55 minutes ago, Accepting Mediocrity said:

Not sure where you got those numbers, but they're wrong (currently approx 90,000 people out of ~7.8 billion). But the problem is that the number of cases won't increase linearly, it will increase exponentially (because each person with the virus will likely pass it on to multiple others). 90,000 cases could turn into hundreds of millions extremely quickly, and the mortality rate is about 3.5% - do the math.

No one knows quite how bad it will get, but people have good reason to be concerned (although panic buying dunny paper is just plain weird).  

I didn't suggest that people and governments should not be concerned or vigilant, but at the moment there appears to be a fair amount of panic. The figure of 41,000 was on one of tv news stations this morning.

1 minute ago, old dee said:

Most of the world's problems are simply the result of too many people on the planet.

Exactly, I posted that on this site yesterday but the mods deleted it.

 

2 minutes ago, demonstone said:

Make sure you wash your hands afterwards.

always and stay away from public toilets, pull up in the middle of the street if you have to and cop the $600 fine if you get caught.

Hope there is a crowd lockout for round 1.

AFL will probably find a way to put huge speakers in the ground pumping out loud "BOO" sounds so the umps dont forget to reward West Coke each time they touch the ball.

11 minutes ago, drysdale demon said:

Exactly, I posted that on this site yesterday but the mods deleted it.

 

always and stay away from public toilets, pull up in the middle of the street if you have to and cop the $600 fine if you get caught.

No idea why, will be interesting to see if my comment survives.

34 minutes ago, old dee said:

No idea why, will be interesting to see if my comment survives.

it's the mofo elephant in the room that everyone is too scared to address let alone take any action on

the un body on global population has been forecasting (expert scientists) for 50 years that the rate will flatten out, but it has remained and still is exponential

 

30 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

it's the mofo elephant in the room that everyone is too scared to address let alone take any action on

the un body on global population has been forecasting (expert scientists) for 50 years that the rate will flatten out, but it has remained and still is exponential

 

Like power from nuclear power stations DC no one will even discuss it.

 

 

1 hour ago, old dee said:

Like power from nuclear power stations DC no one will even discuss it.

 

well not in this country anyway

Edited March 4, 20205 yr by daisycutter

3 hours ago, Accepting Mediocrity said:

Not sure where you got those numbers, but they're wrong (currently approx 90,000 people out of ~7.8 billion). But the problem is that the number of cases won't increase linearly, it will increase exponentially (because each person with the virus will likely pass it on to multiple others). 90,000 cases could turn into hundreds of millions extremely quickly, and the mortality rate is about 3.5% - do the math.

No one knows quite how bad it will get, but people have good reason to be concerned (although panic buying dunny paper is just plain weird).  

Outside of Asia I believe the mortality rate is far less, around 1 or 1.5 per cent. However, as you say, figures can change quickly.

Older people or those having pre existing health issues with compromised immunity certainly have more to be concerned about should it escalate here.

Edited March 4, 20205 yr by Moonshadow

49 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

well not in this country anyway

More is the pity DC.

12 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Can somebody spare some dunny paper please? 5 supermarkets later and nothing. 

Mattys Bar and Bistro in Crib Point are having a Corona Virus promotion. Buy a Corona beer and get one dunny roll free.

Edited March 4, 20205 yr by america de cali

7 hours ago, america de cali said:

Mattys Bar and Bistro in Crib Point are having a Corona Virus promotion. Buy a Corona beer and get one dunny roll free.

 

This is a much cheaper and enjoyable way to get your hands on a 30 pack of toilet paper than the $1,500 people are asking for on eBay. 

14 hours ago, old dee said:

Most of the world's problems are simply the result of too many people on the planet.

That is exactly the point. In fact it is entirely the point. I could go on but wont.

24 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

This is a much cheaper and enjoyable way to get your hands on a 30 pack of toilet paper than the $1,500 people are asking for on eBay. 

You have to be kidding ?

33 minutes ago, dl4e said:

You have to be kidding ?

Sadly not dl, not sure if we are allowed to post pics from eBay on here but someone is asking 9k for a 20 pack and has 18 bids so far. Is it even legal? 

Edited March 4, 20205 yr by Dee Zephyr

24 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Sadly not dl, not sure if we are allowed to post pics from eBay on here but someone is asking 9k for a 20 pack and has 18 bids so far. Is it even legal? 

Apparently there are heaps of posts on eBay and Gumtree taking the pizz (pardon the pun) and getting friends to bid

9k for 20 would need to be gold leaf toilet paper

Is it possible we could make the GF and not be allowed to go?!!

Yes folks, MFCSS knows no limits...

12 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Is it possible we could make the GF and not be allowed to go?!!

Yes folks, MFCSS knows no limits...

Could be worse. At the end of the home and away series we may have finished beneath the other team that makes the GF with the AFL cancelling the game and awarding the Premiership to the team that finished higher on the ladder.  

18 hours ago, drysdale demon said:

A pee in the ocean still

 

20 hours ago, drysdale demon said:

I heard on the news this morning that worldwide 41,000 people had been diagnosed with the disease, as the worlds population is around 10 billion this equates to a very miniscule percentage.

So if the virus spreads to most of the worlds population, that would equate to around 70m deaths. Roughly about the same as the 1918 Spanish Flu.

12 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

 

So if the virus spreads to most of the worlds population, that would equate to around 70m deaths. Roughly about the same as the 1918 Spanish Flu.

at a 2% fatality rate this would need approx 50% of the world's population to get coronavirus. how do you arrive at that figure? or did you just pluck it out of the proverbial?

and i thought mfcss was a glass half full

there's something a little strange about the absence of entry restrictions on Italians with the upcoming GP

This almost sounds Donaldish

Still in Australia for now, the Guardian’s Katherine Murphy has asked Scott Morrison to elaborate on the travel travel ban regarding South Korea.

Part of the reason, Morrison responded, was the number of travellers arriving in Australia from South Korea. “The volume of travellers coming out of the Republic of Korea was more than five times what it is out of Italy,” he said.

It “may well be possible within a matter of days or weeks to be able to ensure that we can deal with that,” he said, but for now the travel ban was “the way to go”.

35 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

at a 2% fatality rate this would need approx 50% of the world's population to get coronavirus. how do you arrive at that figure? or did you just pluck it out of the proverbial?

and i thought mfcss was a glass half full

Was going on 1% of the 7b population, as you correctly pointed out, if the mortality rate is at 1%. Looks like it might be higher.

Regardless of the math, it could still be a serious pandemic.

Edited March 5, 20205 yr by Wadda We Sing

8 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Was going on 1% of the 7b population, as you correctly pointed out, if the mortality rate is at 1%. Looks like it might be higher.

Regardless of the math, it could still be a serious pandemic.

It very well could be, time will tell, but I am not going to panic about it.

27 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

there's something a little strange about the absence of entry restrictions on Italians with the upcoming GP

FI organisers have said if any team is prevented from racing they'll cancel the Grand Prix.  That is a huge amount of tourist dollars lost to the Vic economy if it is cancelled.  imv the government is playing a high risk game in putting $ before health, especially as Ferrari's location and perhaps it's major fan base is in northern Italy. 

Wouldn't be at all surprised if a ban on travellers from Italy is activated as soon as the race is finished.

Edited March 5, 20205 yr by Lucifer's Hero

The morality rate overall isn't high but its the demographics of it that will hurt the Aussie population