Jump to content

Ladder predictor

SFebes
in Melbourne Demons

Featured Replies

8 minutes ago, praha said:

Like Collingwood and North last year?

I believe we have improved from last year.  we beat the teams below us. 

Like when we smashed the crows in Alice by 90

  • Quote
    •  
    1 hour ago, praha said:

    I have us peaking at 2nd at the start of one of the rounds, but then dropping to 9th by season's end and losing the last three. That's with a mostly conservative estimate, and few upsets in matches between teams with more than 5 places between them on the ladder.

    Sorry, fam.

    PS. Sorry for the image ?

    Screenshot_20180629-154256.thumb.png.e05c2e812c53d13c97965935615ba7c4.png

    Interesting that you have GWS winning 8 of last 9 games which include games vs Hawks, Eagles, Tigers, Power, Crows, Swans, Demons.  I find it hard to see GWS winning all bar one of those games.  Tbh can't see GWS making the 8. 

    I haven't done the ladder predictor but I would expect Hawks to be in the 8, @ EOHandA games.  Who of the current top 8 will drop out...anybody's guess...hopefully North and not us.

    Edited by Lucifer's Hero

  • Quote
    • Like 2

    I find it hard to ' give' us some games simply on the basis we should ..

    The bogey game for me is Freo in Darwin. I want us to win....i struggle to envision it.

    Ive been ( for me ) quite chipper in other games.

    I have us finishing 9th. That's also a result of some other team's run home and being even stevens about how they might go.

    Ive been relatively conservative on scores. Blowouts here or there may well alter the finish.

    9th....hmmmmm☹️

    ...maybe we are following in Richmond's footsteps !! ?

    Edited by beelzebub

  • Quote
    •  

    Freo in Darwin.. yep ...in Melbourne a regulation win .... in Darwin becomes a 60/40 at best.

    We always knew that taking the NT dollar would probably cost us big at sometime and perhaps it's this year.

     

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    20 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

    Freo in Darwin.. yep ...in Melbourne a regulation win .... in Darwin becomes a 60/40 at best.

    We always knew that taking the NT dollar would probably cost us big at sometime and perhaps it's this year.

     

    A cost benefit analysis is we lose that game and miss the 8 of Darwin v estimated upside from making finals in membership uplift and gate takings (?) and gate on home game having it in Melb would be good and yes I recognise you could make the argument we should have won r1

  • Quote

    The Dees will end up with 16-6 win-loss ratio. 3rd to 5 th.

  • Quote
    • Thanks 1
    • Love 1
    • Haha 1
    2 hours ago, beelzebub said:

    I find it hard to ' give' us some games simply on the basis we should ..

    The bogey game for me is Freo in Darwin. I want us to win....i struggle to envision it.

    Ive been ( for me ) quite chipper in other games.

    I have us finishing 9th. That's also a result of some other team's run home and being even stevens about how they might go.

    Ive been relatively conservative on scores. Blowouts here or there may well alter the finish.

    9th....hmmmmm☹️

    ...maybe we are following in Richmond's footsteps !! ?

    I am more worried by the saints than I am Freo.

  • Quote
    • Thanks 1
    2 hours ago, Diamond_Jim said:

    Freo in Darwin.. yep ...in Melbourne a regulation win .... in Darwin becomes a 60/40 at best.

    We always knew that taking the NT dollar would probably cost us big at sometime and perhaps it's this year.

     

    I'm just as concerned about the week after Darwin vs Bulldogs.

  • Quote
    •  
    1 hour ago, Deeoldfart said:

    I'm just as concerned about the week after Darwin vs Bulldogs.

    This shows how poxy we were to lose to Geelong . I hope the players fine max the first 26 shouts at end of season p up

  • Quote

    Well, the Doggies just upset the Cats.

    Everyones ladder prediction just went up in flames.

  • Quote
    • Like 2
    • Love 1
    • Haha 4

    4 minutes ago, Petraccattack said:

    Well, the Doggies just upset the Cats.

    Everyones ladder prediction just went up in flames.

    Shut down this thread.  Clearly irrelevant.

  • Quote
    • Like 1
    5 hours ago, Diamond_Jim said:

    Freo in Darwin.. yep ...in Melbourne a regulation win .... in Darwin becomes a 60/40 at best.

    We always knew that taking the NT dollar would probably cost us big at sometime and perhaps it's this year.

     

    Agree. How much do we “value” the finals

  • Quote
    • Like 2

    These are all redonkuously ridiculous but I have us beating the Eagles in Perth and winning 14 games, while I have it coming down to the last round where Collingwood will play Fremantle in Perth for a spot in the top 4. They lose and we win, snatching a spot in the top 4 on percentage. Now that would be sweet.

  • Quote
    • Like 2
    11 hours ago, spirit of norm smith said:

    Agree. How much do we “value” the finals

    not enough

  • Quote
    15 hours ago, dl4e said:

    I am more worried by the saints than I am Freo.

    well.... i'm quietly crossing all fingers and toes... This really OUGHT to be a gimme.. but I take your view and secretly hope it's just a case of severe MFCSS !! lol

    Lose to Saints....just book your september holidays now

  • Quote

    12 hours ago, Petraccattack said:

    Well, the Doggies just upset the Cats.

    Everyones ladder prediction just went up in flames.

    That's the team we will knock out. I have us 8th by %, losing to Sydney, Geelong and West.Coast. GWS game will be massive.

  • Quote
    1 hour ago, beelzebub said:

    well.... i'm quietly crossing all fingers and toes... This really OUGHT to be a gimme.. but I take your view and secretly hope it's just a case of severe MFCSS !! lol

    Lose to Saints....just book your september holidays now

    And look at the weather. Great. I can see us drowning in wet conditions aka Hawthorn.

  • Quote
    55 minutes ago, dl4e said:

    And look at the weather. Great. I can see us drowning in wet conditions aka Hawthorn.

    And StKilda love the "sprinklers"

  • Quote

    Interesting when you just select auto fill for the remaining rounds MFC end up 6th (15 wins) and Collingwood 8th with 14 wins.

    Geelong 9th on 12 wins

    Edited by Diamond_Jim

  • Quote
    38 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

    Interesting when you just select auto fill for the remaining rounds MFC end up 6th (15 wins) and Collingwood 8th with 14 wins.

    Geelong 9th on 12 wins

    Run it 20 times

  • Quote

    1 hour ago, Diamond_Jim said:

    Interesting when you just select auto fill for the remaining rounds MFC end up 6th (15 wins) and Collingwood 8th with 14 wins.

    Geelong 9th on 12 wins

     

    1 hour ago, timbo said:

    Run it 20 times

    I highly doubt there is much brains to that auto-fill, guys... I wouldn't worry about that.

     

    And if we go 5 and 4 from here - we aren't the team we thought we were so who gives a rip if we do or don't make finals...

    We should win the next 3 and go to Mordor the next week a bit bullish. Adel over there doesn't scare me, GC we should destroy, Syd at the G will be the biggest win since '06 and we have a chance, WCE over there will be tough but we should be looking to beat GWS on our deck in the last round.

    We should at least go 6 and 3 IF we are who we think we are...

    PS. It is pure MFCSS to have us dropping gimmie games but every other club in the league not...

  • Quote
    2 hours ago, rpfc said:

     

    I highly doubt there is much brains to that auto-fill, guys... I wouldn't worry about that.

     

    And if we go 5 and 4 from here - we aren't the team we thought we were so who gives a rip if we do or don't make finals...

    We should win the next 3 and go to Mordor the next week a bit bullish. Adel over there doesn't scare me, GC we should destroy, Syd at the G will be the biggest win since '06 and we have a chance, WCE over there will be tough but we should be looking to beat GWS on our deck in the last round.

    We should at least go 6 and 3 IF we are who we think we are...

    PS. It is pure MFCSS to have us dropping gimmie games but every other club in the league not...

    A bit of a non sequitur but we're no better or worse than Collingwood who currently sit second. If you look at who they've beaten (beside from a Melbourne team who didn't turn up), they've beaten Bulldogs, Freo, St Kilda, Gold Coast and Carlton (who they limped over the line against). These are all bottom 6-8 teams. Yet, the hype surrounding Collingwood is probably larger than the hype that surrounded us going into the QB game.

    I guess my point is that there are really only 2 stand out teams this year (Richmond and Sydney) and even these teams have dropped games they shouldn't have. Anyone is beatable and as you say, we should play finals from here.

    Edited by A F

  • Quote
    • Like 1

    The Dogs’ win is great for us, but ultimately it all comes down to our own performances.

    If we don’t win all of the next three we are in big trouble. 

  • Quote
    • Like 1
     
    27 minutes ago, titan_uranus said:

    The Dogs’ win is great for us, but ultimately it all comes down to our own performances.

    If we don’t win all of the next three we are in big trouble. 

    I agree if we drop any of the next 3, it'll make the run for finals difficult and nail-bating. But I reckon we won't be the only team in the top 12 sides to drop a game or two that we are expected to win.

  • Quote
    • Author

    Well, on current form, I only have us winning two more games as defintes, even though there is no such thing. Rolling ladder below

     

    image.thumb.png.58d2113d36538d248fc7ab531af109b5.png

  • Quote

    • Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

    Guest
    Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
    Reply to this topic...
    Go to topic listing

    Featured Content

    • PREVIEW: Carlton

      Good evening, Demon fans and welcome back to the Demonland Podcast ... it’s time to discuss this week’s game against the Blues. Will the Demons celebrate Clayton Oliver’s 200th game with a victory? We have a number of callers waiting on line … Leopold Bloom: Carlton and Melbourne are both out of finals contention with six wins and eleven losses, and are undoubtedly the two most underwhelming and disappointing teams of 2025. Both had high expectations at the start of participating and advancing deep into the finals, but instead, they have consistently underperformed and disappointed themselves and their supporters throughout the year. However, I am inclined to give the Demons the benefit of the doubt, as they have made some progress in addressing their issues after a disastrous start. In contrast, the Blues are struggling across the board and do not appear to be making any notable improvements. They are regressing, and a significant loss is looming on Saturday night. Max Gawn in the ruck will be huge and the Demon midfield have a point to prove after lowering their colours in so many close calls.

        • Clap
      • 0 replies
      Demonland

    • REPORT: North Melbourne

      I suppose that I should apologise for the title of this piece, but the temptation to go with it was far too great. The memory of how North Melbourne tore Melbourne apart at the seams earlier in the season and the way in which it set the scene for the club’s demise so early in the piece has been weighing heavily upon all of us. This game was a must-win from the club’s perspective, and the team’s response was overwhelming. The 36 point win over Alastair Clarkson’s Kangaroos at the MCG on Sunday was indeed — roovenge of the highest order!

        • Love
        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 4 replies
      Demonland

    • CASEY: Werribee

      The Casey Demons remain in contention for a VFL finals berth following a comprehensive 76-point victory over the Werribee Tigers at Whitten Oval last night. The caveat to the performance is that the once mighty Tigers have been raided of many key players and are now a shadow of the premiership-winning team from last season. The team suffered a blow before the game when veteran Tom McDonald was withdrawn for senior duty to cover for Steven May who is ill.  However, after conceding the first goal of the game, Casey was dominant from ten minutes in until the very end and despite some early errors and inaccuracy, they managed to warm to the task of dismantling the Tigers with precision, particularly after half time when the nominally home side provided them with minimal resistance.

        • Thanks
      • 0 replies
      Demonland

    • PREGAME: Carlton

      The Demons return to the MCG as the the visiting team on Saturday night to take on the Blues who are under siege after 4 straight losses. Who comes in and who goes out?

        • Thanks
      • 168 replies
      Demonland

    • PODCAST: North Melbourne

      The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 14th July @ 8:00pm. Join Binman & I as we dissect the Dees glorious win over the Kangaroos at the MCG.
      Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show.
      Listen LIVE: https://demonland.com/

        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 29 replies
      Demonland

    • POSTGAME: North Melbourne

      The Demons are finally back at the MCG and finally back on the winners list as they continually chipped away at a spirited Kangaroos side eventually breaking their backs and opening the floodgates to run out winners by 6 goals.

        • Haha
        • Love
        • Thanks
        • Like
      • 253 replies
      Demonland
    View All