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Around The Grounds - ROUND 23

Deemented Are Go!
Deemented Are Go!
in Melbourne Demons

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Posted

I can sense a lack of gregariousness round here. 

Halfway through the 3rd quarter. Any thoughts? 

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    This is turning into a bit of a soul-crushing loss for the Crows tonight coming into the finals.

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    Big loss. Crows will be barracking for us tomorrow. 

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    Still don't think West Coast can win it, and it raises questions about Adelaide.

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    Yeah I was thinking Adelaide had a real crack at it this year but to drop against WC (who are coming good at the right time) at home is very costly.

    Just had a look at the ladder predictor, I didn't realise that if we caused a massive upset over the weekend Geelong can go as low as 5th. In fact if we do we then potentially means North might be better served losing to GWS as they would get a final in Melbourne as opposed to traveling to Adelaide (uh oh, tanking talk!). 

    I would get enormous pleasure out of us stuffing up the cats finals! (Can't see it happening though)

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    That was one of the best performances by any team of the year. Clinical and almost perfect in execution, aside from some shots they missed in the 2nd half they should have won by 50+. Adelaide will have a bye to gather again which may be fortunate for them. Eagles are in it and can definitely win it if they continue playing like that.

     

    Of Note: We can prevent Geelong from making top 2. We also may decide whether Hawthorn play Geel or GWS at the MCG If Kangas & Coll can't beat them. I'd like to see GWS destroy the Hawks at the G personally. Geelong are boring.

    Oh nice, if Hawthorn, GWS lose and Dogs win, Hawthorn v GWS could be 6v7

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    It'll be a rare occasion, but I would love it if the Pies won this week. Would pretty much mean the Hawks would finish out of the top 4!

    I certainly don't think it'll happen, but wouldn't it be nice!

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    I noticed the stat at the start that said West Coast had nearly 2700 games experience in the 22 that played tonight.

    At the start of the season, we had 2268 for our whole list.

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    At 3/4 time Ess lead Blues that gives them a % of 61.5.  Lions on a % of 61.5

    If that continues and Lions lose to StK, Lions get the #1 Draft pick (and 1st pick in the PSD). 

    If Ess were wanting to walk O'Meara or another player into the PSD they won't be able to.

    I wonder how Worsfold is going to tank the game now! 

     

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    Yes, Ess tried so hard to tank it!  But Blues kicked so badly in final quarter! 

    Final Qtr Score:

    Ess:  1. 2. 8

    Blues:  4. 7. 31

    Final Ess % 61.0

    As it is, Lions lose to the Saints tomorrow and its hello #1 draft pick. 

    Go Saints!!

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      On 27/08/2016 at 06:42, Lucifer's Hero said:

    Yes, Ess tried so hard to tank it!  But Blues kicked so badly in final quarter! 

    Final Qtr Score:

    Ess:  1. 2. 8

    Blues:  4. 7. 31

    Final Ess % 61.0

    As it is, Lions lose tomorrow and its hello #1 draft pick. 

    Go Lions!!

    not necessarily. as lions % is 61.5% they have to lose by more than 38.5% to drop their %

    they could easily lose and their % go up

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      On 27/08/2016 at 06:51, daisycutter said:

    not necessarily. as lions % is 61.5% they have to lose by more than 38.5% to drop their %

    they could easily lose and their % go up

    This would put more pressure on O'Meara now that his only 'walk' option is to go to Brisbane? Karma?

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      On 27/08/2016 at 06:51, daisycutter said:

    not necessarily. as lions % is 61.5% they have to lose by more than 38.5% to drop their %

    they could easily lose and their % go up

    True, can you save me the arithmetic and tell me 38.5% converts to in points, roughly?

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      On 27/08/2016 at 06:57, Lucifer's Hero said:

    True, can you save me the arithmetic and tell me 38.5% converts to in points, roughly?

    depends. if lions lose 61 to 100 basically no change. 

    to drop their % by .5% over 22 games they need to lose by an extra 11 points

    so if Aints kick 100 they need to kick about 50 (i.e. 61 -11 = 50)......lets say a loss of about 51-55 to be safe

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      On 27/08/2016 at 06:57, Lucifer's Hero said:

    True, can you save me the arithmetic and tell me 38.5% converts to in points, roughly?

    In the vicinity of 40+ I'd assume.

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    From Reddit:

     

    If Brisbane score 50, StKilda need 82.

    If Brisbane score 55, StKilda need 90.

    If Brisbane score 60, StKilda need 98.

    If Brisbane score 65, StKilda need 106.

    If Brisbane score 70, StKilda need 114.

    If Brisbane score 75, StKilda need 122.

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      On 27/08/2016 at 07:09, johndemons said:

    From Reddit:

     

    If Brisbane score 50, StKilda need 82.

    If Brisbane score 55, StKilda need 90.

    If Brisbane score 60, StKilda need 98.

    If Brisbane score 65, StKilda need 106.

    If Brisbane score 70, StKilda need 114.

    If Brisbane score 75, StKilda need 122.

    That's just what they need to lose by to drop percentage - but it doesn't factor in how much they need to lose by to drop the necessary .5 % Which, according to the ladder predictor,  is closer to the 10 goal range (obviously changing depending on what Brisbane score).

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    Bombers percentage is 60.993.

    If Brisbane score 50 and St Kilda score 104, Brisbane's percentage will be 60.994. So if Brisbane score 50, St Kilda need to score 105+.

    If Brisbane score 60, St Kilda need 121+.

    if Brisbane score 70, St Kilda need 138+.

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