Hawks play finals.. North play finals... we don’t. 

It'll be pretty tough from here but it hurts that Collingwood is now a game ahead. If North, Hawthorn and Collingwood make it ahead of us, they'll be it for me.

  On 24/06/2018 at 19:54, Petraccattack said:

We haven't been to the finals in 11 years, and anything can happen once we get in there.

And it will give our players finals experience.

And we can easily beat any of those teams btw.

Cant believe any Demon supporter would not care if we made the finals or not.. mind blowing.  Why go through a decade of hell and then scoff at making the finals just cos you think we may lose in an Elimination Final.

 

This to me is indicative of our culture...the idea that playing finals is an achievement.

It's not really....it's an opportunity...an avenue to an Achievement.

Playing a GF is an Achievement...winning it an even bigger/ better one.

Playing finals is a means to an end only.

No one cares who comes 2nd 3rd etc.

I reckon we will win all of our remaining games. Port are a seriously good side and we have one facet of our game that needs some work, how we bring the ball imto our forward 50. Viney working back to his best, adjusting our backline without Lever, Tom Bugg ramping up in the VFL, important tests v Geelong, Sydney and Westcoast will plant us firmpy in the top 2-3.

  On 25/06/2018 at 08:48, chookrat said:

I reckon we will win all of our remaining games. Port are a seriously good side and we have one facet of our game that needs some work, how we bring the ball imto our forward 50. Viney working back to his best, adjusting our backline without Lever, Tom Bugg ramping up in the VFL, important tests v Geelong, Sydney and Westcoast will plant us firmpy in the top 2-3.

I'll take that bet sir!

I take it your odds will be forthcoming. I will then provide my bank account into which you can place my winnings from this wager rightaway as there is so low a chance of this occurring I am almost comatose in my comfort it won't happen

  On 24/06/2018 at 23:24, Demon17 said:

 

I agree on Pies. I think they are the team in real danger of missing 8. I have them on 11 firm wins and every other match  a tough one.

 

Made a bit harder if Treloar is out for the season, which he might be.

https://coupler.foxsports.com.au/api/v1/article/amp/afl/report-adam-treloar-hamstring-injury-could-rule-him-out-for-the-rest-of-2018-afl-season/news-story/b708f3d1f7909812ca0db287524fbd69?__twitter_impression=true

  On 25/06/2018 at 10:46, Mickey said:

Made a bit harder if Treloar is out for the season, which he might be.

https://coupler.foxsports.com.au/api/v1/article/amp/afl/report-adam-treloar-hamstring-injury-could-rule-him-out-for-the-rest-of-2018-afl-season/news-story/b708f3d1f7909812ca0db287524fbd69?__twitter_impression=true

Big blow for Pies, I reckon he's their best mid and provides all the run and drive. Sure others like De Goey may step up but he'll be sorely missed. I had them pushing for top 4, be interesting to see how they cope, but have an easy draw

  On 25/06/2018 at 10:50, SFebey said:

Big blow for Pies, I reckon he's their best mid and provides all the run and drive. Sure others like De Goey may step up but he'll be sorely missed. I had them pushing for top 4, be interesting to see how they cope, but have an easy draw

I feel sorry for Treloar, you know, it's his means of earning a living, but SUCK IT PIES (sorry Adam, really, that sucks)

  On 25/06/2018 at 10:46, Mickey said:

Made a bit harder if Treloar is out for the season, which he might be.

https://coupler.foxsports.com.au/api/v1/article/amp/afl/report-adam-treloar-hamstring-injury-could-rule-him-out-for-the-rest-of-2018-afl-season/news-story/b708f3d1f7909812ca0db287524fbd69?__twitter_impression=true

Finally one of our rivals lose  a star player for the season.   Evens things up for the loss of Lever.

Hopefully the Pies fall apart now.

  On 25/06/2018 at 19:04, Petraccattack said:

Finally one of our rivals lose  a star player for the season.   Evens things up for the loss of Lever.

Hopefully the Pies fall apart now.

Not sure they'll fall apart completely, but it might sway a couple of 50/50 games

There are some tough games certainly but the only two that I’d put down as highly likely to be a loss are Geelong in Geelong and WCE in Perth.

4 should definitely be wins: Saints, Freo, Dogs and Suns.  

The Crows look shot we will start favorites in that game.  That’s 5 wins = 13 wins.

That leaves:

Sydney at MCG

GWS at MCG

I think by the last round the Giants will be out of contention and will have put the cue in the rack.  We “should” win hat one. 

Provided we play well we should get 14 wins with a strong percentage.  That will get us in the 8. Hopefully 5th or 6th to get us a home final 1st week.

  On 25/06/2018 at 10:50, SFebey said:

Big blow for Pies, I reckon he's their best mid and provides all the run and drive. Sure others like De Goey may step up but he'll be sorely missed. I had them pushing for top 4, be interesting to see how they cope, but have an easy draw

I'm not so sure about that.

Collingwood play 5 of the current top 8 and all of the top 3, while us and North only play 3 top 8 sides. Hawthorn and Port play just 2.

If Collingwood were to lose to Essendon next week or even GC this week up there (and Suns play far better at home) they'll actually be in a bit of trouble.

Im curious .. perhaps surprised ...how many gloss over the game against Freo in Darwin. This looms . We have had stuff all success there. Freo do well. Dockers travelling sort of OK...bit under the Radar.

This might be where we stumble.. and stumble badly.

  On 25/06/2018 at 22:11, hells bells said:

There are some tough games certainly but the only two that I’d put down as highly likely to be a loss are Geelong in Geelong and WCE in Perth.

 

You can add Sydney to that.

I just can't see us winning that game at the venue we play our worst footy at. Buddy will probably run amok.

  On 25/06/2018 at 22:59, Bring-Back-Powell said:

I'm not so sure about that.

Collingwood play 5 of the current top 8 and all of the top 3, while us and North only play 3 top 8 sides. Hawthorn and Port play just 2.

If Collingwood were to lose to Essendon next week or even GC this week up there (and Suns play far better at home) they'll actually be in a bit of trouble.

Good point, I have them winning next 4 and at least 6 to EOY

  On 25/06/2018 at 22:59, beelzebub said:

Im curious .. perhaps surprised ...how many gloss over the game against Freo in Darwin. This looms . We have had stuff all success there. Freo do well. Dockers travelling sort of OK...bit under the Radar.

This might be where we stumble.. and stumble badly.

This ^

Big danger game

  On 25/06/2018 at 22:11, hells bells said:

I think by the last round the Giants will be out of contention and will have put the cue in the rack.  We “should” win hat one. 

 

You mean like Collingwood last year? ?

We'll need to beat 2 of Crows, Swans, Eagles, Giants and Cats, as well as beat all of Dockers, Saints, Suns and Bulldogs to make it a certainty.

Finishing 9th again would be devastating for club and fan morale.

  On 25/06/2018 at 22:11, hells bells said:

There are some tough games certainly but the only two that I’d put down as highly likely to be a loss are Geelong in Geelong and WCE in Perth.

4 should definitely be wins: Saints, Freo, Dogs and Suns.  

The Crows look shot we will start favorites in that game.  That’s 5 wins = 13 wins.

That leaves:

Sydney at MCG

GWS at MCG

I think by the last round the Giants will be out of contention and will have put the cue in the rack.  We “should” win hat one. 

Provided we play well we should get 14 wins with a strong percentage.  That will get us in the 8. Hopefully 5th or 6th to get us a home final 1st week.

Bingo.

other teams in contention are being hit by injuries and suspension which will help us:

• Darling/Kennedy at WC. Darling was the form player of the comp
• Treloar for the pies - best most damaging mid
• Burgoyne at hawks
• Cameron GWS probably 6 weeks is their only decent fwd

I honestly think North are shyte and will be found out by the end of the season.

  On 25/06/2018 at 22:11, hells bells said:

There are some tough games certainly but the only two that I’d put down as highly likely to be a loss are Geelong in Geelong and WCE in Perth.

4 should definitely be wins: Saints, Freo, Dogs and Suns.  

The Crows look shot we will start favorites in that game.  That’s 5 wins = 13 wins.

That leaves:

Sydney at MCG

GWS at MCG

I think by the last round the Giants will be out of contention and will have put the cue in the rack.  We “should” win hat one. 

Provided we play well we should get 14 wins with a strong percentage.  That will get us in the 8. Hopefully 5th or 6th to get us a home final 1st week.

Mirrors my thoughts except the Crows game which i think they will win (at this stage).

We will play finals.

The only "decent" team that Collingwood have beaten is us.  They have also struggled to solidly defeat poor sides.

With Treloar out for the rest of the year, it will be interesting to see how they go.  The $7 on offer for them to miss the 8 (via Sportsbet) is certainly appealing.  

Hope some of you chaps and chappettes are right otherwise a somber sept awaits...

A little over that

Everyone is frothing over Collingwood.

They've beaten Carlton (twice), St Kilda, Brisbane, Fremantle, the Dogs, Essendon, Adelaide and us.

We've beaten Carlton, St Kilda, Brisbane, GC, the Dogs, Essendon, Adelaide and North.

But the narrative at the moment is "Melbourne can't beat anyone good" whilst "Collingwood is more dangerous than Richmond".

If we're no good then they have no wins against anyone good. At least we've beaten North!

 

Just done the ladder predictor again and I've noticed a few things.

We can't afford to drop a game to a team that is below us.

We must beat GWS in the last game.

To assure our spot in the 8 we must win 1 game against either Sydney, Geelong, West.Coast.

So we can only drop 2 games.

  On 26/06/2018 at 13:00, titan_uranus said:

 

But the narrative at the moment is "Melbourne can't beat anyone good" whilst "Collingwood is more dangerous than Richmond".

If we're no good then they have no wins against anyone good. At least we've beaten North!

I noticed this a few weeks ago as well.

The media cream themselves fellating Collingwood when they beat Carlton by 20 points on the weekend. We pump Carlton by 109 points and the media fall over themselves in a race to proclaim us downhill skiers that haven't beaten anyone good.

FMD the media bias is ridiculous.

Edited June 26, 20186 yr by SaberFang