CRISIS OF CONFIDENCE

[Demonland 71,236]

CRISIS OF CONFIDENCE by The Oracle

It was twelve months ago that Melbourne played in that horrendous game against Hawthorn when it appeared totally shell-shocked in a third quarter from hell.

Then followed a roller coaster ride for much of the season before the club encountered the big dip into oblivion which continues to haunt the club to this very day. Despite a new coach, a truckload of new assistants and sports scientists, the club seems beset by a crisis in confidence not made any easier thanks to a number of off field well documented disasters.

Last week, the club came close to hitting rock bottom losing to the Eagles by a record 108 points to the Eagles at Paterson's Stadium. The performance was horrible and not far away from the worst of the past few years - the infamous 30 July, 2011 game against Geelong at Skilled Stadium or whatever they call that wretched place these days.

This time the Demons gave the Eagles access to 78 inside 50s, failed to effect a single tackle inside their own 50 and gave their opponent a record winning margin.

Fortunately for Melbourne, while Richmond's form has been encouraging so far this year, the Tigers are not in the same ball park as the Eagles, the MCG is a more welcoming venue than Paterson's Stadium and the weather is likely to be more comfortable than the 31 degree heat of Perth.

That still might not be enough to Melbourne's crisis of confidence.

THE GAME

Richmond v Melbourne at the MCG Saturday 15 April 2012 at 1.45pm.

HEAD TO HEAD

Overall Richmond 100 wins Melbourne 79 wins

At MCG Richmond 66 wins Melbourne 59 wins

Since 2000 Richmond 11 wins Melbourne 9 wins

The Coaches Hardwick 0 wins Neeld 0 wins

MEDIA

TV – Fox Footy Channel Live at 1.30pm Channel 7 (delayed at 3pm)

RADIO - ABC774 SEN TripleM

THE BETTING

Richmond $1.28 to win Melbourne $3.85 to win

THE LAST TIME THEY MET

Richmond 17.15.117 defeated Melbourne 17.8.110 at the MCG, Round 22, 2011

The stage was set early in the game when the Tigers jumped out of the blocks and had three goals on the board - two from free kicks - before the Demons started playing. The difference was 26 points by half time but a Melbourne fightback, triggered by a dynamic Colin Sylvia (5 goals) saw it take an 8 point lead into the final term. The Tigers regained momentum in the final term and held on to win by 7 points.

THE TEAMS

RICHMOND

Backs Steven Morris Alex Rance Chris Newman

Half backs Bachar Houli Dylan Grimes Brandon Ellis

Centreline Shaun Grigg Dustin Martin Daniel Jackson

Half forwards Brett Deledio Tyrone Vickery Shane Edwards

Forwards Brad Miller Jack Riewoldt Robin Nahas

Followers Ivan Maric Trent Cotchin Nathan Foley

Interchange Jake Batchelor Reece Conca Addam Maric Shane Tuck

Emergencies Matt Dea Angus Graham Matthew White

In Addam Maric

Out Jake King (knee)

MELBOURNE WEBJET DEMONS

Backs Clint Bartram James Sellar James Frawley

Half backs Colin Garland Jared Rivers Tom McDonald

Centreline Nathan Jones Jack Grimes Rohan Bail

Half forwards Jeremy Howe Jack Watts Cale Morton

Forwards Aaron Davey Mitchell Clark Matthew Bate

Followers Mark Jamar James Magner Jack Trengove

Interchange Lynden Dunn Jordie McKenzie Stefan Martin Luke Tapscott

Emergencies Jack Fitzpatrick Brad Green Joel Macdonald

In Aaron Davey Stefan Martin Cale Morton Luke Tapscott

Out Jamie Bennell Brad Green Joel Macdonald Ricky Petterd

Umpires J Schmitt J Armstrong A Mitchell

THE TURNING OF THE WHEEL

There have been developments in the past 24 hours which undoubtedly will play a role in turning around both the on and off field fortunes of the Melbourne Football Club in what has so far been a disastrous start to season 2012.

On Thursday morning the club announced the appointment of Tim Lamb as a national recruiting officer. Many might ask "Tim who?" but at least the announcement was positive news for once after more than a month of negative media.

Something a little positive for a change.

Things got appreciatively better in the evening w Melbourne has secured Australia's No.1 online travel agent Webjet as its joint major sponsor when the club announced that it had secured Australia's No.1 online travel agent Webjet as its "joint major sponsor" to feature on the front of its guernsey and training apparel.

That's great news after the club's ditching of a sponsor last week because of racist comments published on the facebook page of its CEO. And the reference to a "joint major sponsor" suggests that there might be more good news on the way in the form in the near future another major sponsor announcement.

But what's that got to do with this week's game against the Tigers?

Well, some might say "very little" but if there is an overall cloud of doom and gloom hanging over the club then every piece of good news to lift the playing group will help. This is particularly so if, as I maintain above, that the Demons have being undergoing a crisis in confidence. Any sign of that dark cloud dissipating could mark the beginning of something new. The turning of the wheel.

Of course, there needs to be a lot more to lift a team that's suffered a couple of soul destroying defeats and I believe that team selection this week brought about some necessary changes in balance and an infusion of a different mix of player which is definitely going to help things against Richmond.

Mark Jamar laboured last week when he was forced to take on the combined ruck might of Cox and Naitanui at Paterson's Stadium. Stef Martin's return will therefore be invaluable. The addition of Cale Morton and Luke Tapscott, both former first round draft picks and both capable of adding some variety to the team mix. Then there's Aaron Davey who comes into the side and frankly, is fighting to restore his standing as one of the club's quality players after an injury interrupted 2011 that was also attended by some poor form. With the Jason Mifsud controversy off his back, let's hope that he can now return to form and play with some of that old determination and flair that marked his career over the previous six or seven seasons.

The return to the MCG and some more mild conditions after battling in 30 degree heat on consecutive weeks will help as will some encouragement from opposition coach Damien Hardwick who told reporters:

"They're actually playing OK footy."

I think that was somewhat tongue in cheek from a coach whose only worry might be that his charges attack the game with an element of complacency but it does demonstrate that the concern is that a flaky team like Melbourne might actually hit back this week.

And whilst I believe the Demons will do that and return to a level of competitiveness in this game and in the weeks to come, it might not be enough against the Tigers whose strength (its midfield) will be too much for the Demons most glaring weakness.

Richmond by 10 points.

[Samsara 65]

Tigers by about six goals. As much as we need a win, they need a win too (with Geelong and another tough game to follow) and I can't see them dropping this game.

They were pretty competetive against Carlton and Collingwood, while we have been largely uncompetetive against Brisbane (at home) and WC (away; always a tough game).

[Striker475 696]

Just got an automated call from Robbo trying to get everyone along.

Doesn't he know I watched the rout in Rnd1 at the G?

[Mac7 309]

Richmond coming off two high pressure games against big clubs could be slightly complacent for this one.

Melbourne finally not on the front page of the paper everyday this week can actually direct their focus 100% to football.

I'm tipping an upset and grabbing some of the $4 odds on offer.

[DemonWA 3,928]

Petty Sylvia isnt playing this week, he loves playing the tigers

[hardtack 10,514]

Tweeted by Sellar "Nice relaxing day off. Light session tomoz n bring on Saturday... First game on the MCG for the dees... - I'm assuming this means he knows he's in the selected side.

[Dr. Mubutu 824]

Tweeted by Sellar "Nice relaxing day off. Light session tomoz n bring on Saturday... First game on the MCG for the dees... - I'm assuming this means he knows he's in the selected side.

Don't be surprised if there's a crackdown on players using Twitter on a Thursday in future. Sam Blease also let slip he wasn't in the team in a similar way last week.

[Deestroy All 14,262]

Green gone.

I like these changes.

[Chook 15,012]

IN: Davey, Tapscott, Morton, Martin

OUT: Green, Petterd, Macdonald, Bennell (omitted).

Interesting to see no Moloney. Davey in for another crack at providing the crumbing presence we need. Also, what's up with Ricky Petterd's form early in seasons? Last year he was out of the side for weeks to start the year, and the same sort of thing is happening this year too.

Edited April 12, 2012 by Chook

[whatwhat say what 22,639]

petterd dropped too, alongside bennell and macdonald.

agree with chook - petterd has the ability to be a game-breaker, but he really does go hot and cold

Edited April 12, 2012 by DemonAndrew

[dee-luded 2,959]

IN: Davey, Tapscott, Morton, Martin

OUT: Green, Petterd, Macdonald, Bennell (omitted).

Interesting to see no Moloney. Davey in for another crack at providing the crumbing presence we need. Also, what's up with Ricky Petterd's form early in seasons? Last year he was out of the side for weeks to start the year, and the same sort of thing is happening this year too.

He seems to me to be a player who builds slowly into form.

I think he's gone for matchups. Morton to the wing? so???

Petterd needs some games continuity to get into some form.

[Guest José Mourinho]

Happy to see Cale get a run. Now's your chance - show something!

Davey has something to prove, and a good match is the best way to put all the drama behind him.

Tapscott will add hardness and ability to hit targets.

Martin a marking target around the ground for Tapscott to kick to.

Definitely some good INs.

Can't say we'll miss the OUTs much.

Petterd and Bennell will be back though.

[Guest José Mourinho]

IN: Davey, Tapscott, Morton, Martin

OUT: Green, Petterd, Macdonald, Bennell (omitted).

Interesting to see no Moloney. Davey in for another crack at providing the crumbing presence we need. Also, what's up with Ricky Petterd's form early in seasons? Last year he was out of the side for weeks to start the year, and the same sort of thing is happening this year too.

Injury Round 1, straight into the team for Round 2.

Bound to be a little rusty.

Similar thing happened last year too, from memory.

[dee-luded 2,959]

Round three Melbourne team

B: James Frawley, James Sellar, Clint Bartram

HB: Tom McDonald, Jared Rivers, Colin Garland

C: Rohan Bail, Jack Grimes, Nathan Jones

HF: Cale Morton, Jack Watts, Jeremy Howe

F: Matthew Bate, Mitch Clark, Aaron Davey

FOLL: Mark Jamar, James Magner, Jack Trengove

I/C: Jordie McKenzie, Luke Tapscott, Stef Martin, Lynden Dunn

EMG: Brad Green, Jack Fitzpatrick, Joel Macdonald

IN: Davey, Morton, Tapscott, Martin

OUT: Green, Macdonald, Ricky Petterd, Jamie Bennell

RICHMOND side

B: Steven Morris, Alex Rance, Chris Newman

HB: Bachar Houli, Dylan Grimes, Brandon Ellis

C: Shaun Grigg, Dustin Martin, Daniel Jackson

HF: Brett Deledio, Tyrone Vickery, Shane Edwards

F: Brad Miller, Jack Riewoldt, Robin Nahas

Foll: Ivan Maric, Trent Cotchin, Nathan Foley

I/C: Shane Tuck, Reece Conca, Jake Batchelor, Addam Maric

Emg: Angus Graham, Matthew White, Matt Dea

In: Addam Maric

Out: Jake King (knee)

Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/afl-round-three-teams-20120412-1ww84.html#ixzz1rofqMt9B

Edited April 12, 2012 by dee-luded

[Forest Demon 4,681]

Reasonably happy with this.

Would like Petterd in, but happy for him to go back to Casey for a couple of weeks and get his hands on the footy and work into some form if that is what he needs.

Suprised Couch isn't in, after being promoted to the senior list and showing good form for Casey I thought he might get a run.

And would also be interested when Moloney might be back.

[dee-luded 2,959]

Mcdonald & Bennell have blotted on they're copy books, S-1.

[whatwhat say what 22,639]

so dunn the sub again? or tapscott?

[Demon17 5,185]

Reasonably happy with this.

Would like Petterd in, but happy for him to go back to Casey for a couple of weeks and get his hands on the footy and work into some form if that is what he needs.

Suprised Couch isn't in, after being promoted to the senior list and showing good form for Casey I thought he might get a run.

And would also be interested when Moloney might be back.

Couch was great at casey last week, so maybe they are looking at him one more time. Morton was uninspiring and disposla was atrocious at Casey .

[Demon17 5,185]

so dunn the sub again? or tapscott?

Tapscott was good last week and played a lot of game time. he would be ready to go, not a sub position.

[Nasher 33,607]

C'mon Cale, I haven't given up on you yet. It's all gone to poo, but it's up to you to turn it around and now you're being given a chance. Do it!

I couldn't be happier with these changes. I might've given Dunn the flick before Petterd, but that's probably more due to a personal bias than an objective view.

[Robbie57 2,020]

interesting comment by Aaron greaves on the team chat:

"We haven't gone away from run and carry, but we've overcorrected our game style too much and we need to focus on bringing some run and carry back into our game."

[dee-luded 2,959]

so dunn the sub again? or tapscott?

I wonder if it will be Tapscott or MacKenzie? or even Steph?

Edited April 12, 2012 by dee-luded

[Guest José Mourinho]

C'mon Cale, I haven't given up on you yet. It's all gone to poo, but it's up to you to turn it around and now you're being given a chance. Do it!

I couldn't be happier with these changes. I might've given Dunn the flick before Petterd, but that's probably more due to a personal bias than an objective view.

Couldn't agree any more with this post.

[dees189227 12,367]

Im rapt to see Tapscott back. Would love to see him and Magner start in the middle. I hope Bate isnt the sub again. Good on Neeld for having the guts to drop green. Im sure he will bounce back. Maybe Jordie could start as sub. geez I feel this is our real chance and im just hoping for a win.

[Hannibal 5,814]

Richmond are rightly favourites and will probably win, but jeez their team looks ordinary on paper.