A Day at the Races

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

3 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

It was always the risk Wadda. As mentioned previously the horse has settled well back in its last few starts and has been motoring home late, possibly too late. I thought after the claim and the soft track the horse would overturn its fortunes. 

Reckon the ground may have beaten it as well perhaps......it was flying. Love to see it do that on a dry track, spectacular. Love those come from the back of the field horses.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

God they ask Weir before the race.......which of your horses do you think will win?....Oh The Statesman has the best chance of those 3 he says.....pfft!!!!      was 8.00 yesterday.....salutes at 6.50.....

Edited August 11, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 16,173]

Just now, Wadda We Sing said:

God they ask Weir before the race.......which of your horses do you think will win?....Oh The Statesman has the best chance of those 3 he says.....pfft!!!!      was 8.00 yesterday.....salutes at 6.50.....

I was on it Wadda ... heart in mouth stuff at the finish.  Nothing too substantial but a win is a win.

It's the way Darren Weir talks ... he had it in front of a good type in Haripour and that was enough for me.  I got on earlier though as Darren was talking up the horse's chances on RSN on Friday morning.  The staying types from Europe are always worth looking at. 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

17 minutes ago, Macca said:

I was on it Wadda ... heart in mouth stuff at the finish.  Nothing too substantial but a win is a win.

It's the way Darren Weir talks ... he had it in front of a good type in Haripour and that was enough for me.  I got on earlier though as Darren was talking up the horse's chances on RSN on Friday morning.  The staying types from Europe are always worth looking at. 

Nice one! That was a good win......6.50 is pretty good...Ive been on it before......had i heard that i would have been. Weir reckons Voodoo good to go. Whatever beats it would win. I took it with Paddy Paynes horse Chamois Road

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Brave Song looked great in the mounting yard.......threw him into trifecta and quinella

[Dee Zephyr 17,681]

Woo Hoo for Voo Doo!! Managed to get $5 which isn’t too bad after Fat Odds with Neds. 

Outstanding win, well done @Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

7 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Woo Hoo for Voo Doo!! Managed to get $5 which isn’t too bad after Fat Odds with Neds. 

Outstanding win, well done @Wadda We Sing

 BANG ....Top ride by Ollie.........put him to sleep at the back.....perfect. Got the tri as well.

Edited August 11, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Geelong kicked 3 in a row to come back from the dead 8pts down......under 15.5 lookin good.

Edit: 11pt win Hks

Edited August 11, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Dee Zephyr 17,681]

9 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Geelong kicked 3 in a row to come back from the dead 8pts down......under 15.5 lookin good.

Edit: 11pt win Hks

The odds for either team to win under 15.5 pts in Hawthorn v Geelong games should be $1.10

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Just now, Dee Zephyr said:

The odds for either team to win under 15.5 pts in Hawthorn v Geelong games should be $1.10

My mate in Sydney who barracks for Geelong has been doing it every year since 2008.....its a monty every time

[Dee Zephyr 17,681]

Just now, Wadda We Sing said:

My mate in Sydney who barracks for Geelong has been doing it every year since 2008.....its a monty every time

Surely he’s retired by now.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

3 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Surely he’s retired by now.

Nope!

 

Edited August 11, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Dang was on Nightswatch in race 8....soooo close

Was almost Bonecrusher and Our Wavely Star

Weir quinellas another race.....4 winner at Flemington.....hes a freak.

Edited August 11, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Dee Zephyr 17,681]

7 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Dang was on Nightswatch in race 8....soooo close

Was almost Bonecrusher and Our Wavely Star

Weir quinellas another race.....4 winner at Flemington.....hes a freak.

? Me too Wadda. I thought we were home, all good though, just nabbed the winner in Adelaide.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Winks is resuming in a race named after itself Winx Stakes which they changed from the Grp 2 Warwick Stakes.

Just wondering, has that ever happened before? Did Makbe Diva do that??

Edit Winx is 1.10 Ace High 100/1......probably about right!

Edited August 11, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Hows our strike rate Macca in the new season? ......Would be 6:2:2:1 no?

[Macca 16,173]

21 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Hows our strike rate Macca in the new season? ......Would be 6:2:2:1 no?

Yes it reads quite well doesn't it? 

I wasn't on Voodoo Lad for the win unfortunately although I did have it as a winner in a F4 but just missed ... luckily it didn't pay that well!  I thought Chamois Road & Poetic Dream would run better races.  A terrific choice though Wadda and at $5+,  the horse represented very good value.

Next week things start to hot up with 10 group races ... a lot of the good horses will be returning but because they're fresh,  it will still be tricky trying to find winners.  Once we get into September there will be more clarity.

Anyway,  it's back to pick4 baseball multi's for me until next Saturday!

Australian Group & Listed Races

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

41 minutes ago, Macca said:

Yes it reads quite well doesn't it? 

I wasn't on Voodoo Lad for the win unfortunately although I did have it as a winner in a F4 but just missed ... luckily it didn't pay that well!  I thought Chamois Road & Poetic Dream would run better races.  A terrific choice though Wadda and at $5+,  the horse represented very good value.

Next week things start to hot up with 10 group races ... a lot of the good horses will be returning but because they're fresh,  it will still be tricky trying to find winners.  Once we get into September there will be more clarity.

Anyway,  it's back to pick4 baseball multi's for me until next Saturday!

Australian Group & Listed Races

 

Reads very well. I would listen to us!

Good luck with the multis.......i have a live one Hawks/Cats u15.5, Voodoo Plc, Mongolian Plc going into Melb 1--39 tomorrow. So using our picks and doing some combinations. 14/1

[binman 38,479]

9 hours ago, binman said:

My best footy bets:

Gold coast v tigers game to be over the Total Match Point (TMP) of 167.5

Comment: will be a low to no pressure game and the tigers will score easily and not be too fussed about giving GC some cheapies. I would set the line at 175 so goo value

GWS to make their line of 15.5 v Crows

Comment: Crows have nothing left to play for and players will to want to get injured. GWS have everything to play for and need a win to shore up a top 4 spot. Crows also coming off a high pressure derby. Good value

Other's to consider if looking for multis (which i don't): Brisbane line of 25.5 looks tempting as they are in pretty good form and i reckon the dogs v bulldogs TMP of 178.5 is too short given there won't be much pressure and the roos to make their line of 22.5 is also good value given the dogs are limping to the line and roos want/need percentage

Very pleased the line in the gws game came in to 12.5. Would have spewed if that big game choker tex cost me me $

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

5 minutes ago, binman said:

Very pleased the line in the gws game came in to 12.5. Would have spewed if that big game choker tex cost me me $

Was a good pick Binman as was your other one

[Macca 16,173]

We need another thread for the sports multi

This thread should be reserved for the thoroughbreds only ... no greyhound racing,  no harness racing,  no footy talk,  just thoroughbreds. 

The references to the Demons is fine as we're all Melbourne supporters but I come to this thread to escape the general footy talk.  There's already thousands of footy threads but only 1 horse racing thread.  

It doesn't matter if the thread goes quiet for a while ... that's a good thing.  As an example the NFL thread thrives from Sept through to February but is virtually dormant for the other 6 months.   We've got separate threads on baseball,  the NBA,  cricket,  Big Bash,  Ice Hockey etc etc etc.

[Macca 16,173]

Further to what I posted last night is that this thread shouldn't be a gambling-first thread.  The gambling should be somewhat secondary with the 'Sport of Kings' taking centre stage. 

I try to edge the thread that way by posting up links to feature articles about the sport together with videos of the Group racing from here and elsewhere.  I do that without any need to have a betting interest. 

The gambling aspect gets talked about here obviously (myself included) but if it becomes about the pure gambling then where does it start and finish?

My agenda is that this is a thread about the thoroughbreds ... other sports or other forms of betting should be largely discussed elsewhere.  And I'm happy to go elsewhere to discuss those other aspects. 

That's not to say that the thread needs to be 100% about horse racing but it needs to be predominantly so in my opinion.  The thread is called 'A Day at the Races' for a reason.

Edited August 12, 2018 by Macca

[Dee Zephyr 17,681]

Fair enough @Macca I thought about starting the ‘Monkey Business’ thread but it’s a bit difficult articulating without promoting the gambling aspect. 

It seems like a separate thread is needed if we are to keep posting sports multis, odds and specials on various sports. 

Topics on the main footy forum have posters constantly posting odds ( guilty myself on that aspect a few times) and of course it’s not everyone’s cup of tea. 

I’m all open to more ideas on how we can get the thread started. With spring around the corner the thoroughbred talk will be in full swing on here. I’m happy to tone it down and stick on topic. 

 

Edited August 12, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,173]

2 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Fair enough @Macca I thought about starting the ‘Monkey Business’ thread but it’s a bit difficult articulating without promoting the gambling aspect. 

It seems like a separate thread is needed if we are to keep posting sports multis, odds and specials on various sports. 

Topics on the main footy forum have posters constantly posting odds ( guilty myself on that aspect a few times) and of course it’s not everyone’s cup of tea. 

I’m all open to more ideas on how we can get the thread started. With spring around the corner the thoroughbred talk will be in full swing on here. I’m happy to tone it down and stick on topic.

I like sports multi's and @Wadda We Sing  idea is a beauty ... but we won't be able to tone it down especially if we stay alive in the bet.  For instance,  your 2 soccer bets saluted last night which has kept me alive in a saver multi.

I reckon we're biting off more than we can chew ... have you ever watched the 'Bad Beats' section of Scott van Pelt's midnight (USA time) version of Sportscenter?  It's a gambling aspect re line betting in USA sports but they disguise the gambling aspect with humurous distractions - very clever the way they do it too ?

I reckon we start another thread along the same lines ... call it 'Monkey Business' as discussed but not go over the top with it all.  Wadda's constant referencing to our racing multi is an excellent pointer ... $1 will get you 106-1 or such-like with the emphasis on $1 only bet.  We never want to be talking about large outlays both here or elsewhere DZ and I post as such here in a very similar way - purposely.

[Macca 16,173]

Best Bet Strike Rate 

6: 2 - 2 - 1

Australian Group & Listed Races

And here are some replays of yesterday's feature races ... the Rosebud from Rosehill and a couple of big Group 1's from Arlington USA. 

Click on this link to watch a replay of Voodoo Lad winning the Aurie's Star Hcp.