CHANGES: Rd 18 vs Essendon

[Superunknown 4,246]

58 minutes ago, Dr.D said:

you realise if gws win we still won't make finals? The % diffis far too great. 

maybe actually crunch all of the numbers first. The season ended against fremantle. 

 

If we win, there are two scenarios where we still make it.

 

[jnrmac 20,377]

On 9/12/2020 at 10:41 PM, Dr.D said:

most important game for the year? you've got to be kidding? The game of the year was vs Sydney and then consequently Freo. These games are meaningless.We can't make finals unless some big upsets happen. 

Sadly you are spot on. We have blown it

Wouldn't surprise anyone if either scenario happend below:

a) We get smashed by Essendon

b) St Kilda loses and we wallop Essendon but fall 0.001% short

This club only knows one way.

 

 

[BScotti 178]

all chips in.  Must win and must win big...

Dont like making too many changes after a win but its all or nothing here....

IN - Hibberd for Smith; Harmes for Hunt; LJ for Brown; Lockhart for Jetta; Possibly add Bennell for ANB.

 

[Demon Dynasty 17,167]

41 minutes ago, BScotti said:

all chips in.  Must win and must win big...

Dont like making too many changes after a win but its all or nothing here....

IN - Hibberd for Smith; Harmes for Hunt; LJ for Brown; Lockhart for Jetta; Possibly add Bennell for ANB.

 

I would've thought Hibb for Jetta to cover off Tippa.  Him & Joe are always tearing us new one.  May should do the job on Joe here but i'd love to see Hibb come back in and do a number on Tippa if fit.

Minimise their scoring as much as possible to maximise our percentage gain.

[Turner 1,516]

8 hours ago, spirit of norm smith said:

Ins. Harmes Lockhart

consider if fit - Sparrow Hibberd 
 

Outs. Neale-Bullen ? Jetta (shoulder?) 

on the edge - Hunt  J. Smith 

 

bombers dangers are 

1- mids  Shiel. Merrett. Smith.  Parish.  Need to tag Shiel  

2- forwards. Daniher stringer and mcg-tip-wuti.  May gets Daniher and probably put Tomlinson on stringer  

3- backs. Saad for his run and Ridleys marking.  Need Melksham to “tag” Saad and have someone contest with Ridley across marking half back as he has the most defensive marks across the last month. 
 

Assume Hooker and Heppell miss again. 
 

Have to win it no matter what the Dogs do 

fritsch's defensive game on haynes last week was awesome and very underrated especially on here. hes going straight to ridley first bounce. Hooker & hurley i think will be back in heppells had surgery.

Lockhart for jetta i think is a lock

it is true we shouldnt mess with a winning formula however matchups are important and therefore smith falls out for hibbo if fit

vanders misses out for harmes in a midfield role without brayshaw and jones in the side thats definitely a huge upgrade there

hopefully they leave it at that

brown has really performed and weid has had it tough with the big blokes he's had clamping and sitting on him for the last few weeks but it would be irresponsible to push LJ in if he's underdone in such an important game and with such a young prospect.

anb lucky that we won so he gets another game bennell has clearly been put on ice for the year and hannan isnt an upgrade so he plays

[D4Life 2,584]

St Kilda Could lose by 20 points eg 60 vs 80

Demons win by 30 points eg 80 vs 50

and we would sneak past them!

So even if unlikely, not impossible!

[Demon17 5,262]

5 hours ago, Dr.D said:

you realise if gws win we still won't make finals? The % diffis far too great. 

maybe actually crunch all of the numbers first. The season ended against fremantle. 

 

Wrong.

If the saints lose by 25 points and we beat the Bombers by 25 wer'e in.

If we cant beat the bombers by 50 we shouldnt be in the finals anyway.

I'm not into betting, but the odds for the Saints  v GWS game is 1.48  vs 2.05.  That's line ball IMO . GWS are not without a good chance, especially with Josh Kelly back after a good run last week and new gun forward Jake Riccardi back after the rest and the skipper in after Camerons statement to him.

[Bring-Back-Powell 15,555]

In - Hibberd (as long as he doesn't play on a small)

Out - Jetta or Smith

[Lefty 413]

Is Luke Jackson even ready to play?

What has happened to Lockhart? I was a big fan of him. Seems to be on the outs and can't buy his way back in. What's the deal?

[nosoupforme 3,085]

5 hours ago, Dr.D said:

*Shakes head.

I'm just posting this now so I don't have to sit and read 6 months of "oh if we only beat Fremantle and sydney. we should've made finals.We're a rabble of a club" etc. Because all the optimistic supporters who care about a meaningless round 18 are going to be the same supporters complaining when we miss finals. I know them better than they know themselves.

By all means be annoyed we missed finals but at least do it at the point when it happened and that was against freo and syd.

We are not out of it yet, are we?    So what if we are,  so be it.   However Where there is life, there is hope.

You don't seem like a bad person just take the negativity away from your outlook.

[Half forward flank 1,022]

4 hours ago, BScotti said:

all chips in.  Must win and must win big...

Dont like making too many changes after a win but its all or nothing here....

IN - Hibberd for Smith; Harmes for Hunt; LJ for Brown; Lockhart for Jetta; Possibly add Bennell for ANB.

 

Would be a mistake to ommit Brown BS.

[Half forward flank 1,022]

1 hour ago, Demon17 said:

Wrong.

If the saints lose by 25 points and we beat the Bombers by 25 wer'e in.

If we cant beat the bombers by 50 we shouldnt be in the finals anyway.

I'm not into betting, but the odds for the Saints  v GWS game is 1.48  vs 2.05.  That's line ball IMO . GWS are not without a good chance, especially with Josh Kelly back after a good run last week and new gun forward Jake Riccardi back after the rest and the skipper in after Camerons statement to him.

Sadly bookies rarely lose when they have a side at $1.48

[Spit Demon 58]

On 9/12/2020 at 10:41 PM, Dr.D said:

most important game for the year? you've got to be kidding? The game of the year was vs Sydney and then consequently Freo. These games are meaningless.We can't make finals unless some big upsets happen. 

Yep, should have made a mess of both the Swans and Freo, but messed it up instead. Would be sitting a game clear in 6th spot right now with Essondon to come...

[old55 23,864]

6 hours ago, Dr.D said:

*Shakes head.

I'm just posting this now so I don't have to sit and read 6 months of "oh if we only beat Fremantle and sydney. we should've made finals.We're a rabble of a club" etc. Because all the optimistic supporters who care about a meaningless round 18 are going to be the same supporters complaining when we miss finals. I know them better than they know themselves.

By all means be annoyed we missed finals but at least do it at the point when it happened and that was against freo and syd.

You don't know me at all. I'm pleased to say the only thing we appear to have in common is supporting MFC.

[dimmy 1,308]

ANB is a lock because he brings fwd pressure and pretty good delivery.

Probably Hrmes in to provide some vigour.

[leave it to deever 17,618]

Wheres Pedo thes days?

[Demon Dynasty 17,167]

57 minutes ago, nosoupforme said:

We are not out of it yet, are we?    So what if we are,  so be it.   However Where there is life, there is hope.

You don't seem like a bad person just take the negativity away from your outlook.

[Demons11 7,149]

Jacko and Hibbo in. 
 

Jetta (inj) and Brown out

[Demons11 7,149]

5 hours ago, Rusty Nails said:

I would've thought Hibb for Jetta to cover off Tippa.  Him & Joe are always tearing us new one.  May should do the job on Joe here but i'd love to see Hibb come back in and do a number on Tippa if fit.

Minimise their scoring as much as possible to maximise our percentage gain.

I’d play Smith on Tippa.  

[Dame Gaga 2,453]

9 hours ago, Jaded said:

Melksham will never be dropped. He will need to have a double amputation before Goodwin leaves his bestie out of the side. 

 

Double amputation? Merely a flesh wound. Put a band aid on it.??

[defuture15 902]

The black knight always triumphs!

[58er 6,872]

8 hours ago, Demons11 said:

I’d play Smith on Tippa.  

I'd bring back Locky as a genuine small not a medium To keep him honest,

Good game by Smithy prob his best do Maybe  the penny is dropping !!

Hibbo has had a pretty good year considering his private life but is not IMO nifty enough to mind Tippa who turns and twists on a small spot whereas Hobbo is a wide turning arc as he has to kick left foot all the time.
 

 

[58er 6,872]

10 hours ago, Spit Demon said:

Yep, should have made a mess of both the Swans and Freo, but messed it up instead. Would be sitting a game clear in 6th spot right now with Essondon to come...

But Dr Meaningless it is a double possibility and not so rare as you think. 

You are willing us to Not make Finals so  YOU Can criticise the Club all summer.

Generally your posts  are Negative dismissive and not balanced. While there is a mathematical chance live the dream and rejoice if it happens IF NOT we have got what we deserve 9th or 10th.

[58er 6,872]

10 hours ago, Half forward flank said:

Sadly bookies rarely lose when they have a side at $1.48

Yes But aren't those odds  a bit tight for a side who has lost 4 out of their last 5??

[58er 6,872]

21 hours ago, spirit of norm smith said:

Ins. Harmes Lockhart

consider if fit - Sparrow Hibberd 
 

Outs. Neale-Bullen ? Jetta (shoulder?) 

on the edge - Hunt  J. Smith 

 

bombers dangers are 

1- mids  Shiel. Merrett. Smith.  Parish.  Need to tag Shiel  

2- forwards. Daniher stringer and mcg-tip-wuti.  May gets Daniher and probably put Tomlinson on stringer  

3- backs. Saad for his run and Ridleys marking.  Need Melksham to “tag” Saad and have someone contest with Ridley across marking half back as he has the most defensive marks across the last month. 
 

Assume Hooker and Heppell miss again. 
 

Have to win it no matter what the Dogs do 

Fritta on Ridley like he quietened Haynes but hopefully 2/3 goals from him.