Jump to content

Featured Replies

 
14 minutes ago, binman said:

Cue outrage 

I'm not outraged bin, but surely there is something amiss with CD's measures when the player who I reckon is the best all round ruckman I've seen since following footy does not get a gig.

 

There’s obviously some elite players missing. Andrew Brayshaw, Gawn, Petracca, Mills, Heeney have been elite and impacted games this year. Trac and Heeney more so early on, and there’s probably others that escape me.

Marlion Pickett is not elite in any measure or stat, even if classified as a wingman. That’s probably the most baffling selection in recent memory.

Not sure why champion data exists at this point as their analysis is always wrong.

Some of those players have played only 8 or 9 players of a possible 13. 

I know that CD works on averages but still it is not exactly a consistent base for comparisons

Edited by Lucifers Hero


6 minutes ago, D4Life said:

Data without proper analysis is worth zip!

At least they got one out of the most wanted players list!🤦🏻‍♂️

 

Elite, without power or privilege is non existent.

isn't this as simple as player effectiveness scale?

All this does is rate players by categories (which aren't listed) and say these players are elite in a particular category. I don't think it is anything lose our minds over.

For example J McGovern is a prime example of a player whos had a lot of work and is likely very good at what he does. I doubt anyone would be surprised that he is leading a defensive category.

It really comes down to interpretation or lack of.

 

Edited by COVID Dan


I suppose we should be thankful they included Clarry

And i don’t care what metrics are used. Gawn is better than Witts (he is very good) and English

1 hour ago, Bitter but optimistic said:

I'm not outraged bin, but surely there is something amiss with CD's measures when the player who I reckon is the best all round ruckman I've seen since following footy does not get a gig.

Couldn't agree more Bbo. Max is so far the best ruck in the AFL it is not funny. As you say, you could make a case for him being the best ruck ever. 

I'd add that surely Gus is rated elite this season - he is number two in the AFL for marks, which is incredible given he has been in defence all season, and its not as if he gets heaps of cheap marks becuase we rarely chip it around in our defensive zone

I’m confused how May isn’t in there. Maybe he lost points for decking Melksham. Not in play. 

Brayshaw not rated elite as a half back? Interesting.

Seems a bit harsh on Petracca for just three weeks a bit off the boil, but it probably works out statistically if you're into that.

I think Brayshaw missed out by a statistical fingernail, and probably suffered a bit because he has not quite fit the usual roles of either dedicated rebounder or dedicated interceptor/supporter. But he really has only just missed on either format, which to me just underlines his importance.

Gawn is statistically pipped by, again, the barest of margins by Tim English. Remembering Gawn had a couple of quiet ones (just 'excellent' games) earlier in the season and his injured second half against Collingwood. As for Jarrod Witts - clearly that is a matter of how Champion Data prioritise according to position, with Witts' sheer volume of hitouts and hitouts-to-advantage being all the difference there.

On a positive note, seeing a couple of the midfield elite names there got me thinking, and sure enough, since he found his current vein of form Jack Viney has been right in that group. Still flying under the radar a bit, but at present is an absolute A-grader.

It is a nice touch that the only player they made an exception for in their categories of statistical eliteness was Bontempelli. And, you know, fair enough, that's fine, but also, kind of points up how silly their use of field categories is.


Hmmm... the names left off the list are so perplexing. 

I would have expected May (winning defensive 1v1s and spoils) and Brayshaw (2nd in marks) to be there based on this years form. 
Maybe even Petracca (Most Goal Assists) but his kicking efficiency has let him down a bit in some games. 

From the other clubs: Jack Steele, Andrew Brayshaw, Callum Mills have all had elite seasons so far and are not there.

Its also missing the man leading the Coleman in Charlie Curnow, and I rate Harry Mckay higher than him. 
Yet Taylor walker is there and isn't even in the top 20 for the Coleman. 

What The? 

All this tells us is that Champion Data are NOT champions of data.

Time for them to get a life or, better still,to open their eyes.

As is always the case with CD's ratings, whatever they use to measure "elite-ness" isn't worth worrying about given the results it produces.

No Gawn or May, clearly issues from an MFC perspective. But also no Weitering, which means the two key defenders widely considered AA locks aren't there, but instead we have Sicily, McGovern and Isaac Cumming.

For wings, no Langdon or McCluggage, but Marlion Pickett and Harry Perryman instead.

For key forwards, no Curnow or McKay, but Taylor Walker who missed a month of footy is there.

For mids, no Andrew Brayshaw or Callum Mills, but George Hewett gets in.

Just odd.

Elite in this context is the top 10% of players in each position (broad position categories) based on the average AFL Player Ratings in 2022.

Champion Data shoot themselves in the foot (or the media does it for them) by releasing  the players categorised as elite without detail or context.

The following document provides an overview of how the AFL Player Rating system works, but it's effectively a measure of how much a player improves their team's scoring chances from their involvement.

https://s.afl.com.au/staticfile/AFL Tenant/AFL/PlayerRatings/PlayerRatings_HOW.pdf

I haven't listened to it yet, but this week's "ESPN Footy Podcast" explains the elite ratings.

For a lot more technical detail, read from chapter 5 in the following thesis:

https://researchbank.swinburne.edu.au/file/248ec147-72d7-448c-a19d-49f01d90b12f/1/Karl Jackson Thesis.pdf

The club leaders, which includes their position, can be seen here (noting a minimum of 9 games):

 

 

I have all the Player Ratings on my site too, but the player positions are a bit different:
https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html


Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

Featured Content

  • PREVIEW: Richmond

    A few years ago, the Melbourne Football Club produced a documentary about the decade in which it rose from its dystopic purgatory of regular thrashings to the euphoria of a premiership victory. That entire period could have been compressed in a fast motion version of the 2025 season to date as the Demons went from embarrassing basket case to glorious winner in an unexpected victory over the Dockers last Saturday. They transformed in a single week from a team that put in a pedestrian effort of predictably kicking the ball long down the line into attack that made a very ordinary Bombers outfit look like worldbeaters into a slick, fast moving side with urgency and a willingness to handball and create play with shorter kicks and by changing angles to generate an element of chaos that yielded six goals in each of the opening quarters against Freo. 

      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • NON-MFC: Round 07

    Round 7 gets underway in iconic fashion with the traditional ANZAC Day blockbuster. The high-flying Magpies will be looking to solidify their spot atop the ladder, while the Bombers are desperate for a win to stay in touch with the top eight. Later that evening, Fremantle will be out to redeem themselves after a disappointing loss to the Demons, facing a hungry Adelaide side with eyes firmly set on breaking into the top four. Saturday serves up a triple-header of footy action. The Lions will be looking to consolidate their Top 2 spot as they head to Marvel Stadium to clash with the Saints. Over in Adelaide, Port Adelaide will be strong favourites at home against a struggling North Melbourne. The day wraps up with a fiery encounter in Canberra, where the Giants and Bulldogs renew their bitter rivalry. Sunday’s schedule kicks off with the Suns aiming to bounce back from their shock defeat to Richmond, taking on the out of form Swans.Then the Blues will be out to claim a major scalp when they battle the Cats at the MCG. The round finishes with a less-than-thrilling affair between Hawthorn and West Coast at Marvel. Who are you tipping and what are the best results for the Demons?

    • 3 replies
    Demonland
  • REPORT: Fremantle

    For this year’s Easter Saturday game at the MCG, Simon Goodwin and his Demons wound the clock back a few years to wipe out the horrible memories of last season’s twin thrashings at the hands of the Dockers. And it was about time! Melbourne’s indomitable skipper Max Gawn put in a mammoth performance in shutting out his immediate opponent Sean Darcy in the ruck and around the ground and was a colossus at the end when the game was there to be won or lost. It was won by 16.11.107 to 14.13.97. There was the battery-charged Easter Bunny in Kysaiah Pickett running anyone wearing purple ragged, whether at midfield stoppages or around the big sticks. He finish with a five goal haul.

      • Love
      • Thanks
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • CASEY: UWS Giants

    The Casey Demons took on an undefeated UWS Giants outfit at their own home ground on a beautiful autumn day but found themselves completely out of their depth going down by 53 points against a well-drilled and fair superior combination. Despite having 15 AFL listed players at their disposal - far more than in their earlier matches this season - the Demons were never really in the game and suffered their second defeat in a row after their bright start to the season when they drew with the Kangaroos, beat the Suns and matched the Cats for most of the day on their own dung heap at Corio Bay. The Giants were a different proposition altogether. They had a very slight wind advantage in the opening quarter but were too quick off the mark for the Demons, tearing the game apart by the half way mark of the term when they kicked the first five goals with clean and direct football.

      • Thanks
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • PREGAME: Richmond

    The Dees are back at the MCG on Thursday for the annual blockbuster ANZAC Eve game against the Tigers. Can the Demons win back to back games for the first time since Rounds 17 & 18 last season? Who comes in and who goes out?

      • Thanks
    • 262 replies
    Demonland
  • PODCAST: Fremantle

    The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on TUESDAY, 22nd April @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we analyse the Demons first win for the year against the Dockers. Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show. If you would like to leave us a voicemail please call 03 9016 3666 and don't worry no body answers so you don't have to talk to a human.

      • Thanks
    • 47 replies
    Demonland