Assume North beat GWS.

By the time our game starts Freo will know what percentage they need to overhaul North.

Assume Freo are leading MFC.

Could well be that a BIG Victory over MFC may see Freo overhaul North on percentage to 7th spot.

Reward - road trip to MCG week one finals (to play Geelong).

Or,

they may still be able to "win" ie 4 to 5 goal victory and sadly, finish EIGHTH.

Reward - home final V Eagles ( recently beat them by 10 goals).

The die will be cast depending on North/GWS outcome and North's presumed margin.

Edited August 28, 201213 yr by radar

NO

Assume North beat GWS.

By the time our game starts Freo will know what percentage they need to overhaul North.

Assume Freo are leading MFC.

Could well be that a BIG Victory over MFC may see Freo overhaul North on percentage to 7th spot.

Reward - road trip to MCG week one finals (to play Geelong).

Or,

they may still be able to "win" ie 4 to 5 goal victory and sadly, finish EIGHTH.

Reward - home final V Eagles ( recently beat them by 10 goals).

The die will be cast depending on North/GWS outcome and North's presumed margin.

If North smash GWS by say 100 points Freo can have a nice 7-10 goal win and achieve their destination.

Edited August 28, 201213 yr by Redleg

There is no chance that they will tank

Can't see Lyon waving a white flag a week out from finals. They are building up momentum.

It would be stupid of them if they did.

There's no such thing as ghosts. Also tanking.

they won't need to "tank" as the % north will get from beating GWS will be greater than what freo will be able to get

Why wouldn't Freo be hoping that Sydney beat Geelong first, which is a strong possibility? Then after that, Freo can come out and smash us by 10+ goals, again a strong possiblity?

Wouldn't that mean they finish 6th, Geelong 7th, and Freo play them in a home final in WA?

These pretzels are making me thirsty

Billy and Redleg have nailed it. There's combinations where Freo can get their home final with a good win. They will want to smash us in to oblivion, and they will succeed.

Billy and Redleg have nailed it. There's combinations where Freo can get their home final with a good win. They will want to smash us in to oblivion, and they will succeed.

And what an appropriate note it will be to end our 2012 season on...

You'd think Freo would want to play Geelong at the 'G' anyway, more time on the 'G' leading into finals is what Freo need,

plus I think they'd like the prospect of Sandilands going up against West, as opposed to Nick Nat and Cox.

You'd think Freo would want to play Geelong at the 'G' anyway, more time on the 'G' leading into finals is what Freo need,

plus I think they'd like the prospect of Sandilands going up against West, as opposed to Nick Nat and Cox.

Getting experinece playing at the "G" is no good to you if you're bundled out in the first round.

I;m quite sure 99.9% of Freo supporters, players and the Club in general would prefer to play Geelong in Western Australia.

this will be an uber reality check for the dees

Further to what Billy wrote, the other point about Freo not being able to overtake North if North [censored] GWS isn't quite correct, either.

As Freo have scored far less than North, a comparatively smaller win on Freo's part would have a larger impact on their percentage (i.e. they could beat us by less than NM beat GWS by and still move above them).

If the Swans beat the Cats in the afternoon they'd be confident of finishing 6th as they and Roos would probably be able to gain the percentage over the Cats. Still the whole idea is presuming the Hawks beat the Eagles and the Pies beat the Bombers. Anyway I hope they tank because if we win we could move up past the Dogs and maybe Port by percentage!

Lethal says they should, if necessary .... calls it "doctoring."

I've been watching the Kangaroos play and dead set they are doing everything in their power not to win this game by very much at all. I think they are going to force Freo to "doctor" a narrow win or even a defeat tonight.

13 points is what the commentators think will be as much as freo can win by assuming their average score against eventuates. Will be interesting indeed!

13 points is what the commentators think will be as much as freo can win by assuming their average score against eventuates. Will be interesting indeed!

I've just calculated North's percentage after their win over GWS as 112.49. That puts them marginally ahead of Freo's which is 112.36. I think that means that as long as Freo win, the margin won't matter.

Good post and the OP was quite right.....Freo can only win by 11pts. Took Melbourne @ the line +55pts.....

If North smash GWS by say 100 points Freo can have a nice 7-10 goal win and achieve their destination.

Ah, but have the Giants been tanking in any way shape or form this season?

this will be an uber reality check for the dees

Could be both teams playing their defenders forward, & the forwards as mids, + the mids on the bench.

This is tanking at its finest