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Follow the money ... it speaks all languages



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Posted

As noted a couple of days ago one MFC fan tried to bet $25,000.00 with Sportsbet @ $3.00 on MFC to get Judd but was refused and only let on for $2,000.00 and his whole family has bet on MFC (backed as if MFC are morals).

Are they

a. the most naive fools going around,

b. loaded with too much free cash (i.e. tax write offs), or

c. really quite cluey and certain of result with inside info?

The one thing I have learned is to respect reasonably large bets as it is not lost easily with a grin and a shrug.

Sportsbet are suspicious and rightly so!

They have held only $20,000 on the market with 8 out of 10 bets on Collingwood.

Now if this is true, why are they still offering $3.00 same as MFC?

Not being a mathematician I can quickly calculate that they should have Collingwood at around the $1.50 and MFC at $5.00 or $6.00 with Carlton who are still $2.10 at the moment.

Are "Sportsbet" and "Eskander" (who have MFC @$3.25) just taking them on and on and on for one good reason - the bookies dont lose easily !!

Now if loud mouth bragging Collingwood supporters are so confident why don't they put all their beer, drug, dole and child maintenance money on them and bring that price down to the righful price? They will be able to take life easy for a fair while or maybe go on holdays to Williamstown beach for Xmas.!! Collingwood fans, if you have a spine you should put your money where your teeth used to be!

The fat lady has not sung yet!

Posted
As noted a couple of days ago one MFC fan tried to bet $25,000.00 with Sportsbet @ $3.00 on MFC to get Judd but was refused and only let on for $2,000.00 and his whole family has bet on MFC (backed as if MFC are morals).

Are they

a. the most naive fools going around,

b. loaded with too much free cash (i.e. tax write offs), or

c. really quite cluey and certain of result with inside info?

The one thing I have learned is to respect reasonably large bets as it is not lost easily with a grin and a shrug.

Sportsbet are suspicious and rightly so!

They have held only $20,000 on the market with 8 out of 10 bets on Collingwood.

Now if this is true, why are they still offering $3.00 same as MFC?

Not being a mathematician I can quickly calculate that they should have Collingwood at around the $1.50 and MFC at $5.00 or $6.00 with Carlton who are still $2.10 at the moment.

Are "Sportsbet" and "Eskander" (who have MFC @$3.25) just taking them on and on and on for one good reason - the bookies dont lose easily !!

Now if loud mouth bragging Collingwood supporters are so confident why don't they put all their beer, drug, dole and child maintenance money on them and bring that price down to the righful price? They will be able to take life easy for a fair while or maybe go on holdays to Williamstown beach for Xmas.!! Collingwood fans, if you have a spine you should put your money where your teeth used to be!

The fat lady has not sung yet!

:D

Posted

Fuschia,

This is a very good point. Why are our odds so low considering that 8 in 10 bets are on Collingwood? Makes no sense. Why does someone want to be $25000 on Melbourne and every other family member also making this bet? These guys had never bet with Sports bet before.

Interesting, interesting!

Here is the article from todays Herald Sun:

http://www.heraldsun.news.com.au/footy/com...5E20322,00.html

My view is he wants to come to Melbourne but did the right thing and interviewed the 3 big Melbourne clubs as well to keep Melbourne honest and also to satisfy himself that he was indeed making the right decision.

Posted

And if you had the inside word on where Judd is going, would you:

A) head to your favourite football forums and big note yourself

OR

B) profit

I know which one I'd choose.

Posted
My view is he wants to come to Melbourne but did the right thing and interviewed the 3 big Melbourne clubs as well to keep Melbourne honest and also to satisfy himself that he was indeed making the right decision.

This may well turn out to be the most succint appraisal of the whole carry on yet !! :)


Posted
Hopefully this walleted character is onto something. I'll be very pleased if he turns out to be Biff back from 2015 with his sports almanac.

I thought he was only going to put some money on the Cubbies ;)

Posted
Hopefully this walleted character is onto something. I'll be very pleased if he turns out to be Biff back from 2015 with his sports almanac.

HAHAHA!!!! Gold!

Posted
Fuschia,

This is a very good point. Why are our odds so low considering that 8 in 10 bets are on Collingwood? Makes no sense. Why does someone want to be $25000 on Melbourne and every other family member also making this bet? These guys had never bet with Sports bet before.

Interesting, interesting!

Here is the article from todays Herald Sun:

http://www.heraldsun.news.com.au/footy/com...5E20322,00.html

My view is he wants to come to Melbourne but did the right thing and interviewed the 3 big Melbourne clubs as well to keep Melbourne honest and also to satisfy himself that he was indeed making the right decision.

Well I'm glad I jumped back on the optimistic bandwagon last night, because this is some very positive news. Not only the amount significant, but also the fact that his whole family have jumped on it. Now you could say that Collingwood supporters aren't betting that much because, apart from that greaseball president of theirs, nobody has that much, but the bets are still coming in for Collingwood, it's just the numpties are putting them there, not anyone with any real info.

I'm with you Deetastic. Can I borrow your shoulder to cry on when this all turns sour? ;);) I kid, I kid...

Posted

Diablo, as you know I have much more to lose than anyone else on this thread if Judd does not come to the Dees and much more to gain if he does come.

Thus I will be crying the hardest and longest!

Posted

little bets mean nothing... just mug punters..

sizable monies speak of either real balls....or a little knowledge B)

unfortunately spmetimes it is just that ...too little knowledge and not enough..lolo

Posted
Good to hear some encouragement for people to gamble away large amounts of cash.

This is something we need more of.

not encouraging to "gamble" large amounts away at all !! as the correct way is to invest ie:"NEVER TAKE UNDERS"

as the odds on mfc (@$3.00 )are far TOO SHORT to bet !!!( without a lot of surety..

and only invest large amounts on relatively sure things !!! as with 80 % to 90 % confidence.

or bet small amounts one can afford to lose at "VERY TEMPTING ODDS" AS WITH THE $7 TO $ 9 RANGE THAT THEY WERE !!

an old famous quote in racing from ken howard " never bet "odds on" and never walk upstairs>>>

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