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Beware of Pick 6!!!

The Oracle
in Melbourne Demons

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There’s a lot of talk round here that Melbourne should split its pick 3 with the GWS Giants and take pick 6 and something else but I’m suspicious of this because in car dealing language, the pick is a lemon ?!

Check out the chart from the AFL Draft Guru site

Historically, players who have been selected at 3 have played an average of 132 games compared with 57 for pick 6. At pick 7, the average is almost more than double at 133 games. 

Pick 6 is jinxed - we tell GWS no to that pick. 

https://www.draftguru.com.au/

6E343E09-7CA6-45A2-B461-680909177FF7.jpeg

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    3 minutes ago, The Oracle said:

    There’s a lot of talk round here that Melbourne should split its pick 3 with the GWS Giants and take pick 6 and something else but I’m suspicious of this because in car dealing language, the pick is a lemon ?!

    Check out the chart from the AFL Draft Guru site

    Historically, players who have been selected at 3 have played an average of 132 games compared with 57 for pick 6. At pick 7, the average is almost more than double at 133 games. 

    Pick 6 is jinxed - we tell GWS no to that pick. 

    https://www.draftguru.com.au/

    6E343E09-7CA6-45A2-B461-680909177FF7.jpeg

    Now that changes everything.

    Thanks for this invaluable information.

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    Pick 6 will become pick 7 when GWS swoop on Green though.

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    9 minutes ago, ben russell said:

    Pick 6 will become pick 7 when GWS swoop on Green though.

    This. And pick 7 is a great pick!

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     I noticed that Pick 4 has been a bit of a dud.

    The average is most likely influenced by us picking Morton and Toumpas at pick 4 and completely [censored] the average up.

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    Pretty low averages for all the top tens.

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    18 minutes ago, BAMF said:

     I noticed that Pick 4 has been a bit of a dud.

    The average is most likely influenced by us picking Morton and Toumpas at pick 4 and completely [censored] the average up.

    Clarry will be alright.

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    So you’re saying pick 6 is due to be a superstar?!?

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    It has been a long hard road for pick 6 which, after being truly awful through the nineties, has improved over time and even had a couple of good seasons more recently. But clearly we're talking about one of those picks that only ever shows glimpses of their talent and is forever 'one good preseason away' from being a real performer.

    1998 Murray Vance

    1999 Damian Cupido

    2000 Dylan Smith

    2001 Ashley Sampi

    2002 Steven Salopek

    2003 Kepler Bradley

    2004 Tom Williams

    2005  Beau Dowler

    2006 Mitch Thorp

    2007 David Myers 

    2008 Chris Yarran

    2009 Gary Roahn

    2010 Reece Conca

    2011 Chad Wingard

    2012 Jackson Macrae

    2013 Matthew Sharenberg

    2014 Caleb Marchbank

    2015  Aaron Francis

    2016 Sam Petrevski-Seton

    2017 Jaidyn Stephenson

    2018 Ben King

     

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    On 10/19/2019 at 6:21 PM, Little Goffy said:

     

    It has been a long hard road for pick 6 which, after being truly awful through the nineties, has improved over time and even had a couple of good seasons more recently. But clearly we're talking about one of those picks that only ever shows glimpses of their talent and is forever 'one good preseason away' from being a real performer.

    1998 Murray Vance

    1999 Damian Cupido

    2000 Dylan Smith

    2001 Ashley Sampi

    2002 Steven Salopek

    2003 Kepler Bradley

    2004 Tom Williams

    2005  Beau Dowler

    2006 Mitch Thorp

    2007 David Myers 

    2008 Chris Yarran

    2009 Gary Roahn

    2010 Reece Conca

    2011 Chad Wingard

    2012 Jackson Macrae

    2013 Matthew Sharenberg

    2014 Caleb Marchbank

    2015  Aaron Francis

    2016 Sam Petrevski-Seton

    2017 Jaidyn Stephenson

    2018 Ben King

     

    Seems to be making a comeback of late.

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