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2 hours ago, Wells 11 said:

I hate to be pragmatic but I don’t think playing finals is the be all and end all in 2025. Imo It’s more important that we’ve gone close, beaten some top sides on the way and proven our style of play. Worth remembering we missed the finals in 2020 in those circumstances.

Be great to make it of course but I don’t think we’re going to win it in 25 even if we do make it. 2026 might feel like a different beast.

I was thinking something very similar this arvo.

Like all dees fans I hated the thought after our loss to the bombers that finals were our of the question. Uggh

Of course i hope we make finals, but just being in the frame for finals now creates an energy and buzz.

 

This may surprise some ( possibly won't others )

Right at the moment :

I'm enjoying watching us. We've improved considerably.

I have no real expectations for the season, but quietly hope we continue and do well. Finals ...whatever. Let's see how it pans out.

Learnings, perhaps we have....

Blowtorch on coach can probably be turned off for now. Again, let's see how it pans out.

Have we arrived ? No.

Beginning of season we were absolute garbage. Totally irrelevant.

Currently, relevant and competitive and in the game.

As topic defines... We're not dead.

So if you're alive, fight. Fight we will. Good.

We have something to work with. The list needs improving. Game still needs improvement. Goalkicking... meh..

Let's cast the runes and see.

I was confident preseason, found the first 5 weeks terrible. A bombers fan friend said to me after the Essendon game “your list is so much better than ours” Admittedly that was part of a broader conversation. At this point I just want us to remain relatively injury free. If we do that then anything is possible. I’m not putting limits either way on this year. As for next year, it’s flag or bust!!

 
On 26/05/2025 at 18:24, Timothy Reddan-A'Blew said:

Bit of time on my hands!...

Let's assume we can't bridge the percentage gaps (though more on that later). And let's assume we can't catch Suns, Lions (currently 3 wins ahead) or Magpies (4).

Next round, for us and the teams ahead of us on the ladder, if teams higher on the ladder than their opposition win, the 4th-11th 'wins ladder' will be: Crows 8, Cats 8, Hawks 7, Giants 7, Dogs 6, Dockers 6, Bombers 6, Demons 6.

Then, if, in the remaining rounds, those 7 teams above us lose to those currently above them and defeat those currently below them, the final 'wins ladder' for them would be: Cats 17, Crows 15 + Demons game, Dogs 14 + Demons game, Hawks 13 + Demons game, Giants 13, Dockers 13, Bombers 11.

Most likely minimum requirement, then, is 14 wins, to sneak into 8th, at the expense of Giants. Wins against Hawks, Hawks and Dogs, and Hawks, Dogs and Crows would be necessary for 7th, 6th, and 5th, respectively, to come into play in this scenario.

So, at least 9 wins (including next week) from 12 remaining games, 3 of which are against current 1st, twice, and 3rd.

If we could bridge the percentage gap to the Giants in this scenario (currently 17%) we could sneak into 8th with 13 wins.

My head is spinning!

8 hours ago, hardtack said:

My head is spinning!

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11 hours ago, binman said:

I was thinking something very similar this arvo.

Like all dees fans I hated the thought after our loss to the bombers that finals were our of the question. Uggh

Of course i hope we make finals, but just being in the frame for finals now creates an energy and buzz.

I am more excited about where we are now, compared to where we were last year.

We had a few good wins at the start of last year, then fell away. Hard. Think we lost to the Eagles and the 'wheels fell off' loss to Freo at this time. Here we have started poorly, and built nicely, better injury list, I can see us building towards something.

Finals would be great. I think we CAN make it. And if we do, we will be coming in with some steam so others will be wary. But if we don't, I think we can see the path forward.

We are generally playing well. The season now has the vibes of us 2021-2022 part way. I expect we should win. Or definitely can win. I even expect a very good showing against the filth, that will make everyone sit up and take notice.

They (the media) in my view . Ignore that we have beaten the last years finalists.

Who else has done that. Go Dee’s

4 hours ago, 640MD said:

We are generally playing well. The season now has the vibes of us 2021-2022 part way. I expect we should win. Or definitely can win. I even expect a very good showing against the filth, that will make everyone sit up and take notice.

They (the media) in my view . Ignore that we have beaten the last years finalists.

Who else has done that. Go Dee’s

Collingwood have also beaten both of last year’s Grand finalists.

 

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