Nearest the pin - 2020 draft

[Pickett2Jackson 3,904]

It is 48 hours until draft time.. post your Melbourne draft selection and/or trade predictions here.

Nearest the pin wins a framed and signed 'Best 22' plaque from @WERRIDEE

[adonski 12,435]

Welcome to MFC:

Bailey Laurie
Jack Carroll
Max Holmes 

[Nascent 9,283]

My uneducated prediction of the first round influenced by various phantom drafts such as todays article from Cal Twomey.

1.       Western Bulldogs – JUH – (Matching bid)

2.       Adelaide – Riley Thilthorp

3.       North Melbourne – Elijah Hollands

4.       Sydney – Denver Grainer-Barras

5.       Hawthorn – Logan McDonald

6.       Gold Coast – Will Phillips

7.       Essendon – Tanner Bruhn

8.       Essendon – Zac Reid

9.       Essendon – Reef McInnes (bid not matched)

10.   Sydney – Braeden Campbell (matched bid)

11.   Adelaide – Finlay Macrae

12.   GWS – Heath Chapman

13.   North Melbourne – Archie Perkins

14.   Freemantle – Brayden Cook

15.   Port Adelaide – Lachie Jones

16.   GWS – Bailey Laurie

17.   Collingwood – Nik Cox

18.   GWS – Luke Pedlar

19.   Brisbane – Blake Coleman (matched bid)

20.   Collingwood – Conor Stone

21.   Sydney – Errol Guldon (matched bid)

22.   Richmond – Tom Powell

23.   Melbourne – Jack Carroll

24.   Melbourne – Jake Bowey

25.   GWS – Nathan O’Driscoll

26.   St Kilda – Sam Berry

 

*Edit: Just realised I missed Oliver Henry entirely, will have to re-work the order again.

Edited December 7, 2020 by Nascent
*missed a player

[spirit of norm smith 16,589]

Well done @Nascent that’s well thought out predictions. Seems that Carroll is now a populace choice on DL. 

[DeeSpencer 26,082]

1.     Western Bulldogs – JUH – (Matching bid)
2.     Adelaide – Logan McDonald
3.     North Melbourne – Elijah Hollands
4.     Sydney – Denver Grainer-Barras
5.     Hawthorn – Will Phillips

6.     Gold Coast – Riley Thilthorpe
7.   Sydney – Braeden Campbell (matched bid)
8.    Essendon – Tanner Bruhn
9.    Essendon – Zac Reid
10.   Essendon – Conor Stone

11.   Adelaide – Finlay Macrae
12.   Port Adelaide – Lachie Jones (matched bid)
13.   GWS – Heath Chapman
14.   North Melbourne – Tom Powell
15.   Fremantle – Oliver Henry

16.   Coll - Nik Cox (traded for GWS in a deal not to bid for McInnes)
17.   Collingwood – Brayden Cook
18.   GWS – Archie Perkins
19.   GWS -  Bailey Laurie
20. Coll - Reef McInnes (matched bid)

21.   Richmond - Liam Kolar
22.   Sydney – Errol Guldon (matched bid)
23.  Brisbane – Blake Coleman (matched bid)
24.   Melbourne – Jack Carroll
25.   Adel - Luke Pedlar  (28 and 40 for 25 and 50)

26.   GWS – Nathan O'Driscoll
27.   St Kilda – Jake Bowey
28.  Melb  - Max Holmes 

I suspect we trade out of our 3rd pick and then use our late pick 50 (which I've upgraded to 40) on a project tall. Callow, Rosman or other.

Edited December 7, 2020 by DeeSpencer

[Dr.D 1,771]

32 minutes ago, DeeSpencer said:

1.     Western Bulldogs – JUH – (Matching bid)
2.     Adelaide – Logan McDonald
3.     North Melbourne – Elijah Hollands
4.     Sydney – Denver Grainer-Barras
5.     Hawthorn – Will Phillips

6.     Gold Coast – Riley Thilthorpe
7.   Sydney – Braeden Campbell (matched bid)
8.    Essendon – Tanner Bruhn
9.    Essendon – Zac Reid
10.   Essendon – Conor Stone

11.   Adelaide – Finlay Macrae
12.   Port Adelaide – Lachie Jones (matched bid)
13.   GWS – Heath Chapman
14.   North Melbourne – Tom Powell
15.   Fremantle – Oliver Henry

16.   Coll - Nik Cox (traded for GWS in a deal not to bid for McInnes)
17.   Collingwood – Brayden Cook
18.   GWS – Archie Perkins
19.   GWS -  Bailey Laurie
20. Coll - Reef McInnes (matched bid)

21.   Richmond - Liam Kolar
22.   Sydney – Errol Guldon (matched bid)
23.  Brisbane – Blake Coleman (matched bid)
24.   Melbourne – Jack Carroll
25.   Adel - Luke Pedlar  (28 and 40 for 25 and 50)

26.   GWS – Nathan O'Driscoll
27.   St Kilda – Jake Bowey
28.  Melb  - Max Holmes 

I suspect we trade out of our 3rd pick and then use our late pick 50 (which I've upgraded to 40) on a project tall. Callow, Rosman or other.

im confused. So our conesecutive picks in 18 and 19 become 24 and 28?

[dazzledavey36 55,359]

We'll bid on Errol Gulden,  which imo Sydney won't match the bid. Gulden becomes a Demon with our first pick. 

Second pick will be used on Jack Carroll if available. 

Don't be surprised if we also place a bid on Blake Coleman if Sydney match the Gulden pick. It'll be still up in the air whether Brisbane match or not.

Edited December 7, 2020 by dazzledavey36

[DeeSpencer 26,082]

3 hours ago, dazzledavey36 said:

We'll bid on Errol Gulden,  which imo Sydney won't match the bid. Gulden becomes a Demon with our first pick. 

Second pick will be used on Jack Carroll if available. 

Don't be surprised if we also place a bid on Blake Coleman if Sydney match the Gulden pick. It'll be still up in the air whether Brisbane match or not.

The Braeden Campbell bid probably determines what the Swans have left and any threat of going in to deficit next year. Overall though unless they don’t rate him the discount and ability to get a fringe top 20 player rather than a kid at the back of the draft - they’ve got to match that. 

[Gawndog98 364]

3 hours ago, dazzledavey36 said:

We'll bid on Errol Gulden,  which imo Sydney won't match the bid. Gulden becomes a Demon with our first pick. 

Second pick will be used on Jack Carroll if available. 

Don't be surprised if we also place a bid on Blake Coleman if Sydney match the Gulden pick. It'll be still up in the air whether Brisbane match or not.

it probably depends where a bid a comes for Braeden Campbell. Sydney don't want to go into draft deficit next year because they don't want their first round pick to move down spots like Fremantle this year, if they go into deficit there's a fair chance they won't match a bid for Gulden. Hawthorn have been rumoured to bid on Campbell, if that happens and we bid on Gulden they'd be going into deficit and probably don't match a bid. But if say Essendon bid on Campbell at pick 8 and we bid on Gulden they should have enough points to cover both so we'll be rooting for Hawks on the night to put a bid on Campbell. Gulden wold be a great get.

[deebug 1,754]

!. Baily Laurie

2. Jack Carroll

3. Jake Bowey

Smokey Archie Perkins

[Lord Travis 10,763]

1. Jack Carroll

2. Sam Berry

3. Kaine Baldwin

[Travy14 1,951]

My guess is we trade up the draft, possibly with Ess and grab Macrea

[IvanBartul13 2,564]

4 hours ago, dazzledavey36 said:

We'll bid on Errol Gulden,  which imo Sydney won't match the bid. Gulden becomes a Demon with our first pick. 

Second pick will be used on Jack Carroll if available. 

Don't be surprised if we also place a bid on Blake Coleman if Sydney match the Gulden pick. It'll be still up in the air whether Brisbane match or not.

No chance of that happening, Dazzle, Sydney are committed and have pointsed themselves to match bids for both Gulden and Campbell and Brisbane have told clubs they match bids in the teens for Coleman.

[Pickett2Jackson 3,904]

8 minutes ago, Travy14 said:

My guess is we trade up the draft, possibly with Ess and grab Macrea

We don't have the currency to get picks 6, 7 or 8 from the Bombers.

Our 1st rounder next year is gone.

[dazzledavey36 55,359]

 

[Lord Travis 10,763]

Only inside word I've heard this year is that we're keen to trade further up the draft and we like Macrae and Stone.

[Travy14 1,951]

35 minutes ago, Pickett2Jackson said:

We don't have the currency to get picks 6, 7 or 8 from the Bombers.

Our 1st rounder next year is gone.

We have 18 and 19. 

[spirit of norm smith 16,589]

6 hours ago, dazzledavey36 said:

We'll bid on Errol Gulden,  which imo Sydney won't match the bid. Gulden becomes a Demon with our first pick. 

Second pick will be used on Jack Carroll if available. 

Don't be surprised if we also place a bid on Blake Coleman if Sydney match the Gulden pick. It'll be still up in the air whether Brisbane match or not.

If only! I agree we should potentially bid on Gulden if he’s available.  He would be an excellent pickup for the Dees BUT imv I think Swans will definitely match (they still are redfaced over not matching the Dogs pick on Josh Dunkley father son). Coleman too. Lions will definitely match that.  

[dazzledavey36 55,359]

9 minutes ago, spirit of norm smith said:

If only! I agree we should potentially bid on Gulden if he’s available.  He would be an excellent pickup for the Dees BUT imv I think Swans will definitely match (they still are redfaced over not matching the Dogs pick on Josh Dunkley father son). Coleman too. Lions will definitely match that.  

I'm a big fan of Gulden. There's a lot of Tom Papley about with his x factor and arrogance. 

[DeeSpencer 26,082]

1 hour ago, dazzledavey36 said:

I'm a big fan of Gulden. There's a lot of Tom Papley about with his x factor and arrogance. 

He couldn’t commit entirely but Kinnear Beatson (interviewed today on the afl show) sounded very confident they’d have the points to match for both kids. I think it would take a matched Campbell bid at 5 and a Gulden bid in the top 15 or so to force them not to match. 

Edited December 8, 2020 by DeeSpencer

[DeeSpencer 26,082]

1 hour ago, spirit of norm smith said:

If only! I agree we should potentially bid on Gulden if he’s available.  He would be an excellent pickup for the Dees BUT imv I think Swans will definitely match (they still are redfaced over not matching the Dogs pick on Josh Dunkley father son). Coleman too. Lions will definitely match that.  

The Dunkley’s did a deal with Sydney that they would only accept a father son nomination if the Swans agreed to only match interstate clubs. Josh only wanted to go to Sydney if it was to avoid another interstate club, he had a strong desire to stay in Victoria. The Swans not matching had nothing to do with not rating Josh. 

[daisycutter 29,738]

34 minutes ago, DeeSpencer said:

The Dunkley’s did a deal with Sydney that they would only accept a father son nomination if the Swans agreed to only match interstate clubs. Josh only wanted to go to Sydney if it was to avoid another interstate club, he had a strong desire to stay in Victoria. The Swans not matching had nothing to do with not rating Josh. 

that definitely sounds like draft tampering...................your sauce?

Edited December 8, 2020 by daisycutter

[DeeSpencer 26,082]

11 minutes ago, daisycutter said:

that definitely sounds like draft tampering...................your sauce?

It’s fine. Players can agree to be a father son or not. Clubs can decide if they want to match a father son or not. 
 

https://www.afl.com.au/news/160752/dunkleys-draft-deal-how-josh-ended-up-at-dogs

[Pickett2Jackson 3,904]

3 hours ago, Travy14 said:

We have 18 and 19. 

Which will become something like picks 21 and 23.

The Bombers picks will fall back a spot but they arent going to trade pick 9 for 21 and 23, though I hope they do.

[ProperDee 1,698]

I would like us to grab Caleb Poulter a potential class act apparently  Happy to take Jack Carroll, Errol Gulden and Sam Berry though.