Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 2, 2025)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20250207

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter	For	Agn	Diff
1	186	170	+16
2	169	177	-8
3	171	182	-11
4	162	174	-12
Match	172	176	-4

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player	Pressure Acts	Pressure Points	Season Average
Xavier Lindsay	26	65	54.0
Kade Chandler	23	47	45.0
Trent Rivers	18	39	29.5
Jack Viney	18	38	38.0
Clayton Oliver	18	35	47.5
Jack Henderson	12	35	33.0
Tom Sparrow	15	32	41.5
Christian Salem	15	30	27.5
Ed Langdon	16	29	36.0
Jake Bowey	14	29	32.0
Daniel Turner	12	27	27.0
Christian Petracca	13	26	27.5
Harry Sharp	9	23	22.5
Blake Howes	8	23	16.0
Tom McDonald	14	22	15.0
Charlie Spargo	9	21	21.0
Jacob van Rooyen	7	20	25.0
Max Gawn	5	14	17.0
Taj Woewodin	6	13	13.0
Jake Lever	6	12	18.5
Bayley Fritsch	6	11	20.0
Harrison Petty	3	6	11.5
Matthew Jefferson	2	2	14.5

Source: Herald Sun

23 minutes ago, WheeloRatings said:

Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 2, 2025)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20250207

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter	For	Agn	Diff
1	186	170	+16
2	169	177	-8
3	171	182	-11
4	162	174	-12
Match	172	176	-4

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player	Pressure Acts	Pressure Points	Season Average
Xavier Lindsay	26	65	54.0
Kade Chandler	23	47	45.0
Trent Rivers	18	39	29.5
Jack Viney	18	38	38.0
Clayton Oliver	18	35	47.5
Jack Henderson	12	35	33.0
Tom Sparrow	15	32	41.5
Christian Salem	15	30	27.5
Ed Langdon	16	29	36.0
Jake Bowey	14	29	32.0
Daniel Turner	12	27	27.0
Christian Petracca	13	26	27.5
Harry Sharp	9	23	22.5
Blake Howes	8	23	16.0
Tom McDonald	14	22	15.0
Charlie Spargo	9	21	21.0
Jacob van Rooyen	7	20	25.0
Max Gawn	5	14	17.0
Taj Woewodin	6	13	13.0
Jake Lever	6	12	18.5
Bayley Fritsch	6	11	20.0
Harrison Petty	3	6	11.5
Matthew Jefferson	2	2	14.5

Source: Herald Sun

Thanks WR the team pressure surprised me I felt like they were way up on us but guess we are more critical of our own team. Lindsay leading the pressure points as well as playing a great game really shows his class.

5 minutes ago, DeeZone said:

Thanks WR the team pressure surprised me I felt like they were way up on us but guess we are more critical of our own team. Lindsay leading the pressure points as well as playing a great game really shows his class.

Feel like it makes it even worse that we couldn’t even match them there, after watching the hawks and blues on Thursday just shows how far off we were, the hawks were over 220 across the game while blues were only a touch under 200 from memory 

Round 2, 2025 Marvel - Kangaroos vs Demons

Haven't seen a team score (against us) at that level ever i think.  So either we were terrible or they were (are?) presently playing like this season's premiers!?  Maybe both!

Even in 2021 we did not crack a Team Score as high as North in this match.  Closest we got was round 20 vs the Suns with a 71.78

Our Team Score 13% off our 2024 average.  And nearly 16% off our team's average in 2021 (67.23)

Clarry back to his previous best statistically!  Only one match however so will have to wait and see if that's sustainable.  Bested everyone on the day!!

Chandler had a day out.  Is that also sustainable or something similar?  One can only hope.  Sparrow off to a flyer but his disposals are pretty hard to watch at times.  Same can be said of so many here as well eg., Viney, Tracc, Rivers, Bowey etc.

Tracc in free fall.

Fritta barely registering a shot.  Simon should seriously consider making some statements here if one or both of AJ and Melk are available.  If both available then should we consider omitting Jeffo & Fritta for AJ & Melk?  Jeffo might be out inj anyway of course.

 

Team Stats	Kangaroos	Demons
Disposals PerGoal	21.21	39.00
% In50s Goal	35.80	16.10
Conversion %	63.30	42.90

Ave Attributes
North Melb	Attribute	Melbourne
186.7cm	Height	186.7cm
84.1kg	Weight	85.5kg
25yr 4mth	Age	25yr 9mth
101.6	Games	103.3

Total Players By Games
North Melb	Games Played	Melbourne
8	Less than 50	8
4	50 to 99	5
4	100 to 149	1
4	150 to 200	6
3	200 or more	3

Demons

Player	Rating	Rank	2024 Season Rating	% Change vs 2024
C Oliver	6.400	1	3.364	90.25
K Chandler	5.100	2	2.223	129.42
C Salem	4.525	3	3.421	32.27
X Lindsay	4.025	4	-	0.00
T Sparrow	3.850	5	2.517	52.96
J Bowey	3.500	6	2.755	27.04
Ed Langdon	3.175	7	3.089	2.78
J Viney	3.050	8	3.178	-4.03
J Henderson	2.700	9	-	0.00
Max Gawn	2.400	10	4.132	-41.92
B Howes	2.175	11	2.341	-7.09
C Petracca	2.150	12	4.476	-51.97
J Lever	2.075	13	3.103	-33.13
H Petty	2.000	14	1.701	17.58
J V Rooyen	1.950	15	2.026	-3.75
T McDonald	1.625	16	2.967	-45.23
T Woewodin > 56%	1.600	17	2.052	-22.03
C Spargo (vs 2023 Rating)	1.550	18	1.950	-20.51
D Turner	1.375	19	1.393	-1.29
T Rivers	1.275	20	3.391	-62.40
H Sharp	1.175	21	-	0.00
B Fritsch	0.450	22	1.746	-74.23
M Jefferson < 22%	0.000	23	-	0.00
Team Score	56.75		65.17	-12.92
Top 6	20.53		22.53	-8.90
Bottom 6	7.35		14.04	-47.65

< Subbed out TOG %

> Subbed in TOG %

Kangaroos

Player	Rating	Rank
T Powell	6.150	1
T Xerri	6.075	2
Jy Simpkin	5.175	3
L D-Uniacke	5.025	4
L Parker	4.250	5
C Daniel	4.225	6
P Curtis	3.975	7
C Comben	3.825	8
J Darling	3.550	9
A Corr	3.425	10
H Sheezel	3.325	11
C Zurhaar	3.250	12
L McDonald	3.025	13
B Scott	2.650	14
D Tucker	2.350	15
T Pink	2.300	16
F O'Sullivan	2.150	17
W Phillips < 56%	2.150	17
R Hansen	2.000	19
N Larkey	1.875	20
C McKercher	1.725	21
J Konstanty	1.150	22
Dy Stephens > 24%	1.075	23
Team Score	73.63
Top 6	30.90
Bottom 6	11.05

 

Combined

Player	Rating	Rank
C Oliver	6.400	1
T Powell	6.150	2
T Xerri	6.075	3
Jy Simpkin	5.175	4
K Chandler	5.100	5
L D-Uniacke	5.025	6
C Salem	4.525	7
L Parker	4.250	8
C Daniel	4.225	9
X Lindsay	4.025	10
P Curtis	3.975	11
T Sparrow	3.850	12
C Comben	3.825	13
J Darling	3.550	14
J Bowey	3.500	15
A Corr	3.425	16
H Sheezel	3.325	17
C Zurhaar	3.250	18
Ed Langdon	3.175	19
J Viney	3.050	20
L McDonald	3.025	21
J Henderson	2.700	22
B Scott	2.650	23
Max Gawn	2.400	24
D Tucker	2.350	25
T Pink	2.300	26
B Howes	2.175	27
F O'Sullivan	2.150	28
W Phillips < 56%	2.150	28
C Petracca	2.150	28
J Lever	2.075	31
H Petty	2.000	32
R Hansen	2.000	32
J V Rooyen	1.950	34
N Larkey	1.875	35
C McKercher	1.725	36
T McDonald	1.625	37
T Woewodin > 56%	1.600	38
C Spargo	1.550	39
D Turner	1.375	40
T Rivers	1.275	41
H Sharp	1.175	42
J Konstanty	1.150	43
Dy Stephens > 24%	1.075	44
B Fritsch	0.450	45
M Jefferson < 22%	0.000	46

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

Edited March 24Mar 24 by Demon Dynasty

On 23/03/2025 at 19:45, WheeloRatings said:

Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 2, 2025)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20250207

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat	For	Against	Diff
Disposal Efficiency
Disposal Efficiency	72.6	79.2	-6.5
Kicking Efficiency	67.4	74.6	-7.2
Territory/Attack
Inside 50s	56	53	+3
Shots At Goal	26	29	-3
Shots Per Inside 50	46.4	54.7	-8.3
Marks Inside 50	11	12	-1
Contest
Contested Possessions	120	139	-19
Ground Ball Gets	83	89	-6
Post Clearance Contested Possessions	79	85	-6
Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets	57	57	+0
Centre Clearances	13	15	-2
Stoppage Clearances	17	27	-10
Contested Marks	7	15	-8
Defense
Intercepts	70	65	+5
Intercept Marks	15	17	-2
Tackles	47	49	-2
Tackles Inside 50	11	7	+4
Def One On One Loss %	40.0	16.7	+23.3
Ruck
Hitouts	30	32	-2
Hitouts To Advantage	9	12	-3

Player Ratings

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Match
Clayton Oliver	9.8	3.4	5.4	1.2	19.9
Kade Chandler	4.3	8.4	1.3	5.4	19.5
Christian Salem	5.5	1.8	3.3	4.6	15.3
Jake Bowey	3.9	3.5	2.2	3.0	12.5
Tom Sparrow	1.9	6.0	1.5	2.4	11.7
Tom McDonald	2.3	1.4	6.0	1.7	11.4
Max Gawn	1.4	3.6	5.2	1.0	11.2
Jack Viney	4.5	−0.1	4.7	1.2	10.3
Harrison Petty	2.9	−0.8	7.3	−0.6	8.8
Xavier Lindsay	3.0	1.5	0.8	2.5	7.8
Taj Woewodin	0.0	1.4	3.2	2.8	7.4
Ed Langdon	2.5	2.7	2.0	−0.6	6.6
Jake Lever	0.6	2.1	2.1	0.2	5.1
Blake Howes	0.4	2.5	2.2	0.0	5.0
Jacob van Rooyen	3.6	0.5	1.4	−1.2	4.3
Trent Rivers	0.0	0.4	0.6	3.0	4.0
Daniel Turner	0.0	0.3	3.1	0.6	4.0
Harry Sharp	2.1	−0.8	2.0	0.1	3.4
Jack Henderson	3.3	0.3	−0.2	0.0	3.4
Charlie Spargo	1.7	−0.5	−1.3	2.9	2.8
Christian Petracca	−1.0	1.5	2.4	−0.6	2.3
Bayley Fritsch	1.2	−0.4	1.0	0.3	2.1
Matthew Jefferson	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1

Contested Possessions

	For	Against	Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get	3	8	-5
Loose Ball Get	11	10	+1
Contested Mark	1	5	-4
Ruck Hard Ball Get	0	1	-1
Gather From Hitout	0	1	-1
Contested Knock On	2	0	+2
Free For	3	4	-1
Total	20	29	-9
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get	5	1	+4
Loose Ball Get	9	15	-6
Contested Mark	2	2	0
Ruck Hard Ball Get	1	1	0
Gather From Hitout	2	1	+1
Contested Knock On	0	1	-1
Free For	6	3	+3
Total	25	24	+1
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get	9	14	-5
Loose Ball Get	48	43	+5
Contested Mark	7	15	-8
Contested Knock On	2	3	-1
Free For	13	10	+3
Total	79	85	-6
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get	7	7	0
Loose Ball Get	19	25	-6
Ruck Hard Ball Get	3	5	-2
Gather From Hitout	7	12	-5
Contested Knock On	1	1	0
Free For	4	4	0
Total	41	54	-13

• Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
• Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
• 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

	xScore	Score	xWin %	xMargin	Margin	Swing
Melbourne	82.7	66	6%
North Melbourne	111.1	125	94%	+28.4	+59	+30.6

	Shots	Score	Accuracy	xScore	+/-	xSc. / Shot	Shot Rating
Overall
Melbourne	26	9.12 66	34.6%	82.7	−16.7	3.18	−0.64
North Melbourne	29	19.8 122	65.5%	109.1	+12.9	3.76	+0.45
General Play
Melbourne	10	1.4 10	10.0%	25.0	−15.0	2.50	−1.50
North Melbourne	12	7.4 46	58.3%	38.9	+7.1	3.24	+0.60
Set Position
Melbourne	16	8.8 56	50.0%	57.7	−1.7	3.61	−0.11
North Melbourne	17	12.4 76	70.6%	70.2	+5.8	4.13	+0.34

• xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
• Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
• xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
• +/-: total score above or below expected score.
• xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
• Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Territory (time in zones)

Region	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Match	Season
Half
Forward	58%	51%	67%	41%	54%	53%
Defensive	42%	49%	33%	59%	46%	47%
Region
Forward 50	29%	25%	33%	20%	27%	25%
Attacking Midfield	30%	26%	34%	21%	28%	28%
Defensive Midfield	19%	25%	16%	26%	21%	23%
Defensive 50	23%	25%	17%	33%	25%	25%

Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings.

Score Sources

Summary

Score Source	Score	Against	Diff
Kick-in	1.0 6	1.0 6	+0
Centre Bounce	2.2 14	7.1 43	-29
Stoppage (Other)	0.3 3	2.4 16	-13
Turnover	6.7 43	9.6 60	-17

Score Source	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Kick-in	6	3.0	6	6.0
Centre Bounce	14	20.0	43	25.0
Stoppage (Other)	3	11.0	16	18.0
Turnover	43	36.0	60	52.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Score Source	Region	For		Against
		Match	Season	Match	Season *
Centre Bounce	Centre	14	20.0	43	25.0
Kick-in	D50	6	3.0	6	6.0
Stoppage (Other)	D50	0	0.0	6	3.0
Stoppage (Other)	Centre	0	0.0	1	0.5
Stoppage (Other)	Wing	2	10.0	6	9.5
Stoppage (Other)	F50	1	1.0	3	5.0
Turnover	D50	6	3.5	18	12.5
Turnover	Centre	9	4.5	13	10.0
Turnover	Wing	20	20.5	21	21.5
Turnover	F50	8	7.5	8	8.0

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
D50	12	6.5	30	21.5
Centre	23	24.5	57	35.5
Wing	22	30.5	27	31.0
F50	9	8.5	11	13.0

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Defensive 50	12	6.5	30	21.5
Defensive midfield	10	8.0	8	10.5
Centre bounce	14	20.0	43	25.0
Attacking midfield	21	27.0	33	31.0
Forward 50	9	8.5	11	13.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Points from defensive half

For		Against
Match	Season	Match	Season *
22	14.5	38	32.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne.

Centre Bounce Attendances

	CBAs	CBA %	2025 %	2024 %
Max Gawn	27	87%	89.5%	85.0%
Clayton Oliver	22	71%	71.9%	70.7%
Jack Viney	20	65%	66.7%	69.1%
Christian Petracca	15	48%	63.2%	55.8%
Tom Sparrow	15	48%	42.1%	37.7%
Ed Langdon	14	45%	26.3%	0.7%
Kade Chandler	7	23%	12.3%	0.0%
Jacob van Rooyen	4	13%	7.0%	17.8%
Trent Rivers	0	0%	14.0%	29.9%
Charlie Spargo	0	0%	0.0%	4.2%
Christian Salem	0	0%	0.0%	12.3%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	0.0%	0.3%
Harrison Petty	0	0%	0.0%	7.5%
Aidan Johnson			7.7%
Harvey Langford			7.7%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

	Ruck Contests	RC %	2025 %	2024 %
Max Gawn	68	87%	80.6%	81.1%
Jacob van Rooyen	10	13%	5.6%	17.6%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	0.0%	3.1%
Harrison Petty	0	0%	0.0%	7.9%
Aidan Johnson			24.5%

Hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.	To Adv. % (2025)	To Adv. % (2024)
Max Gawn	68	27	9	32.9%	27.9%
Jacob van Rooyen	10	3	0	0.0%	24.7%
Daniel Turner	0	0	0		50.4%
Harrison Petty	0	0	0		24.4%
Aidan Johnson				20.0%

Opposition hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.
Tristan Xerri	68	29	12
Jack Darling	10	3	0

The score source tells the tale.

We did not win on any count from turnovers or territory.

Whatever Simon is attempting it got smashed outta the park against a good (but not great) up-and-coming team yesterday.

The MFC's FD is on fire.

Maybe not burning down yet but it's seriously ablaze and i hope Simon called the fire brigade to attend at today's review to start the long arduous task of putting it out.

Wow Trac had a real good stinker: I actually didn’t realise how bad it was. Understand he played forward but his game was worse than Gawns rating wise. 

 

1 hour ago, GS_1905 said:

Wow Trac had a real good stinker: I actually didn’t realise how bad it was. Understand he played forward but his game was worse than Gawns rating wise. 

The other mid who had a stinker was Rivers. Not sure that moving him on ball is working.

For the rest, they had 13 players who rated above 3.0. We had 8. Very hard to win games of football like that.

Really glad this thread exists with objective data rather than absolute hysterics.

Those percentages really tell the story for me.  We were on a par for effort, but couldn't hit targets.

Being fit and able to pressure is no longer enough. Footballers needed.

48 minutes ago, D Rev said:

Really glad this thread exists with objective data rather than absolute hysterics.

Those percentages really tell the story for me.  We were on a par for effort, but couldn't hit targets.

Being fit and able to pressure is no longer enough. Footballers needed.

The thing for me which is most concerning is our stoppage setup when Gawny is getting beat. 

Surely the midfield group have set plays that setup more defensively in stoppage to try and counteract these situations. 

The North midfielders are talented but are still pups. We saw this against Freo and WC last year so it is something that has transpired before. 

 

I always check out the bottom 6 but we had 8 of the bottom 10 players on the day and as previously pointed out by bing181 they had 13 of the top 21 players on the field. What has happened to Trent Rivers that would be his lowest score ever. I was expecting big things from Riv in ‘25, coaches have a lot to work with, we can’t delist them all.

however great for Clayton, Chandler and Salem.👍

Edited March 24Mar 24 by DeeZone
Added Clayton Chin and Salo

2 hours ago, GS_1905 said:

The thing for me which is most concerning is our stoppage setup when Gawny is getting beat. 

Surely the midfield group have set plays that setup more defensively in stoppage to try and counteract these situations. 

The North midfielders are talented but are still pups. We saw this against Freo and WC last year so it is something that has transpired before. 

 

To be fair, Maxy hasn't got beat that often over the last 10 years so you expect them to be in unknown territory.

Still, being accountable for your man shouldn't be that foreign.  Staying next to your man to create a stoppage shouldn't be that hard and should work in our favour

On radio tonight Daniel Hoyne said we’re bottom 2 for movement of the ball, with Carlton (not sure what the actual measurement or data is here but it’s also hardly surprising).

He also said we were -11 at winning contests in our D50, our worst result in 10 years and therefore under Goodwin, and conceded scores from 56% of inside 50s, our second worst result in 6 years. The forward half might be an ongoing work in progress but you’d like to think we see an immediate response in our back half this weekend. 

20 hours ago, bing181 said:

The other mid who had a stinker was Rivers. Not sure that moving him on ball is working.

For the rest, they had 13 players who rated above 3.0. We had 8. Very hard to win games of football like that.

He didn't play midfield. 

He had zero CBA's and played at half back for the game to cover for Windaor.

20 minutes ago, dazzledavey36 said:

He didn't play midfield. 

He had zero CBA's and played at half back for the game to cover for Windaor.

My bad (hard to tell from telly).

Equally, 6 turnovers and only 1 contested possession isn't a great day out wherever he's playing. And even when he was played on-ball against GWS (I believe?), he only managed one stoppage clearance and no centre clearances. Seems a bit lost at the moment, though he's not Robinson Crusoe.

Just now, bing181 said:

My bad (hard to tell from telly).

Equally, 6 turnovers and only 1 contested possession isn't a great day out wherever he's playing. And even when he was played on-ball against GWS (I believe?), he only managed one stoppage clearance and no centre clearances. Seems a bit lost at the moment, though he's not Robinson Crusoe.

I was at the game and It's the first time in his career where i thought he looked genuinely dejected and bereft of confidence. 

He's trained all pre season as a full time mid and I know in an interview late last year that he stated he really wants to push in there full time and make a name for himself.

I can only imagine this would have been deflating for him that he's been reverted back to the backline.

23 minutes ago, dazzledavey36 said:

I was at the game and It's the first time in his career where i thought he looked genuinely dejected and bereft of confidence. 

He's trained all pre season as a full time mid and I know in an interview late last year that he stated he really wants to push in there full time and make a name for himself.

I can only imagine this would have been deflating for him that he's been reverted back to the backline.

After witnessing the midfield performance on Sunday, he would ordinarily get a shot, but he’s also having a stinker of year so far so why should he be rewarded? 

Id make him earn it, make it clear and set KPIs and more importantly follow through if he achieves them.

 

Melbourne v Gold Coast (Round 3, 2025)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20250303

Key Team Stats

Stat	For	Against	Diff
Disposal Efficiency
Disposal Efficiency	75.1	74.2	+0.8
Kicking Efficiency	70.9	68.9	+2.0
Territory/Attack
Inside 50s	40	65	-25
Shots At Goal	24	33	-9
Shots Per Inside 50	60.0	50.8	+9.2
Marks Inside 50	9	17	-8
Contest
Contested Possessions	126	144	-18
Ground Ball Gets	83	95	-12
Post Clearance Contested Possessions	83	92	-9
Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets	62	63	-1
Centre Clearances	8	16	-8
Stoppage Clearances	16	24	-8
Contested Marks	10	10	+0
Defense
Intercepts	69	61	+8
Intercept Marks	15	14	+1
Tackles	52	52	+0
Tackles Inside 50	4	12	-8
Def One On One Loss %	60.0	16.7	+43.3
Ruck
Hitouts	35	29	+6
Hitouts To Advantage	13	14	-1

Player Ratings

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Match
Jake Bowey	7.7	2.7	2.4	5.3	18.1
Trent Rivers	3.2	2.1	5.6	3.9	14.8
Harvey Langford	2.5	3.9	6.4	1.8	14.7
Christian Petracca	4.2	2.2	4.6	3.4	14.4
Harry Sharp	1.2	0.5	6.7	3.5	11.9
Tom McDonald	1.7	9.2	−1.3	2.1	11.6
Jack Viney	3.3	0.9	2.3	3.6	10.1
Ed Langdon	4.0	3.8	2.4	0.0	10.1
Jacob van Rooyen	−0.4	1.9	1.5	6.3	9.3
Kade Chandler	0.3	1.0	4.0	3.0	8.3
Jack Billings	3.4	0.7	0.7	2.1	7.0
Max Gawn	0.7	0.6	3.5	2.0	6.7
Harrison Petty	1.2	0.6	3.0	1.3	6.1
Christian Salem	1.0	2.3	2.3	0.3	5.9
Clayton Oliver	−0.5	0.5	2.1	3.9	5.9
Tom Sparrow	2.0	1.4	0.9	0.6	4.9
Blake Howes	3.7	1.7	−0.6	0.0	4.8
Jake Melksham	−1.1	2.3	2.7	−0.6	3.3
Jack Henderson	−0.2	1.7	−1.1	2.0	2.3
Bayley Fritsch	4.3	−3.0	−1.9	1.1	0.4
Aidan Johnson	1.0	0.6	−0.6	−0.6	0.4
Xavier Lindsay	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
Steven May	−1.5	0.6	−0.7	−1.0	−2.7

Contested Possessions

	For	Against	Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get	2	4	-2
Loose Ball Get	20	16	+4
Contested Mark	2	5	-3
Ruck Hard Ball Get	1	0	+1
Gather From Hitout	2	3	-1
Contested Knock On	1	3	-2
Free For	3	6	-3
Total	31	37	-6
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get	1	2	-1
Loose Ball Get	4	7	-3
Contested Mark	1	1	0
Ruck Hard Ball Get	2	0	+2
Gather From Hitout	1	0	+1
Contested Knock On	0	1	-1
Free For	1	3	-2
Total	10	14	-4
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get	9	15	-6
Loose Ball Get	53	48	+5
Contested Mark	10	10	0
Contested Knock On	4	3	+1
Free For	7	16	-9
Total	83	92	-9
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get	4	7	-3
Loose Ball Get	17	25	-8
Ruck Hard Ball Get	6	1	+5
Gather From Hitout	13	12	+1
Contested Knock On	0	2	-2
Free For	3	5	-2
Total	43	52	-9

• Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.

• Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.

• 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

	xScore	Score	xWin %	xMargin	Margin	Swing
Melbourne	65.3	62	0%
Gold Coast	117.1	120	100%	+51.8	+58	+6.2

	Shots	Score	Accuracy	xScore	+/-	xSc. / Shot	Shot Rating
Overall
Melbourne	23	8.10 58	34.8%	64.3	−6.3	2.80	−0.27
Gold Coast	33	18.12 120	54.5%	117.1	+2.9	3.55	+0.09
General Play
Melbourne	13	5.5 35	38.5%	37.9	−2.9	2.92	−0.23
Gold Coast	12	7.4 46	58.3%	36.2	+9.8	3.01	+0.82
Set Position
Melbourne	10	3.5 23	30.0%	26.3	−3.3	2.63	−0.33
Gold Coast	21	11.8 74	52.4%	80.9	−6.9	3.85	−0.33

• xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.

• Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.

• xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.

• +/-: total score above or below expected score.

• xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.

• Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

https://x.com/andrew_whelan/status/1905864006717620640

Territory (time in zones)

Region	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Match	Season
Half
Forward	48%	36%	39%	43%	42%	49%
Defensive	52%	64%	61%	57%	58%	51%
Region
Forward 50	25%	16%	16%	15%	18%	23%
Attacking Midfield	24%	19%	23%	28%	23%	26%
Defensive Midfield	24%	34%	27%	25%	27%	24%
Defensive 50	28%	31%	34%	31%	31%	27%

Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings.

Score Sources

Summary

Score Source	Score	Against	Diff
Kick-in	1.2 8	1.0 6	+2
Centre Bounce	0.2 2	4.2 26	-24
Stoppage (Other)	3.3 21	5.0 30	-9
Turnover	4.7 31	8.10 58	-27

Score Source	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Kick-in	8	4.7	6	6.0
Centre Bounce	2	14.0	26	25.3
Stoppage (Other)	21	14.3	30	22.0
Turnover	31	34.3	58	54.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Score Source	Region	For		Against
		Match	Season	Match	Season *
Centre Bounce	Centre	2	14.0	26	25.3
Kick-in	D50	8	4.7	6	6.0
Stoppage (Other)	D50	6	2.0	0	2.0
Stoppage (Other)	Centre	0	0.0	6	2.3
Stoppage (Other)	Wing	13	11.0	6	8.3
Stoppage (Other)	F50	2	1.3	18	9.3
Turnover	D50	4	3.7	14	13.0
Turnover	Centre	0	3.0	14	11.3
Turnover	Wing	26	22.3	17	20.0
Turnover	F50	1	5.3	13	9.7

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
D50	18	10.3	20	21.0
Centre	2	17.0	46	39.0
Wing	39	33.3	23	28.3
F50	3	6.7	31	19.0

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Defensive 50	18	10.3	20	21.0
Defensive midfield	13	9.7	13	11.3
Centre bounce	2	14.0	26	25.3
Attacking midfield	26	26.7	30	30.7
Forward 50	3	6.7	31	19.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast.

Points from defensive half

For		Against
Match	Season	Match	Season *
31	20.0	33	32.3

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast.

Centre Bounce Attendances

	CBAs	CBA %	2025 %	2024 %
Max Gawn	22	76%	84.9%	85.0%
Clayton Oliver	21	72%	72.1%	70.7%
Jack Viney	21	72%	68.6%	69.1%
Harvey Langford	16	55%	32.7%
Christian Petracca	15	52%	59.3%	55.8%
Tom Sparrow	12	41%	41.9%	37.7%
Aidan Johnson	4	14%	10.9%
Jacob van Rooyen	3	10%	8.1%	17.8%
Ed Langdon	1	3%	18.6%	0.7%
Trent Rivers	1	3%	10.5%	29.9%
Kade Chandler	0	0%	8.1%	0.0%
Christian Salem	0	0%	0.0%	12.3%
Harrison Petty	0	0%	0.0%	7.5%
Charlie Spargo			0.0%	4.2%
Daniel Turner			0.0%	0.3%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

	Ruck Contests	RC %	2025 %	2024 %
Max Gawn	65	80%	80.5%	81.1%
Aidan Johnson	11	14%	19.7%
Jacob van Rooyen	5	6%	5.7%	17.6%
Harrison Petty	0	0%	0.0%	7.9%
Daniel Turner			0.0%	3.1%

Hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.	To Adv. % (2025)	To Adv. % (2024)
Max Gawn	65	30	11	34.0%	27.9%
Aidan Johnson	11	5	2	30.0%
Jacob van Rooyen	5	0	0	0.0%	24.7%
Harrison Petty	0	0	0		24.4%
Daniel Turner					50.4%

Opposition hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.
Jarrod Witts	66	25	12
Ethan Read	15	4	2

Edited Saturday at 06:184 days by WheeloRatings

The Stats Files post looks a bit different now with the site update.

1 hour ago, WheeloRatings said:

The Stats Files post looks a bit different now with the site update.

Very hard to read on a mobile

The only stat that matters. Zero wins.

17 minutes ago, binman said:

Very hard to read on a mobile

Very tough reading. Period :(

dunno what it looks like on mobile, but those stats make for ugly reading

i can't believe how bad we've got so quickly

First back to back 50 + point losses since 2014.

If 20 is elite, we had no elite players in this match…

Edited Saturday at 09:504 days by buck_nekkid

On 25/03/2025 at 23:24, dazzledavey36 said:

I was at the game and It's the first time in his career where i thought he looked genuinely dejected and bereft of confidence. 

He's trained all pre season as a full time mid and I know in an interview late last year that he stated he really wants to push in there full time and make a name for himself.

I can only imagine this would have been deflating for him that he's been reverted back to the backline.

While i'm not sure if he trained 100% pre-season for a mid-field role, my understanding is that a similar situation (allegedly) happened to another senior player a few years back, resulting in him losing confidence and form.

He may well have had other issues going on but this issue allegedly played a part in his downward spiral.