Phantom Draft

[hillie 41]

I thought I would have another look at some of the You Tubes of these guys and the Martin one was just sensational, he is a serious player. Another one was Tapscott I have seen his before but he shows a lot more than Vardy and I would take him at 11 without a worry but I doubt he will still be there. Wouldn't take Butcher on what he's shown so far injuries or not.

with picks 11 and 18, i'd be happy with two of butcher black jetta and vardy.

think one of them definately has to be wither butcher or black and i think there is a real chance of this happening so i reckon i'll be happy

[Freak 100]

butcher won't slide to 11 ppl geez. he will either be picked up by us at 2, richmond at 3. north at 5, sydney at 6, port at 8 or 9 or essendon at 10.

Bailey has hinted that we will pick butcher by saying 'we will be picking up 1 midfielder with our first 2 picks'. You be the judge.

[dee-luded 2,959]

Yeah.... My fiancee is starting to wonder if I want to marry her or Jack..... I just tell her that there are going to be so many Jacks to choose from at Melbourne....

Can she kick, whats her disposal like?

[cooko 124]

butcher won't slide to 11 ppl geez. he will either be picked up by us at 2, richmond at 3. north at 5, sydney at 6, port at 8 or 9 or essendon at 10.

Bailey has hinted that we will pick butcher by saying 'we will be picking up 1 midfielder with our first 2 picks'. You be the judge.

Bailey said that about 6 months ago.. a lot has changed.. it is pretty clear we will be picked scully and trengove 1 and 2.

richmond wont pick him as they have already stated they are keen on martin, north might.. but i doubt they will take a risk and will probably go with cunnington or rohan.. sydney has already said they are very keen on rohan, and port have also expressed interest in the local boys (tapscott & panos) with their 2 picks.. essendon have also stated they want a midfielder as they believe they have their kpp covered..

probably wont happen.. but i wouldnt be so quick to rule our dees getting butcher at 11

[Freak 100]

he actually said it at the draft camp

and you are making up everything you just stated other than north claiming that they want martin. Everything else you said was pure unsourced speculation.

Edited October 10, 2009 by Freak

[The Backyard Charizard 1,202]

MFC better pick up Trengove..... I will be so freakin' [censored] if they overlook him!!

If the FD overlook him then it will be a huge mistake! An 18 year old ball magnet who can stand up in a gang tackle against grown men and dish out an accurate handball..... Hmmmm.... Why the hell would a club want a kid like that?? Why would you want a kid full of poise, skill, awareness and leadership???

Seriously Melbourne.....

I am not joking here..... Don't make a grown man cry!!!

[Ryan Dee 140]

MFC better pick up Trengove..... I will be so freakin' [censored] if they overlook him!!

If the FD overlook him then it will be a huge mistake! An 18 year old ball magnet who can stand up in a gang tackle against grown men and dish out an accurate handball..... Hmmmm.... Why the hell would a club want a kid like that?? Why would you want a kid full of poise, skill, awareness and leadership???

Seriously Melbourne.....

I am not joking here..... Don't make a grown man cry!!!

Man relax, why the hysteria all of a sudden?

[Freak 100]

MFC better pick up Trengove..... I will be so freakin' [censored] if they overlook him!!

If the FD overlook him then it will be a huge mistake! An 18 year old ball magnet who can stand up in a gang tackle against grown men and dish out an accurate handball..... Hmmmm.... Why the hell would a club want a kid like that?? Why would you want a kid full of poise, skill, awareness and leadership???

Seriously Melbourne.....

I am not joking here..... Don't make a grown man cry!!!

Maybe because Morabito is full of X-factor and full of speed. the modern day goal-kicking midfielder. 190cm that breaks tackles also. I prefer morabito. Morabito doesnt have good footskills compared to trengove but he beats him at pace and x-factor

[Keyser Söze 0]

he actually said it at the draft camp

and you are making up everything you just stated other than north claiming that they want martin. Everything else you said was pure unsourced speculation.

Notice how the media, who love to read into things and turn what they imagine into reality, have not said a word about this?

That's because it was a throw-away line and it is meaningless, and even they are not stupid enough to run with it like you have.

Yes, we will take at least one midfielder with our first 2 picks. Bailey would be stupid to rule out taking a tall forward; there's every chance BP could make that recommendation.

On the AFL website Trengove has been classified as a medium forward anyway.

[Freak 100]

i hope you'are right.

i just hope we take best available with all of our picks. no use in picking up a staker clone at 11 or 18 just because they are key position

[dee-man 0]

i hope you'are right.

i just hope we take best available with all of our picks. no use in picking up a staker clone at 11 or 18 just because they are key position

Well if people think that we are only taking 1 mid with our 1st 2 picks i think that may mean that we pass on Scully then.Trengove will go num 1 in my opinion.Theink we have to take Trengove & Scully at 1,2 then go for a KPP at 11.Hopefully either Butcher or Panos are still around.For a late pick in our 3rd or 4th round id love us to take a CHB/FB by the name of Alex Stopp from Norwood,realy rate the guy

[cooko 124]

he actually said it at the draft camp

and you are making up everything you just stated other than north claiming that they want martin. Everything else you said was pure unsourced speculation.

Dees taking Trengove with pick 2

http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0...5016212,00.html

"THE player most likely to be taken by Melbourne at No.2 in this year's AFL Draft won't be attending this week's draft camp in Canberra.

Gun South Australian midfielder/forward Jack Trengove will remain in Adelaide to train with Sturt ahead of Sunday's SANFL Grand Final against Central Districts."

http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tab...00/default.aspx

Jack Trengove (South Australia/Sturt)

Did not attend last week's draft camp due to SANFL finals, but his recent form has several recruiters now thinking he should be taken at No.1, ahead of Scully in the draft. The tough midfielder/forward now appears to be one of Melbourne's top two picks.

Tigers Interested in Martin

http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0...5016212,00.html

"RICHMOND is poised to partner midfield gem Trent Cotchin with another outstanding onballer from next month's draft.

Clean-skilled midfielder Dustin Martin has firmed as the Tigers' target after testing brilliantly at the AFL Draft Camp in Canberra this week."

"Richmond recruiting chief Francis Jackson said the club was unlikely to use its first-round pick to draft a top key forward, such as John Butcher."

Morabito to freo

http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,,2...5005401,00.html

"Morabito and his manager, Colin Young, have told eastern states clubs he would prefer to stay at home.

Brilliant young rover Tom Scully appears certain to be Melbourne's first choice with its priority pick and classy South Australian Jack Trengove the Demons' next pick at two. Tough on-baller Dustin Martin looks likely to head to the Tigers with their first pick."

http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,,2...5005401,00.html

"Fremantle is expected to bolster its midfield by taking highly sought after on-baller Anthony Morabito with its first pick."

West Coast looking at Lucas and Jetta

http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,,2...5005401,00.html

"Swan Districts speedster Lewis Jetta or East Fremantle running midfielder Kane Lucas will be targeted to add extra pace to a youthful on-ball battery."

"West Coast and Fremantle are still in desperate need of quick midfielders to capitalise on rebuilding home-ground advantage at Subiaco Oval."

Essendon is also on the hunt for a young gun onballer.

http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0...5016212,00.html

"Essendon is also on the hunt for a young gun onballer.

Bombers football manager Paul Hamilton said: "That certainly is one of our priorities.

"This draft has got some good midfield depth and talent and we feel if we can get a couple of good quality mids, that is going to help us long-term."

[LITTLE STINGA 1]

Well if people think that we are only taking 1 mid with our 1st 2 picks i think that may mean that we pass on Scully then.Trengove will go num 1 in my opinion.Theink we have to take Trengove & Scully at 1,2 then go for a KPP at 11.Hopefully either Butcher or Panos are still around.For a late pick in our 3rd or 4th round id love us to take a CHB/FB by the name of Alex Stopp from Norwood,realy rate the guy

Only Freak does and we all know what Freak's like. If you read and watch the reports at draft camp then the top 6 are virtually locked in. Scully and Trengove (Melb), Martin (Rich), Morabito (Freo), Cunnington (NM), Rohan (Syd). West Coast will more than likely go for a local mid(Jetta\Lucas) Port are the only team that may grab Butcher with either pick 8 or 9 Essendon will go for another mid.

Edited October 11, 2009 by BROCKSTAR5

[cooko 124]

he actually said it at the draft camp

and you are making up everything you just stated other than north claiming that they want martin. Everything else you said was pure unsourced speculation.

Cunnington getting looked at by tigers and kangas

http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0...5016212,00.html

"Richmond (No. 3) and North Melbourne (No. 5) have their eyes on him in next month's national draft."

[MadAsHell 4,215]

Ok now that the draft order is finally set here's my prediction up until Melbourne's final pick.

1. Tom Scully (Melbourne)

2. Jack Trengove (Melbourne)

3. Dustin Martin (Richmond)

4. Anthony Morabito (Fremantle)

5. Ben Cunnington (North Melbourne)

6. Gary Rohan (Sydney)

7. Kane Lucas (West Coast)

8. Luke Tapscott (Port Adelaide)

9. James Craig (Port Adelaide)

10. Koby Stevens (Essendon)

11. John Butcher (Melbourne)

12. Matthew Panos (Carlton)

13. Allen Christensen (Adelaide)

14. Daniel Talia (Sydney)

15. Jordan Gysberts (Western Bulldogs)

16. Nathan Vardy (Port Adelaide)

17. Jake Carlisle (Geelong)

18. Lewis Jetta (Melbourne)

19. Andrew Moore (Richmond)

20. Aaron Black (Fremantle)

21. Jessie Crichton (North Melbourne)

22. Travis Colyer (West Coast)

23. Bradley Sheppard (West Coast)

24. Derrick Wanganeen (Essendon)

25. Ben Griffiths (North Melbourne)

26. Nicholas Winmar (Essendon)

27. Sam Reid (Brisbane)

28. Troy Taylor (Geelong)

29. Jake Melsham (Adelaide)

30. Joseph Dare (Collingwood)

31. Mitchell Duncan (Western Bulldogs)

32. Max Gawn (St. Kilda)

33. Myles Sewell (Essendon)

34. Dylan Grimes (Melbourne)

[Goodvibes 3,596]

Most people seem set on Scully and Trengove at 1 and 2. Most people seem set on KPP's at 11 and 18 and most people seem set on Dylan Grimes at 34. Few people have us picking beyong 34.

I'm not saying this won't happen but just want to expand the conversation a little. All of the KPP have knocks on them. If Butcher is gone before 11 our Footy Dept may not rate the next batch of KPP's as first round quality. In other words, if Black has issues with consistency and Griffiths is injury prone and Carlisle too speculative and Panos too one-dimensional and Talia not considered dangerous enough forward why wouldn't we do what we always suggest we should with top 20 picks and simply take "best available"? If Butcher is gone, in all likelihood one of Koby Stevens, Gary Rohan and Luke Tapscott will be available at 11. Who would you take? I'm all for taking the next best midfielder and investing pick 18 on the more speculative KPP. We obviously have a serious need. Watts will need a big body next to him but we can't reinvent the draft to suit us. All of the experts are telling us that this is a shallow draft and particularly weak in terms of KPP's. I don't want to lose Brock McLean and spend pick 11 on an overly speculative player. I'd rather add Stevens, Rohan or Tapscott and take one of Griffiths, Black, Carlisle or Panos at 18. Thoughts?

[Dee tention 617]

If Lewis Jetts or Luke Tapscott slip to 11 we must take them and use 18 on a KPP. West Coast is likely to take Jetta at 7 and Tapscott to Port at 8 or 9. So unlikely I would think! Take the best available. If Panos, Butcher or Lucus are still there than fantastic. Either way, Pick 11 is still going to get a potentially good player if not great! Hopefully we can take a Black or Temel at 18.

[Bails 0]

Ok now that the draft order is finally set here's my prediction up until Melbourne's final pick.

1. Tom Scully (Melbourne)

2. Jack Trengove (Melbourne)

3. Dustin Martin (Richmond)

4. Anthony Morabito (Fremantle)

5. Ben Cunnington (North Melbourne)

6. Gary Rohan (Sydney)

7. Kane Lucas (West Coast)

8. Luke Tapscott (Port Adelaide)

9. James Craig (Port Adelaide)

10. Koby Stevens (Essendon)

11. John Butcher (Melbourne)

12. Matthew Panos (Carlton)

13. Allen Christensen (Adelaide)

14. Daniel Talia (Sydney)

15. Jordan Gysberts (Western Bulldogs)

16. Nathan Vardy (Port Adelaide)

17. Jake Carlisle (Geelong)

18. Lewis Jetta (Melbourne)

19. Andrew Moore (Richmond)

20. Aaron Black (Fremantle)

21. Jessie Crichton (North Melbourne)

22. Travis Colyer (West Coast)

23. Bradley Sheppard (West Coast)

24. Derrick Wanganeen (Essendon)

25. Ben Griffiths (North Melbourne)

26. Nicholas Winmar (Essendon)

27. Sam Reid (Brisbane)

28. Troy Taylor (Geelong)

29. Jake Melsham (Adelaide)

30. Joseph Dare (Collingwood)

31. Mitchell Duncan (Western Bulldogs)

32. Max Gawn (St. Kilda)

33. Myles Sewell (Essendon)

34. Dylan Grimes (Melbourne)

we wont get jetta - he will go top ten.... i would think to the eagles!!!

interesting you dont have Taylor in there.... he might be a little troubled bu he is a super player - i would love to get him at 34

Black also might be a better fit for us than butcher - he is strong, crashes packs and loves a contest (i might be wrong here, but i have my concerns over butcher's work rate/head space)

[Keyser Söze 0]

Most people seem set on Scully and Trengove at 1 and 2. Most people seem set on KPP's at 11 and 18 and most people seem set on Dylan Grimes at 34. Few people have us picking beyong 34.

I'm not saying this won't happen but just want to expand the conversation a little. All of the KPP have knocks on them. If Butcher is gone before 11 our Footy Dept may not rate the next batch of KPP's as first round quality. In other words, if Black has issues with consistency and Griffiths is injury prone and Carlisle too speculative and Panos too one-dimensional and Talia not considered dangerous enough forward why wouldn't we do what we always suggest we should with top 20 picks and simply take "best available"? If Butcher is gone, in all likelihood one of Koby Stevens, Gary Rohan and Luke Tapscott will be available at 11. Who would you take? I'm all for taking the next best midfielder and investing pick 18 on the more speculative KPP. We obviously have a serious need. Watts will need a big body next to him but we can't reinvent the draft to suit us. All of the experts are telling us that this is a shallow draft and particularly weak in terms of KPP's. I don't want to lose Brock McLean and spend pick 11 on an overly speculative player. I'd rather add Stevens, Rohan or Tapscott and take one of Griffiths, Black, Carlisle or Panos at 18. Thoughts?

I agree best available at those selection but the thing is, I think Stevens, Rohan and Tapscott are just as speculative as any of the KPPs being discussed. All 3 could easily slide well beyond their expected spot of mid-first-round.

Once we get to that stage they all level out and there's not much difference between that tier of players, big or small.

You know what they say in recruiting: if you're gonna make a mistake, make it a big one.

Every time I look at our list, besides needing stars, i think it is due for a an injection of skilled talls.

I don't like choosing based on position, but looking forward EVERY team is going to have trouble getting quality bigs the next few seasons, so taking the best ones available now (within reason) just seems the smart option.

[H_T 3,049]

Most people seem set on Scully and Trengove at 1 and 2. Most people seem set on KPP's at 11 and 18 and most people seem set on Dylan Grimes at 34. Few people have us picking beyong 34.

I'm not saying this won't happen but just want to expand the conversation a little. All of the KPP have knocks on them. If Butcher is gone before 11 our Footy Dept may not rate the next batch of KPP's as first round quality. In other words, if Black has issues with consistency and Griffiths is injury prone and Carlisle too speculative and Panos too one-dimensional and Talia not considered dangerous enough forward why wouldn't we do what we always suggest we should with top 20 picks and simply take "best available"? If Butcher is gone, in all likelihood one of Koby Stevens, Gary Rohan and Luke Tapscott will be available at 11. Who would you take? I'm all for taking the next best midfielder and investing pick 18 on the more speculative KPP. We obviously have a serious need. Watts will need a big body next to him but we can't reinvent the draft to suit us. All of the experts are telling us that this is a shallow draft and particularly weak in terms of KPP's. I don't want to lose Brock McLean and spend pick 11 on an overly speculative player. I'd rather add Stevens, Rohan or Tapscott and take one of Griffiths, Black, Carlisle or Panos at 18. Thoughts?

First of all, I cannot see Rohan falling to pick 11. I have faith in the footy department taking the best available player(s). We get that with our first two picks. Pick 11 is a very handy pick to have (courtesy of Brock), it means we can pick on a need with either 11 or 18 if need be. IMO we'll get a KPP with pick 11, but it is no certainty (ie. could be another mid - K.Stevens, this may even hinge on what happens with L.Ball). One of Talia or Carlisle if a KPP. I think Butcher will be taken just before pick 11. It could be to Port. Maybe the Bombers.

Emma Quale's article recently indicated that Panos could fall in the 20's.

With pick 18 I'd go the best available. There is too many candidates to consider for this pick, including Ball at this stage.

[Keyser Söze 0]

First of all, I cannot see Rohan falling to pick 11. I have faith in the footy department taking the best available player(s). We get that with our first two picks. Pick 11 is a very handy pick to have (courtesy of Brock), it means we can pick on a need with either 11 or 18 if need be. IMO we'll get a KPP with pick 11, but it is no certainty (ie. could be another mid - K.Stevens, this may even hinge on what happens with L.Ball). One of Talia or Carlisle if a KPP. I think Butcher will be taken just before pick 11. It could be to Port. Maybe the Bombers.

Emma Quale's article recently indicated that Panos could fall in the 20's.

With pick 18 I'd go the best available. There is too many candidates to consider for this pick, including Ball at this stage.

Ball is not a consideration for any of our ND picks as far as I am concerned.

If thats the road he wants to go down, we maybe threaten taking him in the ND, but it stays an idle threat.

Edit: article here where Bailey discusses just that - http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tab...73/default.aspx

Edited October 11, 2009 by Keyser Söze

[jacey 333]

I don't want to lose Brock McLean and spend pick 11 on an overly speculative player. I'd rather add Stevens, Rohan or Tapscott and take one of Griffiths, Black, Carlisle or Panos at 18. Thoughts?

Definitely. If a mid is clearly better, take that player at 11. no problem.

and i do think pick 18 will throw up some sliding KPP.

[H_T 3,049]

Ball is not a consideration for any of our ND picks as far as I am concerned.

If thats the road he wants to go down, we maybe threaten taking him in the ND, but it stays an idle threat.

Edit: article here where Bailey discusses just that - http://www.afl.com.au/news/newsarticle/tab...73/default.aspx

I agree regarding the ND.

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

Most people seem set on Scully and Trengove at 1 and 2. Most people seem set on KPP's at 11 and 18 and most people seem set on Dylan Grimes at 34. Few people have us picking beyong 34.

I'm not saying this won't happen but just want to expand the conversation a little. All of the KPP have knocks on them. If Butcher is gone before 11 our Footy Dept may not rate the next batch of KPP's as first round quality.

It's an interesting point you make about "best available."

If Emma Quayle is to be believed, and she usually is, then apparently recruiters are saying the quality players only go as far as 4... some say 6, 8 or 10. Which pick do we have? 11... This groupthink could have contributed to Carlton going down the trade for Brock path.

With this in mind, you can see why peoples' pick 11 in their mock drafts is the one that varies probably the most (along with picks 9 and 10).

If it all goes as predicted, and the first five are Scully, Trengove, Martin, Morabito and Cunnington... then that means Rohan, Tapscott and Lucas are likely to be 6, 7 and 8. Beyond that it's anyone's guess, and if the career recruiters are to be believed you could "throw a blanket" over the next 30.

With that in mind, it kind of makes sense to go for type a bit more. There are 4 or so good tall prospects, a couple of ruckmen, and one or two highly rated but injured flanker/mids.

I'm all for best available in the first round always. But 2009 is not 2008, and if the best available could be any one of 30 names, then I hope it's one with 193-197cm after their name. :D

[whelan45 203]

we wont get jetta - he will go top ten.... i would think to the eagles!!!

interesting you dont have Taylor in there.... he might be a little troubled bu he is a super player - i would love to get him at 34

Black also might be a better fit for us than butcher - he is strong, crashes packs and loves a contest (i might be wrong here, but i have my concerns over butcher's work rate/head space)

How much do you know about Black? Pretty keen to hear about him as no one really knows much about him