Jump to content

Ladder predictor

SFebes
in Melbourne Demons

Featured Replies

34 minutes ago, Rusty Nails said:

Using ladder predictor the 2 MUST WIN matches that will assure us a place in finals (5th) are beating the Crows in Adelaide and the Swans at the G.  Both matches effectively 8 point games for us (and them) given where the clubs are presently positioned.

Drop either of those and we are more than likely toast.

Beating the Cats against the odds next week would mean only having to snatch one of the above however.

My two most doubtful games are Crows and Eagles. We might pluck the Swans at home. They like bigger grounds even less than us ?

  • Quote
    •  
    33 minutes ago, beelzebub said:

    My two most doubtful games are Crows and Eagles. We might pluck the Swans at home. They like bigger grounds even less than us ?

    Think they have evolved their list a little with their kids having more outside run and the insiders of Hanneberry and Jack are banged up.

    I believe they are better suited to playing away from the SCG now and would rather be playing them there

  • Quote
    • Sad 1

    If we hit red hot form we could win every game, this side is capable if it all clicks. We seem to enjoy playing interstate more than the G so Adelaide/West Coast away shouldn't hold any fears.

  • Quote
    •  

    9 hours ago, Frustrated Demon said:

    Can’t see us winning both unfortunately. I think we will finish 9th or 10th. The loss to the saints etc are going to prove costly once again.

    Only time will tell FD but yes the Saints loss and some of Goody's selections/non-selections along with some interesting game day roles / match ups might end up costing us.  Losing Lever and Hogan dropping off a cliff for around 3 matches (beginning with the Pies) also hasn't helped.

    A little bit of luck might be needed in other results.

    Edited by Rusty Nails

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    8 hours ago, beelzebub said:

    My two most doubtful games are Crows and Eagles. We might pluck the Swans at home. They like bigger grounds even less than us ?

    Buddy is one that LOVES a big ground though BZ.  Would need to pressure the supply big time and have O-Mac at his best.  Outside of that they are mostly a defensive team and sluggish down back.  If we can get Jeffy and Hogan into some really good form (and possibly Stretch back and fit if JKH doesn't fire up) i reckon we're a chance to beat both of them and make it.

    Hopefully we can snuff out the Doggies tomorrow otherwise i doubt any of this will matter much at all.

  • Quote

    not gonna make the 8. you don't lose to stkilda and expect to make finals. And I think the efforts against hawks and collingwood prove that we're not skilful or defensive enough 

  • Quote
    • Like 1
     
    1 hour ago, Dr.D said:

    not gonna make the 8. you don't lose to stkilda and expect to make finals. And I think the efforts against hawks and collingwood prove that we're not skilful or defensive enough 

    You mean like the tiges did last year?

    Whats the saying about rules and exceptions?

  • Quote
    27 minutes ago, Demon17 said:

    You mean like the tiges did last year?

    Whats the saying about rules and exceptions?

    What is says is Tigers > Demons

  • Quote

    1 hour ago, Dr.D said:

    not gonna make the 8. you don't lose to stkilda and expect to make finals. And I think the efforts against hawks and collingwood prove that we're not skilful or defensive enough 

    I like how consistent you are with your posts.

  • Quote
    • Like 1

    I have us one game outside the eight with North just above us.  We need to win at least one of the improbables to sneak in on percentage.  That game against the Saints did immense damage. 

  • Quote
    • Like 1

    My final pre-finals prediction...

    We are about to get on a salad.  

    We win comfortably today and then beat Geelong in Geelong and Adelaide in Adelaide.  In fact, our only loss is to West Coast in Perth.

    We finish on 15 wins and 4th spot on the ladder.

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    • Love 1
    12 hours ago, RalphiusMaximus said:

    I have us one game outside the eight with North just above us.  We need to win at least one of the improbables to sneak in on percentage.  That game against the Saints did immense damage. 

    If my calculations are correct, wins over Port and the Saints would have us 2nd on the ladder and a realistic chance of top 4. 

    We really stuffed up.

  • Quote
    • Like 4
    14 hours ago, binman said:

    I like how consistent you are with your posts.

    just when i thought last season would stop fans from getting ahead if themselves i come on demonland to hear posts about top 4, top 8 etc. bloody mind boggling stuff. i never expected us to make finals until we are in the finals.

  • Quote

    • Author
    2 hours ago, Redleg said:

    If my calculations are correct, wins over Port and the Saints would have us 2nd on the ladder and a realistic chance of top 4. 

    We really stuffed up.

    Yep, exactly. Throw in the Geelong loss and this season is a big "what could of been"

    Now, the pressure is already back on. Frustrating

  • Quote

    Saints play Giants, Bombers, Hawks and Norf in the the run home.

    A few wins by them against that lot would not harm our ladder prospects at all.

    Of the other non contenders probably Brisbane is the only one capable of an upset (perhaps the Dogs and let's hope it's not today.)

  • Quote
    14 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

    Saints play Giants, Bombers, Hawks and Norf in the the run home.

    A few wins by them against that lot would not harm our ladder prospects at all.

    Of the other non contenders probably Brisbane is the only one capable of an upset (perhaps the Dogs and let's hope it's not today.)

    The more upsets we can get out of the rubbish sides, the better.

    St Kilda and Brisbane holding some form for the rest of the season helps us. Fremantle knocking over Port, Hawthorn or Collingwood (all of whom they play at home) could help too.

    But we have to take care of our own destiny. We have to get to 13-9, which means we absolutely have to beat the Dogs and GC and then win two of the "harder" five.

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    • Author

    Getting harder to predict now especially after all the weekends upsets, the whole top 8 can change dramatically, even Tigers. With each game it changes, all that we can do is keep winning and the rest will fall into place. At least over coming weeks we will see where we are at as a club, are we flat track bullies? I enjoyed last year when we beat the better sides. Anyone in the 8 can win it. Collingwood have beaten no one also. Plenty of injuries to top 8 sides, Kennedy, Nik Nat etc.

    STK loss so costly, Geel and Port blunders too.

     

    image.png.0443e5bc78f6bb14505f2af674411593.png

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    38 minutes ago, SFebey said:

    Getting harder to predict now especially after all the weekends upsets, the whole top 8 can change dramatically, even Tigers. With each game it changes, all that we can do is keep winning and the rest will fall into place. At least over coming weeks we will see where we are at as a club, are we flat track bullies? I enjoyed last year when we beat the better sides. Anyone in the 8 can win it. Collingwood have beaten no one also. Plenty of injuries to top 8 sides, Kennedy, Nik Nat etc.

    STK loss so costly, Geel and Port blunders too.

     

    image.png.0443e5bc78f6bb14505f2af674411593.png

    Run that 10 times. We variously appear in 4th through 9th.

  • Quote

    • Author
    Just now, timbo said:

    Run that 10 times. We variously appear in 4th through 9th.

    I do it manually, not auto tip.

  • Quote

    No need to panic.

     

    i ran it with the kids this morning. They have us finishing second, after winning all remaining games!

     

    they may be slightly biased though, my little girls second team is North Melbourne, because they’ve got Melbourne in their name! 

  • Quote
    3 minutes ago, SFebey said:

    I do it manually, not auto tip.

    WHo do you have us losing to?

    I honestly can't bring myself to trust us to win (any of) Cats, Adelaide, Swans, Eagles. I think we win GCS and GWS.

  • Quote
    •  
    3 minutes ago, davejemmolly said:

    No need to panic.

     

    i ran it with the kids this morning. They have us finishing second, after winning all remaining games!

     

    they may be slightly biased though, my little girls second team is North Melbourne, because they’ve got Melbourne in their name! 

    What a refreshing way to pick a second team. My wife thinks (and insists) mine is Collingwood by dint of our betrothment. Unfortunately her ears seem broken when I insist it is Richmond.

  • Quote
    • Haha 1
    • Author
    1 minute ago, timbo said:

    WHo do you have us losing to?

    I honestly can't bring myself to trust us to win (any of) Cats, Adelaide, Swans, Eagles. I think we win GCS and GWS.

    Cats, Adelaide, Swans, Eagles. A win v GC and 50/50 v GWS.

  • Quote

    • Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

    Guest
    Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
    Reply to this topic...
    Go to topic listing

    Featured Content

    • PREVIEW: Port Adelaide

      With both sides precariously positioned ahead of the run home to the finals, only one team involved in Sunday’s clash at the Adelaide Oval between the Power and the Demons will remain a contender when it’s over.  On current form, that one team has to be Melbourne which narrowly missed out on defeating the competition’s power house Collingwood on King's Birthday and also recently overpowered both 2024 Grand Finalists. Conversely, Port Adelaide snapped out of a four-game losing streak with a win against the Giants in Canberra. Although they will be rejuvenated following that victory, their performances during that run of losses were sub par and resulted in some embarrassing blow out defeats.

      • 1 reply
      Demonland

    • NON-MFC: Round 14

      Round 14 is upon us and there's plenty at stake across the rest of the competition. As Melbourne heads to Adelaide, it's time to turn our attention to the other matches of the Round. Which teams are you tipping this week? And which results would be most favourable for the Demons’ finals tilt? Follow all the non-Melbourne games here and join the conversation as the ladder continues to take shape.

        • Like
      • 88 replies
      Demonland

    • REPORT: Collingwood

      The media focus on the fiery interaction between Max Gawn and Steven May at the end of the game was unfortunate because it took away the gloss from Melbourne’s performance in winning almost everywhere but on the scoreboard in its Kings Birthday clash with Collingwood at the MCG. It was a real battle reminiscent of the good old days when the rivalry between the two clubs was at its height and a fitting contest to celebrate the 2025 Australian of the Year, Neale Daniher and his superb work to bring the campaign to raise funds for motor neurone disease awareness to the forefront. Notwithstanding the fact that the Magpies snatched a one point victory from his old club, Daniher would be proud of the fact that his Demons fought tooth and nail to win the keenly contested game in front of 77,761 fans.

      • 1 reply
      Demonland

    • PREGAME: Port Adelaide

      The Demons are set to embark on a four-week road trip that takes them across the country, with two games in Adelaide and a clash on the Gold Coast, broken up by a mid-season bye. Next up is a meeting with the inconsistent Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval. Who comes in and who goes out?

        • Like
      • 173 replies
      Demonland

    • PODCAST: Collingwood

      I have something on tomorrow night so Podcast will be Wednesday night. The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Wednesday, 11th June @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we dissect the Dees heartbreaking 1 point loss to the Magpies on King's Birthday Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show. Listen LIVE: https://demonland.com/

      • 37 replies
      Demonland

    • POSTGAME: Collingwood

      Despite effectively playing against four extra opponents, the Dees controlled much of the match. However, their inaccuracy in front of goal and inability to convert dominance in clearances and inside 50s ultimately cost them dearly, falling to a heartbreaking one-point loss on King’s Birthday.

        • Clap
        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 532 replies
      Demonland
    View All