A Day at the Races

[JV7 2,339]

Any tips for Geelong tomorrow send them through I am off on holidays so mid week betting more than acceptable! 

Prince Of Arran drawn barrier 11, not ideal but is the $3.50 favorite at the moment.

[Macca 16,173]

1 hour ago, JV7 said:

Any tips for Geelong tomorrow send them through I am off on holidays so mid week betting more than acceptable! 

Prince Of Arran drawn barrier 11, not ideal but is the $3.50 favorite at the moment.

The Cup has about 5 main chances including Steel Prince with Oliver on Board (R7 No.11)

And Oliver is on a good chance in Race 6 ... No.7  'O'tauto' (13-1)  Good each-way odds for a horse that gets into the finish a lot.  And it has raced at Group level.  Good first up form as well.  But each-way. 

Likes to get home late but has drawn wide to get back anyway.  Up against 'Harbour Views' & 'Impi' but I rate O'tauto' as being as good as those 2. 

Edited October 21, 2019 by Macca

[Macca 16,173]

As for our dearth of stayers and middle distance perforners ... it comes down to the horse buying public.  No good blaming the A-end of the problem (the actual horses)

The buyers want sprinters only so that's what we breed.  So it's entirely our own fault

No good blaming the 'Invaders' either.  We opened the door with our quest for instance results so again,  we are to blame.

[Gorgoroth 12,325]

6 hours ago, JV7 said:

Any tips for Geelong tomorrow send them through I am off on holidays so mid week betting more than acceptable! 

Prince Of Arran drawn barrier 11, not ideal but is the $3.50 favorite at the moment.

Prince should win, but 8 d9 like Supernova and as a roughy Red Carnival.

[Macca 16,173]

Replay time ... including a look back at Shadow Hero's win in the Champions Stakes run last week at Randwick (lining the horse up against 'Thought Of That' in the Derby - also replayed)

As well as the Caulfield Cup & The Everest.

 

 

 

 

[Macca 16,173]

6 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

Prince should win, but 8 d9 like Supernova and as a roughy Red Carnival.

I reckon one of the Prince's wins.  'Steel Prince' is looking for the 2400m or more (with Oliver on board) whilst 'Prince of Arran' is the class in the race.  Supernova should be thereabouts too.

'Haky' will probably be leading upon settling down and might run a bold race.

And with $240k on the line for winning the Geelong Cup they'll all be going all-out for the win. 

[Dee Zephyr 17,513]

I’m on Supernova, have to stick with it after backing it last start. 

[Gorgoroth 12,325]

Thanks for the Tip @macca, I got on O’tauto. 
got Prince in the cup and then had 1st, 2nd, 4th in a trifecta. 

Edited October 23, 2019 by Gorgoroth

[Macca 16,173]

26 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

Thanks for the Tip @macca, I got on O’tauto. 
got Prince in the cup and then had 1st, 2nd, 4th in a trifecta. And a photo at that! 

I got the trifecta in the Cup as I thought 'Haky' might run a bold race so had to include it (as previously stated - see post #3856)

O'tauto was a good place bet (in all reality) but you've always got to have a little on for the win.  A 3/7 split works ok.  Still,  Harbour Views looks a horse for the future.  Odds too short today though. 

[Gorgoroth 12,325]

Nice get on the trifecta! 

[Macca 16,173]

Just now, Gorgoroth said:

Nice get on the trifecta! 

I rarely,  if ever,  get the full percentage Gorg but a nice 3 figure return,  all the same.  Small outley,  half decent return is my motto.

I really like the Country Cups as betting races.  Seem to have the luck in them for some reason. 

[JV7 2,339]

Thought it was a good ride from Walker on Prince of Arran. Got him across from the wide barrier & at the turn once he had a clear run I didn't think anything would chase him down

Edited October 23, 2019 by JV7

[Dee Zephyr 17,513]

3 hours ago, Macca said:

I got the trifecta in the Cup as I thought 'Haky' might run a bold race so had to include it (as previously stated - see post #3856)

O'tauto was a good place bet (in all reality) but you've always got to have a little on for the win.  A 3/7 split works ok.  Still,  Harbour Views looks a horse for the future.  Odds too short today though. 

Nice work Macca and good call on Haky. 

Used a bonus bet on Supernova so no real damage there, was lucky enough to get on Long Jack in the Classic. Apparently this colt was too ‘fired’ up in the mounting yard its last two starts hence the not so flash showings, must have behaved today, thought it won well. 

Interested to read the crew’s thoughts on the Cox. Shaping up as a ripper.

[Gorgoroth 12,325]

Pulled an 11hr day, so instead of going home and cooking for one (wife training) I went to the pub for a steak Santa and a stout. Race going at Geraldton, put a trifecta on and it wins paying $68.

Well there is the meal, beer easily paid for, got some poppies for rememberance day and off home to put the feet up.

[JV7 2,339]

Seems Lys Gracieux has been the range all week after trainer Yoshito Yahagi claims it is a far superior horse than Caulfield Cup winner Mer De Glace... His comments sold me & I got on early in the week thinking it would come in but it has drifted slighty... But wont be complaining if it gets up

[Dee Zephyr 17,513]

Saturday Best 

Randwick

Race 6 No.7 Master Of Wine $2.40

Well, I’ve narrowed the Cox Plate down to about 10 runners, as open as it’s ever been. I think it might be heading overseas. 

Castelvecchio might be worth a little something each way at the weight.

[binman 38,165]

2 hours ago, JV7 said:

Seems Lys Gracieux has been the range all week after trainer Yoshito Yahagi claims it is a far superior horse than Caulfield Cup winner Mer De Glace... His comments sold me & I got on early in the week thinking it would come in but it has drifted slighty... But wont be complaining if it gets up

It will tighten a little i reckon. Because it is the best horse by a mile.

The track will be firm as there has been basically no rain today (so won't chop out tonight) and it will be windy tomorrow, drying out the track and making it hard for leaders (my understanding is Lys Gracieux is very versatile - has the speed to start quick from his wide barrier and get a good smother up 4th or 5th, or can sit at the back and has the brilliance to quicken from the back and make a sustained run over the last 400. Look at out WFA races this spring. This horse is better than out best by panels. I mean Black Heart Bart is carrying 2 more kilos - 4 lengths. Please. 

Currently at 3.70 which i reckon is well overs. Only the wide draw and the queries about travelling and being first up at the valley (and the massive pool) have stopped it getting into something like 2.50 or shorter. So great value. I plan to launch at  it. And a have throw at the stumps in exotica with only internationals, who i think will fill the first four placings.

I'm going to get in early and even without having done my form make it my best bet for the day. 

Moonee Valley: Race 9 number 9 Lys Gracieux  @ 3.70

Edited October 25, 2019 by binman

[JV7 2,339]

Best bet for tomorrow.

Race 8 Moonee Valley - No. 10 Sikandarabad 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

On 10/23/2019 at 4:49 PM, Gorgoroth said:

Thanks for the Tip @macca, I got on O’tauto. 
got Prince in the cup and then had 1st, 2nd, 4th in a trifecta. 

Me also....

 

[Gorgoroth 12,325]

Got a tip for a race tonight at 6:55 in tassie gympins, I got $13 fixed on it, no idea how it will go but was told his mail is good.

Take it with a grain of salt.

[Gorgoroth 12,325]

Best bet

Moonie: Race 5 Lucifers Reward $4 for a place

[Macca 16,173]

3 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Me also....

 

Well I gave everyone the heads up on Haky Wadda!

Held on for 3rd.  And that's what I was banking on when putting on the trifecta. 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

13 minutes ago, Macca said:

Well I gave everyone the heads up on Haky Wadda!

Held on for 3rd.  And that's what I was banking on when putting on the trifecta. 

Didnt see the post, was at work frantic unfortunately ......well done on the tri though!

Edited October 25, 2019 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Best Bet:

Money Valley Race 7 No 7 Humidor (W) $3.80

Edited October 25, 2019 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Best Bets:

(G) Saturday Moonee Valley: Race 5 Lucifers Reward $4.00 (Plc)

(DZ) Saturday Randwick: Race 6 No.7 Master Of Wine $2.40 (W)

(WWS) Saturday Moonee Valley: Race 7 No 7 Humidor $3.80 (W)

(JV7) Saturday Moonee Valley: Race 8 No. 10 Sikandarabad $5.50 (W)

(BM) Saturday Moonee Valley: Race 9 number 9 Lys Gracieux  @ 3.70 (W)

.....and we await the mighty @Macca

Edit: I put everyones initials in this week, so i dont leave anyone out !

 

Edited October 25, 2019 by Wadda We Sing