There’s a lot of talk round here that Melbourne should split its pick 3 with the GWS Giants and take pick 6 and something else but I’m suspicious of this because in car dealing language, the pick is a lemon ?!

Check out the chart from the AFL Draft Guru site

Historically, players who have been selected at 3 have played an average of 132 games compared with 57 for pick 6. At pick 7, the average is almost more than double at 133 games. 

Pick 6 is jinxed - we tell GWS no to that pick. 

https://www.draftguru.com.au/

3 minutes ago, The Oracle said:

There’s a lot of talk round here that Melbourne should split its pick 3 with the GWS Giants and take pick 6 and something else but I’m suspicious of this because in car dealing language, the pick is a lemon ?!

Check out the chart from the AFL Draft Guru site

Historically, players who have been selected at 3 have played an average of 132 games compared with 57 for pick 6. At pick 7, the average is almost more than double at 133 games. 

Pick 6 is jinxed - we tell GWS no to that pick. 

https://www.draftguru.com.au/

Now that changes everything.

Thanks for this invaluable information.

Quick let’s split pick 6! 

How's the strike rate for pick 97?

4 minutes ago, demonstone said:

How's the strike rate for pick 97?

We should split pick 97

Who are some of the past 10 or so pick 6s?

Pick 6 will become pick 7 when GWS swoop on Green though.

9 minutes ago, ben russell said:

Pick 6 will become pick 7 when GWS swoop on Green though.

This. And pick 7 is a great pick!

 I noticed that Pick 4 has been a bit of a dud.

The average is most likely influenced by us picking Morton and Toumpas at pick 4 and completely [censored] the average up.

Pretty low averages for all the top tens.

18 minutes ago, BAMF said:

 I noticed that Pick 4 has been a bit of a dud.

The average is most likely influenced by us picking Morton and Toumpas at pick 4 and completely [censored] the average up.

Clarry will be alright.

40 minutes ago, Kelpien said:

Who are some of the past 10 or so pick 6s?

www.google.com

So you’re saying pick 6 is due to be a superstar?!?

Gws can have it, keep that thing away from us?

 

It has been a long hard road for pick 6 which, after being truly awful through the nineties, has improved over time and even had a couple of good seasons more recently. But clearly we're talking about one of those picks that only ever shows glimpses of their talent and is forever 'one good preseason away' from being a real performer.

1998 Murray Vance

1999 Damian Cupido

2000 Dylan Smith

2001 Ashley Sampi

2002 Steven Salopek

2003 Kepler Bradley

2004 Tom Williams

2005  Beau Dowler

2006 Mitch Thorp

2007 David Myers 

2008 Chris Yarran

2009 Gary Roahn

2010 Reece Conca

2011 Chad Wingard

2012 Jackson Macrae

2013 Matthew Sharenberg

2014 Caleb Marchbank

2015  Aaron Francis

2016 Sam Petrevski-Seton

2017 Jaidyn Stephenson

2018 Ben King

 

On 10/19/2019 at 6:21 PM, Little Goffy said:

 

It has been a long hard road for pick 6 which, after being truly awful through the nineties, has improved over time and even had a couple of good seasons more recently. But clearly we're talking about one of those picks that only ever shows glimpses of their talent and is forever 'one good preseason away' from being a real performer.

1998 Murray Vance

1999 Damian Cupido

2000 Dylan Smith

2001 Ashley Sampi

2002 Steven Salopek

2003 Kepler Bradley

2004 Tom Williams

2005  Beau Dowler

2006 Mitch Thorp

2007 David Myers 

2008 Chris Yarran

2009 Gary Roahn

2010 Reece Conca

2011 Chad Wingard

2012 Jackson Macrae

2013 Matthew Sharenberg

2014 Caleb Marchbank

2015  Aaron Francis

2016 Sam Petrevski-Seton

2017 Jaidyn Stephenson

2018 Ben King

 

Seems to be making a comeback of late.