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Death Riding Fremantle 2023 - Feathered Cap Edition


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9 hours ago, Redleg said:

The doom hopers for the Dockers may be disappointed in round one, given the Saints injuries.

Saints are heading for bottom four.  Freo should get a huge % boost.  A so-so win won't say much for their credentials this year.

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18 minutes ago, Lucifers Hero said:

Saints are heading for bottom four.  Freo should get a huge % boost.  A so-so win won't say much for their credentials this year.

Unfortunately, they then play North, WCE, Adelaide and GCS. They could conceivably start the season 5 - 0 🤮.

Hopefully, the sky will fall in with Adelaide, GCS or the Dogs and Lions after that.

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16 minutes ago, Roger Mellie said:

Unfortunately, they then play North, WCE, Adelaide and GCS. They could conceivably start the season 5 - 0 🤮.

Hopefully, the sky will fall in with Adelaide, GCS or the Dogs and Lions after that.

For various reasons (mostly I don't like the club) I hope they slide but doubt they will slide too far.

They may start 5-0 but then have a difficult draw.  I wouldn't underestimate GCS (who beat them last year) and Adelaide who are my smokey to rise up the ladder.

In the meantime it is good fun to wish and hope they slide...

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Saints, North and West Coast is as soft as start as any team could hope for

I'm holding out hope that Ross will be so desparate to put one over his old team he somehow motivates the saints to play out of their skin.

West Coast will be up for the Derby and might just get the win.

North. I've no hop for them tbh.

If Dockers aren't 3-0 I'll be surprised.

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17 minutes ago, Lucifers Hero said:

For various reasons (mostly I don't like the club) I hope they slide but doubt they will slide too far.

They may start 5-0 but then have a difficult draw.  I wouldn't underestimate GCS (who beat them last year) and Adelaide who are my smokey to rise up the ladder.

In the meantime it is good fun to wish and hope they slide...

TBH, we all know that after the first couple of standout players, often the next batch are fairly even, or not the players they will later become, with maturity or development.

In other words, a couple of spots up the order in the draft doesn’t guarantee success with picking future players. There are countless examples of this.

We might be playing one new player this week and he was our absolute last pick that year.

While we have Freo’s first pick, it is unlikely to be very high and at best mid fist round but still very useful.

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3 minutes ago, Redleg said:

TBH, we all know that after the first couple of standout players, often the next batch are fairly even, or not the players they will later become, with maturity or development.

In other words, a couple of spots up the order in the draft doesn’t guarantee success with picking future players. There are countless examples of this.

We might be playing one new player this week and he was our absolute last pick that year.

While we have Freo’s first pick, it is unlikely to be very high and at best mid fist round but still very useful.

Is this intended for my post about games 🤔

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7 minutes ago, BDA said:

Saints, North and West Coast is as soft as start as any team could hope for

I'm holding out hope that Ross will be so desparate to put one over his old team he somehow motivates the saints to play out of their skin.

West Coast will be up for the Derby and might just get the win.

North. I've no hop for them tbh.

If Dockers aren't 3-0 I'll be surprised.

Yeah hopefully he turns the game into a total bog hole and Saints win 53 to 48. Stranger things have happened in Rd 1 I guess. 

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1 hour ago, Roger Mellie said:

Unfortunately, they then play North, WCE, Adelaide and GCS. They could conceivably start the season 5 - 0 🤮.

Hopefully, the sky will fall in with Adelaide, GCS or the Dogs and Lions after that.

That is the creamiest puff of all cream puff fixtures. What a way to ease into the season!

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14 hours ago, Redleg said:

The doom hopers for the Dockers may be disappointed in round one, given the Saints injuries.

On the other hand, if the Saints get up we might as well start planning for our top-6 draft pick now.

Even injury free I wouldn't expect much from St Kilda in 2023, but, I mean, yikes;

St Kilda injury list updated Mar 13

Name Injury Estimated Return
Matthew Allison Foot TBC
Jack Billings Leg 6-9 weeks
Nick Coffield Calf 4-6 weeks
Jack Hayes Foot 10-12 weeks
Max Heath Ankle Round 1-3
Olli Hotton Back TBC
Zak Jones Achilles TBC
Max King Shoulder 6-9 weeks
Tim Membrey Knee Round 2-3
Daniel McKenzie Calf TBC
Angus McLennan Back TBC
Seb Ross Calf Round 1-3
Marcus Windhager Wrist Round 1-2
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Fun fact; unless something unexpected happens with the bottom teams this season, Freo will compile three years of playing almost exclusively non-finals teams in the first five rounds of the season.

14/15 games, with the only exception being against us in round 1 of 2021 (after we had finished 2020 outside the 8).

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Oh, I see.  You thought I wanted Freo to slide to get a better/top draft pick.  No, unlike many others, it isn't the reason...as I mentioned it is mostly that I don't like that club.

My reasons aside, I agree with you that getting a better pick doesn't mean a better/more successful player.  Last year's trade is a great example of this:  3 top 10 picks from the 2015 draft were traded for 3rd/4th round picks which weren't meaningfully used.

 

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15 minutes ago, Lucifers Hero said:

My reasons aside, I agree with you that getting a better pick doesn't mean a better/more successful player.  Last year's trade is a great example of this:  3 top 10 picks from the 2015 draft were traded for 3rd/4th round picks which weren't meaningfully used.

 

Again Luci, there is a caveat on that, as these players had been in the system for a number of years.

Top picks won't always keep their value throughout their AFL career, it's just impossible, unless you are an absolute star.

There generally comes a time when they start to lose value as a trade for picks.

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2 hours ago, Little Goffy said:

On the other hand, if the Saints get up we might as well start planning for our top-6 draft pick now.

Even injury free I wouldn't expect much from St Kilda in 2023, but, I mean, yikes;

St Kilda injury list updated Mar 13

Name Injury Estimated Return
Matthew Allison Foot TBC
Jack Billings Leg 6-9 weeks
Nick Coffield Calf 4-6 weeks
Jack Hayes Foot 10-12 weeks
Max Heath Ankle Round 1-3
Olli Hotton Back TBC
Zak Jones Achilles TBC
Max King Shoulder 6-9 weeks
Tim Membrey Knee Round 2-3
Daniel McKenzie Calf TBC
Angus McLennan Back TBC
Seb Ross Calf Round 1-3
Marcus Windhager Wrist Round 1-2

Death, taxes and St Kilda having an injury list from another post code. 

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6 minutes ago, defuture15 said:

Off to Freo training on Thursday.

Hoping to see the unicorn in his natural environment.

Any message you want passed on....that wont get me chucked out or arrested?

Hope he has his frequent flyer card ready, because he'll be in the air much more than had he stayed with us.

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1 hour ago, defuture15 said:

Off to Freo training on Thursday.

Hoping to see the unicorn in his natural environment.

Any message you want passed on....that wont get me chucked out or arrested?

Ask him to say hello to his Mum for me!

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