Jump to content
View in the app

A better way to browse. Learn more.
Demonland

A full-screen app on your home screen with push notifications, badges and more.

To install this app on iOS and iPadOS
  1. Tap the Share icon in Safari
  2. Scroll the menu and tap Add to Home Screen.
  3. Tap Add in the top-right corner.
To install this app on Android
  1. Tap the 3-dot menu (⋮) in the top-right corner of the browser.
  2. Tap Add to Home screen or Install app.
  3. Confirm by tapping Install.

How many wins will see us play finals?

Previously known as LITD.
in Melbourne Demons

Featured Replies

Posted

I'd wager 12 with our % but I'm sure we will have more.

I think it's a pretty tight season.

Keen to hear other opinions.

  • Quote
    •  

    Forget finals. Don’t finish top 4 and get a home final and we are cooked. 
    We need 16 wins minimum IMO to give the flag a shake. 

  • Quote
    • Like 6
    • Thanks 1
     
    • Author
    15 minutes ago, Jaded No More said:

    Forget finals. Don’t finish top 4 and get a home final and we are cooked. 
    We need 16 wins minimum IMO to give the flag a shake. 

    Agreed but I don't think it's going to be easy. The blues look less of a threat and we play them twice. North and hawks too. At stretch id say we get 15 or 16. But I reckon 14 and % is top 4 the way the season is. 

  • Quote

    16 minutes ago, Nascent said:

    On the top 4. Fair chance it remains like it is now.

    Melbourne, Brisbane, Collingwood, Geelong

     

    These four sides are a mile in front of the rest. Wouldn't be surprised if there ends up a significant difference between 4th and 5th - even 3 games. Ordering these sides right now is anyone's guess. It'll all come down to injuries and who has the healthiest list come finals time.

  • Quote
    • Like 3
    1 hour ago, Nascent said:

    On the top 4. Fair chance it remains like it is now.

    Melbourne, Brisbane, Collingwood, Geelong

     

    Saints have the softest draw in the world. They could finish top 4 by virtue of beating nobody. 

  • Quote
    • Like 2
     
    2 hours ago, leave it to deever said:

    I'd wager 12 with our % but I'm sure we will have more.

    I think it's a pretty tight season.

    Keen to hear other opinions.

    9b87bb25-3ade-447a-acf5-962117267cff_tex

  • Quote
    • Haha 4
    31 minutes ago, Beetle said:

    9b87bb25-3ade-447a-acf5-962117267cff_tex

    Now I’ve gotta go to bed with this in my head. 
     

    Great. 

  • Quote
    • Love 1
    • Haha 3

    2 hours ago, Nascent said:

    On the top 4. Fair chance it remains like it is now.

    Melbourne, Brisbane, Collingwood, Geelong

     

    And the South Australian filth ? Ross Lyon and his easy draw ?

  • Quote
    3 hours ago, leave it to deever said:

    I'd wager 12 with our % but I'm sure we will have more.

    I think it's a pretty tight season.

    Keen to hear other opinions.

    Given there are now 23 games, 12 might not be enough to finish top 8 of 18. I'd say 13. Not sure about your comment on percentage. Clearly if we finish with 12 wins our percentage would drop a lot from where we are now, but I agree we do have a healthy percetage after 8 games compared to nost others. 

    2 hours ago, Glorious Day said:

    These four sides are a mile in front of the rest. Wouldn't be surprised if there ends up a significant difference between 4th and 5th - even 3 games. Ordering these sides right now is anyone's guess. It'll all come down to injuries and who has the healthiest list come finals time.

    Can't see how you can say that Melbourne, Brisbane, Collingwood, Geelong are miles ahead of the rest. Collingwood had arguably a lucky win against Adelaide last week and against Esendon the week before. We had a close win today, lost to Essendon and could have lost against Richmond if they'd kicked straight. Geelong were shaky earlier in the season and lost to Gold Coast. I would agree these 4 look best at the moment but a long way to go and definitely not miiles ahead. 

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    3 hours ago, leave it to deever said:

    Agreed but I don't think it's going to be easy. The blues look less of a threat and we play them twice. North and hawks too. At stretch id say we get 15 or 16. But I reckon 14 and % is top 4 the way the season is. 

    We also play Richmond twice. And Swans though they may improve before the end of the season.

  • Quote
    • Thanks 1

    I think the thread should be a bit more optimistic, 'How many wins for top 4 or 2?', we are almost unbackable to be in the 8.

    So anyway, 17 for 4, 18 for top 2.

  • Quote
    • Like 5

    9 hours ago, Glorious Day said:

    These four sides are a mile in front of the rest. Wouldn't be surprised if there ends up a significant difference between 4th and 5th - even 3 games. Ordering these sides right now is anyone's guess. It'll all come down to injuries and who has the healthiest list come finals time.

    A mile in front? 

    We've lost to Essendon and were smashed by Brisbane up until the power went out. Our form has been pretty inconsistent from game to game and we were extremely lucky to win today in the end given 

    Collingwood and Brisbane would easily account for us if we played them right now and our ladder position is not reflective of our form but rather our draw. 

    Beat Carlton and Collingwood in a few weeks and I'll believe more. 

    It's a long way to go cobba and I think your Melbourne glasses need to be taken off.. 

     

    Edited by JimmyGadson

  • Quote
    • Like 2
    44 minutes ago, JimmyGadson said:

    A mile in front? 

    We've lost to Essendon and were smashed by Brisbane up until the power went out. Our form has been pretty inconsistent from game to game and we were extremely lucky to win today in the end given 

    Collingwood and Brisbane would easily account for us if we played them right now and our ladder position is not reflective of our form but rather our draw. 

    Beat Carlton and Collingwood in a few weeks and I'll believe more. 

    It's a long way to go cobba and I think your Melbourne glasses need to be taken off.. 

     

    beat Geelong, and ill believe 

  • Quote

    We have a potential advantage over the top 4 sides as the fixture Gods have smiled on us this year; last year they smiled on Geelong.

    We play 3 of the current bottom 4 sides twice:  Richmond, North and Hawks with 4 of those games yet to be played.  Brisbane, Geelong and Collingwood do not play any of them twice!!

    Teams played twice:

    • Brisbane: Adelaide, Collingwood, Fremantle, Gold Coast, Melbourne, St Kilda
    • Collingwood: Adelaide, Brisbane, Carlton, Essendon, Geelong, Port Adelaide
    • Geelong: Collingwood, Essendon, Fremantle, Port Adelaide, Sydney, Western Bulldogs
    • Melbourne: Brisbane, Carlton, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, Richmond, Sydney

    There are no easy games as we learnt last night.

    Never fear D'landers we will be top 2!!

    Edited by Lucifers Hero

  • Quote
    • Like 7
    • Thanks 1
    • Love 2

    12 and 11 will see you spend September in Bali.

    And with the dead beats down the bottom and no dominant teams soaking up all the wins up top - I can see 14 wins being what 8 finishes with. With percentage playing a big part in order of places toward the top of the ladder.

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    52 minutes ago, Lucifers Hero said:

    We have a potential advantage over the top 4 sides as the fixture Gods have smiled on us this year; last year they smiled was Geelong.

    We play 3 of the current bottom 4 sides twice:  Richmond, North and Hawks with 4 of those games yet to be played.  Brisbane, Geelong and Collingwood do not play any of them twice!!

    Teams played twice:

    • Brisbane: Adelaide, Collingwood, Fremantle, Gold Coast, Melbourne, St Kilda
    • Collingwood: Adelaide, Brisbane, Carlton, Essendon, Geelong, Port Adelaide
    • Geelong: Collingwood, Essendon, Fremantle, Port Adelaide, Sydney, Western Bulldogs
    • Melbourne: Brisbane, Carlton, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, Richmond, Sydney

    There are no easy games as we learnt last night.

    Never fear D'landers we will be top 2!!

    Wow that is quite an advantageous difference.

  • Quote
    • Like 1

    25 minutes ago, old55 said:

    Wow that is quite an advantageous difference.

    Had a quick look at the draw for other top 8 contenders,  Teams each plays twice:

    • Adelaide: Brisbane, Collingwood, Gold Coast, GWS, Port Adelaide, West Coast
    • Carlton: Collingwood, Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, St Kilda, West Coast
    • Essendon: Collingwood, Geelong, GWS, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, West Coast
    • Port Adelaide: Adelaide, Collingwood, Essendon, Geelong, Richmond, Western Bulldogs
    • St Kilda: Brisbane, Carlton, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, Richmond
    • Sydney: Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, Richmond
    • Western Bulldogs: Fremantle, Geelong, Hawthorn, GWS, Port Adelaide, Richmond

    Similar to Geelong, Brisbane and Collingwood, those teams will have more 8-point games than Dees (and Saints) and their potential for big % boosts won't be as plentiful.

    Short of major injuries or some other disaster I can't see us not making the top 4. 

    I'm ok with top 4 especially as the other teams are likely to be Vic teams so our finals will be at the G - as long as we don't get an Away game vs Brisbane.

    Edited by Lucifers Hero

  • Quote
    • Like 5
    • Thanks 2
    11 minutes ago, Lucifers Hero said:

    Had a quick look at the draw for other top 8 contenders,  Teams each plays twice:

    • Adelaide: Brisbane, Collingwood, Gold Coast, GWS, Port Adelaide, West Coast
    • Carlton: Collingwood, Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, St Kilda, West Coast
    • Essendon: Collingwood, Geelong, GWS, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, West Coast
    • Port Adelaide: Adelaide, Collingwood, Essendon, Geelong, Richmond, Western Bulldogs
    • St Kilda: Brisbane, Carlton, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, Richmond
    • Sydney: Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, Richmond
    • Western Bulldogs: Fremantle, Geelong, Hawthorn, GWS, Port Adelaide, Richmond

    Similar to Geelong, Brisbane and Collingwood, those teams will have more 8-point games than Dees (and Saints) and their potential for big % boosts won't be as plentiful.

    Short of major injuries or some other disaster I can't see us not making the top 4. 

    I'm ok with top 4 especially as the other teams are likely to be Vic teams so our finals will be at the G - as long as we don't get an Away game vs Brisbane.

    Thanks, great analysis. One update: North need an underline in the Essendon set.

  • Quote
    • Like 2
    • Haha 1
    16 minutes ago, Lucifers Hero said:

    Had a quick look at the draw for other top 8 contenders,  Teams each plays twice:

    • Adelaide: Brisbane, Collingwood, Gold Coast, GWS, Port Adelaide, West Coast
    • Carlton: Collingwood, Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, St Kilda, West Coast
    • Essendon: Collingwood, Geelong, GWS, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, West Coast
    • Port Adelaide: Adelaide, Collingwood, Essendon, Geelong, Richmond, Western Bulldogs
    • St Kilda: Brisbane, Carlton, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, North Melbourne, Richmond
    • Sydney: Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, Richmond
    • Western Bulldogs: Fremantle, Geelong, Hawthorn, GWS, Port Adelaide, Richmond

    Similar to Geelong, Brisbane and Collingwood, those teams will have more 8-point games than Dees (and Saints) and their potential for big % boosts won't be as plentiful.

    Short of major injuries or some other disaster I can't see us not making the top 4. 

    I'm ok with top 4 especially as the other teams are likely to be Vic teams so our finals will be at the G - as long as we don't get an Away game vs Brisbane.

    Out of all those current top 8 teams, I'd say Port probably have the toughest double ups.

    Could be bye bye Ken at the end of the season when they miss the 8. 

    Alternatively if they make it, they could be either cooked through fighting so hard just to make it or one of the better sides in the bottom half of the 8.

  • Quote
    • Like 1
     
    12 hours ago, Jaded No More said:

    Forget finals. Don’t finish top 4 and get a home final and we are cooked. 
    We need 16 wins minimum IMO to give the flag a shake. 

    Add to that being in good form and a fit list hitting first week of finals so we get a repeat of 2021 and not 2022.

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    16 minutes ago, old55 said:

    Thanks, great analysis. One update: North need an underline in the Essendon set.

    Thanks.  Updated.

  • Quote
    • Like 1

    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

    Guest
    Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
    Reply to this topic...
    Go to topic listing

    Featured Content

    • REPORT: Western Bulldogs

      The next coach of the Melbourne Football Club faces the challenge of teaching his players how to win games against all comers. At times during this tumultuous season, that task has seemed daunting, made more so in light of the surprise news last week of the sacking of premiership coach Simon Goodwin. However, there were also some positive signs from yesterday’s match against the Western Bulldogs that the challenge may not be as difficult as one might think. The two sides presented a genuine football spectacle, featuring pulsating competitive play with eight lead changes throughout the afternoon, in a display befitting a finals match.The result could have gone either way and in the end, it came down to which team could produce the most desperate of acts to provide a winning result. It was the Bulldogs who had their season on the line that won out by a six point margin that fitted the game and the effort of both sides.

      • 0 replies
      Demonland

    • CASEY: Brisbane

      The rain had been falling heavily in south east Queensland when the match began at Springfield, west of Brisbane. The teams exchanged early goals and then the Casey Demons proceeded like a house on fire in the penultimate game of the VFL season against a strong opponent in the Brisbane Lions. Sparked by strong play around the ground by seasoned players in Charlie Spargo and Jack Billings, a strong effort from Bailey Laurie and promising work from youngsters in Kynan Brown and  Koltyn Tholstrup, the Demons with multiple goal kickers firing, raced to a 27 point lead late in the opening stanza. A highlight was a wonderful goal from Laurie who brilliantly sidestepped two opponents and kicked beautifully from 45 metres out.

      • 0 replies
      Demonland

    • PREGAME: Hawthorn

      The Demons return to the MCG this time as the visiting team where they get another opportunity to put a dent into a team's top 8 placing when they take on the Hawks on Saturday afternoon. Who comes in and who goes out?

        • Like
      • 66 replies
      Demonland

    • PODCAST: Western Bulldogs

      The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 11th August @ 8:00pm. Join Binman & I as we dissect the Dees disappointing loss to the Western Bulldogs.
      Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show.
      Listen LIVE: https://demonland.com/

        • Clap
        • Thanks
      • 41 replies
      Demonland

    • POSTGAME: Western Bulldogs

      The Demons lacked some polish but showed a lot of heart and took it right up to the Bulldogs in an attempt to spoil their finals hopes ultimately going down by a goal at the MCG.

        • Like
      • 319 replies
      Demonland

    • VOTES: Western Bulldogs

      Captain Max Gawn has an unassailable lead in the Demonland Player of the Year award. He leads from Kozzy Pickett, Christian Petracca, Jake Bowey & Clayton Oliver. Your vote please; 6, 5, 4, 3, 2 & 1

        • Like
      • 38 replies
      Demonland
    View All

    Configure browser push notifications
    Chrome (Android)
    1. Tap the lock icon next to the address bar.
    2. Tap Permissions → Notifications.
    3. Adjust your preference.
    Chrome (Desktop)
    1. Click the padlock icon in the address bar.
    2. Select Site settings.
    3. Find Notifications and adjust your preference.