste into the search field:

=1.30546190155091*(1542+80)-1979

that gives 138.459204316, so they need to score 139 points.  Replace 80 with whatever the Saints have scored as the match progresses.

Edited by sue

 
1 hour ago, layzie said:

Apologies if it's already been said but what would our % have been if we didn't concede the last two goals last night?

Our % is The same as it would be if trac didn't get the two luckiest bounce goals I've seen this year

Edited by Bates Mate

36 minutes ago, Bates Mate said:

Our % is The same as it would be if trac didn't get the two luckiest bounce goals I've seen this year

Not quite

One action affects the numerator whereas the other impacts the denominator element of the equation. 

Let us say we were at 130.

If they score twelve points we have to score 16 to remain at 130


Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

Featured Content

  • NON-MFC: Round 12

    Round 12 kicks off with the Brisbane hosting Essendon at the Gabba as the Lions aim to solidify their top-two position against an injury-hit Bombers side seeking to maintain momentum after a win over Richmond. On Friday night it's a blockbuster at the G as the Magpies look to extend their top of the table winning streak while the Hawks strive to bounce back from a couple of recent defeats and stay in contention for the Top 4. On Saturday the Suns, buoyed by 3 wins on the trot, face the Dockers in a clash crucial for both teams' aspirations this season. The Suns want to solidify their Top 4 standing whilst the Dockers will be desperate to break into the 8.

    • 43 replies
    Demonland
  • PREVIEW: St. Kilda

    The media has performed a complete reversal in its coverage of the Melbourne Football Club over the past month and a half. Having endured intense criticism from all quarters in the press, which continually identified new avenues for scrutiny of every aspect, both on and off the field, and prematurely speculated about the departures of coaches, players, officials, and various employees from a club that lost its first five matches and appeared out of finals contention, the narrative has suddenly shifted to one of unbridled optimism.  The Demons have won five of their last six matches, positioning themselves just one game (and a considerable amount of percentage) outside the top eight at the halfway mark of the season. They still trail the primary contenders and remain far from assured of a finals berth.

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 12 replies
    Demonland
  • REPORT: Sydney

    A few weeks ago, I visited a fellow Melbourne Football Club supporter in hospital, and our conversation inevitably shifted from his health diagnosis to the well-being of our football team. Like him, Melbourne had faced challenges in recent months, but an intervention - in his case, surgery, and in the team's case, a change in game style - had brought about much improvement.  The team's professionals had altered its game style from a pedestrian and slow-moving approach, which yielded an average of merely 60 points for five winless games, to a faster and more direct style. This shift led to three consecutive wins and a strong competitive effort in the fourth game, albeit with a tired finish against Hawthorn, a strong premiership contender.  As we discussed our team's recent health improvement, I shared my observations on the changes within the team, including the refreshed style, the introduction of new young talent, such as rising stars Caleb Windsor, Harvey Langford, and Xavier Lindsay, and the rebranding of Kozzy Pickett from a small forward to a midfield machine who can still get among the goals. I also highlighted the dominance of captain Max Gawn in the ruck and the resurgence in form in a big way of midfield superstars Christian Petracca and Clayton Oliver. 

      • Clap
      • Love
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 9 replies
    Demonland
  • PODCAST: Sydney

    The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 26th May @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we analyse a crushing victory by the Demons over the Swans at the G. Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show.

      • Clap
      • Love
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 51 replies
    Demonland
  • POSTGAME: Sydney

    The Demons controlled the contest from the outset, though inaccurate kicking kept the Swans in the game until half time. But after the break, Melbourne put on the jets and blew Sydney away and the demolition job was complete.

      • Clap
      • Love
      • Like
    • 428 replies
    Demonland
  • VOTES: Sydney

    Max Gawn still has an almost unassailable lead in the Demonland Player of the Year award. Jake Bowey, Christian Petracca, Harvey Langford, Kade Chandler & Ed Langdon round out the Top 5. Your votes please. 6, 5, 4, 3, 2 & 1.

      • Thanks
    • 46 replies
    Demonland