Jump to content

Featured Replies

Posted

I have ran the numbers and if some results go our way and we can make up around 120 point turnaround in score for / against we can displace Hawthorn and pass Carlton, Collingwood and Essendon on the ladder. Here is a breakdown re what needs to play out.

- *Hawthorn loses to Richmond and North

- *Carlton loses to West Coast and St Kilda

- Essendon loses or draws to Brisbane

- *Melbourne beats Collingwood

*Re percentage we have to make up around 7.5% on Hawthorn and 6.5% on Carlton which is roughly a 20 goal differential. To be safe we should try to beat Collingwood by exactly 186 points. Essendon are only 2 points ahead of us and have a worse percentage so either a loss or draw will work.

Aside from Hawthorn v Richmond which Hawthorn should win, I reckon the other games are at least a 50 / 50 in our favour. Clarko will get his boys up against his old side, Carlton are ravaged with injury and have 6 forced changes vs West Coast, St Kilda are playing well and Brisbane should beat Essendon.

In all of the media hysterics over the past couple of weeks not one person in the media have reported on our narrow path to victory. Dees!

Edited by chookrat

 

Sorry but I find this unnecessary.

At least wait until the end of today's games. 

Let's be realistic we are not making finals, even if we beat Collingwood.

5 minutes ago, ElDiablo14 said:

Sorry but I find this unnecessary.

At least wait until the end of today's games. 

Let's be realistic we are not making finals, even if we beat Collingwood.

Think it’s taking the urine

 
  • Author
37 minutes ago, ElDiablo14 said:

Sorry but I find this unnecessary.

At least wait until the end of today's games. 

Let's be realistic we are not making finals, even if we beat Collingwood.

And the speculation re Trac isn't. By the same logic we should wait until we hear from Trac, his manager or the club. My post is useful in keeping some interest on the remaining rounds on which results are relevant to us. They are also relevant in whether us beating Collingwood next week shuts them out of finals contention.

Edited by chookrat

Some of these threads are getting stranger by the day.


Still possible to finish 7th if the Bulldogs lose by a combined couple of hundred and we 186 Collingwood.

Also still possible to finish 14th is Gold Coast and St Kilda step up.

I'll be focusing on finishing the season in a competitive mode, and ideally being six goals up and growing with five minutes to go so we can start a sarcastic Collingwood chant as their soft supporters walk out, leaving us to enjoy the moment together.

Better chance of winning next weeks Powerball then for us making the 8 this season.. 

Edited by John Crow Batty

 
  • Author
15 minutes ago, John Crow Batty said:

Better chance of winning next weeks Powerball then for us making the 8 this season.. 

I did say it is a narrow path to Victory 🙌 

  • Author
36 minutes ago, Jibroni said:

Some of these threads are getting stranger by the day.

Stay tuned to the next post which is our narrower path to Premiers 🏆


In hindsight the Port loss was the one that got away. Didn’t feel like it at the time though.

Had we nailed those late shots in the loss, next weekend would be a hell of a lot more interesting.

Just now, Bring-Back-Powell said:

In hindsight the Port loss was the one that got away. Didn’t feel like it at the time though.

Had we nailed those late shots in the loss, next weekend would be a hell of a lot more interesting.

Why hindsight? We all felt it at the time. Those two fourth quarter misses from Billings and Tholstrup hurt. 

Just goes to show you how close the comp is and fine margins and luck matter. 
Yes, we have some issues we need to rectify, but we aren’t the basket case many are making us out to be. 

Would be feeling a lot more confident that we could make the finals if Essendon was still in the eight…..and then got busted again for doing performance enhancing drugs.  Unfortunately, we are cooked for 2024.  


Never has a waste of time revealed itself so quickly and forcefully.

Well done 

I Dont Like GIF by Channel 7

If a team needs calculus to figure out their finals chances then they are in the wrong job.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

Featured Content

  • NON-MFC: Round 10

    The Sir Doug Nicholls Round kicks off in Darwin with a Top 4 clash between the Suns and the Hawks. On Friday night the Swans will be seeking to rebound from a challenging start to the season, while the Blues have the Top 8 in their sights after their sluggish start. Saturdays matches kick off with a blockbuster between the Collingwood and Kuwarna with the Magpies looking to maintain their strong form and the Crows aiming to make a statement on the road. The Power face a difficult task to revive their season against a resilient Cats side looking to make amends for their narrow loss last week. The Giants aim to reinforce their top-eight status, while the Dockers will be looking to break the travel hoodoo. The sole Saturday game is a critical matchup for both teams, as the Bulldogs strive to cemet their spot in the top six and the Bombers desperately want break into the 8. Sundays start with a bottom 3 clash between the Tigers and Kangaroos with both teams wanting to avoid the being in wooden spoon contention. The Round concludes with the Eagles still searching for their first win of the season, while the Saints look to keep their finals hopes alive with a crucial away victory. Who are you tipping and what are the best results for the Demons?

      • Thanks
    • 87 replies
    Demonland
  • PREVIEW: Brisbane

    And just like that, we’re Narrm again. Even though the annual AFL Sir Doug Nicholls Round which commemorates the contributions of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander culture to our game has been a welcome addition to our calendar for ten years, more lately it has been a portent of tough times ahead for we beleaguered Narrm supporters. Ever since the club broke through for its historic 2021 premiership, this has become a troubling time of the year for the club. For example, it all began when Melbourne rebranded itself as Narrm across the two rounds of the Sir Doug Nicholls Round to become the first club to adopt an Indigenous club name especially for the occasion. It won its first outing under the brand against lowly North Melbourne to go to 10 wins and no losses but not without a struggle or a major injury to  star winger Ed Langdon who broke his ribs and missed several weeks. In the following week, still as Narrm, the team’s 17 game winning streak came to an end at the hands of the Dockers. That came along with more injuries, a plague that remained with them for the remainder of the season until, beset by injuries, the Dees were eliminated from the finals in straight sets. It was even worse last year, when Narrm inexplicably lowered its colours in Perth to the Waalit Marawar Eagles. Oh, the shame of it all! At least this year, if there is a corner to turn around, it has to be in the direction of something better. To that end, I produced a special pre-game chant in the local Narrm language - “nam mi:wi winnamun katjil prolin ambi ngamar thamelin amb” which roughly translated is “every heart beats true for the red and the blue.” >y belief is that if all of the Narrm faithful recite it long enough, then it might prove to be the only way to beat the Brisbane Lions at the Gabba on Sunday. The Lions are coming off a disappointing draw at Marvel Stadium against a North Melbourne team that lacks the ability and know how to win games (except when playing Melbourne). Brisbane are, however, a different kettle of fish at home and have very few positional weaknesses. They are a midfield powerhouse, strong in defence and have plenty of forward options, particularly their small and medium sized players, to kick a winning score this week after the sting of last week’s below par performance.

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 9 replies
    Demonland
  • REPORT: Hawthorn

    There was a time during the current Melbourne cycle that goes back to before the premiership when the club was the toughest to beat in the fourth quarter. The Demons were not only hard to beat at any time but it was virtually impossible to get the better them when scores were close at three quarter time. It was only three or four years ago but they were fit, strong and resilient in body and mind. Sadly, those days are over. This has been the case since the club fell off its pedestal about 12 months ago after it beat Geelong and then lost to Carlton. In both instances, Melbourne put together strong, stirring final quarters, one that resulted in victory, the other, in defeat. Since then, the drop off has been dramatic to the point where it can neither pull off victory in close matches, nor can it even go down in defeat  gallantly.

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 1 reply
    Demonland
  • CASEY: Footscray

    At twenty-four minutes into the third term of the game between the Casey Demons and Footscray VFL at Whitten Oval, the visitors were coasting. They were winning all over the ground, had the ascendancy in the ruck battles and held a 26 point lead on a day perfect for football. What could go wrong? Everything. The Bulldogs moved into overdrive in the last five minutes of the term and booted three straight goals to reduce the margin to a highly retrievable eight points at the last break. Bouyed by that effort, their confidence was on a high level during the interval and they ran all over the despondent Demons and kicked another five goals to lead by a comfortable margin of four goals deep into the final term before Paddy Cross kicked a couple of too late goals for a despondent Casey. A testament to their lack of pressure in the latter stages of the game was the fact that Footscray’s last ten scoring shots were nine goals and one rushed behind. Things might have been different for the Demons who went into the game after last week’s bye with 12 AFL listed players. Blake Howes was held over for the AFL game but two others, Jack Billings and Taj Woewodin (not officially listed as injured) were also missing and they could have been handy at the end. Another mystery of the current VFL system.

      • Thanks
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • PREGAME: Brisbane

    The Demons head back out on the road in Round 10 when they travel to Queensland to take on the reigning Premiers and the top of the table Lions who look very formidable. Can the Dees cause a massive upset? Who comes in and who goes out?

      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 270 replies
    Demonland
  • PODCAST: Hawthorn

    The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 12th May @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we dissect the Demons loss to the Hawks. Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show. If you would like to leave us a voicemail please call 03 9016 3666 and don't worry no body answers so you don't have to talk to a human.

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 53 replies
    Demonland