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Posted

Dogs win: we drop to 2nd BUT remain 2 games clear of 3rd spot.

Cats win: we remain 1st BUT just 1 game clear of 3rd.

Dogs for mine.

 

If we finish 3rd or 4th, but the top 2 are the Dogs and Geelong, it won't matter so much. Almost 0% chance of a Geelong v Melbourne QF being played at GMHBA, and even if a Dogs v Melbourne QF is played at Marvel, we play Marvel well enough.

My main concern is missing the top 4 altogether, which we will put in jeopardy if we keep losing games to bottom 10 sides. 

Having said all that, my preference is a Dogs win. Geelong scare me more than the Dogs, so the more games Geelong lose, the better IMO. Same principle for the West Coast v Richmond game.

  • Author
18 minutes ago, RigidMiddleDigit said:

Dogs win: we drop to 2nd BUT remain 2 games clear of 3rd spot.

Cats win: we remain 1st BUT just 1 game clear of 3rd.

Dogs for mine.

To elaborate: 

We have four matches against top eight sides. Unfortunately, three of those are on the opposition dung heaps: Adelaide Oval (Port) which should hold no fears given we have played well over several years there; the Eagles in Perth which is truly tough but I still have fond memories of wins there despite the prelim, and Geelong's paddock. We also have the Bulldogs at the 'G. If Covid allows the club could actually make that an earner.

So as the ladder now sits we play 2nd, 3rd, 5th and 7th.

Outside the eight we have 10th, 11th and 12th (Giants, Bombers, Crows) and 15th (Suns) and 17th (Hawks) with all but Suns at the G.

The Bullies have a similar draw with Cats and Eagles away and four top eight sides including Port and Swans, but they have a bit less travel in their fixture against top eight sides  (Port and Sydney at Marvel). They do however travel to Launceston where the Hawks are a challenge.

I'd like the extra breathing space a Dogs win would bring.

Edited by RigidMiddleDigit

 

Prefer any result that maintains space between us and the rest to insure for losses. After yesterday’s insipid loss one is a bit more nervous about Essendon, Eagles (who are gettable), Hawthorn. Can see the rationale for a Dogs win to have 2 games separation though.

would rather we win the games we should, like yesterday’s as the rest takes care of itself

Any results that increase separation between us and 3rd and below are no brainers to consider.

Edited by John Crow Batty


Cats big strength is the dogs big weakness. unless the Dogs can get incredible midfield dominance, i think the Cats forward line will get hold of the Dogs. 

Prefer Dogs to win.

Absolutely no difference between finishing 1st and second.

We need to keep an eye out for West Coast. Don't want them to get on a complete roll and finish top 2.

 

As long as they don't get obliterated in the middle, the Cats should win. That forward line is sublime.

I have a feeling that Geelong will be very tough to beat from here on in. A very well-drilled side that has found its feet as the season has gone on.

The Bulldogs are good but have all of their eggs in the midfield basket, which makes them vulnerable.

 

How about we just focus on playing good footy. We just played footy that was vfl standard for 2 hours. If we keep that up we won't come close to finishing top 4 and will get smashed by the bombers in 2 weeks time. 


doing a ladder predictor, got us finishing 3rd behind geelong and footscray; prelim against the dogs and i suspect it'll be played at the mcg over the docklands carpark because the cats will play a 'home' final on their own dung heap against either the pear (which is what my predictor mocked out) or the bears

Edited by whatwhat say what

4 minutes ago, whatwhat say what said:

doing a ladder predictor, got us finishing 3rd behind geelong and footscray; prelim against the dogs and is suspect it'll be played at the mcg over the docklands carpark because the cats will play a 'home' final on their own dung heap against either the pear (which is what my predictor mocked out) or the bears

The squiggle auto predict has us 3rd with Dogs 1, Cats 2. Dees Cats Qualifying. Yikes.

I never want Geelong to win. I'd only make an exception if it benefited us and i can't remember that ever happening. Not recently anyways. 

The cats are old and the season is long. They'll run out of legs in my opinion.


Whether we place top 2 is entirely up to us so that isn’t a thing I care about.

However, the cats didn’t move this from Geelong even though they would get a crowd in a different state.

So for the good of the game I hope the Dogs win.

comes down to where you think Brisbane is going to finish and whether a Geelong win provides an additional buffer allowing Geelong to finish one or two.

If you don't think Brisbane can finish 1 or 2 then it's not that important. Similarly if you think Geelong can't finish top 2 then a Dogs win might be better.

The Adelaide and Collingwood losses could come back to bite us at seasons end but who knows.

If Brisbane finishes 2nd it might be better to finish fourth than third

 

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