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Posted

As many on this board would know, the Melbourne-Collingwood Queens Birthday match in 1958 drew a record home-and-away crowd of 99,346 to the MCG.

In more recent times, the largest crowd for this fixture was 78,773, in 2006, while two years earlier there were just under 57,000.

So how many do you think will turn up on Monday?

Given our win last week, and that the current forecast for Monday is partly cloudy and an expected top of 15, I reckon we can expect 75,000 +

Posted (edited)

2001 62,761

2002 65,860

2003 60,010

2004 56,988

2005 65,347

2006 78,773

2007 70,660

2008 59,548

2009 61,287

2010 67,454

So, in the past decade the crowd has been above 71K once, and below 60K twice.

2011 positives - Collingwood are almost undefeated, Melbourne are coming off a win, and there's no rain forecast.

2011 negatives - Both sides are missing some big names and Melbourne haven't been playing great footy.

Edited by Rogue
Corrected

Posted

2001 62,761

2002 65,860

2003 60,010

2004 56,988

2005 65,347

2006 78,773

2007 70,660

2008 59,548

2009 61,287

2010 67,454

So, in the past decade the crowd has been above 71K once, and below 60K twice.

2011 positives - Collingwood are undefeated, Melbourne are coming off a win, and there's no rain forecast.

2011 negatives - Both sides are missing some big names and Melbourne haven't been playing great footy.

Geelong?

Anyway i think the crowd size growing has alot to do with the filths membership also sky rocketing.... if we can get 55 to carlton and essendon i would hope 70K minimum versus Collingwood


Posted

I'd guess in the 68-73K range, depending on weather.

Geelong?

Fixed.

Anyway i think the crowd size growing has alot to do with the filths membership also sky rocketing.... if we can get 55 to carlton and essendon i would hope 70K minimum versus Collingwood

If that's based on the crowd trend over the past five years, I'd suggest that has more to do with us.

The crowd was higher 5-6 years ago than it is now - has Collingwood's membership dropped off since then? No, it's increased.

However, 2006-07 we were going okay/on the back of a decent year and the crowds were good. During 2008-2009 it was clear we were very poor and the crowds were relatively low.

NB: I'm not suggesting that our form is the decisive factor, but it seems to have more explanatory power than Collingwood's membership numbers.

Posted

I'll be doing my bit, as I'm coming down from Sydney for, unfortunately, what will probably be my only game this year. I am going out of my mind with excitement, and can't wait to hear the beautiful roar of a buzzing 'G. I'm desperately hoping that last week was the evidence of a penny finally dropping, cause I reckon if we play like that, we'll at least give those filthy Pies a shake. Wouldn't be surprised if we see the crowd size swell this year, partly due to the Pies flag, partly due to said penny (hopefully) dropping and partly because of the opinion that the Dees lift against the Pies.

Posted

2001 62,761

2002 65,860

2003 60,010

2004 56,988

2005 65,347

2006 78,773

2007 70,660

2008 59,548

2009 61,287

2010 67,454

So, in the past decade the crowd has been above 71K once, and below 60K twice.

2011 positives - Collingwood are almost undefeated, Melbourne are coming off a win, and there's no rain forecast.

2011 negatives - Both sides are missing some big names and Melbourne haven't been playing great footy.

Those 10 years is an average crowd of 64,869.

Between 70,000-75,000 for Monday is my guess.

Posted

Looking forward to it.

Hopefully the weather is decent.

We cannot seem to get decent weather for our big home games...

Bulldogs last year, Carlton this year...

Posted

Collingwood is missing some stars and their fans don't care about the game too much.

The weather is likely to be poor (again...always when we host a Friday night or a big Victorian side).

Dunno...maybe 65,000-70,000.

Posted

Looking forward to it.

Hopefully the weather is decent.

We cannot seem to get decent weather for our big home games...

Bulldogs last year, Carlton this year...

As I remember it, most Queens Birthday holidays in the last ten years have either been wet, threatening to rain, or rain was predicted by the bureau, but never came. This was even true during the drought.

Rain or a bleak outlook diminishes the potential crowd by about 20%, I reckon.

I hope this cold snap is over by then. With a clear sunny day,and no rain forecast , we could get 75000, I reckon.


Posted

Please take into account that I won't be there, unfortunately I will be OS on Monday, but will be sitting up in bed and following on the web.

SO please please subtract by one your guess, and shout just that bit louder for m on Monday :(

Posted

Please take into account that I won't be there, unfortunately I will be OS on Monday, but will be sitting up in bed and following on the web.

SO please please subtract by one your guess, and shout just that bit louder for m on Monday :(

Thanks for letting me know. I'll keep it in mind when I put in my prediction.

:P

Posted

Please take into account that I won't be there, unfortunately I will be OS on Monday, but will be sitting up in bed and following on the web.

SO please please subtract by one your guess, and shout just that bit louder for m on Monday :(

71,155

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